Monday 3-18-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #31
    NCAAB

    Monday, March 18


    Monday’s other tournament games
    Quinnipiac is 3-4 in its last seven games, losing by 6 to Monmouth in first round of MAAC tourney; Bobcats are experience team #162 that makes 37.6% of its 3’s and gets 45.8% of its points behind arc (#2 in country)- they’re experience team #162, starting a freshman and two sophs. NJIT is 21-12 but went 3-5 in its last eight games; they don’t have any seniors, are #313 experience team that is #35 in MC- they won a road game in A-Sun tourney, then lost by 23 at Lipscomb. NJIT’s opponents made only 33% of their 3’s, #91 3-point defense in country.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #32
      71Arizona -72 Tampa Bay
      TAMPA BAY is 52-15 ATS (28.1 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

      73Vancouver -74 Chicago
      CHICAGO is 13-5 ATS (10.8 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

      75Winnipeg -76 Los Angeles
      LOS ANGELES are 28-36 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

      77Vegas -78 San Jose
      GERARD GALLANT is 17-3 ATS (13.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite (Coach of VEGAS)

      77Vegas -78 San Jose
      VEGAS are 17-3 ATS (13.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #33
        NHL

        Monday, March 18


        Trend Report

        Arizona Coyotes
        Arizona is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
        Arizona is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
        Arizona is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
        Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
        Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
        Arizona is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Tampa Bay
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 12 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
        Tampa Bay Lightning
        Tampa Bay is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
        Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
        Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
        Tampa Bay is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Arizona
        Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games when playing Arizona
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games when playing at home against Arizona

        Vancouver Canucks
        Vancouver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
        Vancouver is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games
        Vancouver is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
        Vancouver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games on the road
        Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
        Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Chicago
        Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
        Chicago Blackhawks
        Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 17 of Chicago's last 20 games
        Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
        Chicago is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
        Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
        Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
        Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver

        Winnipeg Jets
        Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 11 games on the road
        Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
        Winnipeg is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
        Los Angeles Kings
        Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
        Los Angeles is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games
        The total has gone OVER in 16 of Los Angeles's last 23 games
        Los Angeles is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
        Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
        Los Angeles is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

        Vegas Golden Knights
        Vegas is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
        Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
        Vegas is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
        Vegas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
        Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
        Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
        Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
        San Jose Sharks
        San Jose is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
        San Jose is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
        San Jose is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
        San Jose is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
        San Jose is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
        San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vegas
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #34
          NHL
          Long Sheet

          Monday, March 18


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ARIZONA (36-30-0-6, 78 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (55-13-0-4, 114 pts.) - 3/18/2019, 7:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TAMPA BAY is 55-17 ATS (+83.0 Units) in all games this season.
          TAMPA BAY is 33-11 ATS (+11.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
          ARIZONA is 36-36 ATS (+78.0 Units) in all games this season.
          ARIZONA is 19-14 ATS (+35.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
          ARIZONA is 18-18 ATS (+43.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ARIZONA is 4-1 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
          ARIZONA is 4-1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          VANCOUVER (30-32-0-10, 70 pts.) at CHICAGO (32-30-0-9, 73 pts.) - 3/18/2019, 8:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          VANCOUVER is 393-380 ATS (-123.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
          CHICAGO is 17-13 ATS (+3.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
          CHICAGO is 23-10 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
          CHICAGO is 372-373 ATS (-97.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
          CHICAGO is 162-183 ATS (-99.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          VANCOUVER is 5-3 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          VANCOUVER is 5-3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          8 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.1 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          WINNIPEG (42-25-0-4, 88 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (25-38-0-8, 58 pts.) - 3/18/2019, 10:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          WINNIPEG is 4-8 ATS (-9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
          WINNIPEG is 103-68 ATS (+18.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          LOS ANGELES is 25-46 ATS (-53.4 Units) in all games this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 16-23 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          LOS ANGELES is 210-265 ATS (-103.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
          LOS ANGELES is 6-23 ATS (+34.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 1-12 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          LOS ANGELES is 4-4 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
          LOS ANGELES is 4-4-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          VEGAS (40-27-0-5, 85 pts.) at SAN JOSE (43-21-0-8, 94 pts.) - 3/18/2019, 10:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          VEGAS is 10-15 ATS (-11.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
          SAN JOSE is 42-19 ATS (+13.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          VEGAS is 105-70 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          VEGAS is 44-19 ATS (+16.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          VEGAS is 41-21 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
          VEGAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.3 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          VEGAS is 8-4 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
          VEGAS is 8-4-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
          7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #35
            NHL
            Dunkel

            Monday, March 18



            Vegas @ San Jose

            Game 77-78
            March 18, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Vegas
            10.867
            San Jose
            11.696
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            San Jose
            by 1
            5
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            San Jose
            -170
            6 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            San Jose
            (-170); Under

            Winnipeg @ Los Angeles


            Game 75-76
            March 18, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Winnipeg
            12.269
            Los Angeles
            9.876
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Winnipeg
            by 2 1/2
            8
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Winnipeg
            -175
            6
            Dunkel Pick:
            Winnipeg
            (-175); Over

            Vancouver @ Chicago


            Game 73-74
            March 18, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Vancouver
            11.958
            Chicago
            10.425
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Vancouver
            by 1 1/2
            5
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Chicago
            -230
            6 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Vancouver
            (+190); Under

            Arizona @ Tampa Bay


            Game 71-72
            March 18, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Arizona
            10.484
            Tampa Bay
            12.845
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Tampa Bay
            by 2 1/2
            8
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Tampa Bay
            -270
            6 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Tampa Bay
            (-270); Over
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #36
              John Martin

              Mar 18 '19, 7:05 PM in 44m
              NBA | Pistons vs Cavs
              Play on: Pistons -6½ -110 at pinnacle

              1 Unit FREE PLAY on Detroit Pistons -6.5
              Few teams are playing as well as the Detroit Pistons over the past month-plus. The Pistons are 14-4 SU & 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall. They should make easy work of the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight as well. It’s a Cavs team that is really banged up right now playing without Nance Jr, Thompson, Dellavedova, Smith and Henson, and they could be without Love tonight, who is questionable. The Cavs have lost five of their last six and will have a hard time being competitive with all these injuries. Give me the Pistons.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #37
                Mike Lundin

                Mar 18 '19, 7:35 PM in 1h
                NBA | Nuggets vs Celtics
                Play on: UNDER 221 -103

                MIKE LUNDIN'S NUGGETS @ CELTICS FREE PICK
                The Boston Celtics have won five of their last six but have their work cut out for them Monday night as the Denver Nuggets, one of the best from the West, will pay a visit to TD Garden.
                The Nuggets have allowed an average of just 102 ppg through a three-game winning streak and under is 10-1 in their last 11 overall. The Celtics are coming off four high-scoring contests as they've been beating up on teams with losing records, but under is 6-0 in Celtics last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
                Celtics' center Al Horford and forward Gordon Hayward both got banged up in Saturday's win over Atlanta. Horford (knee) is listed as probable while Hayward has been placed in the concussion protocol and is doubtful to play against Denver.
                Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings, but note that under is 11-5 for Denver in road games where the total is greater than or equal to 220. I think this will be a relatively low-scoring contest.
                Free pick on UNDER.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #38
                  Scott Rickenbach

                  Mar 18 '19, 7:38 PM in 1h
                  NHL | Coyotes vs Lightning
                  Play on: Lightning -1½ +102 at pinnacle

                  Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Free Pick Tampa Bay Lightning Puck Line -1.5 goals (+) vs Arizona Coyotes @ 7:35 ET - The Lightning have plenty of motivation here. With a win Monday over the Coyotes, Tampa Bay can clinch the Atlantic Division as well as wrap up the home ice advantage for the entire post season. Additionally, the Bolts were embarrassed 7 to 1 at Arizona very early this season. The last time these teams met in Tampa, the Coyotes also got the win: 4-1 final. That said, the Lightning are not only seeking revenge here, they also are motivated by the standings and by the fact that Arizona beat them by a combined score of 11 to 2 in the last two meetings. What that means it that the Bolts, the best team in the league, will not take their foot off the gas in this one. That said, the opportunity to have the Lighting at no juice and lay the 1.5 goals is a great opportunity. Look for TB to win this one by 2 or more goals and lock up everything for the upcoming post season! The Coyotes are off a loss by just a 1-goal margin but, prior to that, Arizona's last 6 defeats all came by a margin of 2 or more goals. 10 of the last 15 Lightning wins have come by a margin of 2 or more goals. Look for a home blowout here. Free Pick TAMPA BAY Puck Line -1.5 goals
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #39
                    Frank Sawyer

                    Mar 18 '19, 8:05 PM in 1h
                    NBA | Warriors vs Spurs
                    Play on: UNDER 226 -103

                    Take Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors and the San Antonio Spurs. Golden State (47-21) has won two games in a row with their 110-88 upset win at Oklahoma City on Saturday. The Warriors have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Golden State has also played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. San Antonio (41-29) has won eight straight games with their 108-103 win over Portland on Saturday. The Spurs have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. San Antonio has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on their home court. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #40
                      Jimmy Boyd

                      Mar 18 '19, 8:05 PM in 1h
                      NBA | Heat vs Thunder
                      Play on: Heat +5½ -102 at pinnacle

                      1* Free NBA Pick on Miami Heat +5.5
                      With Oklahoma City's Russell Westbrook suspended for this game after getting his 16th technical in the Thunder's last game, there's just too much value here with Miami to pass up. Every game is massive down the stretch for Miami, as they are just 1-game ahead of the Magic for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.
                      One of the reasons I think this number isn't lower with Westbrook out is the fact that Miami will be playing on no rest. However, the Heat won relatively easy at home against the Hornets 93-75. Josh Richardson was the only Miami player to play more than 31 minutes. While OKC had Sunday off, this will be there 4th game in the last 6 days. Thunder bench will be hurting, as their biggest producer, Dennis Schroeder will likely move into the starting lineup.
                      Heat are 24-13 ATS last 37 on the road as a dog of 6 points or less, including a 19-7 ATS run in their last 26 road games vs the Western Conference. OKC on the other hand is 0-8 ATS last 2 seasons at home when coming off a upset loss by 10 or more. Take Miami!
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #41
                        Andre Ramirez

                        Mar 18 '19, 8:05 PM in 1h
                        NBA | Warriors vs Spurs
                        Play on: OVER 225½ -110

                        NBA 75 DIME GAME
                        225.5
                        Warriors guard Klay Thompson is averaging 30.0 ppg over the last four games. Golden State crushed San Antonio 141-102 at home in the most recent meeting on Feb. 6
                        I like the value in the over, since the Spurs are going to give the Warriors a run for the money. Warriors are averaging 117 ppg while the Spurs are averaging 111 ppg. Lay the over here.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #42
                          Jack Jones

                          Mar 18 '19, 8:05 PM in 1h
                          NBA | Heat vs Thunder
                          Play on: Heat +5½ -102 at pinnacle

                          Jack’s Free Pick Monday: Miami Heat +5.5
                          The Oklahoma City Thunder are really scuffling right now. They are just 5-9 SU & 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. And things just got even more difficult for them tonight as Russell Westbrook has been suspended for this game after receiving his 16th technical foul of the season.
                          The Miami Heat are trying to cling on to the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They are just one game ahead of the Orlando Magic. The Heat have done an excellent job here down the stretch by going 7-3 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
                          The Heat have actually done their best work on the road this season, going 21-11 ATS in their 32 road games. Miami is also 21-11 ATS as an underdog this season. The Heat are 23-7 ATS in road games after playing two consecutive home games over the last three seasons. The Thunder are 0-8 ATS in home games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last two years. Bet the Heat Monday.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #43
                            Brandon Lee

                            Mar 18 '19, 10:05 PM in 3h
                            NBA | Bulls vs Suns
                            Play on: Bulls +2½ -109 at GTBets

                            10* FREE NBA PICK (Bulls +2.5)
                            I'll take my chances here with Chicago as a slim road dog against the Suns. This line looks completely off, as the Bulls come in having lost 5 straight, are just 11-25 on the road and playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, while Phoenix is fresh off an upset win at New Orleans as a 4.5-point dog and are now 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. As bad as the Suns have been this season, the betting public won't hesitate to back them. The interesting thing is that while the public has flocked to the ticket window to take Phoenix, the line has moved the other way, as it opened at Phoenix -3 and is now down to -2.5. This is what we call reverse line movement, as big time money is coming in on Chicago to drive this the other way. I'm with the other sharps, as I expect a big effort here from the Bulls off that ugly game on Sunday against the Kings. Give me Chicago +2.5!
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #44
                              Dave Price

                              Mar 18 '19, 10:05 PM in 3h
                              NBA | Bulls vs Suns
                              Play on: Suns -2 -109 at GTBets

                              Dave’s Monday Free Play:
                              1* on Phoenix Suns -2
                              The Key: The Phoenix Suns are playing their best ball of the season here over the last few weeks. They are 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. And now they are short home favorites over the Bulls, who are 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bulls will also be playing for a second consecutive day after losing in Sacramento last night, so it’s a tough situation for them. Chicago is 3-11 ATS off 2 consecutive road games this season. Take Phoenix.
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