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UMBC @ VERMONT | 3/16 | 11:00 AM EDT
10:43 AM
UMBC is riding a three-game win streak and always shows up for the big tournament games (cough, cough against Virginia last year first round of the tournament). This is too many points to give up here, but I do like the Under. Hoping for a high 50s battle that Vermont edges out in the end.
TENNESSEE VS KENTUCKY | 3/16 | 3:30 PM EDT
9:54 AM
Kentucky carries so much public backing year in and year out. Let’s not forget that this Tennessee team was ranked No. 1 in the country for quite the stretch this season. This line should be at least Volunteers -3 based off of the beating they put on the Wildcats last time in Tennessee. Vols and the Over outright from start to finish.
25-15 IN LAST 40 CBB PICKS | +820
4-0 IN LAST 4 UK ATS PICKS | +400
UNDER 148.5 MEMPHIS VS HOUSTON | 3/16 | 3:00 PM EDT
8:33 AM
Major trap bet here. This line opened at 140. Yes 140. A nine-point swing in less than a day of action to bet on gives us a ton of wiggle room. The public is going strictly off the fact that these two teams had a shootout their last matchup of 166 points. One word: Outlier. Don’t be fooled by the point total in a regular season matchup. Games are life or death, especially for Memphis who is on the bubble. Top tier defense will be played. Take the Under soon before it corrects back closer to the opening line.
25-15 IN LAST 40 CBB PICKS | +820
UNDER 129.5 WISCONSIN VS MICHIGAN ST. | 3/16 | 1:00 PM EDT
8:32 AM
This total jutted out to me immediately. Here we have two of the slowest tempo teams in college basketball that happen to be hitting the majority of their Overs in the month of March. This will change. Both teams rank in the top 10 in college basketball for defensive field goal percentage. Not much margin of error to be had so let’s not hope for a foul parade at the end of the game but this game should be a tight high 50’s scoring for both teams.
Nashville vs. San Jose, 03/16/2019 22:30 EDT,
Money Line: -140 San Jose
Sportsbook: Bodog
San Jose -140
The Sharks have value at home here on Saturday night.
This has been a one sided head to head series as of late, with San Jose simply dominating. The Sharks come into this one winners in 26 of the last 34 matchups played here in San Jose.
Combine that with the Sharks recent run and the edge is huge here.
San Jose has gone 22-8 in their last 30 and are a solid 10-1 against the Central Division. This team is playing with a ton of confidence right now and they're doing it on the offensive end as they can hit opposing defenses from so many directions.
Some trends to note. Sharks are 45-20 in their last 65 vs. Western Conference.Sharks are 11-5 in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
Grab the home side.
Back San Jose.
Saturday 8* NBA ATS Play
Cleveland vs. Dallas, 03/16/2019 20:30 EDT,
Point Spread: -6½/-110 Dallas
Sportsbook: Bookmaker
Dallas Mavericks -6.5
The Mavericks have value at home here on Saturday.
Dallas comes in off a tough loss to the Nuggets on Thursday, a game in which they went toe to toe with one of the top teams in the West.
While their road play has been rocky, the home play from Dallas has been quite the opposite. Dallas has gone 21-12-1 ATS in this season inside American Airlines Arena and they've gone 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Saturday games.
Cleveland comes in off a blowout loss to the Magic, as those are the kinds of performances we have seen from time to time from this young Cavs team.
Some trends to note. Mavericks are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 vs. Eastern Conference. Mavericks are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.
Back Dallas.
Saturday 9* NBA O/U Play
Golden State vs. Oklahoma City, 03/16/2019 20:30 EDT,
Total: -110/+231½ Under
Sportsbook: BetOnline
Golden State vs. Oklahoma City Under 231.5
When these two teams meet, it is always a grind.
Both teams love to step up and give everything they have, knowing the magnitude of the matchup.
With that in mind, this Under has tremendous value. While both teams do have some of the top scorers in the game, this has been traditionally and Under series. The Under has hit in 5 of the last 6 in Oklahoma City and has gone Under the total in 17 of the last 22 matchups.
Both teams pick up the intensity when these two clash, which always results in a lot of tough shots both ways. Look for that to be the exact case here, certainly benefiting this Under.
Some trends to note. Under is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 overall. Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 overall.
Back the Under.
Saturday 9* CBB ATS Play
Bowling Green vs. Buffalo, 03/16/2019 19:30 EDT,
Point Spread: -10½/-119 Buffalo
Sportsbook: Bookmaker
Buffalo -10.5
Both Bowling Green and Buffalo needed to survive and now these two teams battle for a spot in the NCAA Tournament.
Buffalo has the edge here, as this team is just too tough to slow down.
The Bulls dropped 86 on Central Michigan last night, as they just have so many weapons on the floor. They can hit you with a variety of three point shooters as well as a nice inside presence.
Look for them to get out and really run here, pushing Bowling Green back on their heels all night long.
Some trends to note. Bulls are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games. Falcons are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Stephen Nover's CBB Early Game
Wisconsin vs. Michigan State, 03/16/2019 13:00 EDT,
Point Spread: -5/-104 Michigan State
Sportsbook: PinnacleSports
Wisconsin isn't as good as Michigan State especially with the Spartans getting back forward Nick Ward, their second-leading scorer.
The Badgers rely on forward Ethan Happ, who isn't a great shooter. Happ didn't play well in the Badgers' 66-62 victory against Nebraska on Friday scoring just four points and committing seven turnovers. The Spartans will key on Happ.
The Spartans have the best guard on the court in Cassius Winston. The Badgers will try to key on Winston. The Spartans, though, have a secret weapon, freshman point guard Foster Loyer, to keep the pressure off Winston. Loyer played well in the Spartans' opening Big Ten Tournament victory over Ohio State on Friday. The Badgers struggled against the Cornhuskers, a team the Spartans rolled past, 91-76, at home three games ago.
Tom Izzo has Michigan State peaking at the right time again. The Spartans closed the regular season beating Michigan, 75-63, as four-point home favorites a week ago. Wisconsin went up against Michigan on Feb. 9 and lost as seven-point road 'dogs, 61-52.
Michigan State handled Wisconsin in the team's lone meeting this season, winning 67-59 on the road. The Spartans have covered 15 of their last 21 Big Ten games, while the Badgers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine Big Ten matchups.
PENN VS HARVARD | 3/16 | 12:30 PM EDT
11:03 AM
The top-seeded Harvard Crimson won both regular-season meetings but they got more than their share of breaks in close games. Penn forward AJ Brodeur has been a matchup nightmare and should again have his way Saturday. Harvard has thrived in close games all year, but the Quakers have recent history of success in March and they rate to have a slight edge in the third meeting.
48-29-1 IN LAST 78 CBB ATS PICKS | +1524
MICHIGAN ST. -5.5
WISCONSIN VS MICHIGAN ST. | 3/16 | 1:00 PM EDT
8:48 AM
The Spartans won the only regular-season matchup with the Badgers 67-59 in Madison. They held a 40-28 rebounding edge and made clutch plays down the stretch to seal it in the final two minutes while the outcome was still in the balance. The return of Nick Ward to the lineup gives Michigan State needed muscle on both ends of the floor. Wisconsin has been one of the Big Ten's hottest teams down the stretch, but the Badgers have likely hit their ceiling. The points have even more value in what should be a physical grinder, but look for the Spartans to pull away again.
48-29-1 IN LAST 78 CBB ATS PICKS | +1524
3-1 IN LAST 4 WISC ATS PICKS | +190
AUBURN -3
FLORIDA VS AUBURN | 3/16 | 1:00 PM EDT
8:46 AM
Florida likely got off the NCAA Tournament bubble with an impressive comeback win Friday against LSU. Now that the hard work is over, the Gators have a tough task Saturday against an Auburn club that struggled for a while with South Carolina but pulled away with a dominant second half. Look for the Tigers' edge in firepower to be the difference Saturday.
48-29-1 IN LAST 78 CBB ATS PICKS | +1524
2-1 IN LAST 3 FLA ATS PICKS | +80
MEMPHIS @ WASHINGTON | 3/16 | 7:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:34 PM
Washington is the third-best covering team at home in the NBA. Memphis is the third-worst covering road team. My projections don't show any reason to fade those trends, especially as they nearly mirror their overall home/road records. Washington covers in nearly two-thirds of my simulations.
76-55 IN LAST 131 NBA PICKS | +1601
23-14 IN LAST 37 WAS ATS PICKS | +760
4-0 IN LAST 4 MEM ATS PICKS | +400
SAN ANTONIO -2
PORTLAND @ SAN ANTONIO | 3/16 | 8:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:29 PM
San Antonio has won six in a row and covered in five of them. The average margin of victory has been 8.0 ppg. None of the three matchups between these teams have been particularly close, and my computer model sees another near-double-digit win for the home team. San Antonio should cover the slim spread on the home court.
76-55 IN LAST 131 NBA PICKS | +1601
15-9 IN LAST 24 SA ATS PICKS | +522
5-2 IN LAST 7 POR ATS PICKS | +278
NEW ORLEANS -1
PHOENIX @ NEW ORLEANS | 3/16 | 7:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:23 PM
The Pelicans have lost four straight and didn't cover in any of them, but my projections say this is a bit of an overcorrection off that trend. They're still better than the Suns, especially at home. New Orleans wins handily, and covers in nearly 70 percent of my simulations. Pelicans are the play.
76-55 IN LAST 131 NBA PICKS | +1601
3-0 IN LAST 3 NO ATS PICKS | +300
4-3 IN LAST 7 PHO ATS PICKS | +74
EDMONTON +116
EDMONTON @ ARIZONA | 3/16 | 10:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 1:56 PM
Arizona has been the better team all season and it's at home here. But Edmonton won at Arizona earlier this year, 3-1. And the Oilers are showing signs of life, having won five of seven. My projections are nearly evenly split on who wins this game -- at this price, that makes Edmonton a worthy play.
Saturday card has a rare TIER 1 Tourney side and the Conference tournament total of the year as well as NBA ans AAF Football. NCAAB Comp play below
The Ivy League comp Play is on Yale at 3:00 eastern. Yale is home in this game and they are the clear cut best team in this league. Ivy post season favorites are 7-1 to the spread and Yale has covered 6 of 7 here vs Princeton, 12 of 15 at home overall and 5 of 7 on Saturdays. Princeton has failed to cover 5 of 6 vs .600 or better teams, 5 of 6 off a spread loss and 21 of 27 off a straight up loss including 12 of 15 off a loss of 20 or more. The Favorite in the series has covered 19 of 25. Look for Yale to get the cover. On Saturday we have our Conf. Tournament Total of the Year going along with an Executive Level TIER 1 Side and another 5* NBA power system play. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Free pick. Play on Yale, RV- GC Sports
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