Tuesday 3-26-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

Sunland Park - Race 8

1st Half Late $1 Daily Double/$1 Exacta / Trifecta/.10 Superfecta


Claiming $5,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $11,100 • Post: 3:52P
FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 26, 2018 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SOUTHERN FIRE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a la yoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BOOMER WHO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. WHOOP WHOOP: Horse has run a Good Race wit hin the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
7
SOUTHERN FIRE
5/1

5/1
6
BOOMER WHO
8/1

5/1
11
WHOOP WHOOP
3/1

6/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
LOOSEWHEELSLOUIE
1

8/1
Front-runner
67

58

66.4

51.4

32.9
2
PRIMO PRO
2

10/1
Alternator/Front-runner
81

66

63.6

50.0

40.5
8
GABBY WHO
8

15/1
Alternator/Front-runner
76

73

57.2

59.0

42.0
5
BACK SEAT HERO
5

6/1
Stalker
74

64

66.6

64.0

54.5
7
SOUTHERN FIRE
7

5/1
Stalker
81

73

63.6

67.2

60.7
11
WHOOP WHOOP
11

3/1
Stalker
79

72

52.0

65.8

62.8
9
TIZA ROLL
9

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
75

65

59.0

65.8

56.8
6
BOOMER WHO
6

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
87

82

37.8

67.2

58.7
3
STORMIN CORE
3

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
66

55

55.8

48.2

29.2
4
LAURAS INDIANMUSIC
4

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
74

66

54.4

49.6

31.6
12
SPEEDY BLUE CAR
12

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
71

69

32.5

54.4

37.4
10
IZE ON TICKLE
10

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
70

63

22.2

42.0

24.5

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs

Will Rogers Downs - Race 10

Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50) / Superfecta (.10)


Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 49 • Purse: $13,860 • Post: 5:45P
FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. FLAT OUT ROWDY is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DIBSONTHEMONEY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. RIVER BIRD: A first time start er with a trainer that has a return on investment with first time starters of at least +50 (minimum 10 starts). FLAT OUT ROWDY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
DIBSONTHEMONEY
3/1

5/2
9
RIVER BIRD
6/1

5/1
2
FLAT OUT ROWDY
4/1

5/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
11
NOTTHEBOSSOFME
11

10/1
Front-runner
0

0

79.6

25.4

9.9
12
ALISSALEEPARKER
12

8/1
Front-runner
0

0

69.4

23.4

15.9
4
DIBSONTHEMONEY
4

3/1
Stalker
62

62

52.3

57.7

53.7
3
CAN'T CATCH CAT
3

15/1
Stalker
47

30

34.8

29.4

18.4
7
KURIOUS KENNEDY
7

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

47.4

38.0

34.0
2
FLAT OUT ROWDY
2

4/1
Alternator/Trailer
73

50

41.6

35.7

30.7
6
GOSPEL ZESTY
6

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

55.2

22.0

10.0
5
D L SWIRLY GIRL
5

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

29.3

3.4

0.0
1
KIMBRO
1

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

10.0

20.4

4.4
8
WITHOUT COMPROMISE
8

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
10
HOLY
10

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0








Unknown Running Style: RIVER BIRD (6/1) [Jockey: Roman Kevin - Trainer: Gladd Andy].

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:53pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 SHADY LANE (ML=4/1)
#5 WESTERN MONGOLIA (ML=8/1)


SHADY LANE - I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a return. WESTERN MONGOLIA - This rider/trainer duo has been producing a high winning percentage, right around 39. Generally, I don't like to see a mare run against the boys like she did Feb 19th. Good to see she's back with her own sex today. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this pony is encountering an easier bunch than last time out at Turf Paradise.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 TYPICAL CAT (ML=6/5), #4 M AND M GIRL (ML=3/1), #2 TRUE TO THE TRUTH (ML=9/2),

TYPICAL CAT - This racer hasn't been on the track since March 2nd. Not even any morning activity. M AND M GIRL - Tough to back a 3 year old meeting older for the first time. Probably needs more racing experience. TRUE TO THE TRUTH - This filly recorded a speed figure in her last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #3 SHADY LANE on the win end if we get at least 6/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 63

FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 ALL THE GEORGES 7/2

# 6 WHEELBARRELBROTHRS 7/5

# 4 NONNO PIETRO 8/1

ALL THE GEORGES looks very strong to best this field. Is tough not to consider based on speed figures which have been strong - 65 avg - of late. Must be considered - I like the figures from the last contest. With a nice class rating average of 77, has one of the most favorable class advantages in this group. WHEELBARRELBROTHRS - I like the jockey on this gelding - very good chance to win the race. Will probably compete soundly in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group of horses. NONNO PIETRO - Garnered a competitive speed figure last time out.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Sam Houston - Race #5 - Post: 1:57pm - SO - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $9,500 Class Rating: 95

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 WHAT POWER (ML=5/1)
#2 SAMICEAN (GER) (ML=5/2)
#1A PEEJ (ML=7/2)
#1 HEAT FLASH (ML=7/2)
#2B GUSTNADO (ML=5/2)


WHAT POWER - I like the way this horse's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a pony coming into top form. I like to invest in this angle, a campaigner coming back off a strong effort within the last 30 days. Have to give this horse a serious look. In recent races, has posted the best Equibase speed figures on the turf at this distance. This race horse has a lot of class. A good sign in a grass race like we have today. SAMICEAN (GER) - I seem to always make money betting Asmussen horses on the grass. That barn has a dominant win percent for this distance/surface. This gelding is in nice form, having run a good race on Mar 13th, finishing first. Just look at his latest speed fig, 95. That one fits well in this bunch. You have to bet this equine at a venue he likes. There's nothing like being comfortable out on the track when it's time to race. PEEJ - I like to see consistency in a racehorse. Look at this gelding's PPs. Almost always in the money. I like to bet on this handicapping angle, a horse coming back off a nice race within the last month. This trainer brings horses to the grass ready to win, winning over 20 percent of the time under similar conditions. 74-77-83 are last three speed ratings. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this race. HEAT FLASH - Broberg is strong in turf routes. This horse should have no justifications if he doesn't win. This front runner is shortening up today. Should promote his chances to win. This gelding is in good condition, having run a good race on Mar 12th, finishing third. GUSTNADO - This trainer brings horses to the turf fit and ready to go, winning over 20 percent of the time under similar conditions. A campaigner coming back this rapidly after a nice contest is a good omen. Like the way this gelding's finish positions keep getting better. That's a sure sign of improving form. Another way to determine class is earnings per race entered. This horse has the topmost in the field. I think he'll be close at the end.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 TENSPEED (ML=9/2), #9 REAL GLITTER (ML=6/1),

TENSPEED - This gelding won last time, but probably won't do it today versus tougher competition. Looked like he was in good form on March 1st. Hasn't been near the track since then though. Not a positive sign. REAL GLITTER - Didn't hit the board on February 10th at Fair Grounds. Followed it up with another less than stellar outing.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - PEEJ - That bullet workout has this thoroughbred souped up. Morning form should transfer well when the real racing begins. Getting my cash.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 Entry is the play if we get odds of 4/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 59

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 EMMY SHIMMY 12/1

# 1 GIMME GOOSEBUMPS 5/2

# 2 ELEGANT ANGEL 9/2

My choice in here is EMMY SHIMMY and could score at a price in here. Could provide positive returns based on strong recent Speed Figures with an average of 59. She has earned competitive figures under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this group of horses. The Equibase class rating of today's race is much lower than her last affair. GIMME GOOSEBUMPS - Boasts reliable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. This selection will feel the med change - with second time Lasix today.

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R and R Totals

NHL NEW YORK ISLANDERS/COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS ‑120 u5.5

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Bruno Bragoli

NCAA Basketball TEXAS CHRISTIAN HORNED FROGS ‑4

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Vegas Consultants

NHL OTTAWA SENATORS +100

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Totals4U

Tuesday's Free Selection: Detroit Pistons/Denver Nuggets under 211 1/2

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#1 Sports

Tuesday's Free Selection: Chicago Bulls + 13 1/2

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Hawkeye Sports

Tuesday's Free Pick: Edmonton Oilers - 210

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Arthur Ralph

FREE play TUES SA Spurs -3

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Tuesday's Tip Sheet
David Schwab

Filling the gap before the NCAA Tournament’s Sweet 16 Round later this week is a trio of games on Tuesday night’s schedule in the NIT and CIT postseason competitions.

Starting in the NIT, No. 6 Wichita State will be on the road against No. 1 Indiana followed by No. 2 Creighton going on the road to face No. 1 TCU. The top matchup in the CIT pits Presbyterian on the road against Marshall in the quarterfinals.

National Invitation Tournament (NIT)

No. 6 Wichita State Shockers at No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Indiana -5 ½, 138

Betting Matchup

The Shockers started their run in the NIT with a 76-70 road victory against Furman as 4 ½-point underdogs. They closed as 6 ½-point underdogs on the road in Sunday’s 63-55 upset over Clemson.

Their only straight-up loss in the last nine games was to Cincinnati in a tight 66-63 setback as five-point underdogs in the semifinals of the AAC Tournament. Wichita State is 5-0 against the spread in its last five contests and the total has gone OVER in three of those games.

Indiana bowed out of the Big Ten Tournament in its first game with a 79-75 loss to Ohio State as a two-point favorite. The Hoosiers hammered St. Francis-Pennsylvania 89-72 in the NIT opener as heavy 16 ½-point home favorites.

They advanced to this round with a 63-60 victory against Arkansas as 5 ½-point home favorites. This was just the second time they failed to cover in their last nine games. Guard Devonte Green scored 18 points with 11 records to help pace Saturday’s win against Arkansas.

Betting Trends

-- The Shockers are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games with the total going OVER in their last six games against the Big Ten.

-- The Hoosiers have covered the closing number in five of their last six home games and the total has stayed UNDER in 11 of their last 16 games at home.

-- Wichita State won the only previous meeting SU with the total going OVER the closing line

No. 2 Creighton Bluejays at No. 1 TCU Horned Frogs (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: TCU -3 ½, 151 ½

Betting Matchup

Creighton was a one-and-done in the Big East Tournament with a 63-61 loss to Xavier as a three-point favorite. Closing as eight-point favorites in their NIT opener, the Bluejays got past Loyola-Chicago by nine points to cover.

Facing Memphis at home last Friday, they came away with a 79-67 victory as 5 ½-point favorites. Creighton heads on the road for this matchup at 4-2 ATS in its last six road games. Mitch Ballock and Marcus Zegarowski combined to score 28 points in Friday’s win.

As the top seed in their section of the NIT bracket, the Horned Frogs rolled over Sam Houston State 82-69 to cover as 12-point home favorites ahead of Sunday’s 88-72 rout of Nebraska as 4 ½-point favorites at home.

TCU is still just 3-5 ATS over its last eight games with the total going OVER in its last four outings while averaging 76 points per game. Desmond Bane went off for 30 points against Nebraska. JD Miller (15 points) was one of six players in double figures in the Horned Frogs’ NIT opener.

Betting Trends

-- The Bluejays have covered in four of their last five nonconference games and the total has stayed UNDER in their last six games on the road.

-- The Horned Frogs are a perfect 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games outside the Big 12. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight nonconference games.

-- The two split a pair of previous meetings SU with TCU going 2-0 ATS.

College Insider Tournament (CIT)

Presbyterian Blue Hose at Marshall Thundering Herd (7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Marshall -4 ½, 168

Betting Matchup

Playing out of the Big South, Presbyterian went 9-7 SU in conference play. Going on the road for its first two CIT games, the Blue Hose upset Seattle 73-69 as five-point underdogs before knocking off Robert Morris 77-70 on Sunday as slight one-point favorites.

They are 3-1 ATS in their last four games with the total going OVER or ending as a PUSH in three of those games. Francois Lewis and freshman Adam Flagler each scored 19 points in Sunday’s win. Cory Hightower had the hot hand against Seattle with 18 points.

Marshall was tied for second in Conference USA at 11-7. Following last Tuesday’s 78-73 victory against IUPUI as 7 ½-point home favorites, the Thundering Herd received a bye to the CIT quarterfinals as one of the top three seeds.

That earlier win boosted their record to 7-1 SU over their last eight games while going 5-3 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games. Marshall’s CJ Burks scored 25 points against IUPUI with Jon Elmore adding 22 more points to the winning cause.

Betting Trends

-- The Blue Hose are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against a nonconference opponent and the total has gone OVER in six of their last eight games following a SU win.

-- The Thundering Herd have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games coming off a SU win and the total has stayed UNDER in their last four home games.

-- Marshall won the only previous meeting SU with no posted betting lines.