Wednesday 4-17-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20900 Class Rating: 86

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR OKLAHOMA STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 SOCKS 8/5

# 4 INDIAN GEM 9/5

# 2 AUBREY 3/1

SOCKS has a decent shot to take this race. Has garnered strong Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. Wethey has been sizzling the last month, winning at a nifty 20 percent rate. Will almost certainly come out very solid - I have liked the way this mare has moved speedily to the lead recently. INDIAN GEM - Looks solid for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figures in dirt route races lately. Recorded a very strong Equibase Speed Fig last time out. AUBREY - Must be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Has a very solid shot for this event if you like back class.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,600 Class Rating: 40

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 COPPER TRAIL (ML=6/1)


COPPER TRAIL - Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a solid race on April 1st. I think that the addition of blinks today will keep her mind on the race at hand.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 WAFFLESORPANCAKES (ML=6/5), #1A PINK HALDER (ML=5/2), #1 SPIT'S IMAGE (ML=5/2),

WAFFLESORPANCAKES - This filly almost certainly won't be right there near the finish line. PINK HALDER - Had to show me lots more last time around the track. Never made much of an impact. Don't feel this steed will make an impact in today's event. That last speed rating was mediocre when compared with today's class figure. SPIT'S IMAGE - You always think this horse has a shot to cross the finish line in first, but she comes up short often. Mahoning Valley Race Course has not been kind to this pony.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #7 COPPER TRAIL on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

04/17/19, TAM, Race 5, 2.54 ET
(race description missing)
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 5 ($.50 minimum) (Races 5-9) - Super High 5
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 331, Win Percent 29.61, $1 ROI 1.09, For Race Category [Turf Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to TAM.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 11 Perfect Joe 15-1 Allen M Allen Lisa WL 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
099.8804 2 Jimmy D 3-1 Morales P Johns Justin 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
099.5989 9 Philo 20-1 Spieth S Padilla Tim P. SFC 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
099.0233 8 Im Chillin 4-1 Villa-Gomez H Potts Ron G. 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
098.0633 3 Animus 6-1 Mena R Ferraro M. Anthony E 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
097.7467 7 Wicked Boy 7/2 Gallardo A A Sweezey J. Kent J 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
097.6218 1 King's Dream 5-1 Martinez W Caruso Nick Joseph T 88.60 1.19 28.76 67 233
096.3406 10 Whistle Me Home 8-1 Centeno D Hemingway Ian 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
096.1696 4 Pollock 15-1 Allen. Jr. R D Harvatt Charles R. 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
095.1323 5 Rollin Smoke 20-1 Delgado D Londono Genevieve 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
093.9640 12 Gran Tepuy 30-1 Rodriguez J C Palacios Molina Jacob 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
093.9550 6 Dreams d'Argent 20-1 Garcia G Valls Whitney L. 98.60 1.21 30.04 70 233
P# 11 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 2 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 9 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 8 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 3 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 7 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 1 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not Favorite(not entry)
P# 10 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 4 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 5 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 12 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
P# 6 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 690, Win Percent 28.84, $1 ROI 0.77, For Race Category [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to TAM.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 2 Jimmy D 3-1 Morales P Johns Justin
099.3760 11 Perfect Joe 15-1 Allen M Allen Lisa WL 1.80 1.13 42.86 3 7
099.1160 3 Animus 6-1 Mena R Ferraro M. Anthony E
098.6868 7 Wicked Boy 7/2 Gallardo A A Sweezey J. Kent J
098.2816 8 Im Chillin 4-1 Villa-Gomez H Potts Ron G.
098.1395 1 King's Dream 5-1 Martinez W Caruso Nick Joseph T
097.5895 9 Philo 20-1 Spieth S Padilla Tim P. SFC
096.9542 10 Whistle Me Home 8-1 Centeno D Hemingway Ian 11.20 1.70 50.00 4 8
095.9541 4 Pollock 15-1 Allen. Jr. R D Harvatt Charles R.
094.7246 5 Rollin Smoke 20-1 Delgado D Londono Genevieve
094.4762 6 Dreams d'Argent 20-1 Garcia G Valls Whitney L.
093.7296 12 Gran Tepuy 30-1 Rodriguez J C Palacios Molina Jacob
P# 11 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Last Race OddsOn Favorite(not entry) And Not Greater Than 5 Horses Today
P# 10 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 8
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #6 - Post: 9:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,500 Class Rating: 45

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 CIVIL STONES (ML=6/1)
#2 YOU BETTER NOT (ML=4/1)
#4 CALLING INDIA (ML=9/5)


CIVIL STONES - I really like sprint horses that make a fast turnaround. Peltroche rode this racer for the initial time last out and comes right back this time. This pony coming off a solid race in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my book. As the only speedy sort in the race, I expect this mare to be long gone. YOU BETTER NOT - I like the fact that this first time starter's recent works have been over this track. Gets help from Hanagan with the addition of Lasix. CALLING INDIA - Trainer Viands moves this animal down in class ranks to face much lower class horses. Look for a nice effort racing against these lower level horses. After the race aboard this equine on Mar 29th, the jockey is going to be acquainted with the filly much better. I like the fact that this filly's last figure, 41, is tops in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 RED BEAN SONDE (ML=2/1), #3 BINN THERE (ML=5/1),

RED BEAN SONDE - Don't feel this pony will make an impact in today's event. That last speed rating was pedestrian when compared with today's class rating. BINN THERE - Finished seventh last out. Would have to get better to finish in the money in today's event. This entrant ran a run-of-the-mill speed rating last race out. She shouldn't run much better and will probably suffer defeat today running that figure.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 CIVIL STONES to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $75000 Class Rating: 100

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER SINCE OCTOBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 1 ALLOWED 4 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 BIG BIRTHDAY 5/2

# 4 PAUSEFORTHECAUSE 2/1

# 2 HONOR WAY 3/1

I've got to go with BIG BIRTHDAY. Keep this filly in your exotics as Franco has given backers some double digit dividends. Is a solid contender - given the 96 speed rating from her most recent race. Is a strong contender based on figs recorded recently under today's conditions. PAUSEFORTHECAUSE - Has very good early pace and should fare strongly against this field. With a solid 100 Equibase Speed Fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. HONOR WAY - She has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this field. A nice ROI of +66 with this jock and handler duo.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

04/17/19, KEE, Race 4, 2.45 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.01.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $81,000.
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Daily Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3-Pick 5 ($.50 min)-Superfecta - ($.10 min)-Super High Five ($1 min)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 84, Win Percent 20.24, $1 ROI 0.92, For Race Category [Turf Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to KEE.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 1 Coexistence 5-1 Beschizza A Sharp Joe FE 53.00 2.89 28.57 4 14
099.1634 6 Golden Orb 5/2 Rosario J Stidham Michael JW 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
098.9119 8 La Femme Royale 3-1 Geroux F Shirer Matt A. TL 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
098.3363 5 Rockin Ready 9/5 Velazquez J R D'Amato Philip 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
097.0304 7 Tap Tap Taparoo 3-1 Gaffalione T Toner James J. 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
096.8070 2 Focused 8-1 Ortiz J L Oliver Victoria H. S 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
095.4657 3 Fancy Fox 12-1 Mena M Calhoun W. Bret 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
093.7319 4 Tiz Taken Back 15-1 Villasana C Wylie Jerry C 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
P# 1 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] COM24 C7H04 C7L13 Compound Conditions
P# 6 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 8 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 5 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 7 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 2 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 3 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 4 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top horse. If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 171, Win Percent 29.24, $1 ROI 0.88, For Race Category [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to KEE.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 6 Golden Orb 5/2 Rosario J Stidham Michael J 52.60 1.71 40.54 15 37
099.6543 8 La Femme Royale 3-1 Geroux F Shirer Matt A. TWL 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
098.8880 7 Tap Tap Taparoo 3-1 Gaffalione T Toner James J. F 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
097.1402 1 Coexistence 5-1 Beschizza A Sharp Joe E 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
095.3132 2 Focused 8-1 Ortiz J L Oliver Victoria H. S 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
094.4143 5 Rockin Ready 9/5 Velazquez J R D'Amato Philip 82.00 1.76 16.67 9 54
092.3939 3 Fancy Fox 12-1 Mena M Calhoun W. Bret 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
090.4659 4 Tiz Taken Back 15-1 Villasana C Wylie Jerry C 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
P# 6 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 8 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 7 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 1 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 2 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 5 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 5f Workout Since
P# 3 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 4 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, April 16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 17


NY Mets @ Philadelphia

Game 901-902
April 17, 2019 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Wheeler) 15.400
Philadelphia
(Arrieta) 13.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 2
14
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+100); Over

St. Louis @ Milwaukee

Game 903-904
April 17, 2019 @ 1:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Wacha) 15.811
Milwaukee
(Burnes) 17.351
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-135); Under

Kansas City @ Chicago White Sox

Game 913-914
April 17, 2019 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Keller) 14.673
Chicago White Sox
(Giolito) 16.377
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-115); Under

Cincinnati @ LA Dodgers

Game 905-906
April 17, 2019 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Gray) 15.420
LA Dodgers
(Buehler) 16.421
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-180
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-180); Over

Boston @ NY Yankees

Game 915-916
April 17, 2019 @ 6:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Eovaldi) 14.949
NY Yankees
(Happ) 11.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+100); Over

Cleveland @ Seattle

Game 917-918
April 17, 2019 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 15.395
Seattle
(Swanson) 16.462
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-140
8
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+120); Under

Pittsburgh @ Detroit

Game 927-928
April 17, 2019 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Williams) 16.024
Detroit
(Turnbull) 14.177
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-115); Under

San Francisco @ Washington

Game 907-908
April 17, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 16.546
Washington
(Hellckson) 15.139
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+115); Under

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay

Game 919-920
April 17, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Hess) 14.160
Tampa Bay
(Stanek) 16.750
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
N/A

Chicago Cubs @ Miami

Game 909-910
April 17, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hamels) 16.154
Miami
(Alcntara) 12.661
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-160
8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-160); Under

Arizona @ Atlanta

Game 911-912
April 17, 2019 @ 7:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Godley) 16.877
Atlanta
(Gausman) 15.430
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+140); Over

Toronto @ Minnesota

Game 921-922
April 17, 2019 @ 7:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Thornton) 16.249
Minnesota
(Odorizzi) 15.146
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-145
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+125); Under

LA Angels @ Texas

Game 923-924
April 17, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Harvey) 14.777
Texas
(Lynn) 16.401
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-120
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-120); Over

Houston @ Oakland

Game 925-926
April 17, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Miley) 15.023
Oakland
(Montas) 18.245
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 3
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-105); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, April 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (10 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 6) - 1:05 PM
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 57-97 (-35.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 860-905 (+19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NY METS are 290-290 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
NY METS are 458-473 (+40.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
WHEELER is 17-9 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 42-47 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

ZACK WHEELER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
WHEELER is 4-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 7-3 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-3. (+4.2 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. NY METS since 1997
ARRIETA is 2-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.052.
His team's record is 4-7 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-2. (+4.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (9 - 8) at MILWAUKEE (12 - 6) - 1:40 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. CORBIN BURNES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 114-77 (+32.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-8 (+14.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 62-34 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-2 (+7.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 84-54 (+27.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 54-38 (+20.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 470-418 (+62.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-1 (+4.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WACHA is 4-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.449.
His team's record is 5-6 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-3.3 units)

CORBIN BURNES vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BURNES is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (5 - 11) at LA DODGERS (11 - 8) - 3:10 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 11-30 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 50-79 (-23.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 1-9 (-8.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
GRAY is 25-30 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 18-29 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 1-10 (-10.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 111-87 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 36-36 (-18.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 27-29 (-18.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 58-44 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 33-33 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 172-194 (-70.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 15-18 (-15.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GRAY is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.444.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

WALKER BUEHLER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BUEHLER is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (8 - 10) at WASHINGTON (7 - 8) - 7:05 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 60-110 (-35.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-71 (-33.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-71 (-28.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAMARDZIJA is 86-123 (-45.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 34-54 (-28.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 226-210 (+31.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 89-88 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-38 (-22.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-46 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-13 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 53-53 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 69-58 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 36-33 (-13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 (+1.7 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 2-8 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.337.
His team's record is 2-8 (-6.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-1.0 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HELLICKSON is 2-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.427.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

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ARIZONA (8 - 9) at ATLANTA (9 - 7) - 7:20 PM
ZACK GODLEY (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 32-54 (-26.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GODLEY is 2-11 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 100-81 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 23-14 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 75-51 (+26.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 25-17 (+18.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 25-13 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 34-24 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 20-25 (-14.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
GAUSMAN is 13-24 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ZACK GODLEY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GODLEY is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 7.41 and a WHIP of 1.588.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GAUSMAN is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 2.355.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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KANSAS CITY (5 - 12) at CHI WHITE SOX (7 - 9) - 2:10 PM
BRAD KELLER (R) vs. LUCAS GIOLITO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 10-30 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 1-10 (-8.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-53 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

BRAD KELLER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
KELLER is 3-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

LUCAS GIOLITO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GIOLITO is 4-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.978.
His team's record is 6-1 (+6.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

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BOSTON (6 - 12) at NY YANKEES (7 - 9) - 6:35 PM
NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 6-12 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 3-9 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BOSTON is 5-9 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
NY YANKEES are 61-49 (-29.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 94-69 (-30.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
EOVALDI is 2-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.78 and a WHIP of 0.758.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

J.A. HAPP vs. BOSTON since 1997
HAPP is 8-5 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.277.
His team's record is 13-8 (+6.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-9. (+1.9 units)

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CLEVELAND (10 - 7) at SEATTLE (13 - 7) - 6:40 PM
CARLOS CARRASCO (R) vs. ERIK SWANSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 101-81 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 46-46 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 77-57 (-16.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 53-47 (-21.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 29-38 (-22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-7 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 57-44 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 70-55 (+13.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 46-32 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 949-857 (-115.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
CARRASCO is 4-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.137.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

ERIK SWANSON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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BALTIMORE (7 - 11) at TAMPA BAY (13 - 4) - 7:10 PM
DAVID HESS (R) vs. RYAN STANEK (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

DAVID HESS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HESS is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.157.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

RYAN STANEK vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
STANEK is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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TORONTO (7 - 11) at MINNESOTA (8 - 6) - 7:40 PM
TRENT THORNTON (R) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 74-100 (-33.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 63-92 (-32.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-0 (+2.7 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

TRENT THORNTON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. TORONTO since 1997
ODORIZZI is 5-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.060.
His team's record is 6-9 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.7 units)

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LA ANGELS (8 - 9) at TEXAS (9 - 7) - 8:05 PM
MATT HARVEY (R) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HARVEY is 25-40 (-24.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-3 (+0.5 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

MATT HARVEY vs. TEXAS since 1997
HARVEY is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
LYNN is 0-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.352.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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HOUSTON (12 - 5) at OAKLAND (10 - 10) - 10:07 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. FRANKIE MONTAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 107-76 (+34.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 38-21 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 56-34 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 66-52 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 45-29 (+21.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 65-30 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-10 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 82-43 (+26.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 162-82 (+34.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 47-18 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 43-17 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
MILEY is 16-7 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 13-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 13-4 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MILEY is 5-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.40 and a WHIP of 1.190.
His team's record is 5-1 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-6. (-6.7 units)

FRANKIE MONTAS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MONTAS is 1-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.837.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

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PITTSBURGH (9 - 6) at DETROIT (8 - 8) - 6:40 PM
TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. SPENCER TURNBULL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 27-54 (-20.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 16-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 68-56 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WILLIAMS is 8-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 71-128 (-41.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. DETROIT since 1997
WILLIAMS is 2-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.615.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

SPENCER TURNBULL vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB


Wednesday, April 17


National League
Mets (10-7) @ Phillies (10-6)
Wheeler is 1-1, 7.47 in his last five starts; he is 3-0, 3.96 in four starts here. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Arrieta is 2-1, 2.25 in his first three starts; he is 2-3, 2.34 in 10 starts vs NY. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 1-1-1

Mets are 8-4 in first 12 road games; nine of their last ten games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-1-1 in last nine.

Philly split in its last ten games; six of their last seven games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-1 last seven.

Giants (8-10) @ Nationals (7-8)
Samardzija is 1-0, 2.16 in his first three starts; he is 2-8, 4.63 in 17 games (10 starts) vs Washington. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2

Hellickson threw six shutout innings in his first ’19 start; he is 2-2, 3.29 in five starts vs SF. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

Giants won four of last four games, are 3-5 on road. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1-1 in last six

Washington is 6-5 in its last 11 games; they’re 3-6 at home. Over is 9-5 in their last 14 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 4-4-1 at home

Cubs (7-9) @ Marlins (4-14)
Hamels is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts; he is 2-5, 3.14 in 10 starts here. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Alcantara is 1-1, 4.24 in his first three starts. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2

Cubs won five of their last six games (over 10-6). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 10-6

Miami lost eight of its last nine games; over is 3-2 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-2 in last five

Diamondbacks (8-9) @ Braves (9-7)
Godley is 1-1, 7.94 in his first three starts. 1-1, 7.41 in three starts vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 3-0

Gausman is 1-1, 2.84 in his first two starts; he allowed four runs in 4.2 IP in his only start vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1

Diamondbacks lost four of their last four games (over 13-4). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six.

Atlanta won five of its last eight games; five of their last seven games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-1-1 last eight

Cardinals (9-8) @ Brewers (12-6)
Wacha is 0-0, 5.28 in his first three starts; he is 2-0, 3.29 in six games (5 starts) in Miller Park. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 3-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-3 Over/under: 3-0

Burnes is 0-1, 10.05 in his first three starts; he gave up four runs in five IP vs St Louis March 31. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 3-0

Cardinals lost three of their last four games; five of their last six went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 in last five games

Milwaukee won four of last five games; they’re 7-2 at home. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-2 in last 11

Reds (5-11) vs Dodgers (11-8)
Gray is 0-2, 2.70 in his first three starts; he shut the Dodgers out the only time he face them. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 0-3

Buehler is 1-0, 8.25 in his first three starts; he allowed two runs in six IP in his only start vs Cincinnati. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 2-1

Cincinnati won four of its last seven games (under 12-4). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-5-1 in last 13.

Dodgers lost six of their last nine games; over is 7-5 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-2 in last ten

American League
Red Sox (6-11) @ New York (7-9)
Eovaldi is 0-0, 8.40 in his first three starts; he is 10-5, 3.70 in 25 starts here. Team in his starts: 3-0
5-inning record: 0-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 3-0

Happ is 0-2, 8.53 in his first three starts; he hasn’t finished the 5th inning yet. Happ is 8-4, 2.98 in 20 starts vs Boston. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-3 Over/under: 3-0

Boston lost 11 of its first 17 games (over 12-5). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 9-8

New York lost five of its last seven games (under 7-2-1 at home). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-2 in last five

Orioles (7-11) @ Tampa Bay (13-4)
Hess is 1-2, 3.71 in his first three starts; he is 1-1, 2.60 in three starts here. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 3-0

Bullpen game for Tampa Bay. Team in bullpen games: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning:0-3 Over/under: 2-1

Orioles lost ten of their last 13 games; nine of their last 12 games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 8-8-2

Tampa Bay won seven of its last eight games; under is 8-0 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2 in last six.

Blue Jays (7-11) @ Twins (8-6)
Thornton is 0-1, 4.61 in his first three starts. Team in his starts: 0-3
5-inning record: 0-1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2

Odorizzi is 0-2, 7.15 in his first three starts; he is 5-3, 3.21 in 15 starts vs Toronto. Team in his starts: 0-3
5-inning record: 0-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Blue Jays lost 10 of their last 15 games; five of their last seven games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 12-5-1

Minnesota is 3-4 in its last seven games; six of their last eight games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-3-1 last 12.

Angels (8-9) @ Rangers (9-7)
Harvey is 0-1, 10.05 in his first three starts. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 0-1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Lynn is 1-1, 2.08 in his last three starts; he is 0-2, 4.56 in four starts against the Angels. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 1-2

Angels won seven of their last ten games but lost last two (under 10-6-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-3 last 11

Texas won its last three games; over is 7-2-1 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 11-5

Royals (5-12) @ White Sox (7-9)
Keller is 2-1, 2.45 in his first four starts; he is 3-1, 2.90 in 8 games (5 starts) vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 2-2

Giolito is 2-1, 7.31 in his first three starts; he is 4-0, 2.40 in seven starts vs KC. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 3-0

Royals won three of their last five games (over 10-5-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2-1 in last nine games.

Chicago won four of its last five games (over 10-6). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 10-1-1 last 12

Astros (13-5) @ A’s (10-10)
Miley is 1-1, 3.45 in his first three starts; he is 2-1, 0.92 in three starts in Oakland. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-3 Over/under: 1-2

Montas is 2-1, 3.18 in his first three starts; he is 1-2, 5.89 in five games (3 starts) vs Houston. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 1-2

Astros won their last ten games; under is 8-3 in their road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-3 in last seven games.

Oakland won four of its last six games; they’re 6-3 at home, but 0-4 vs Houston. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-1-2 last 11

Indians (10-7) @ Mariners (13-7)
Carrasco is 1-2, 12.60 in his first three starts; he is 4-3, 4.10 in eight games (7 starts) vs Seattle. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 3-0

Swanson is making his first MLB start; he’s made 14 AAA starts (3-2, 3.61). He allowed two runs in two IP in his only MLB game. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Indians lost four of their last seven games; over is 3-2 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-4 in last 12.

Seattle lost its last five games after a 13-2 start; over is 12-4-1 in their last 17 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 12-7

Interleague
Pirates (9-6) @ Tigers (8-8)
Williams is 1-0, 2.95 in his first three starts. Team in his starts: 3-0
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 2-1

Turnbull is 0-2, 5.40 in his first three starts. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 0-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-3 Over/under: 1-2

Pirates won eight of last 11 games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-3 in last nine games.

Detroit lost five of its last six games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 11-5

Umpires
NY-Phil: Five of last seven TBarrett games stayed under.
Chi-Mia: Eight of last nine Ripperger games went over.
SF-Wsh: Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Nelson games.
StL-Mil: 10 of last 12 Lentz games went over.
Cin-LA: Home side won six of last eight Mahrley games.
Az-Atl: Under is 4-0-1 in last five Reynolds games.

Bos-NY: Favorites won 12 of last 14 Johnson games.
Balt-TB: Under is 8-5 in last 13 Bucknor games.
Tor-Min: Home side won five of last six Dreckman games.
LA-Tex: Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Rehak games.
KC-Chi: Home side won seven of last eight Visconti games.
Clev-Sea: Over is 4-1-1 in last six Muchlinski games.
Hst-A’s: Eight of last 11 LBarrett games went over.

Pitt-Det: Six of last nine Wolf games went over.

__________________________________

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 4/14
Ariz 2-7……2-9………4
Atl 1-5……6-10………7
Cubs 1-9……1-5………2
Reds 0-6……1-8……..1
Colo 0-11……0-5……0
LA 1-6……6-10…….7
Mia 1-7……2-10……..3
Milw 2-9…….5-7……..7
Mets 3-10……0-5……..3
Philly 1-5…….2-9……..3
Pitt 3-8…….3-6…….6
StL 2-8…….2-7……..4
SD 4-10…….1-7…….5
SF 0-7…….0-10…..0
Wash 2-6…….3-8……..5

Orioles 3-9…….4-7………7
Boston 2-11…..1-5……….3
W Sox 2-8…….1-6……….3
Clev 3-9…….3-6………6
Det 0-8…….3-7………3
Astros 3-10…….2-6……..5
KC 2-3…….6-12…….8
Angels 0-8……1-6………1
Twins 1-7……1-5………..2
NYY 3-6……3-9……….6
A’s 3-11…….1-8……..4
Sea 4-9…….5-9………9
TB 7-9…….3-7………10
Texas 1-5…….3-8………4
Toronto 0-6…….2-10……2

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 7-3 AL, favorites -$390 under 5-4-1
AL @ NL– 5-4 NL, favorites -$167 over 5-4
Total: 11-8 AL, favorites -$ 557 Under 9-9-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game 2 – Pacers at Celtics – 7:05 PM EST – TNT
Boston leads series, 1-0

Indiana dropped three of four matchups with Boston this season, but looked to steal Game 1 of their first round series at TD Garden. The Pacers led the Celtics, 45-38 at halftime, but Indiana went ice-cold in the third quarter by getting outscored, 26-8, while converted only two field goals. Boston finished off Indiana, 84-74 to cash as 7 ½-point favorites and easily hit the UNDER on the total of 210 ½.

The Celtics improved to 4-0 in the last four playoff series openers, led by Kyrie Irving and Marcus Morris’ 20 points apiece. Irving shot 6-of-17 in his Boston postseason debut after missing last year’s run to the Eastern Conference Finals with a knee injury. Both the Celtics and Pacers were miserable from the floor (Indiana 33%, Boston 36%), but Nate McMillan’s squad misfired on 21-of-27 attempts from three-point range, while Cory Joseph led the way with 14 points.

Boston ended a seven-game ATS slide at TD Garden, marking its first home cover since March 1 against Washington. The 74 points allowed by the Celtics marks the best defensive effort this season as Boston yielded 77 points to Chicago on December 8, while Brad Stevens’ team gave up 83 points twice to Cleveland in last year’s Eastern Conference Finals.

VegasInsider.com NBA expert Tony Mejia checks in with his take on this matchup, “It’s easy to go into Game 2 and ride the UNDER eyes-closed given the series-opening result, but keep in mind that the Pacers were only held under 90 points three times this season and bounced back to top the century mark each time they took the floor next. Since the Celtics have only had two instances where they held opponents under 100 points in consecutive games in 2019, trends favor Indiana bouncing back, but it is going to need a better game plan than it came out with to open the second half after leading at the break.”

From the Pacers’ perspective, Mejia breaks down what they need to do in order to bounce back, “Tyreke Evans will have to be more aggressive and Indiana will need Bojan Bogdanovic and Doug McDermott to shoot far better than they managed in shooting a combined 0-for-7 from 3-point range.”

Boston has won and covered in all four Game 2’s under Stevens after coming up victorious in Game 1, as all four wins came by double-digits. Indiana suffered only second ATS loss in the last 11 road playoff games dating back to 2016, while the Pacers were dealt their first postseason defeat by at least 10 points since Game 3 of the 2016 first round against the Raptors.

Game 2 – Pistons at Bucks – 8:05 PM EST – NBA TV
Milwaukee leads series, 1-0

It feels like this series was over even before it began when news broke that Pistons’ All-Star Blake Griffin was sidelined due to a lingering knee injury. Detroit didn’t have much of a chance even with Griffin available as the Pistons lost all four regular season meetings with the top-seeded Bucks, but Sunday’s Game 1 at Fiserv Forum was enough proof this series will be done quickly.

Milwaukee jumped out to a 38-18 advantage after one quarter and cruised to a 121-86 blowout over Detroit to improve to 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS the last five matchups. All five Bucks’ starters finished in double-figures, led by MVP candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 24-point, 17-rebound performance. The Bucks shot 49% from the floor and knocked down 15 three-pointers, while limiting Detroit to 38% shooting as reserve Luke Kennard led the Pistons with 21 points.

In the three losses at Fiserv Forum this season, the Bucks have outscored the Pistons by 23, 23, and 35, which doesn’t give Detroit backers a lot of faith even as hefty 15-point underdogs in Game 2. The last double-digit ‘dog that lost a first round series opener by more than 30 points and covered in Game 2 was the Mavericks in 2016, who tripped up the Thunder as 14-point underdogs, 85-84.

Game 2 – Jazz at Rockets – 9:35 PM EST – TNT

Houston leads series, 1-0

Last season, Houston needed five games to eliminate Utah in the second round of the playoffs. The Rockets continued their postseason domination of the Jazz in Sunday’s 122-90 rout to easily cash as 6 ½-point favorites. Seven Rockets posted double-figures, paced by James Harden’s 29 points, while Houston knocked down 15-of-41 three-pointers for its third consecutive victory over Utah since losing the first two meetings with the Jazz this season.

Utah was limited to 39% shooting from the floor, while getting outscored, 39-19 in the fourth quarter. Rudy Gobert led the Jazz with 22 points and 12 rebounds, but the Jazz misfired on 20 three-point attempts. Quin Snyder’s team lost each of their series openers last season, as they managed to grab Game 2 victories as underdogs against Oklahoma City in the first round and Houston in the second round.

Mejia is back with his thoughts for Game 2 at the Toyota Center, “This is definitely one of those matchups where the old cliché about the series not starting until the home team loses a game applies, but the Jazz need to at least save a little face before heading back to Salt Lake City. Donovan Mitchell and Joe Ingles shot a combined 8-for-22 while the bench finished an incredible 4-for-26, which included a pair of missed Grayson Allen layups that helped the Game 1 total remain just UNDER the closing number of 212.5. Jae Crowder and Royce O’Neale have been reliable all season and must be better. Considering the likelihood that they bounce back, the OVER may be the way to go in this one.”

All three matchups in Houston have finished UNDER the total, as the oddsmakers did not move off the 212 ½ number from Game 1. The Rockets moved to 7-1-1 to the UNDER in the past nine games at the Toyota Center, while improving to 6-0-1 ATS the last seven home contests. The Jazz were riding a five-game ATS hot streak as a road underdog prior to Sunday’s blowout loss, as Utah owns a 9-4 ATS mark under Snyder in the playoffs when receiving points away from Salt Lake City.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

537Indiana -538 Boston
BOSTON is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games in playoff games over the last 2 seasons.

539Detroit -540 Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

541Utah -542 Houston
UTAH is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 17


Indiana @ Boston

Game 537-538
April 17, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
116.191
Boston
121.586
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 5 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 7 1/2
203
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+7 1/2); Under

Detroit @ Milwaukee

Game 539-540
April 17, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
113.588
Milwaukee
124.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 11
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 15
212
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+15); Over

Utah @ Houston

Game 541-542
April 17, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
121.589
Houston
133.113
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-6 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, April 17

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INDIANA (48 - 35) at BOSTON (50 - 33) - 4/17/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 99-79 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 69-54 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 92-78 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (41 - 42) at MILWAUKEE (61 - 22) - 4/17/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 41-29 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 38-27 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
MILWAUKEE is 427-494 ATS (-116.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 398-473 ATS (-122.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 92-125 ATS (-45.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 10-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (50 - 33) at HOUSTON (54 - 29) - 4/17/2019, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 40-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
UTAH is 65-51 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 10-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 12-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons