Wednesday 4-17-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #46
    NBA

    Wednesday, April 17


    Indiana was up 7 at half Sunday, then got outscored 46-29 in 2nd half, scoring 8 points in third quarter of brickfest where both teams shot under 37%. Pacers are 4-10 in its last 14 games overall; they covered three of last four road games. Celtics won seven of their last nine games; they’re 1-8 vs spread in their last nine home games. Over is 11-6 in in their last 17 games. Pacers lost their last four games with Boston; they’re 3-3 vs spread in its last six visits to Beantown. Seven of last 11 series games went over. Pacers are in playoffs for 8th time in nine years; they lost their first round series the last three years.

    Milwaukee crushed Detroit by 35 in Game 1; game was 70-43 at the half. No one on the Bucks played more than 25:00. Unless Blake Griffin can play, Pistons are lost cause here. Bucks won nine of last 11 games with Detroit; under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games. Pistons are 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven visits to Milwaukee. Detroit is 4-5 in its last nine games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Bucks won eight of last 11 games; six of their last eight games went over. Milwaukee is in playoffs for 3rd year in row; they lost last eight first round series- their last series win was in ’01.

    Houston made 15-41 on arc in easy 122-90 Game 1 win over Utah; Jazz shot only 39%. Utah won eight of last 11 games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of last three Jazz games went over the total. Rockets won/covered seven of its last eight games; they’re 6-0-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 3-2-1 in their last six games. Houston won eight of its last 11 games with the Jazz; six of last eight series games stayed under. Jazz is 3-2-1 vs spread in its last six visits to Houston. All five Rocket starters scored in double figures in Game 1; Harden had “only” 29, a good sign for Houston.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369801

      #47
      NBA

      Wednesday, April 17


      Trend Report

      Indiana Pacers
      Indiana is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
      Indiana is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
      Indiana is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 12 games on the road
      Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
      Indiana is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Boston
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
      Boston Celtics
      Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston's last 17 games
      Boston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
      Boston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
      Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
      Boston is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Indiana
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana

      Detroit Pistons
      Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
      Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
      Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      Detroit is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
      Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
      Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
      Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
      Milwaukee Bucks
      Milwaukee is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
      Milwaukee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      Milwaukee is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
      Milwaukee is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
      Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Detroit
      Milwaukee is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Detroit
      Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

      Utah Jazz
      Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
      Utah is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
      Utah is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
      Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      Utah is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Houston
      Utah is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Houston
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Houston
      Utah is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Houston
      Utah is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Houston
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
      Houston Rockets
      Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
      Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Houston's last 21 games
      Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games at home
      Houston is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
      Houston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Utah
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Utah
      Houston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
      Houston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Utah
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369801

        #48
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369801

          #49
          45Boston -46 Toronto
          TORONTO is 19-20 ATS (-16.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

          47Nashville -48 Dallas
          NASHVILLE is 16-7 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the current season.

          49Calgary -50 Colorado
          CALGARY is 23-34 ATS (-19.6 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369801

            #50
            NHL
            Dunkel

            Wednesday, April 17



            Boston @ Toronto

            Game 45-46
            April 17, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Boston
            10.590
            Toronto
            11.707
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Toronto
            by 1
            7
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Toronto
            -125
            6
            Dunkel Pick:
            Toronto
            (-125); Over

            Nashville @ Dallas


            Game 47-48
            April 17, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Nashville
            11.245
            Dallas
            12.866
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Dallas
            by 1 1/2
            3
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Dallas
            -115
            5
            Dunkel Pick:
            Dallas
            (-115); Under

            Calgary @ Colorado


            Game 49-50
            April 17, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Calgary
            9.412
            Colorado
            10.878
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Colorado
            by 1 1/2
            5
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Calgary
            -115
            6
            Dunkel Pick:
            Colorado
            (-105); Under
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369801

              #51
              NHL
              Long Sheet

              Wednesday, April 17


              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              BOSTON (50-26-0-9, 109 pts.) at TORONTO (48-29-0-8, 104 pts.) - 4/17/2019, 7:08 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              BOSTON is 5-11 ATS (-8.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
              TORONTO is 21-8 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
              TORONTO is 22-18 ATS (-7.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
              TORONTO is 22-24 ATS (+46.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
              TORONTO is 8-13 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              TORONTO is 13-9 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
              TORONTO is 13-9-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
              11 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              NASHVILLE (49-30-0-6, 104 pts.) at DALLAS (44-33-0-8, 96 pts.) - 4/17/2019, 8:08 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              NASHVILLE is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
              NASHVILLE is 13-7 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              NASHVILLE is 11-6 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
              NASHVILLE is 11-6-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
              8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              CALGARY (51-26-0-8, 110 pts.) at COLORADO (40-31-0-14, 94 pts.) - 4/17/2019, 10:08 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              CALGARY is 4-13 ATS (-10.9 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
              CALGARY is 21-13 ATS (+6.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
              CALGARY is 18-11 ATS (+30.9 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
              CALGARY is 122-121 ATS (+273.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
              COLORADO is 40-45 ATS (-59.4 Units) in all games this season.
              COLORADO is 11-20 ATS (-10.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              CALGARY is 9-3 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
              CALGARY is 9-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
              6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369801

                #52
                NHL

                Wednesday, April 17


                Trend Report

                Boston Bruins
                Boston is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
                Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
                Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto
                Boston is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Toronto
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
                Toronto Maple Leafs
                Toronto is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games
                Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games
                Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games at home
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
                Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
                Toronto is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Boston
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

                Nashville Predators
                Nashville is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games
                Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Nashville's last 15 games
                Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nashville's last 9 games on the road
                Nashville is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
                Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
                Nashville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                Dallas Stars
                Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas's last 21 games
                Dallas is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games at home
                Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
                The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games at home
                Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Nashville
                Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
                Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville
                Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Nashville

                Calgary Flames
                Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
                Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games on the road
                Calgary is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Colorado
                Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
                Colorado Avalanche
                Colorado is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
                Colorado is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Colorado's last 18 games
                Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
                Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                Colorado is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
                Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369801

                  #53
                  Mark Wilson

                  Apr 17 '19, 6:40 PM in 14m
                  MLB | Pirates vs Tigers
                  Play on: Tigers +102 at 5Dimes

                  Free Play on Tigers +102
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369801

                    #54
                    Dustin Hawkins

                    Apr 17 '19, 6:40 PM in 14m
                    MLB | Pirates vs Tigers
                    Play on: Tigers +103 at pinnacle

                    1 Dimer on Tigers +103
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369801

                      #55
                      Steve Janus

                      Apr 17 '19, 6:40 PM in 14m
                      MLB | Indians vs Mariners
                      Play on: Mariners +124 at GTBets

                      1* Free Sharp Play on Mariners +124
                      My money is on the Mariners to cash in a win at home against the Indians. Seattle has lost 5 straight after their red-hot start to the year, but this is a great spot for them to get back on track at the plate. Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco has given up 14 runs on 22 hits in a mere 10 innings of work over 3 starts. In his 2 road starts this year, he's given up 6 runs to the Twins in 4 1/3 and 6 to the Royals in less than an inning. Bet the Mariners +124!
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369801

                        #56
                        Jack Jones

                        Apr 17 '19, 6:40 PM in 14m
                        MLB | Pirates vs Tigers
                        Play on: Pirates -104 at betonline

                        Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Pittsburgh Pirates -104
                        I’m back on the Pirates Wednesday after cashing them in as my free play Tuesday. These are two teams going in opposite directions as the Pirates are 8-3 in their last 11 games overall, while the Tigers have lost four straight coming in.
                        Pittsburgh has a huge edge on the mound today behind Trevor Williams, who is picking up where he left off last season with a dominant second half. Williams has gone 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in three starts this season. He is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.615 WHIP in two career starts against Detroit.
                        Spencer Turnbull has been roughed up this season for the Tigers. He is 0-2 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.533 WHIP in three starts this season despite facing three light-hitting lineups in the Blue Jays, Royals and Indians.
                        Pittsburgh is 20-4 in its last 24 vs. AL teams that score 3.9 or fewer runs per game. The Tigers are hitting .203 and scoring just 2.7 runs per game this season. It’s a minor miracle they are .500 on the season with those numbers. Bet the Pirates Wednesday.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369801

                          #57
                          Totals Guru

                          Apr 17 '19, 6:40 PM in 14m
                          MLB | PIT vs DET
                          Play on: OVER 8 -110

                          Free Total Annihilator On Pirates vs Tigers over 8 -110
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369801

                            #58
                            Larry Ness

                            Apr 17 '19, 6:40 PM in 14m
                            MLB | Pirates vs Tigers
                            Play on: Pirates -107 at BMaker

                            My 1* Free Play is on the Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 EST).
                            The Tigers have lost four straight and I think they’re ripe for the picking today as well.
                            Detroit has scored four or fewer runs in 14 of its 16 games thus far.
                            That doesn’t bode well for Tigers’ starter Spencer Turnbull (0-2, 4.80 ERA) who makes his eighth major league appearance and seventh career start and who is still looking for his first major league victory.
                            That leaves the door open for the Pirates and Trevor Williams (1-0, 2.45) who has gone at least six innings in each of his first three starts, most recently holding the Nats to two runs over seven innings of work.
                            Also note that in two career starts Williams has pretty much “owned” Detroit by giving up no runs and one hit over 13 innings.
                            I think the writing is on the wall and a major blowout is in the cards. Consider the visiting side in this one.
                            Good luck…Larry
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369801

                              #59
                              Sal Michaels

                              Apr 17 '19, 7:05 PM in 39m
                              NBA | Pacers vs Celtics
                              Play on: Celtics -7 -110 at YouWager

                              Free Play on Celtics -7 -110
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369801

                                #60
                                Jimmy Boyd

                                Apr 17 '19, 7:05 PM in 39m
                                NBA | Pacers vs Celtics
                                Play on: OVER 203 -110

                                1* Free NBA Pick on Pacers/Celtics OVER 203
                                After watching Boston and Indiana combine for a mere 158 points in the Celtics 84-74 win, I think a lot of people are going to be inclined to take the UNDER in Game 2 with a total that's 40+ more points than what they just had.
                                Defense is definitely going to be a staple in this series, but I think we see some regressing back to the mean in Game 2 and a much higher scoring game that finishes past the mark. Keep in mind that each of the last 3 meetings between these two saw at least 214 combined points.
                                OVER is 14-3 in the Pacers last 17 after scoring less than 75 points and 5-1 in their last 6 off a SU loss. OVER is 19-8 in last 27 home games off a home win by 10 or more and 14-4 in their last 18 games played in April. Take the OVER!
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