Thursday 4-18-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jimmy Boyd

Apr 18 '19, 8:05 PM in 5h
NBA | 76ers vs Nets
Play on: 76ers -2½ -110 at sportsbook

1* Free NBA Pick on Philadelphia 76ers -2.5
Love the value here with Philadelphia as a small road favorite in Game 3 against the Nets. Philadelphia didn't show up with the right mindset for Game 1 and got beat by 9 as a 8-point favorite. 76ers responded by blowing out Brooklyn by 22 in Game 2.
While the series shifts to Brooklyn and the Nets will certainly be up for a home playoff game, but Philadelphia is the better team and will be extremely motivated to take back control of the series and not put themselves in a must-win situation in Game 4.
Nets are just 3-15 ATS last 18 at home after playing 2 straight against a division opponent. There's also a big time system in play. Road favorites have covered 62% (78-48) when coming off a win by 20 or more and playing in a game involving two teams who average 102+ points/game. Take Philadelphia!

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Cole Faxon

Apr 18 '19, 8:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Dodgers vs Brewers
Play on: Dodgers -106 at 5Dimes

FREE PLAY on Dodgers -106

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Dennis Macklin

Apr 18 '19, 8:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Dodgers vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers +104 at betonline

DMack's Free Play for Thursday, April 18, 2019 is on the Milwaukee Brewers (Zach Davies Listed)
Milwaukee just won this series in Los Angeles and tonight faces the in and out Jose Urias. The homies counter with Zach Davies who is a rock solid 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA in three starts in 2019 and 3-1 with a 2.30 ERA in five starts against the Bums. Milwaukee still mashing and have the lights out closer at the end. Wrong favorite.

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Jack Jones

Apr 18 '19, 8:40 PM in 5h
MLB | Phillies vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +103 at betonline

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Colorado Rockies +103
I like the fact that Colorado had yesterday off, while the Philadelphia Phillies played yesterday and then had to fly cross country to Denver overnight. The Rockies are fresh and rejuvenated after winning three in a row coming in.
I think we are getting Kyle Freeland at a great value today as a home underdog because he’s off to a sub-par start this season. He is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA through four starts. But we know he’s better than this, and he proved that last year by going 17-7 with a 2.85 ERA, which is almost unheard of for a Colorado pitcher to have a sub-3.00 ERA when they pitch half their games at Coors Field.
Zach Eflin is 2-1 with a 3.94 ERA this season, but he’s now just 17-19 with a 5.04 ERA in his career. He is getting way too much respect from the books in this matchup. Eflin is also 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his two road starts this season. He gave up 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 innings in a 3-10 loss at Miami in his last start, and the Marlins have a terrible lineup. Eflin is 1-2 with a 9.20 ERA and 1.977 WHIP in three career starts against Colorado as well.
The Phillies are 1-7 in Eflin’s last eight road starts. Philadelphia is 7-19 in its last 26 road games. The Rockies are 13-3 in Freeland’s last 16 home starts. Colorado is 8-1 in Freeland’s last nine home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Rockies Thursday.

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Info Plays

Apr 18 '19, 9:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Nuggets vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs -4 -109 at GTBets

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Spurs -4 -109

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Dave Price

Apr 18 '19, 10:07 PM in 7h
MLB | Mariners vs Angels
Play on: Angels -115 at Mirage

Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
1* on Los Angeles Angels -115
The Key: The Mariners have come back down to reality in a hurry by losing 6 straight coming in. Their struggles will continue tonight in Los Angeles. The Angels are 6-1 at home this season. They’ll get after Felix Hernandez, who is 1-1 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 3 starts for the Mariners. Hernandez is far past his prime and hasn’t fared well recently against the Angels. He is 1-2 with a 7.90 ERA in his last 3 starts against them, yielding 12 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings. Chris Stratton is 7-0 in home games when playing against a team that wins 54% to 62% of their games over the last 3 seasons. Stratton is 10-1 in home night games over the last 3 years as well. Take Los Angeles.

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Totals Guru

Apr 18 '19, 10:10 PM in 7h
MLB | CIN vs SDG
Play on: UNDER 7½ -115

Free Total Annihilator On Reds vs Padres under 7½ -115

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Kenny Walker

Apr 18 '19, 10:35 PM in 7h
NBA | Warriors vs Clippers
Play on: Clippers +9 -110 at sportsbook

Free Pick on Clippers

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Mark Wilson

Apr 18 '19, 10:35 PM in 7h
NBA | Warriors vs Clippers
Play on: OVER 236 -102

Free Play on Warriors vs Clippers over 236 -102

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Steve Janus

Apr 18 '19, 10:35 PM in 7h
NBA | Warriors vs Clippers
Play on: Clippers +8½ -110 at sportsbook

1* Free Sharp Play on Clippers +8½ -110
My money is on the Clippers to ride the momentum from their 31-point come-from-behind win to at least a cover at home in Game 3. Golden State will no longer have the services of Cousins, who was lost for the season to a quad injury and Beverly seems to be in Durant's head. LA is going to do whatever it takes to make a game of this. If they shoot well they can definitely steal a win here, but all we need is for them to lose by 8 or less. Bet the Clippers +8.5!

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Tim Michael

Apr 18 '19, 10:35 PM in 7h
NBA | Warriors vs Clippers
Play on: UNDER 237 -101

T.M. Selection: Warriors/Clippers Game 3 under (FREE PLAY)
I had a 10* play on the “over” in Game 2, part of a 3-0 NBA playoff sweep on Monday night. In Game 3 I think that with the shift in venue that we’re going to see a much tighter and ultimately lower-scoring defensive battle. LA has the firepower to match pace with the Warriors, as evidenced by its ridiculous come from behind 135-131 victory in Game 2. Game 1 was a much lower-scoring game though in the Warriors 121-104 win. For Game 3 I think we’ll see a similar final combined result as what we saw in Game 1. Additionally note that GS has seen the total go under in five of six already this year in trying to revenge a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite of seven or more points, while LA has seen the total dip under the number in eight of its last ten off an upset win as an underdog. This number is just a little high in my opinion.
T.M. Prediction: 118-114 Warriors.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 1

W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)


Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $10,800 • Post: 6:00P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * WESTERN TRAJECTORY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff . Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. WARRIOR RIDGE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. EQUUS NOVUS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaste r Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. KONKIE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3
WESTERN TRAJECTORY
5/2

7/2
1
WARRIOR RIDGE
7/2

6/1
5
EQUUS NOVUS
9/5

7/1
2
KONKIE
2/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
KONKIE
2

2/1
Front-runner
64

58

88.4

48.8

42.8
5
EQUUS NOVUS
5

9/5
Front-runner
64

57

85.0

59.6

55.6
3
WESTERN TRAJECTORY
3

5/2
Front-runner
73

67

76.0

64.6

61.6
1
WARRIOR RIDGE
1

7/2
Front-runner
76

65

65.2

60.6

55.1
4
GRAMS HALO
4

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
67

62

23.8

46.4

36.4

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

Lone Star Park - Race 2

Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) $.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) / Daily Double


Maiden Claiming $20,000 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 7:08P
(PLUS UP TO $2,400 OPEN ATB) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. TEXAS BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE. IF THE RACE IS FOR TWO YEAR OLDS, IT WILL BE RUN AT SEVEN FURLONGS.).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SUN BEACH is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * BERNARDIAN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TRIP CANDY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. THUNDER AND RAIN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. O SOLE MIO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
6
BERNARDIAN
4/5

3/1
1
TRIP CANDY
5/1

6/1
7
THUNDER AND RAIN
4/1

8/1
2
O SOLE MIO
6/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
SUN BEACH
3

12/1
Front-runner
0

0

14.2

25.6

12.6
2
O SOLE MIO
2

6/1
Stalker
67

49

56.0

52.8

45.8
1
TRIP CANDY
1

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
66

60

39.6

54.5

49.5
7
THUNDER AND RAIN
7

4/1
Trailer
64

60

51.3

54.8

49.3
6
BERNARDIAN
6

4/5
Alternator/Trailer
78

75

55.9

58.8

55.3
4
TINSELTOWN KITTEN
4

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

35.6

46.1

37.6
8
IMALLABOUTIT
8

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

32.2

36.0

23.0
5
WILDFIRE STORM
5

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

28.4

37.0

22.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hawthorne

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 88

FOR ILLINOIS REGISTERED, CONCEIVED AND/OR FOALED. THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $9,800 ONCE OR A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (PREFERENCE BY


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 IM THE BEST I KNOW 5/1

# 7 OMAR ATTACK 6/1

# 5 DEMAND RANSOM 10/1

IM THE BEST I KNOW is the best wager in this race. Marquez has been on fire the last month, winning at a nifty 31 percent rate. Marquez's ROI over the last month automatically makes this pony a strong contender. OMAR ATTACK - Should be given a shot - I like the figs from the last affair. DEMAND RANSOM - Has quite good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this competition. The average class fig alone makes this entrant a solid choice.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

04/18/19, GP, Race 5, 3.15 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000.
Claiming Price $6,250 (Races where entered for $5,000 or less not considered in allowances). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.20 Rainbow Pick 6 (Races 5-10) / $2 HRR - (RED 5,6: 4/5. BLK 1,3,7,8: 6/5. GRN 2,4,9: 12/1.)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 477, Win Percent 28.72, $1 ROI 0.81, For Race Category [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPS.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 5 Rosepath 8-1 Rios J M Delgado Alexis EW 5.80 1.06 40.00 18 45
099.2291 3 Si Te Vas 3-1 Lopez P Jolley Emmet J 3.40 1.01 32.89 50 152
099.0276 6 Is That Magic 6/5 Vasquez M A Vinson John G FL 14.20 1.14 30.61 15 49
097.1388 1 Unrivaled Soul 6-1 Rodriguez I O Camano Alexis C
096.4139 4 Trading Cents 20-1 Meneses M Abarrio Juan Carlos Pe T 3.40 1.01 32.89 50 152
096.1529 7 Perfect State(b+) 15-1 Mitchell R Black Dolphin S
095.6205 8 Little Neck 8-1 Cruz M R Cadahia Benny C.
094.1305 2 Zarabanda 20-1 Torres C A Sano Antonio
093.7804 9 Me Gusta Papi(b-) 30-1 Zapico S Mejia Jaime 27.40 2.52 44.44 4 9
P# 5 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Best Earnings and Workouts
P# 3 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse 3YO In 3UP Race
P# 6 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 3rd Race After 45 Days Off
P# 4 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse 3YO In 3UP Race
P# 9 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Blinkers Off From On