Thursday 4-25-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers

Apr 25 '19, 7:08 PM in 10h
NHL | Blue Jackets vs Bruins
Play on: Bruins -149 at betonline

The set-up: Yes Columbus somehow managed to dispatch the Lightning in four games in Round 1 and it comes in rested compared to Boston, which needed seven games to advance past the Leafs. But I think the extra time off will in fact be detrimental to the Blue Jackets’ momentum. Columbus was one of the best down the stretch of the regular season and that momentum got carried over vs. the Lightning, but I think it finally comes out flat here. The Bruins come in off an exhausting series, but they’ve done well against Columbus goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky, as he’s just 3-8 with a 3.90 GAA lifetime vs. Boston. The Bruins were 31-14 at home and were led by Tuukka Rask, who is 15-8 with a 2.32 GAA in Boston and who is 9-6 with a 2.67 GAA lifetime vs. Columbus.
The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Columbus is still only 18-38 in its last 56 as a road underdog in the +110 to +150 range, while Boston is 29-11 in its last 40 as a favorite in the -150 to -200 range. Consider the home side in Game 1.
1* FREE PLAY BRUINS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tim Michael

Apr 25 '19, 8:05 PM in 11h
NBA | Nuggets vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs -2½ -110 at 5Dimes

T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (1* FREE PLAY)
It’s a BIG game between the Nuggets and the Spurs in Game 6 in San Antonio. Both teams have looked great in this series and each has looked poor as well. With their backs against the wall though, I think the Spurs offer great value to extend this series to a decisive Game 7. The Spurs have been better at home all year than on the road and that matters here. So does the veteran leadership that San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich brings to the table. Denver has exceeded expectations this season, but it definitely struggled with consistency down the stretch. Note that the Nuggets are just 18-25 ATS on the road this year, while the Spurs are 14-5 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. Buckle up boys, we’re heading to a Game 7!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Wilson

Apr 25 '19, 9:07 PM in 12h
MLB | Yankees vs Angels
Play on: Angels +110 at pinnacle

Free Play on Angels +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ricky Tran

Apr 25 '19, 9:38 PM in 13h
NHL | Stars vs Blues
Play on: Stars +136 at pinnacle

Ricky's 1* Free Play on the Dallas Stars.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant.
- Stars’ net minder Ben Bishop. Note that only one other regular goaltender (the Islanders’ Robin Lehner) has a higher save percentage in the first round than Bishop’s .945. Bishop stopped 47 of 48 shots in his team’s 2-1 OT win over the favored Predators in his most recent and I think he offers great value to carry his team to another win in Game 1 vs. St. Louis.
The verdict: With the Flames, Predators and Jets all eliminated, it’s a free for all in the Western Conference. The Blues are riding a hot rookie goaltender (Jordan Binnington), but I’ll take his veteran counterpart in Game 1. Also note that the Stars have to be feeling pretty confident here after taking three of four from the Blues in the regular season. Great value, consider Dallas on Thursday night!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, April 25

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901Arizona -902 Pittsburgh
ARIZONA is 64-46 SU (22 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

903La Dodgers -904 Chicago Cubs
LA DODGERS are 3-14 SU (-12.1 Units) vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

905Atlanta -906 Cincinnati
ATLANTA is 43-19 SU (22.1 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

907Miami -908 Philadelphia
MIAMI is 8-27 SU (-21.7 Units) when playing on Thursday in the last 3 seasons.

909Detroit -910 Boston
BOSTON is 3-14 SU (-12.9 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in the current season.

911Cleveland -912 Houston
HOUSTON is 7-20 SU (-17.5 Units) in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons.

913Ny Yankees -914 La Angels
LA ANGELS are 13-31 SU (-23.7 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons.

915Texas -916 Seattle
TEXAS are 7-18 SU (-15 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, April 25


National League
Braves (12-11) @ Reds (9-14)
Teheran is 2-2, 5.61 in five starts; he is 2-0, 5.73 in two starts at Cincinnati. Team in his starts: 3-2
5-inning record: 3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-5 Over/under: 5-0

Castillo is 2-1, 1.47 in five starts; he is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 3-2
5-inning record: 3-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5 Over/under: 1-4

Braves won five of last seven road games; over is 7-3 in their last ten games overall. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-4-1 last 11.

Cincinnati won four of last six games; they’re 5-5 at home. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-1-1 at home.

Dodgers (15-11) @ Cubs (12-10)
Stripling is 1-1, 3.07 in five starts. Team in his starts: 3-2
5-inning record: 2-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-5 Over/under: 2-3

Lester was 1-0, 2.57 in three starts before going on DL; he is 4-3, 3.35 in nine starts vs LA. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 3-0

Dodgers won seven of their last ten games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven.

Cubs won seven of their last eight games; five of their last seven games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven.

Diamondbacks (14-11) @ Pirates (12-10)
Greinke is 3.16 in his last four starts; he is 2-2, 5.32 in four starts in Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 4-1
5-inning record: 1-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4 Over/under: 4-1

Taillon is 1-0, 1.50 in two home starts; he is 1-0, 2.57 in one start vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 3-0
5-inning record: 2-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 0-3

Diamondbacks won eight of their last ten games; six of their last eight games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 10-4 last 14.

Pittsburgh lost its last four games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-2 last nine.

Marlins (7-17) @ Phillies (13-11)
Smith is 2-0, 2.35 in four starts; he is 1-1, 3.00 in two starts vs Philly. Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 1-1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-4 Over/under: 2-2

Nola is 2-0, 7.20 in five starts; Philly scored 38 runs in those five games. He is 3-4, 3.71 in 10 starts vs Miami. Team in his starts: 2-3
5-inning record: 3-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-5 Over/under: 5-0

Marlins lost 11 of last 15 games; they’re 2-6 on road. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1-2 on road.

Phillies lost five of their last seven games; six of their last eight games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3 last eight.

American League
Tigers (12-11) @ Red Sox (10-15)
Zimmerman is 0-3, 9.88 in his last three starts; he is 2-1, 4.45 in five starts vs Boston. Team in his starts: 2-3
5-inning record: 0-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-5 Over/under: 3-2

Porcello is 0-3, 11.12 in four starts; he is 1-0, 2.25 in three starts vs Detroit. Team in his starts: 1-3
5-inning record: 1-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4 Over/under: 4-0

Tigers lost seven of their last 11 games; under is 9-3 in their road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-1 last seven.

Boston won four of its last six games; they’re 4-5 at home. Six of their last ten games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: five of last six under.

Indians (13-10) @ Astros (15-9)
Bauer is 2-1, 2.20 in five starts; he is 7-0, 3.18 in eight starts vs Houston. Team in his starts: 3-2
5-inning record: 3-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5 Over/under: 2-3

Cole is 1-3, 6.44 in five starts; he is 1-0, 3.60 in two starts vs Cleveland. Team in his starts: 2-3
5-inning record: 1-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-5 Over/under: 2-3

Cleveland won five of its last eight games; under is 7-5 in their road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-2 in last five.

Houston lost four of its last seven games; they’re 8-1 at home. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 in last eight.

New York (14-10) @ Angels (9-16)
Tanaka is 1-1, 3.04 in his last four starts; he is 3-0, 1.59 in six starts against the Angels. Team in his starts: 2-3
5-inning record: 3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5 Over/under: 1-3-1

Cahill is 1-2, 5.47 in five starts; he is 1-4, 10.09 in seven games (6 starts) vs New York. Team in his starts: 1-4
5-inning record: 2-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5 Over/under: 2-3

New York won its last six games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-4 on road.

Angels lost ten of last 12 games; they’re 7-6 at home. Over is 7-3 in their last ten home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 14-4 in last 18.

Rangers (12-11) @ Mariners (16-11)
Sampson is 0-0, 9.72 in two starts. Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 2-0

Gonzales is 4-0, 4.03 in six starts; he is 3-1, 3.25 in five starts vs Texas. Team in his starts: 5-1
5-inning record: 5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-6 Over/under: under 3-0-1 last four

Rangers lost their last three games; they’re 2-7 on road. Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 17-6.

Mariners lost their last three games; under is 4-1 in their last five home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-0 last five at home.

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 4/24
Ariz 5-154……2-9…….7
Atl 4-10……6-12……10
Cubs 2-11……2-10………4
Reds 4-12……3-10……..7
Colo 1-13……2-12……..3
LA 2-12……8-12……10
Mia 1-9……3-15……..4
Milw 3-12…….6-13……9
Mets 5-15……0-8……..5
Philly 3-12…….3-11……..6
Pitt 3-9…….4-12………7
StL 3-10…..2-13……..5
SD 4-10……1-15…….5
SF 0-15……0-10……0
Wash 4-12…….4-10……..8

Orioles 4-11…….5-13…….9
Boston 2-15…..1-9……….3
W Sox 3-14…….1-8………4
Clev 4-11…….6-11……..10
Det 0-11…….3-12…….3
Astros 5-14…….2-9……..7
KC 4-12…….6-12…….10
Angels 1-10……2-13………3
Twins 6-14……2-9……….8
NYY 5-10……6-14………11
A’s 3-11…….3-15……..6
Sea 5-15…….5-11…….10
TB 7-9…….7-15………14
Texas 2-8…….5-12………7
Toronto 0-11…….2-12…….2

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 9-8 AL, favorites -$941 over 8-8-1
AL @ NL– 7-4 NL, favorites +$33 over 6-5
Total: 15-13 NL, favorites -$908 Under 14-13-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, April 25

Trend Report

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
Arizona is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games when playing Arizona
Pittsburgh is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 11 games
LA Dodgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of LA Dodgers's last 22 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Chi Cubs is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Chi Cubs's last 25 games at home
Chi Cubs is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chi Cubs's last 22 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

Atlanta Braves
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 12 games at home
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Miami Marlins
Miami is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Miami is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games on the road
Miami is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Miami
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games on the road
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Boston's last 20 games at home
Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Houston
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Houston
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 18 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Astros
Houston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston's last 18 games when playing at home against Cleveland

New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
NY Yankees is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Yankees's last 17 games on the road
NY Yankees is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing LA Angels
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Yankees's last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
LA Angels is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
LA Angels is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home
LA Angels is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
LA Angels is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
LA Angels is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Angels's last 15 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Texas Rangers
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games
Texas is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Texas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas's last 15 games on the road
Texas is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Seattle
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Texas is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Seattle is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
Seattle is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Texas
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, April 25


Arizona @ Pittsburgh

Game 901-902
April 25, 2019 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Greinke) 17.971
Pittsburgh
(Taillon) 14.444
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 3 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-125
7
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+105); Under

LA Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

Game 903-904
April 25, 2019 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Strpling) 16.620
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 15.400
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
N/A

Atlanta @ Cincinnati

Game 905-906
April 25, 2019 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Teheran) 15.158
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 16.053
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-135); Over

Miami @ Philadelphia

Game 907-908
April 25, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Smith) 13.499
Philadelphia
(Nola) 14.601
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-200
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-200); Under

Detroit @ Boston

Game 909-910
April 25, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 13.752
Boston
(Porcello) 14.705
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-190
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-190); Under

Cleveland @ Houston

Game 911-912
April 25, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bauer) 14.357
Houston
(Cole) 17.453
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
N/A

NY Yankees @ LA Angels

Game 913-914
April 25, 2019 @ 9:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 14.766
LA Angels
(Cahill) 15.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+100); Under

Texas @ Seattle

Game 915-916
April 25, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Hearn) 15.110
Seattle
(Gonzales) 14.292
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-165
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+145); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (14 - 11) at PITTSBURGH (12 - 10) - 12:35 PM
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 5-14 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 11-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 9-3 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games in April games this season.
ARIZONA is 8-1 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-0 (+3.3 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GREINKE is 8-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.54 and a WHIP of 1.034.
His team's record is 9-4 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-3. (+6.8 units)

JAMESON TAILLON vs. ARIZONA since 1997
TAILLON is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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LA DODGERS (15 - 11) at CHICAGO CUBS (12 - 10) - 2:20 PM
ROSS STRIPLING (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

ROSS STRIPLING vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
STRIPLING is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

JON LESTER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LESTER is 5-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.094.
His team's record is 7-5 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-4. (+3.7 units)

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ATLANTA (12 - 11) at CINCINNATI (9 - 14) - 6:40 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 103-85 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 31-29 (+16.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 52-41 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 36-26 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 78-55 (+24.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 15-33 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
TEHERAN is 3-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.177.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)

LUIS CASTILLO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CASTILLO is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.625.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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MIAMI (7 - 17) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 11) - 7:05 PM
CALEB SMITH (L) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 0-18 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 56-33 (+20.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-15 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-49 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against MIAMI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CALEB SMITH vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SMITH is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

AARON NOLA vs. MIAMI since 1997
NOLA is 3-4 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.121.
His team's record is 5-5 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.6 units)

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DETROIT (12 - 11) at BOSTON (10 - 15) - 7:10 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 62-201 (-76.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997.
DETROIT is 72-131 (-42.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 99-50 (+26.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 56-35 (+20.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 10-15 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 1-5 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
PORCELLO is 7-13 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 (+2.5 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. BOSTON since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 2-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.377.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. DETROIT since 1997
PORCELLO is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.150.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.1 units)

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CLEVELAND (13 - 10) at HOUSTON (15 - 9) - 8:10 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TREVOR BAUER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
BAUER is 7-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.059.
His team's record is 8-0 (+8.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.4 units)

GERRIT COLE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
COLE is 2-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 0.682.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.1 units)

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NY YANKEES (14 - 10) at LA ANGELS (9 - 16) - 9:07 PM
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 67-50 (-25.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 38-50 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 13-27 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 5-13 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 41-56 (-18.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 33-63 (-27.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
TANAKA is 3-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 0.958.
His team's record is 6-0 (+6.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.5 units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
CAHILL is 1-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 9.71 and a WHIP of 1.685.
His team's record is 2-4 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-3.0 units)

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TEXAS (12 - 11) at SEATTLE (16 - 11) - 10:10 PM
ADRIAN SAMPSON (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 105-84 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 57-46 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 48-39 (+10.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 75-51 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 73-58 (+13.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 118-118 (+29.0 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
TEXAS is 41-44 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 949-858 (-116.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ADRIAN SAMPSON vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SAMPSON is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MARCO GONZALES vs. TEXAS since 1997
GONZALES is 3-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.229.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Weekly Total Talk
Joe Williams



Seattle Slew Of Runs?

The Texas Rangers have recalled LHP Taylor Hearn from Triple-A to make his major league debut on Thursday night opposite Mariners LHP Marco Gonzales at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Rangers originally wanted to keep their Top 10 prospect from making the bigs until around or after the All-Star break, but they used RHP Adrian Sampson in relief on Wednesday, and they decided to pull the trigger on Hearn now. The over has connected in four of the past five games for the Rangers inside the American League West Division, and it has hit in five of the past six games against teams with a winning record, too. The over is also 4-0 in the past four following a loss for Texas. And, for whatever it's worth, the over is 7-1 in the past eight games on a Thursday for the Rangers.

The over has connected in six straight home games for the Mariners against a left-handed starting pitcher, while going 6-0 in their past six overall vs. LHP, too. In addition, the M's have gotten off to a high-scoring start lately, hitting the over in Game 1 in each of their past six series. The over hasn't been popular in starts by LHP Marco Gonzales, however, as the under is 3-0-1 in his past four starts, while going 4-1 in the past five home outings by Gonzo. The under is also 4-1 in his past five starts against AL West foes, too. In this series, the under is 4-1 in the past five meetings, and 4-1 in the past five battles at T-Mobile Park, too.

Looking Ahead

Thursday, April 25

The Marlins and Phillies tangle in the City of Brotherly Love, and Philadelphia RHP Aaron Nola is looking for a little consistency. He is 2-0 through his first five starts across 25 innings, but he has a 6.84 ERA while the 'over' has connected in each of his first outings, including 4-0 in four outings against NL East foes. The over is also 10-3 in Game 1 of a new series for the Phillies, and 8-2 in their past 10 home games vs. LHP. For LHP Caleb Smith, the over is 4-1 in his past five road outings, and 5-2 in his past seven appearances. The under is 6-1 in Miami's past seven overall, and 4-0 in the past four against teams with a winning overall record. The under is 4-1 in their past five vs. RHP, too. In this series, the over is 4-0-1 in the past five in Philly, and 5-1 in the past six meetings overall.

The Yankees and Angels hit the over again on Wednesday, and the over is 4-1 in New York's past five overall, and 4-1 in their past five vs. RHP, too. The over is 12-2 in the past 14 road outings vs. RHP, too. However, the under is 6-1-1 in Masahiro Tanaka's past eight road outings, and 23-11 in his past 34 tries against AL West opponents. For the Halos, the over is 4-1 in their past five overall, 4-1 in the past five home games and 4-1 in the past five against teams with a winning record. However, the under is 11-4 in the past 15 in this series in Anaheim, while going 5-1 in Tanaka's past six starts against the Halos.

Wind Report

The winds will be mostly tranquil across MLB on Thursday. If wind does play a factor anywhere, it will be Fenway Park with a gentle 6-9 mph breeze blowing right to left across the infield. The winds will also be blowing in from 5-8 mph for the afternoon battle between the Dodgers and Cubs, but it will mostly be neutral.


Friday, April 26

The Orioles and Twins open a series in the Twin Cities on Friday at Target Field after a day off for each team. The over has connected in six of the past eight games overall for the O's, while the over is 4-1 in their past five games against teams with a winning record. The over is also 6-2 in their past eight vs. LHP, while going 6-1 in Alex Cobb's past seven starts. The over is also 5-2 in his past seven road outings against teams with a winning overall mark. For the Twins, the over is 5-2 in their past seven overall, and 4-1 in the past five following a scheduled day off. The over is 4-1 in the past five in this series, too.

The Angels and Royals have a battle of left-handed starting pitchers facing each other, as LHP Tyler Skaggs (ankle) returns from the 10-day injured list to face LHP Danny Duffy. The over is 9-2-1 in the past 12 road games for the Halos, and 4-0-1 in Skaggs' past five outings overall. The under is also 4-0 in the past four road games vs. LHP for the Angels. For K.C., the over has cashed in four of the past five overall, and 4-1-1 in their past six vs. LHP. In addition, the over is 19-7-3 in the past 29 home games for the Royals, while going a perfect 6-0 in Duffy's past six home outings.

The Pirates and Dodgers kick off a set in Chavez Ravine. The under is 5-2 in the past seven road outings, and 6-2 in their past eight against AL West foes. The under is also 14-6 in the past 20 on the road against teams with a winning overall record. For the Dodgers, the under is 5-0 in the past five home games, 8-1 in the past nine vs. RHP and 20-4-2 in the past 26 at home against teams with a winning overall mark. The under is also 5-1 in Hyun-Jin Ryu's past six home outings against a team with a winning record, and 8-2 in his past 10 overall against winning teams. In this series, the over is 5-0 in the past five meetings, and 6-2 in the past eight meetings in L.A.

Wind Report

The Marlins and Phillies will face very breezy conditions on Friday evening, blowing out at 14-17 mph to the left-center field power alley. That is, if the game gets underway. The forecast is calling for a 75 percent or greater chance of rain starting at 7 p.m. ET, so it wouldn't be surprising to see this one scheduled as a day-night doubleheader on Saturday. The same holds true for the Padres-Nationals game from D.C. There is a 75 percent or greater chance of rain at 7 p.m. ET, although the chances taper off to 20 percent by 11 p.m. It might be a late night in Washington, or the game could also be rescheduled. If they do play, there will be a 13-16 mph wind blowing in from the left-center field power alley into the face of the batters.

The Brewers and Mets will likely be rained out, too, with a 60 percent or greater chance of rain from 7 p.m. onward. If they do play, the winds are blowing out from 15-18 mph to left field. They'll have clear conditions in Atlanta for the Rockies-Braves game, with a jetstream blowing to left-center field at a 11-14 mph clip. For Tigers-White Sox on the south side, it will also be very clear with a brisk 11-14 mph wind blowing out to right-center field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nuggets (54-28) at Spurs (48-34)

Denver strutted, shot and defended its way to a pivotal Game 5 win over San Antonio on Tuesday and is one win away from clinching a spot in the Western Conference semifinals.

But the Nuggets don't expect the seventh-seeded Spurs to go quietly when they meet Thursday night in the Alamo City in Game 6 of the first-round series.

The second-seeded Nuggets, who lost the series opener at home and nearly lost the second, head back to Texas after Tuesday's dominating 108-90 win in Denver. They are on the cusp of their first postseason series victory since 2009, when they reached the Western Conference finals.

Nuggets forward Nikola Jokic said he expects Game 6 to be the "toughest game of our lives."

Denver snapped a 14-game, seven-year losing streak in San Antonio with a 117-103 victory in Game 4 on Saturday.

The Nuggets carried that momentum into Tuesday and dominated Game 5, leading by 11 at the half and by as many as 30 points in the final quarter to seize their first lead of the series. Jamal Murray paced Denver with 23 points, one of seven Nuggets in double figures.

Jokic added 16 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists, and remained the hub of Denver's offense.

"What's remarkable about Nikola is he has that consistency," Nuggets coach Michael Malone said. "You expect greatness from him every night."

Denver's defense had a lot to say about the Game 5 win. In a 5:21 span of the first quarter, the Spurs managed only one field goal and missed seven consecutive shots. In the second quarter, San Antonio was held to another stretch of more than five minutes with just one made basket.

After Denver began the third quarter on a 17-4 run, the Spurs were all but forced to concede.

"They just outplayed us in every facet," Spurs coach Gregg Popovich said. "We missed a lot at the rim early, or it could have been a much more competitive first half. We've got to have more guys playing well for sure."

Malone labeled the Nuggets' third-quarter performance, in which they scored 32 points and led by as many as 28, one of their best of the season.

"We didn't even have to call any offensive sets," Malone said. "We were just playing the game, and obviously San Antonio's a team that started that many years ago, the beautiful game. But it's really fun to watch, as a coach, as a fan. And our guys thrive off that."

LaMarcus Aldridge, a non-factor in the series despite leading San Antonio through the regular season, paced the Spurs in Game 5 with 17 points and 10 rebounds. DeMar DeRozan added 17 points, but made just 6 of 15 shots from the field.

"There's always somebody that steps up in the playoffs," Popovich said. "You look for people to step up who aren't your major players. Every winning team, there's someone who seems to do that."

It seems like a lifetime ago when San Antonio held a 2-1 lead and owned the home-court edge against the Nuggets. Now the Spurs have to fight for their playoff lives to force a deciding seventh game in Denver on Saturday.

"We want to win two straight," Spurs guard Bryn Forbes said. "That's our goal, to play the best two games we can put together and try to win these next two."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

525Denver -526 San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 25

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DENVER (57 - 30) at SAN ANTONIO (50 - 37) - 4/25/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1092-959 ATS (+37.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 861-736 ATS (+51.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 83-57 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home games in all playoff games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 87-59 ATS (+22.1 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 197-146 ATS (+36.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 9-7 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-7 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, April 25

Nuggets won last two of last three games, making 44-93 on arc, after going 16-52 on arc in Games 1-2; Denver is 1-5 vs spread in its last six road games. Nuggets’ starters were +183 in last couple games- their bench was -63. White was held to 20 points in last two games after scoring 36 in Game 3; San Antonio is 0-5 vs spread in its last five home games. Spurs took 32 FT’s in both Games 3-4; they took 20-25-20 FT’s in Games 1-2-5 in Denver. Six of last nine series games stayed under the total. Home side won 13 of last 15 series games.