Monday 5-6-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, May 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (56-29-0-9, 121 pts.) at COLUMBUS (53-33-0-5, 111 pts.) - 5/6/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 213-169 ATS (+43.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-6 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-6-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE (53-32-0-9, 115 pts.) at COLORADO (44-34-0-14, 102 pts.) - 5/6/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 34-18 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 9-4 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 9-4-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.7 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Monday, May 6

Trend Report

Boston Bruins
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Columbus
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 15 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Columbus
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Columbus is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Columbus is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Columbus is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Columbus is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Columbus's last 15 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Boston
Columbus is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
Columbus is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 games
San Jose is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
San Jose is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
San Jose is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 7 games on the road
San Jose is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Jose's last 18 games when playing Colorado
San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Colorado is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Colorado is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Colorado is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Colorado is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Colorado's last 18 games when playing San Jose
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, May 6


Boston @ Columbus

Game 13-14
May 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
13.309
Columbus
11.857
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+100); Under

San Jose @ Colorado

Game 15-16
May 6, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
11.863
Colorado
10.807
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(+105); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Connors

Monday's comp play is for the Twins to return to their winning ways as they have left rainy Bronx and the Yankees and head North to face the Toronto Blue Jays.


Minnesota could not take their series against the injury-depleted Yankees, as the Twins were on the short side of the equation in 2 of the 3 meetings, but they should get healthy in their rematch against a Toronto team that did take 3 of the first 4 season series meetings off of them in April at Target Field.


It will be Martin Perez and Marcus Stroman taking the mound, and Perez has already worked once against the Jays in that series that I just mentioned. He definitely deserved a better fate, as he pitched 6 frames with only 1 run allowed, but did not factor in the decision. Perez has been a great pick-up for Minnesota, as he is 4-0 for the year with a 3.40 ERA. Since joining the rotation, Perez stands at 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA.


Stroman is struggling for the Jays, as he is just 1-4 now for the year and coming off a shelling at the hands of the L.A. Angels in which he allowed 5 runs on 6 hits in just over 3-innings pitched. He is also 1-2 for his career against Minnesota.


The Blue Jays enter this game off a 6 game road trip that saw them lose 5 of those 6 games. They allowed a massive 34 runs in those 5 losses too!


I have news for you, Minnesota can hit the baseball, and after a quiet offensive weekend in the Bronx, I see the Twins bats reemerging tonight in the series opener against Stroman and the Jays.


Take the Twins for Monday.

5* MINNESOTA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

13Boston -14 Columbus
COLUMBUS are 42-26 ATS (14.4 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

15San Jose -16 Colorado
COLORADO is 25-33 ATS (-17.5 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

I'm on a 9-2 run with free plays and tonight I look to make it 10 of 12 with the Tampa Bay Rays on the Run Line against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The surprising and talented Tampa Bay Rays have stolen the headlines in the American League East after opening the campaign with a Major League best 21-12 record (through Sunday). The Rays hold a two-game lead over the New York Yankees.

The crazy thing about this team, the Rays are finding as many chaotic ways to win this season, and that's what makes them difficult to handicap. Since last season, the Rays have been one of those teams who love their bullpen starts, giving the nod to relievers for certain games. And when you look at their rotation this season, they only have three true starting pitchers on staff: Blake Snell, Charlie Morton and Tyler Glasnow.

That said, pitchers are automatically listed when making Run Line wagers, but I am insisting you DO NOT worry about who the scheduled starters are. In the event of a scratch, you MUST re-wager the game with the new pitcher(s) who are scheduled. This play will stand no matter who pitches for either team.

Because here's where it gets impressive about the team that is building its staff success around the bullpen, the Rays lead the majors with a 2.99 ERA - the only team with an ERA less than 3.

Tampa Bay's pitchers have done an excellent job at keeping the ball in the park, allowing just 31, second-lowest in the bigs.

On offense, they're getting it done my manufacturing runs by spraying basehits, and stealing bases. Tampa Bay ranks 11th in batting average (.252), 14th in basehits (283), 13th in extra basehits (110) - including 13 triples, second-best in the bigs - and sixth in stolen bases with 22.

Tonight the Rays will be fresh after yesterday's rainout, and will dominate the Arizona Diamondbacks.

2* RAYS RUN LINE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Through the first 5 games of this year's postseason, the Boston Celtics were only allowing 91.4 points per game, over the last 2 games - not surprisingly both losses - they have surrendered 123 points per game! Of course the first 4 games of the playoffs Boston was also dealing with a different team in Indiana then they are currently in Milwaukee.

The # 1 seeded Bucks present a much difference challenge, but Boston has shown that they can take Giannis and Company out of rhythm as they did in Game One when they held the Bucks to just 90 points in a 112-90 win. The Celtics could also be getting one of their better defenders in Marcus Smart back for tonight's action. Smart has been out since April 7th with an oblique tear, and just how long and how strong he will be if he plays tonight is unclear, but you know the crowd will feed off of his return, and the team will in return get a boost having one of their primary players back if only for 10 minutes or so.

Let's face it, a loss tonight by the C's, and this series is in effect...over. No chance that Boston can afford to go down 3-1 and rattle off 3 wins in a row, especially with 2 of the final 3 having to be played at Fieserv Forum in Milwaukee.

For Milwaukee, guard Malcom Brogdan will still be sidelined with his foot injury, and while the back-to-back 123 point eruptions have shown the Bucks have gotten by without his play, he is still a key missing piece for Mike Budenholzer's attack.

Two things must happen tonight in order for the Celtics to get on that plane to Milwaukee with a knotted series, first they simply must do a better job defending - after "holding" Giannis to "just" 22 point in their series-opening upset win, they have allowed the Greek Freak to dictate and dominate, as Antetokounmpo has netted 30.5 points per game in the last 2 Bucks wins to go along with 11 rebounds per game in that pair. They must get back to their Game One defense and slow him down, and with Smart expected back, I give Boston a chance - especially at home to accomplish that part of the mission.

The other thing that has to happen is that Boston NEEDS to shoot the basketball better! They are almost 8 points off their regular season average of 111.7 points per game, as they come into this game with 103.9 points per game averaged in this postseason.

I thought Boston would emerge with a big offensive night on Friday back at home, they did not! I will bank on it happening tonight.

Let's go with the Celtics to get by on their home court tonight.

4* BOSTON

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

My free play tonight is on the ice.

It doesn't seem to long ago I was sitting inside T-Mobile Arena, watching the Vegas Golden Knights seize control of their first-round series with the San Jose Sharks, who were nearly eliminated after falling behind 3-1 and by three goals in the third period of Game 7.

We all know the background, so I want rehash what took place. Instead, can we all take a moment to appreciate the fact San Jose is now one win away from making it to the conference finals for the fourth time this decade. And keep in mind, this is a team that was just in the Stanley Cup Final three years ago.

If they want to find their way back, it would be advisable to steal this one in Denver. The St. Louis Blues and Dallas Stars are headed to a seventh game, so a Sharks win means they get a little extra rest, after two grueling series.

It's hard to argue against the Sharks, who just put together their most complete performance of the series on Saturday, dominating from start to finish in a 2-1 win in San Jose. One might say, it was their overall best game since Game 1 of their opening-round victory over Vegas.

San Jose outshot Colorado 39-22, got two goals from Tomas Hertl and stifled the Avalanche to just one shot on goal during three power plays. Goaltender Martin Jones stopped 21 shots, and continued to put together another impressive postseason. He's been fantastic on the penalty kill, as Colorado is just 2 for 17 with the man advantage this series.

And once again the Sharks' blueliners emerged as the stars of this team, when stalled speedy Nathan MacKinnon, limiting him to one shot on goal en route to ending his eight-game point streak. Defensive duo Marc-Edouard Vlasic and Brent Burns was the reason Vegas' star-studded second line stayed quiet in Games 5, 6 and 7, and it's the reason Colorado's top line of MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog and Mikko Rantanen were stymied in Game 5.

I like the Sharks here, as they'll want to get this series over.

4* SHARKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STREAKING/SLUMPING STARTERS

STREAKING

Chris Paddack, San Diego Padres (2-1, 1.91 ERA, $343): The Padres rookie has been absolutely sensational so far in his debut season. Despite making six starts he's coming off his first two wins after three no-decisions to start the year. Paddack has allowed just 14 hits through 33 innings this season, holding opponents to a batting average of .126 with a WHIP of 0.70. Tonight he has a pitching duel with Mets ace Jacob deGrom (more on him later), with the Friars as slim underdogs at +109. San Diego is 5-1 in Paddack's six starts.

SLUMPING

Ivan Nova, Chicago White Sox (0-3, 8.33 ERA, $-445): Nova started the year with two good performances against the Yankees and Indians in his first three starts, it's been all downhill from there. In his last three starts he's allowed 31 hits and 20 earned runs in 16 innings. In the last two games, a home and away against the Orioles, he gave up six homers and 14 runs in 9.2 innings.

Today, Nova and the White Sox are on the road against Cleveland and ace Trevor Bauer. Tribe batters have hit .379 with and OBP of .446 in 66 at bats against Nova and the White Sox are priced as +210 underdogs.



3 STRIKES

DEGROM DAY!

It’s no secret: “Jacob deGrom Day” is pretty much a weekly holiday in the Covers offices, with the Mets starter cashing in for first-five inning Under bettors in 26 of his last 32 starts.

That sterling record includes a bounce-back effort versus the Cincinnati Reds on May 1, in which he allowed just three hits and walked two through seven innings in a 1-0 New York loss. The right hander failed to come through for “deGrom Day” faithful in the start prior, serving up five runs through four innings and watching seven total innings hit the board in the opening five frames.

Today’s matchup sees the Mets in San Diego with deGrom facing off against the previously mentioned Paddack, with the full-game total dropping from seven runs to 6.5. The first-five inning Over/Under is on the board at 3.5 runs with the Under priced at -160. You’ve got to ride this top trend until the wheels fall off.

SHAKY BLAKEY

Reigning American League Cy Young winner Blake Snell hasn’t looked like an elite arm in his recent outings for the Tampa Bay Rays. The left hander is coming off a rotten effort, giving up seven runs on six hits through just three innings versus Kansas City last Wednesday.

Snell has pitched a combined 6 1-3 innings in his last two starts since returning from a broken toe and takes on an Arizona Diamondbacks team that scored a combined 25 runs in their three-game set with the Colorado Rockies this weekend.

After allowing just 16 home runs in 2018, Snell has served up six dingers already this year, including three in his last four starts. Arizona sits sixth in the majors in home runs with 50 on the season. Today’s total is set at 7.5 runs.

LIVE BET LATE FIREWORKS

The Chicago Cubs are pricy home favorites hosting the Miami Marlins tonight. And while Cubbies bettors may sweat the early innings, don’t be surprised if Chicago breaks things open late in the game. Miami enters this week as the third-worst bullpen in the majors, lugging a collective 5.85 ERA into Monday.

The Marlins have allowed an average of 2.33 runs over the final three innings in their previous three outings and run into a Chicago lineup plating an average of 1.68 runs over that same span on the season – fourth most – including nine total runs between the seventh and ninth inning during the Cubs’ weekend series with the St. Louis Cardinals.

For those following the live total at home – and banking on Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara not to go deep, much like he’s failed to do this season – you could get great value on the in-game Over heading into the late innings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Monday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Reds are 25-0 SU as a 140+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 6+ runs.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Giants are 0-15 SU in the last game of a series as a road dog after a one-run win as a road dog.

Batter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Orioles are 0-10 SU at home off a game as a dog in which Jonathan Villar struck out at least twice.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Reds are 8-0 SU since 2016 with Anthony DeSclafani when and he had more strike out than hits allowed in his last start and the Reds won.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Indians (-1½) -135
White Sox are (1-5) in Nova's last 6 starts
White Sox are (12-26) in their last 38 games vs right-handed starter
Indians are (38-17) in their last 55 home games vs right-handed starter
Indians are (4-0) in Bauer's last 4 home starts vs White Sox

New York Yankees -141
Mariners are (1-5 ) in their last 6 games vs left-handed starter
Mariners are (4-12) in Hernandez's last 16 starts
Mariners are (1-5) in Hernandez's last 6 starts vs Yankees
Yankees are (13-4) in Sabathia's last 17 starts vs Mariners

St Louis Cardinals -126
Phillies are (3-11) in Velasquez's last 14 road starts
Cardinals are (9-2) in Mikolas' last 11 home starts
Cardinals are (10-1) in their last 11 home games vs right-handed starter
Cardinals are (10-1) in Mikolas' last 11 starts vs team with a winning record

Chicago Cubs (-1½) -130
Marlins are (14-38) in their last 52 games vs left-handed starter
Marlins are (13-41) in their last 54 road games
Cubs are (13-3) in their last 16 games vs right-handed starter
Cubs are (5-0) in Hamels' last 5 starts

Houston Astros (-1½) -130
Royals are (13-38) in their last 51 road games vs right-handed starter
Royals are (12-43) in their last 55 road games vs team with a winning record
Royals are (0-6) in Junis' last 6 starts vs American League West
Astros are (7-0) in Cole's last 7 home starts vs team with a losing record

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Eastern Conference Semifinals – Game 4 (Bucks lead 2-1)

Milwaukee at Boston (TNT, 7:05 p.m. ET)

The Celtics surprised the team with the best record in the NBA in the Eastern Conference semifinals opener by routing the Bucks, 112-90. However, it’s Boston now sitting in a 2-1 hole against Milwaukee after dropping consecutive games to the Bucks, while losing a rare home game in the playoffs.

When these teams hooked up in the first round last season, the home squad posted a perfect 7-0 record, capped off by Boston winning Game 7 at TD Garden. Through three games in the second round, the home team has lost two of three times, as Boston fell to Milwaukee on Friday, 123-116 to suffer its playoff defeat in Beantown since Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals last season to Cleveland.

The Celtics lost for the second time in the previous 14 home playoff contests in Game 3 in spite of holding a 12-point first half advantage. The Bucks overcame a 46-34 deficit to cut the Boston lead to 56-55 at halftime, while using their trademark third quarter run (40-31) to lead heading into the fourth quarter.

Giannis Antetokounmpo put together his best game of the series for Milwaukee with 32 points, 13 rebounds, and eight assists. The last time the Celtics lost a home playoff game, George Hill was on the opposing side with the Cavaliers. In Game 3, Hill posted a 21-point effort off the bench, which is two points more than he produced in the first two games combined.

Kyrie Irving struggled from the floor for Boston by hitting 8-of-22 shots, but the All-Star guard knocked down 11 free throws to lead the Celtics with 29 points. Jayson Tatum added 20 points for the Celtics, although he misfired on all five of his three-point attempts. The two teams combined to attempt 68 free throws as the Bucks won in spite of missing 12 shots at the charity stripe.

Chris David was impressed with Milwaukee’s win on Friday and he believes the Bucks can go up 3-1 on Monday.

He explained his handicap, “It’s apparent that defense doesn’t win championships in the NBA these days, rather shooting and the Bucks firepower has been on display in each of the last two games in this series. They’ve hit 35 bombs from 3-point land in the wins and that’s led to a pair of 123-point performances. Milwaukee shooting guard Khris Middleton has connected on 65 percent (13-of-20) shots from distance and it’s become apparent that the absence of Marcus Smart for the Celtics has been felt on the defensive side of the ball in this matchup.”

David added, “The betting public is expecting Boston to earn the win in Game 4 and make it a best-of-three series headed back to Milwaukee at 2-2. While that lean could be argued based on the Celtics strong record at home, a couple trends has me pumping the breaks. For starters, Boston is just 19-16 off a loss this season. Second, how do you go against the Bucks as underdogs? Milwaukee is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS when catching points and Giannis sat out one of those losses. In the other two defeats, both came by exactly four points. If you’re looking for other trends to back the visitor in Game 4, make a note that Milwaukee went 11-2 on Monday this season while Boston struggled to a 6-7 mark in that spot.”

The ”halftime adjustments” are certainly working for Milwaukee, according to NBA expert Tony Mejia, “The Celtics face a must-win given the circumstances, but have to solve the third-quarter spell the Bucks have cast over them the past two games, outscoring them 79-49. Perhaps getting Smart back will help set a better tone coming out of the break, but Milwaukee outscored Detroit in every one of its first-round games and ended up with a combined margin of 134-73. The Celtics won the series opener by dominating the third quarter but it’s hard to imagine that getting another 3-point barrage from Al Horford, Marcus Morris and Jaylen Brown is sustainable. Riding Milwaukee for the quarter and the second-half is highly recommended.”

Boston has won six consecutive playoff games under Brad Stevens when coming off back-to-back losses since getting swept by Cleveland in the opening round back in 2015. Milwaukee has won and covered in all seven playoff victories, as the last time the Bucks lost as a road underdog and failed to cover came at Boston back on November 1 in a 117-113 defeat as 2 ½-point ‘dogs.


Western Conference Semifinals – Game 4 (Warriors lead 2-1)

Golden State at Houston (TNT, 9:35 p.m. ET)

The home team has won each of the first three games between the Warriors and Rockets as Houston finally broke through on Saturday night. The Rockets staved off the two-time defending champions, 126-121 in overtime to cash as 3 ½-point favorites and improve to 4-0 at the Toyota Center in the playoffs.

Houston built a 13-point third quarter advantage before Golden State posted a 15-2 run to grab a 94-93 edge only two minutes into the fourth quarter. The two Western powers went back and forth until Andre Iguodala’s three-pointer put Golden State in front, 112-110 with 45 seconds remaining. James Harden knocked down a pair of free throws on the following possession to force overtime as the Rockets outscored the Warriors, 14-9 in the extra five minute session to grab their second cover in the series.

Harden led the Rockets with 41 points, but his former Thunder teammate Kevin Durant put together a 46-point night for his third 40+ point performance of the postseason. Durant has been fantastic during the postseason but the same can’t be said for his superstar teammate Stephen Curry, who has not scored more than 20 points in a game against Houston. Curry was limited to 17 points on 7-of-23 shooting, including 2-of-9 from three-point range, but Draymond Green stepped up with 19 points, 11 rebounds, and 10 assists for his second triple-double of the playoffs.

The Warriors have bounced back nicely off a loss during this postseason by picking up victories of 27 and 19 points (both on the road) against the Clippers. Dating back to the 2017 playoffs, Golden State has won seven of eight games off a defeat, with all three victories on the road coming by double-digits.

Mejia says that Golden State needs to figure out the Curry situation to be successful in this series, “It will be interesting to see how Steve Kerr approaches getting Curry off after his lack of rhythm ultimately helped cost the Warriors Game 3, but with the Rockets certain to sell out and run extra bodies at him, it’s going to be important that Iguodala and Green take advantage of open looks. Both did their part in helping put Golden State in position to claim Game 3, while Eric Gordon and Iman Shumpert stepped up similarly for the Rockets.”

“If those four can continue efficiently punishing the opposing defense for trying to take away more accomplished scorers, the pace is likely to be similar to Game 3, which produced an ‘over’ in regulation. If you’re of the opinion that can’t continue, there’s a chance this game gets bogged down multiple times to allow the low-side to thrive,” Mejia notes.

The last time Golden State dropped consecutive road playoff games occurred in the 2016 Western Conference Finals against Oklahoma City in Games 3 and 4 of that series, while Houston defeated Golden State in back-to-back contests in last season’s Western Conference Finals before losing the final two games of the series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

May 06 '19, 6:35 PM in 2h
MLB | Mariners vs Yankees
Play on: Yankees -140 at 5Dimes

MIKE LUNDIN'S MARINERS @ YANKEES FREE PICK
The Seattle Mariners may be coming off a 10-0 rout of the Cleveland Indians, but they had lost six in a row prior to that and I think they'll find it very hard to overcome the Yankees in the Bronx Monday night.
Seattle right-hander Felix Hernandez (1-2, 4.31 ERA) was tagged with four runs on eight hits (two homers) in a 6-5 Mariners loss to the Cubs last time out. The team has now lost three of his last four starts and the Mariners are 5-16 in Hernandez's last 21 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
The Bronx Bombers hand the ball to left-hander CC Sabathia (1-1, 2.66 ERA) who was charged with a 3-1 loss at Arizona last time out despite allowing just two runs over 5 1/3 innings of work. He has not allowed a single earned run through 10 frames home at Yankee Stadium here in 2019 and the Mariners are 1-5 in their last six games vs. a left-handed starter.
The Yankees have won five straight head-to-head meetings as a host and five of the last six when taking on Hernandez.
Free pick on NY Yankees.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

May 06 '19, 7:05 PM in 3h
MLB | Red Sox vs Orioles
Play on: Orioles +1½ +100 at Mirage

1* Free MLB Pick on Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (+100)
I love the value here with Baltimore on the +1.5 run line at home against the Red Sox. I strongly considered just taking the Orioles on the money line for a much bigger payout, but I like the added value with them potentially losing by a run and still cashing a winning ticket.
As bad as Baltimore has been, starter John Means has really thrown the ball well. He's got a 3.50 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 4 starts and has posted a 2.25 ERA in 2 home starts. Boston on the other hand will have Josh Smith on the mound, who will be making his first start of 2019. I look for Smith to struggle some and for the Orioles to find a way at home to get the victory. Take Baltimore +1.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

May 06 '19, 7:08 PM in 3h
NHL | Bruins vs Blue Jackets
Play on: Blue Jackets -119 at betonline

Rocketman Sports FREE NHL play Monday 5-6-19
Boston @ Columbus 7:05 PM EST
Play On: Columbus -119
The Boston Bruins travel to Columbus to take on the Blue Jackets on Monday night. Boston is 56-38 SU overall this year while Columbus comes in with a 53-38 SU overall record on the season. Columbus is scoring 3.2 goals per game overall this year, 3.2 goals per game at home this season and 3.3 goals per game in the playoffs. Columbus is allowing only 2.4 goals per game in the playoffs this season. Boston is 2-6 last 3 years including 0-1 this year when leading in a playoff series. Columbus is 1-0 this year when trailing in a playoff series. We'll recommend a small play on Columbus tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky