Service Plays Thursday 5/30/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

3* TOM Toronto / Golden State under 214

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Larry Hartstein


TEXAS -148


KANSAS CITY @ TEXAS | 5/30 | 8:05 PM EDT
12:07 AM
The Royals are 7-20 on the road and now have to face Mike Minor, who's 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA at home with one homer allowed in 34.2 innings. Look for Texas to improve to 22-6 in the last 28 meetings.

24-8 IN LAST 32 MLB PICKS | +1315
5-2 IN LAST 7 KC ML PICKS | +191

18-13 IN LAST 31 TEX ML PICKS | +143


CLEVELAND -185


CLEVELAND @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 5/30 | 8:10 PM EDT
12:01 AM
It's a steep price, but Manny Banuelos is lucky to have a rotation spot with the way he's pitched. He's allowed 24 earned runs over his last four starts, with eight homers served up. Lay it with the Indians.

24-8 IN LAST 32 MLB PICKS | +1315
17-8 IN LAST 25 CLE ML PICKS | +861

5-2 IN LAST 7 CHW ML PICKS | +187


TORONTO -1


GOLDEN ST. @ TORONTO | 5/30 | 9:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 3:18 PM
In the first three rounds, the Warriors faced teams ranked 19th, 18th and 16th in defensive efficiency. It's a completely different story against the Raptors, who ranked fifth but would have finished even higher had Kawhi Leonard rested less. Look for Danny Green to come alive after a horrible series vs. Milwaukee, and for Toronto to grab Game 1.

24-19-1 IN LAST 44 GS ATS PICKS | +341

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

3* Texas -141

[dawggy]

DWAYNE BRYANT
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (521) Golden State Warriors at (522) Toronto Raptors
Date/Time: May 30 2019 9:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 213.5 (-110)

View Analysis

9:07 PM ET -- NBA

521 Golden State Warriors
522 Toronto Raptors

PLAY: UNDER 213.5 (-110)
BET SIZE: 4%

My basketball totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Projected Points Scored = 208

4% play >= 212.5
3% play at 211 to 212
No play < 211

DB's THOUGHTS:

NBA Finals Game 1's tend to be slower paced, defensive battles as each team tries to strike first in the series. Since the 2003 season, NBA Finals Game 1's have gone Under 11 out of 15 times, and by an average of 8.3 points per game. The most recent two Overs involved the Warriors, on 6/4/15 and 5/31/18. But, the only reason those two games went Over is because of overtime. So, that makes the NBA Finals Game 1 Under 11-2 in the last 13 that ended in regulation.

So, all four Warriors' NBA Finals Game 1's would've gone Under if not for OT, but what about Toronto? Well, the Raptors have no NBA Finals experience to which to refer. But, in its playoff history, the Under is 7-3 when Toronto hosts Game 1 of a playoff series, and two of the three Overs were due to OT. So, the Under is 7-1 when the Raptors host Game 1 of a playoff series that ends in regulation.

So, basically, I feel we have a great shot at cashing the Under here in Game 1 if we can avoid OT.

PLAY UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Jesus post 5/30/2019 MLB UNDER total AZ/Rockies

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LV Wolf

stl -106
sf-104

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From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Great Lake Sports

MLB
3* #970 Seattle -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CleInsidersports (33-23 L13 days)

NBA
Raptors ML (-115)
Warriors/Raptors UNDER 213.5

**Home favorite in game 1 of the Finals with a line move against them (2.5 against the Raptors) is 12-0 ML

Average Score
Home 101
Visitor 88

MLB
Cardinals ML (+100)
Red Sox ML (-145)
Brewers ML (-125)
Royals ML (+130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Consensus (22-18 L10 days)

NBA
6u Warriors +1.5

MLB
7u Diamondbacks ML (+115)
5u Giants ML (-105)
5u Rangers RL (+120)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vince Akins (35-26 L17 days)

MLB Trend Plays
2x Dodgers ML (-280)
Brewers ML (-130)
Phillies ML (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB-Mike Davis

4 Unit Cleveland RL-1.5 over Chicago White Sox

[WeWantMoehr]

Esparza (VSI) - NBA

7 Unit Play. Take #521 Over 213 Golden St at Toronto (9:05p.m., Thursday May 30)
Tonight in Toronto, Canada - Scotiabank Arena the Raptors host Game #1 of the NBA Finals and tonight I see big offensive games from both teams. The Raptors beat the defending champs in both meetings and at the Scotiabank this year the Raptors won 131-128 in overtime. The Warriors are averaging 112.9 ppg in their last 10 playoff games and yes I know Kwahi Leonard will stop someone tonight but the Warriors have too much offense for one guy to stop. Look for a fast pace game tonight and if the 3-ball goes down for both teams this total easily flies over and again I see the Warriors putting up a big number on the road. Golden St is 6-2 O/U last 8 NBA Championship games and the Raptors are 6-1 O/U against a team with a winning record. Last 8 meetings between these two teams 6 of them have gone 'Over' the tota

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris - MLB

4 Unit Play. Take #952 Philadelphia Phillies -110 over St Louis Cardinals (1:05 PM, Thursday, May 30)
The Phillies have posted a perfect 5-0 record in their last five home games and they have also gone a perfect 6-0 in their last six games where they faced a team with a losing record. They have also won five of their last six games where they faced a team from the NL Central Division and they are an impressive 10-3 in their last thirteen at home where they faced a right-handed starter. The Cardinals, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 1-4 in their last five games where they faced a right-handed starter and they are just 1-5 in their last six when facing a team with a winning % of .500 or higher. They have also lost six of their last seven road games and they have that same 1-6 record in their last seven when facing a team from the NL East. Throw in the fact that the Phillies are 5-1 in their last six home games against the Cards and we're going to take them at the pickem or so price to get the home win in Philly on Thursday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #956 Colorado Rockies -125 over Arizona Diamondbacks (3:10 PM, Thursday, May 30)
The Rockies have posted a perfect 4-0 record in their last four games versus an NL West Division rival and they have that same perfect 4-0 record in their last four home games. They have also won eight of their last nine Game #4's of a series and they are an impressive 12-3 in Kyle Freeland's last fifteen home starts. The Giants, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 1-6 in their last seven games following a loss and they are just 2-6 in their last eight versus a lefty starter. They have also gone an awful 3-8 in their last eleven versus a team from the NL West and they have lost nine of their last thirteen road games. Throw in the fact that the Rockies are 4-0 in the last four head to head meetings between the two teams and we're going to lay the short price with them here to get the home win in Denver on Thursday afternoon.
4 Unit Play. Take #960 Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 -135 over New York Mets (10:10 PM, Thursday, May 30)
The Dodgers have posted a 6-1 record in their last seven games following a game where they allowed five runs or more and they have that same 6-1 record in their last seven versus a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. They have also won four of Ryu's last five starts where he faced a team from the NL East and they are an impressive 22-8 in their last 30 games overall. The Mets, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 2-7 in their last nine games where they faced a team with a winning % of .500 or higher and they are an awful 5-18 in their last 23 road games. Throw in the fact that the Dodgers are 8-3 in their last eleven home games against the Mets and that they are 35-16 in the last 51 head to head meetings between the two teams overall and we're going to lay the 1.5 runs with them here in a game that we have them winning fairly easily in LA on Thursday night.
4 Unit Play. Take #962 New York Yankees +140 over Boston Red Sox (7:05 PM, Thursday, May 30)
The Yankees have posted a 5-1 record in their last six games where they faced a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower and they have gone an excellent 8-1 in their last nine following a game where they allowed two runs or less. They have also won nine of their last thirteen games following a win and they are an impressive 10-3 in their last thirteen versus a team with a winning record. The Red Sox, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 2-6 in their last eight where they faced a left-handed starter and they have that same 2-6 record in their last eight against a team with a winning record. They have also lost each of Sale's last six starts where he went in Game #1 of a series and they are an awful 3-8 in his last eleven starts overall. Throw in the fact that the Yankees are a lights out 92-44 in their last 136 home games and we're going to take them at a nice underdog price to get the home win in the Bronx on Thursday evening.
4 Unit Play. Take #969/970 Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners Over 8.5 (10:10 PM, Thursday, May 30)
The Angeles have posted a perfect 4-0 record to the over in their last four road games and they have that same 4-0 record to the over in their last four games versus an AL West Division rival. The Mariners have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone 4-1 to the over in their last five home games and they are an excellent 10-2 to the over in their last twelve at home where they faced a left-handed starter. They have also gone up and over the number in thirteen of their last seventeen overall when facing a lefty and they are 17-5 to the over in their last 21 Game #1's of a series. Throw in the fact that the Mariners are also 23-11-1 to the over in their last 35 overall and that these two teams have gone 5-0 to the over in their last five head to head meetings where Skaggs started for LA and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both starting pitchers to struggle a bit in Seattle on Thursday night

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass early : 300 cardinals , 300 Arizona

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Tony George
3 Unit GS +1.5