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Vernon Croy
7-Unit Play. Take #522 Toronto -1 over Golden State (Thursday, May 30 at 9:00 PM ET)
Take Toronto ATS as my 7-Unit NBA Smash for Thursday night. This pick falls into one of my top NBA systems and I have Toronto winning by 8+ points at home here tonight. Toronto swept the 2 games against Golden State this season including their last win which was by 20 points at Golden State, and that was without Kawhi Leonard and Norman Powell in the lineup. Toronto just shut down the number one offensive team in the NBA (Milwaukee) who averaged 118.1 points per game this season and Milwaukee was also the number one rebounding team in the NBA. Golden State has a lot of star players however Kevin Durant will be out for Game 1. Toronto doesn't necessarily have a lot of star players like Golden State but they are playing great as a team and I expect them to step up defensively here tonight. Golden State has allowed 110.5 points per game in the playoffs and Toronto has allowed just 99.6 points per game the playoffs with opponents shooting just 41.7% against them. Toronto has averaged 113.7 points per game at home this season while shooting 47.3% as a team and Golden State has had way too much time off which is not a good thing. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games play between these 2 teams and Toronto is 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games when playing a team with a win rate above .600 on the road. Play Toronto ATS as we move to 11-0 and 23-4 with my last 27 NBA picks.
Marco D
PLAY: (960) LA DODGERS -1.5 RUNS -125
RATING: 5% PLAY
THIS IS A RUN LINE PLAY: This road trip could turn ugly in a hurry for the Mets who last night gave up 4 in the bottom of the 9th to lose 9-8. Those kind of losses linger. St. Louis blew a 3-0 9th inning lead Sunday Night and haven’t won a game this week since going into Thursday’s action. Tonight’s pitching matchup is a Mismatch as Jason Vargas of the Mets has a road ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.72 in 4 road starts. Hyun-Jin Ryu has been nearly untouchable as his ERA at Home is 1.22 and his WHIP is 0.64 in 5 home starts. Overall RYU in 10 starts this season has a ERA of 1.65 and a WHIP of 0.82. The Mets are 3-12 on the road in the month of May. The Dodgers are 24-5 as a favorite of -150 or more this season. Finally over the last 5 years in Baseball playing against a Underdog (Mets) that are hitting as a team of .333 or higher over their last 3 games and are facing a Pitcher (Ryu) with an ERA of less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 41-8. That’s a 83.7% Winning angle favoring the Dodgers today. Because of the way the Dodgers are scoring runs, scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games we are going to lay the -1.5 runs here rather than the big Moneyline price. My projected score is Dodgers 6-3.
TAKE LA DODGERS -1.5 RUNS (-125) as MARCO’S 5% RL GAME OF THE MONTH
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