Saturday 6-1-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Churchill Downs
    PURCHASE
    Churchill Downs - Race 8

    Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) Pick 4 (Races 8-9-10-11)


    Optional Claiming $75,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 96 • Purse: $97,000 • Post: 9:39P
    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $75,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $24,600 AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. $21,000 AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $75,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $35,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Lone Front-runner. LULLABY BLING is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * GET THE PRIZE: Horse has run a Good Race within the las t 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. NIGHT OPS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ROTATION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 da ys. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TAPIT WISE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
    3
    GET THE PRIZE
    2/1

    5/1
    2
    NIGHT OPS
    9/5

    6/1
    7
    ROTATION
    7/2

    7/1
    4
    TAPIT WISE
    4/1

    8/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    6
    LULLABY BLING
    6

    20/1
    Front-runner
    83

    70

    56.7

    71.1

    57.6
    3
    GET THE PRIZE
    3

    2/1
    Stalker
    93

    94

    74.5

    91.3

    87.8
    7
    ROTATION
    7

    7/2
    Stalker
    93

    92

    66.2

    85.2

    78.2
    2
    NIGHT OPS
    2

    9/5
    Trailer
    94

    99

    64.8

    88.4

    83.4
    4
    TAPIT WISE
    4

    4/1
    Trailer
    93

    89

    64.4

    84.8

    80.3
    5
    PROSCHEMA
    5

    15/1
    Trailer
    86

    88

    45.2

    76.9

    66.4
    1
    AQUADINI
    1

    12/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    87

    84

    76.3

    67.6

    56.6
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369801

      #17
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park
      PURCHASE
      Remington Park - Race 7

      Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) (.50 Cent Minimum) Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10) (.50 Cent Minimum)


      Derby • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 99 • Purse: $367,750 • Post: 8:16P
      QUARTER HORSE 400Y, HERITAGE PLACE DERBY - GRADE 2 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE QUALIFIED FOR THIS FINAL. PURSE MONEY TO BE DIVIDED $154,455 TO THE WINNER, $62,517.50 TO SECOND, $44,130 TO THIRD, $25,742.50 TO FOURTH, $22,065 TO FIFTH, $18,387.50 TO SIXTH, $14,710 TO SEVENTH, $11,032.50 TO EIGHTH, $7,355 TO NINTH, AND $7,355 TO TENTH. WEIGHT: 124 LBS.
      Contenders

      Race Analysis
      P#
      Horse
      Morn
      Line

      Accept
      Odds


      Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * APOLLITICAL PENCE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. VF JEDI RETURNS: Horse's win percentage at today's dis tance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. CHARLIES FURY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. JESS P ROVED YOUWRONG: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
      3
      APOLLITICAL PENCE
      4/1

      4/1
      7
      VF JEDI RETURNS
      6/1

      7/1
      9
      CHARLIES FURY
      5/2

      7/1
      2
      JESS PROVED YOUWRONG
      9/2

      10/1




      P#

      Horse (In Running Style Order)

      Post

      Morn
      Line

      Running Style

      Good
      Class

      Good
      Speed

      Early Figure

      Finish Figure

      Platinum
      Figure
      1
      DOCS KANSAS REP
      1

      20/1
      Average
      86

      83

      4.3

      0.0

      0.0
      2
      JESS PROVED YOUWRONG
      2

      9/2
      Average
      94

      90

      3.8

      0.0

      0.0
      3
      APOLLITICAL PENCE
      3

      4/1
      Fast
      102

      98

      2.7

      0.0

      0.0
      4
      MONEY ALL DAY
      4

      10/1
      Fast
      87

      85

      2.2

      0.0

      0.0
      5
      VIVA LE DON
      5

      12/1
      Average
      96

      83

      4.0

      0.0

      0.0
      6
      MOMENT OF FURY
      6

      12/1
      Average
      88

      89

      4.9

      0.0

      0.0
      7
      VF JEDI RETURNS
      7

      6/1
      Fast
      93

      92

      2.2

      0.0

      0.0
      8
      JESS DOIN TIME
      8

      20/1
      Fast
      83

      87

      2.3

      0.0

      0.0
      9
      CHARLIES FURY
      9

      5/2
      Fast
      88

      93

      1.4

      0.0

      0.0
      10
      POLLITICAL FIRE
      10

      12/1
      Average
      89

      82

      4.1

      0.0

      0.0
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369801

        #18
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Century Mile
        PURCHASE
        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.

        Race 6 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 95

        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 1, 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000


        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        The Walker Group Picks

        # 6 DARE TO ENTER 6/1

        # 3 WHY FRANK 3/1

        # 1 BOXER BOY 4/1

        My pick in this contest is DARE TO ENTER. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look solid in this race. Ran a strong last race. I can't pass on this gelding given one of the most respectable jock and conditioner combos on the grounds. WHY FRANK - Shows signs of the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 91 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the top in this group. Will more than likely be one of the leaders of the bunch going into the halfway point of the competition. BOXER BOY - He has recorded very strong figures under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this group of horses in this race. Respectable choice to take this race going in a dirt route.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369801

          #19
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
          PURCHASE

          Bar

          Charles Town - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 78

          Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

          #6 TOWN OF TOWNS (ML=9/2)


          TOWN OF TOWNS - The Apr 19th event at Charles Town was at a class level of (89). Dropping down in the class scale significantly, so he should be in a good spot. Ran a lackluster race at Charles Town last time out. Racing on a fast track puts this gelding at the top of my list of contenders.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #3 WARLEIGH (ML=3/5), #2 THE GREAT MCHENRY (ML=5/1), #4 BACKSEAT LOVER (ML=6/1),

          WARLEIGH - May 4th is the last time we've seen this gelding around. Have to be a little bit leery. THE GREAT MCHENRY - Finished sixth last time out. Would have to move up to land in the top three in today's event. Should have at least hit the board in the last sixty days in a sprint race to be worth the chance at nominal odds in a sprint. BACKSEAT LOVER - This steed ran a disappointing speed rating last time around the track. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely suffer defeat in today's event running that figure.



          STRAIGHT WAGERS:
          Play #6 TOWN OF TOWNS to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

          EXACTA WAGERS:
          Pass

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Skip

          SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
          None
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369801

            #20
            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park
            PURCHASE
            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.

            Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8600 Class Rating: 71

            FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE MAY 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            The Walker Group Picks

            # 1 DANG IT DOROTHY 3/1

            # 6 DIRTY DIXIE ROAD 5/2

            # 5 NERVE LINE 4/1

            DANG IT DOROTHY figures to be the wager in here. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Ramos will probably have this filly in excellent position to win the affair. Ran a solid last race. Could provide positive gains based on strong recent speed figures with an average of 63. DIRTY DIXIE ROAD - Looks very strong to be on the front end at the first call. The handler wheels this entrant back almost immediately to race again. NERVE LINE - She has recorded quite good numbers under today's conditions and ought to fare well against this field. This mare obviously likes the distance, going 3 for 20 in her races recently.
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369801

              #21
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
              PURCHASE

              Bar

              Thistledown - Race #2 - Post: 12:50pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,400 Class Rating: 56

              Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

              #6 JEZABEL'S CHARM (ML=8/1)
              #5 EDGE OF HONOR (ML=6/1)


              JEZABEL'S CHARM - Cardoso was aboard this mare in the last race and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. EDGE OF HONOR - Really have to figure this fine animal is going to be very close at the finish.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #1A TENACIOUS TRUDY (ML=3/1), #1 STAY WITH ME (ML=3/1), #3 CANDY KETTLE CORN (ML=7/2),

              TENACIOUS TRUDY - Doesn't look inspiring to me after the lack of any sort of closing talent on May 18th. STAY WITH ME - This horse likes to land in the top three, but doesn't usually finish first. Don't play in the top spot. Equibase speed figs tell a story of dropping condition. CANDY KETTLE CORN - This steed hasn't been close at the wire recently. Finished seventh in her most recent race with a quite unimpressive speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this bunch.



              STRAIGHT WAGERS:
              Put your money on #6 JEZABEL'S CHARM on the nose if you can get odds of 9/5 or more

              EXACTA WAGERS:
              Box [5,6]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              Skip

              SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
              Pass
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369801

                #22
                Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park
                PURCHASE

                06/01/19, GP, Race 1, 12.45 ET
                1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.01 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000.
                Claiming Price $12,500 (Races where entered for $10,000 or less not considered in allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
                $1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5) / $2 HRR - (RED 4,5: 4/5. BLK 2,6,8: 7/5. GRN 1,3,7: 12/1.)
                Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
                100.0000 2 Plea Bargain 8-1 Rendon J Lerman Michael JT
                099.2245 5 Graydar's Resolve(b+) 2-1 Berrios H I Broome Edwin T.
                099.0572 8 Lookin Forever 5/2 Vasquez M A Rizo Juan P. C
                098.3824 4 El Corazon 3-1 Rodriguez A Garoffalo Jose SFE
                096.3472 6 Brag Dude(b-) 8-1 Meneses M Rodriguez Juan Andres L
                095.1370 7 Malio's 20-1 Batista J A Miller Rory C.
                094.1185 3 Leroi's Gem 20-1 Rios J M Brownlee David R.
                092.2083 1 More Than Teddy 30-1 Lopez C C Wasiluk. Jr. Peter W
                After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.
                Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
                2 36.40 1.11 33.13 54 163 [All Turf] Best Jockey
                5 39.40 1.09 11.87 26 219 [All Turf] Last Race Was Same Jockey
                8 12.20 1.11 22.41 13 58 [All Turf] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
                4 39.40 1.09 11.87 26 219 [All Turf] Last Race Was Same Jockey
                6 12.20 1.11 22.41 13 58 [All Turf] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
                7 39.40 1.09 11.87 26 219 [All Turf] Last Race Was Same Jockey
                3 13.80 1.24 44.83 13 29 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Third Race After 45 Days Off
                1 39.40 1.09 11.87 26 219 [All Turf] Last Race Was Same Jockey
                ------------------------------
                If Race Is Off Turf
                ------------------------------
                Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
                100.0000 2 Plea Bargain 8-1 Rendon J Lerman Michael JT
                099.3493 8 Lookin Forever 5/2 Vasquez M A Rizo Juan P. C
                099.0183 5 Graydar's Resolve(b+) 2-1 Berrios H I Broome Edwin T. FW
                097.3335 4 El Corazon 3-1 Rodriguez A Garoffalo Jose SE
                096.9884 6 Brag Dude(b-) 8-1 Meneses M Rodriguez Juan Andres L
                096.9191 3 Leroi's Gem 20-1 Rios J M Brownlee David R.
                095.7987 7 Malio's 20-1 Batista J A Miller Rory C.
                093.9744 1 More Than Teddy 30-1 Lopez C C Wasiluk. Jr. Peter
                After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.
                Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
                2 59.00 1.26 35.09 40 114 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
                6 59.00 1.26 35.09 40 114 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
                1 59.00 1.26 35.09 40 114 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369801

                  #23
                  Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
                  PURCHASE

                  06/01/19, LAD, Race 1, 3.15 CT
                  5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.04 CLAIMING. Purse $10,500.
                  Claiming Price $5,000 (Races where entered for $4,000 or less not considered in allowances). FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
                  Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
                  Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                  Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
                  100.0000 2 Robert's Prince 4-1 Smith K J Savoy Kevin TFL
                  097.5721 7 Bitsy's Carlos 5-1 Tejera E A Lourd. III Harvey S
                  097.3711 6 Miracle Master 12-1 Lozada C Foster Joseph M. J
                  097.0810 5 Warned 4-1 Dominguez J Viator Dwight J. C
                  095.9690 3 Exchange Gold 6/5 Green A Broberg Karl E
                  095.7239 4 Big Em C 10-1 Martinez O Salter Rick W
                  090.5375 1 Blue Choice 12-1 Guerrero J A Gomez Jorge
                  After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                  Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
                  Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
                  2 103.00 1.28 40.64 76 187 [All Surfaces] Best Finish
                  7 21.60 1.09 32.26 40 124 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Not Same Track As Today
                  6 45.50 1.21 38.68 41 106 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Jockey
                  5 27.00 1.07 30.65 61 199 [All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today
                  3 27.00 1.07 30.65 61 199 [All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today
                  4 61.40 1.28 35.45 39 110 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Workouts
                  1 12.40 1.10 35.00 21 60 [All Dirt] *Actual Post 1
                  * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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                  Comment

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