Sunday 6-9-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358436

    #31
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
    PURCHASE

    Bar

    Lone Star Park - Race #6 - Post: 5:00pm - Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 76

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #8 IQUIQUE (FR) (ML=6/1)
    #7 WILLTHERESAWAY (ML=20/1)
    #1 SWEETDREAMSTONIGHT (ML=3/1)
    #2 PADDY O (ML=4/1)


    IQUIQUE (FR) - The rider/conditioner twosome of Wade and Sharp has a strong return on investment together. This thoroughbred coming off a good race in the last month or so is a solid contender in my book. This horse has increased her Equibase speed figures in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth taking a look at. WILLTHERESAWAY - The morning line odds on this filly are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of conditioner Willis. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. Don't often see a profitable ROI like +33. This jockey/trainer tandem has done well together over the last year. Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a sharp effort on May 26th. SWEETDREAMSTONIGHT - I seem to always make money betting Broberg horses on the turf. That barn has a dominant win percent for this distance/surface. PADDY O - I think this filly is ready to run a good one. She's had enough outings since the layoff and should be fit. Peek brings her back again. I propose you stick with this hot filly. Filly tallied a win her last race here on May 11th as a shipper. I think she looks like a winner once again. She has the highest earnings per race. Take a long look at this animal. You have to really like that recent race figure, 74, which is the highest most recent race speed figure of this field.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #5 VOLLEY MOLLY (ML=5/2), #6 WITT SEVEN (ML=6/1),

    VOLLEY MOLLY - Recorded a most unsatisfactory speed rating last time out in a $17,500 Claiming race on Apr 21st. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that fig. WITT SEVEN - Would have to move up off that fourth place finish last time out to make an impact here. Earned a mediocre speed rating last time out in a $17,500 Claiming race on May 19th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that figure.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - IQUIQUE (FR) - Horses trained by Sharp have an excellent chance of winning in sprints on the turf. Look for this horse to make a good showing versus these thoroughbreds in this event.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Bet on #8 IQUIQUE (FR) to win if you can get at least 9/2 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,7,8]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    None
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358436

      #32
      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park
      PURCHASE

      06/09/19, SA, Race 4, 2.31 PT
      6F [Dirt] 1.07.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $42,000.
      Claiming Price $50,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
      $1 Exacta /$0.50Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 4-5-6) - $0.20 Rainbow Pick Six Starts (Races 4-9) - $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $1 Rolling Super High 5 / $2 HRR - (RED 3,4: 3/5. BLK 1,6,7: 6/5. GRN 2,5: 12/1.)
      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
      100.0000 3 Mighty Elijah 8-1 Pereira T J Dunham Daniel JW
      099.5073 4 Baby Gronk 4/5 Pedroza M A Spawr William TSEL
      099.4579 1 Pig Iron 3-1 Bejarano R Gutierrez Jorge F
      098.5347 7 Jen Go Unchained 7/2 Delgadillo A Puype Mike
      097.1680 5 Calder Vale 12-1 Payeras E Zamora Ricardo C
      097.0219 6 Rocket Ship(b+) 12-1 Gryder A T McCarthy Sean
      092.1632 2 Dynamic Duo 50-1 Linares M Franko Daniel
      After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
      Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.
      Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
      3 25.40 1.05 38.27 106 277 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
      4 25.40 1.05 38.27 106 277 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
      1 30.80 1.64 45.83 11 24 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
      7 25.40 1.05 38.27 106 277 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
      5 25.40 1.05 38.27 106 277 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
      6 25.40 1.05 38.27 106 277 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
      2 25.40 1.05 38.27 106 277 [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
      * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358436

        #33
        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park
        PURCHASE

        06/09/19, BEL, Race 10, 6.24 ET
        7F [Turf] 1.19.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $41,000.
        Claiming Price $40,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
        Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
        100.0000 6 Dove Shoot 5-1 Lezcano J Ryan Derek S. JSWL
        098.6107 9 Valmont 4-1 Davis D Handal Raymond
        097.9346 10 Millionaire Joe(b+) 3-1 Castellano J Martin Carlos F.
        097.8900 8 Bobby Man(b-) 6-1 Saez L Terranova II John P.
        096.3469 4 Alphalfa 8-1 Ortiz J L Rice Linda T
        095.3939 3 Inflection 15-1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R.
        095.2130 7 Da Berg 15-1 Camacho. Jr. S Kimmel John C.
        095.0275 1 No More Miracles 9/2 Cancel E Donk David G.
        093.8305 2 Ellas Ghost 20-1 Luzzi M J Brown Bruce R.
        093.6918 5 He'smyluckyfellow 15-1 Maragh R Gyarmati Leah EC
        After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
        Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
        Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
        6 51.90 1.15 32.94 56 170 [All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
        9 62.40 1.18 34.09 60 176 [All Turf] First Race After 45 Days Off
        10 50.00 1.24 13.59 14 103 [Turf MdnMClm] No 5f Workout Since Last Race
        8 108.30 1.45 19.01 23 121 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Not Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
        4 28.20 1.07 24.62 48 195 [All Turf] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
        3 50.00 1.24 13.59 14 103 [Turf MdnMClm] No 5f Workout Since Last Race
        7 62.40 1.18 34.09 60 176 [All Turf] First Race After 45 Days Off
        1 51.90 1.15 32.94 56 170 [All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
        2 28.20 1.07 24.62 48 195 [All Turf] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
        5 50.00 1.24 13.59 14 103 [Turf MdnMClm] No 5f Workout Since Last Race
        ------------------------------
        If Race Is Off Turf
        ------------------------------
        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
        100.0000 6 Dove Shoot 5-1 Lezcano J Ryan Derek S. JSFWL
        098.2038 8 Bobby Man(b-) 6-1 Saez L Terranova II John P. E
        097.4726 9 Valmont 4-1 Davis D Handal Raymond
        097.2223 10 Millionaire Joe(b+) 3-1 Castellano J Martin Carlos F.
        096.0314 4 Alphalfa 8-1 Ortiz J L Rice Linda T
        095.5992 3 Inflection 15-1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R.
        094.8344 7 Da Berg 15-1 Camacho. Jr. S Kimmel John C.
        094.1999 1 No More Miracles 9/2 Cancel E Donk David G.
        093.7799 2 Ellas Ghost 20-1 Luzzi M J Brown Bruce R.
        092.4203 5 He'smyluckyfellow 15-1 Maragh R Gyarmati Leah C
        After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
        Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
        Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
        6 21.90 1.37 20.00 6 30 [All Surfaces] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
        8 146.30 2.16 23.81 15 63 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Not Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
        9 21.90 1.37 20.00 6 30 [All Surfaces] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
        10 3.00 1.10 26.67 4 15 [Dirt MdnMClm] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
        4 21.90 1.37 20.00 6 30 [All Surfaces] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
        3 1.60 1.03 50.00 15 30 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
        1 21.90 1.37 20.00 6 30 [All Surfaces] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
        2 1.60 1.03 50.00 15 30 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
        5 1.60 1.03 50.00 15 30 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
        * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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