Service Plays Saturday 6/29/19

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (971) Texas Rangers at (972) Tampa Bay Rays
  Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 4:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: 1H Tampa Bay Rays -165
  
  View Analysis
  
  Sampson v. McKay
  The Rays came out just about how I had imagined they would on offense after the 18 inning marathon that was to have been the getaway day back home to prep for the Rangers. Lance Lynn wasn't even a part of that equation, but the fact he was on the mound for the opening game of the series only made that a play I LOVED even more! The hapless Rays managed to strikeout over 10 times and not cross the plate a single time as a result!
  Today Sampson is on the mound against an angry, embarrassed Rays lineup and they are giving a reprieve to all regular starters and sending out Brandon McKay, a lefty from AAA, who has been exemplary in his handful of starts and the Rangers have not only faced very few lefties of late, especially on the road, but have been quite subpar facing a lefty period. He sports a 2.88 FIP in addition to his 1.08 ERA and limits HR to the max...an important factor when facing a Rangers lineup facing a pitcher for a first time! A left handed pitcher, especially in a first 5 play, neutralizes the monster that is Gallo, who bats only .200 and has 1 single HR on the road against LHP. The McKay stoppage of a Gallo type hitter fades however, which is why I like the first 5 bet even moreso...Sampson included, with his ERA around 4 but his xFIP right up near 5!
  Overall, I think there is also solid value on the full game Rays ML, but I think the even more assured anger and embarrassment comes out quicklly against Sampson and they run him early....and we don't worry about the fatigue coming back into play late when the bullpens take over...considering the Rangers are an actual formidable opponent....basically no matter who the Rays played last night would have been the play...even Baltimore or Detroit!
• Game: (957) Pittsburgh Pirates at (958) Milwaukee Brewers
  Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 8:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: 1H Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 (-145)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Lyles v. Woodruff
  Woody has been solidly backed by us on a regular basis and this spot is even better! The Brewers are 3-1 SU following a home loss in a series when he starts...and Lyles is coming on the IL and hasn't started since the first week of June. Excellent value and spot for that lineup to crush a right handed hitting rusty starter and not worry about the bullpen. Yelich takes him deep at least once in the first 2 at bats almost definitely haha. Woodruff knows he needs to be a stopper and turn this stretch around...especially after losing to the Pirates at home!
  Amazing value on the half run only laying less than -150 today and I think BW can shut down the Pirates to 0 or 1 run through 5 almost assuredly!
• Game: (975) Seattle Mariners at (976) Houston Astros
  Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 8:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Total Under 9.5 (-113)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Verlander v. Kikuchi
  System A is 15-6 and looking to top the Kikuchi 15-1-1 to the Over on the season...never has he faced a pitcher even close to this good on the season and will likely be able to combine with the pen to not entirely explode off the radar to keep this under a solidly valuable 9.5!

Game:(961) Arizona Diamondbacks at (962) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 10:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Arizona Diamondbacks -145

View Analysis

Greinke v. Pomeranz
Flat out no reason to stop doing this every time bar none. Greinke just can't NO RESPECT! He is 7-2 this season as a favorite and as an away favorite he is 2-0 and both shutouts!

[B*mb07]

Augie J - Marlins Cubs Philly Guy - Brewers Phillies LAD Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

1:10 pm est mlb
new york yankees vs. Boston red sox

pick: New york yankees (-140)

risk: 11 units

4:10 pm est mlb
chicago cubs vs. Cincinnati reds

pick: Cincinnati reds (-119)

risk: 11 units

8:15 pm est mlb
los angeles dodgers vs. Colorado rockies

pick: Colorado rockies (+135)

risk: 11 units

8:15 pm est mlb
seattle mariners vs. Houston astros

pick: Houston astros -1.5 (-142)

risk: 11 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Spot Player

2* Mets

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
10 braves over

[FATMANWINS]

ats
5 braves
4 oakland over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

4% UNDER 9.5 Seattle / Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bezobets

3* Indians -0.5 1H -110
3* Cubs ML +113
2* Dodgers TT o6.5 -125
2* Dbacks -1.5 +106

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: UFC 4u: 13228 Damian Maia -165 (UFC on ESPN 3) (Saturday, June 29th)

+EV: UFC 4u: 13225 Vinc Pichel +245 (UFC on ESPN 3) (Saturday, June 29th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LV Wolf

Over 10 mets
Tor -175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TweetyDimesPicks

FAVORITES


CLEVELAND
BLUEJAYS
CINNCI
NATIONALS
TWINS
ARIZONA


UNDERDOGS
TEXAS RANGERS + 174


TOTALS


UNDER ARIZONA 7.5


OVER METS/ ATLANTA 10


OVER NATIONALS / DET 11


ROCKIES / DODGERS
UNDER 12.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Ligs
5%

1H Las Vegas Aces -7.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Virgobbi Sports


6/29:

STL-SDG u8 (-111)