Friday 7-5-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

962 SAN FRANCISCO -115
Cardinals are 15-17 since May 08, 2019 as a favorite.
Cardinals are 22-33 since May 02, 2019.
Giants are 11-8 since Jun 11, 2019 as a dog.
Giants are 17-13 since Jun 01, 2019.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

967 NY YANKEES -120
Yankees are 45-16 since Apr 04, 2019 as a favorite.
Yankees are 50-20 since Apr 16, 2019.
Rays are 17-19 since Apr 18, 2019 at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

971 TEXAS +155
Rangers are 13-8 since May 15, 2019 on the road.
Rangers are 47-39 since Mar 30, 2019.
Twins are 7-10 since Jun 16, 2019.
Twins are 5-8 since Jun 16, 2019 as a favorite.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Wilson

Jul 05 '19, 9:10 PM in 11h
MLB | Rockies vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Diamondbacks -175 at YouWager

Free Play on Diamondbacks -175
In their last series before the All-Star break, the Colorado Rockies (44-42) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (43-45) begin a three-game series. One of the best pitchers in the N.L., Zack Greinke (9-3 2.90 ERA), gets the start for the Diamondbacks. For Colorado, Antonio Senzatela (7-5 4.83 ERA) gets the starts. Both teams are top ten in runs per game and are on a three-game losing streak. However, only one of these teams has a reigning Cy Young winner pitching. Greinke is not only a reigning Cy Young winner, but he could possibly win another one this year the way he is pitching. Greinke has the third-best WHIP in baseball (0.94) and has pitched the eighth most innings in the league. The Rockies are 4-8 in their last 12 games and are 16-27 as an underdog this season. Look for Greinke to continue his Cy Young form as we cash in easily on this game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Jul 05 '19, 10:10 PM in 12h
MLB | Padres vs Dodgers
Play on: Dodgers -180 at YouWager

Free Pick on Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Jul 05 '19, 10:15 PM in 12h
MLB | Cardinals vs Giants
Play on: Giants +106 at YouWager

1* Free Play on Giants +106
In a sport where one or two hot players can be the difference in a game, the Giants (39-47) will be leaning on left-hander Drew Pomeranz (2-8, 6.25 ERA) and the surging Evan Longoria when they host the Cardinals (43-42) tonight.
Coming off five shutout innings and having struck out 18 in his last two starts, Pomeranz will be going up against a relatively weak St. Louis lineup. The Cards’ bats rank in the bottom half of the league in average (23rd), runs scored (22nd), and slugging percentage (27th).
In the other dugout, San Francisco can look to Longoria for early production against rookie right-hander Dakota Hudson (6-4, 3.40 ERA), who takes the mound for St. Louis.
Although considered a disappointment since being traded from Tampa Bay last season, Longoria has recently found his good form. In the Giants’ last series against the Padres, Longoria drove in nine runs with a performance that included four homers.
San Francisco should be able to get to Hudson early if they get the best versions of Longoria and center-fielder Kevin Pillar, who’s been the Giants’ best bat this season with a .256 average and 12 homers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Blue Jays -130
2. Gameday Network MLB – Yankees over 8.5
3. VegasSI.com MLB – Cardinals -105
4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Braves under 10
5. Sports Action 365 MLB – Giants -110
6. Point Spread Report MLB – Mets under 8.5
7. Lou Panelli MLB – Nationals under 10.5
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino MLB – Diamondbacks -175
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Dodgers -1.5
10. William E. Stockton MLB – Orioles +120
11. Vincent Pioli MLB – Pirates under 10.5
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Diamondbacks -175
13. SCORE MLB – Cardinals under 8.5
14. East Coast Line Movers MLB – Blue Jays -130
15. Tony Campone MLB – Braves under 10
16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Mariners over 9.5
17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Cardinals -105
18. VIP Action MLB – Mets -170
19. South Beach Sports MLB – Nationals under 10.5
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Yankees over 8.5
21. NY Players Club MLB – Diamondbacks -175
22. Fred Callahan MLB – Mets -170
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Brewers -110
24. Michigan Sports MLB – Braves -180
25. National Consensus Report MLB – Yankees -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Friday's comp play is over the total in the Orioles-Blue Jays meeting tonight at the Rogers Centre.

The O's have been sailing Over the total this summer, as they start this series riding an 8-1-2 Over clip their last 11 games played, while the Jays have been Over the posted total in 5 of their last 6 games, and are riding a 7-3 Over run for their last 10 games contested.

Toronto is also on an 18-7-1 Over run their last 26 games played on their home diamond, and they have combined to land Over the total in the last pair of series meetings with Baltimore.

I don't care if Jim Palmer and Dave Steib are on the hill, I say the hitters are gonna hit this Friday North of the Border.

Baltimore and Toronto Over the total.

4* BALTIMORE-TORONTO OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Connors

Free play for this Friday is the Yankees over the Rays in the second of 4 before the All-Star Break.


The Yankees have absolutely owned the Rays this year, as won yet again in extra-innings over Tampa at Tropicana Field yesterday to extend the winning streak to 5 in a row over Tampa and 8 of the 10 overall season series meetings this year!


New York knows how to post offense, and they have now won 7 of their last 8 games, while Tampa Bay continue to struggle with offensive consistency, and I just do not see the Rays slowing down this Yankees attack here on Friday night at the Trop.


It will be Masahiro Tanaka who is 4-2 with a 1.29 ERA for his career against the Rays, working against Brendan McKay who was dominant in his big league debut his last time out.


At the end of the day, New York is in Tampa Bay's heads, and I will lay the road wood with the Yanks over the Rays this Friday.

2* N.Y. YANKEES

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Friday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Dodgers are 14-0 SU at home after a game as a home favorite in which they had six or fewer hits and it is not a series opener.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Marlins are 0-24 SU as a road dog of more than 135 after a game in which they had at least five more team-left-on-base than their opponent.

Batter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- None Available

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Yankees are 9-0 OU when Masahiro Tanaka starts as a road favorite when they scored first in his last start and the Yankees won, going over by an average of 6.06 runs per game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's Diamond Notes
Kevin Rogers

Hottest team: Nationals (8-1 last nine)

On May 23, the Nationals suffered their fifth consecutive loss and were shocked by the Mets in a four-game sweep at Citi Field to fall to 19-31. Since then, Washington has climbed up the NL East standings by posting an impressive 26-10 mark to jump four games above .500. The Nationals are fresh off their second sweep of the Marlins over the last nine days, while losing only eight games in the month of June.

Washington faces another struggling team this weekend as Kansas City invades the Nation’s Capital. The Nationals are heavy favorites once again as Austin Voth makes his third start of the season. Voth is winless in two starts against the Braves and Tigers, while allowing five earned runs in 10.1 innings of work as Washington lost as a -190 favorite to Detroit his last time out. The Royals head to D.C. on a 3-10 skid, while getting swept at home by the Indians this week.

Coldest team: Mets (2-8 last 10)

The last time the Mets and Phillies hooked up last week in Philadelphia, it was the low point of the season for New York. The Mets blew leads in all four games, including dropping the final two contests in walk-off fashion to the Phillies. The Mets have won two of their last three games, including comeback victories over the Braves and Yankees, but New York last captured a series victory one month ago against the Rockies at home.

Now, the Mets get another crack at the Phillies with their ace on the mound tonight. Jacob deGrom didn’t pitch in the previous series against Philadelphia as last year’s Cy Young winner is winless in six of his past seven starts. deGrom has compiled quality outings in six consecutive outings, but the Mets own a dreadful 2-6 record in his past eight starts at Citi Field. The Mets look to improve on a 1-5 mark in the last six home series openers, while capturing two of three Game 1’s against the Phillies this season.

Hottest pitcher: Zack Greinke, Diamondbacks (9-3, 2.90 ERA)

Greinke put together a terrific June as Arizona won five of his six starts last month. The only blemish came against the Rockies, tonight’s opponent, as the former Cy Young winner was tagged for 11 hits and five runs in seven innings of a 6-4 home loss on June 19. Besides that rough outing, Greinke compiled three scoreless outings, including a 4-3 road win at San Francisco his last time out, marking the third start in the last four that he tossed at least seven innings. Greinke will try to exorcise the Colorado demons tonight as the D-backs are 0-3 in his three starts against the Rockies this season.

Coldest pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi, Mariners (4-5, 5.12 ERA)

Kikuchi made his Major League debut in his native Japan on March 21 against Oakland by pitching into the fifth inning of a 5-4 victory. However, it’s been a rough first season for the Seattle left-hander as the Mariners are 1-5 in his past six starts, including home blowout losses to the Royals and Angels. Since May 25, Kikuchi has allowed at least five runs five times, including getting racked for five runs and 10 hits in less than four innings against the A’s in a 6-5 road loss.

Biggest OVER run: Orioles (9-1-1 last 11)

Baltimore owns the worst record in baseball at 25-61, but the Orioles have proved when they score a lot of runs, they win. Granted, it’s not often and it’s not consistent, but Baltimore has posted at least eight runs in each of its past four victories, including nine runs in Wednesday’s win at Tampa Bay. The Orioles’ pitching staff limited the Indians to two runs in a three-game series last weekend at Camden Yards, while winning the first two games by exact 13-0 blowouts. Baltimore travels to Toronto to face the Blue Jays, who are currently on a 5-1 OVER run. Dylan Bundy takes the ball for the O’s tonight, as the righty has seen the UNDER cash in five of his last six starts away from Camden Yards.

Biggest UNDER run: Brewers (8-1 last nine)

Milwaukee’s offense has been non-existent of late after getting blanked at Cincinnati the last two games. In fact, the Brewers have scored three runs or fewer in seven of the past 10 contests, while posting seven runs in a three-game series win over the Pirates last weekend. Milwaukee held Pittsburgh to five runs in that series, as the Brewers head to PNC Park this weekend. Zach Davies has fared well against the Pirates this season by allowing six earned runs in three starts, including a 2-1 win at Miller Park last Sunday.

Matchup to watch: Cardinals vs. Giants

San Francisco has come back to life of late by winning four consecutive games, including an impressive three-game road sweep of San Diego. The Giants lit up the Padres by scoring 30 runs in the series, while posting 40 runs in the past four victories. San Francisco returns to Oracle Park to face St. Louis, who continues its west coast swing after taking two of three games at Seattle.

The Cardinals had lost five straight games prior to winning three of the past four contests, while St. Louis scored five runs in all three victories. St. Louis had won seven consecutive starts made by Dakota Hudson prior to a 12-2 loss at San Diego last Saturday. Hudson gave up seven runs (only one earned) in less than two innings of work, as the righty allowed a total of seven runs in his previous five starts combined. The Cardinals enter tonight’s action owning a 2-5 record in the last seven road series openers.

Drew Pomeranz counters for San Francisco, as the veteran southpaw is winless in his past three starts. Pomeranz pitched well in his last appearance against Arizona by tossing five scoreless innings, but the Giants’ offense didn’t score in the first eight innings of a 4-3 defeat. Run support has been an issue for Pomeranz, as the Giants have posted three runs or less in six of his past eight starts.

The Giants and Cardinals haven’t met yet this season, but St. Louis won five of seven matchups last season, including splitting four contests in San Francisco.

Betcha didn’t know: Atlanta has been nearly automatic against Miami this season by capturing eight of nine matchups. The Braves swept the last two series in Miami, including a pair of one-run victories last month. Rookie Jordan Yamamoto takes the mound for the Marlins, as Miami owns a perfect 4-0 record in his four starts, including road victories at Philadelphia and St. Louis.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

By: Rohit Ponnaiya



STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

STREAKING

Antonio Senzatela, Colorado Rockies (7-5, 4.83 ERA, $605): It seems weird to include Senzatela on this list but he's given up just five earned runs over 18 innings in his last three starts. In June he went 4-1 with a 3.44 ERA, and in six of his previous seven starts he's given up two or fewer earned runs.

Senzatela and the Rockies are +166 underdogs on the road in Arizona. However, Senzatela has pitched two strong games against the Diamondbacks this year going 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA and the Rockies easily took the W in both outings, winning 6-2 on May 28 and 8-1 in 'Zona on June 18.

SLUMPING

Aaron Sanchez, Toronto Blue Jays (3-11, 6.31 ERA, $-751): Sanchez continues to one of the worst starters in the league after giving up six runs over three innings against the Royals in his last start. He had a June to forget going 0-6 with a 12.00 ERA and 2.33 WHIP. The Jays are 0-8 over his last eight starts but they are -130 favorites at home today with Sanchez on the mound. The Baltimore Orioles are just that bad.



THREE STRIKES

DEGROM DAY

Unfortunately "Jacob deGrom Day", a tradition where we bet the first five innings Under in games that deGrom starts, has not been quite as profitable lately. By the beginning of April it had cashed in 25 of his previous 29 starts but has gone just 7-6-1 since.

We hope that deGrom Day gets back on track as deGrom and the Mets host the Phillies tonight. However Phillies starter Vince Velasquez has an ERA of 4.73 (5.50 on the road), while deGrom has an ERA of 3.83 at home. The O/U is 8.5 for this matchup and the O/U for the first five innings is 5.

IT'S A TRAP!!!

The Yankees will start Masahiro Tanaka for the second game of their series in Tampa Bay. Tanaka is 5-5 with a 3.74 ERA this season but has been exceptional in three starts against Tampa Bay allowing just 10 hits and one run through 22 innings.

The Rays will have one of their top prospects on the mound in southpaw Brendan McKay who made his career debut last week and dazzled with a one-hitter over six innings against the Rangers. While this Yankees lineup plates 6.35 runs per game on the road, they struggle against lefties hitting just .237 with a slugging percentage of .396.

Although the Over is 37-13-2 in the Yankees last 52 games on the road and the O/U is installed at a relatively low 8.5 tonight, it could be a bit of a trap play.

HOME RUN MACHINE

Justin Verlander might be one of the best pitchers in the game but when hitters make contact off him they often go the distance. Verlander has allowed just 69 hits through 119 2-3 innings this year, but 23 of those hits have been round-trippers. Over his last four starts he's given up nine homers and 14 runs in 26 innings.

Today, Verlander and the Astros host the Los Angeles Angels as -200 favorites. Verlander last pitched against the Angels on May 5 and gave up three dingers. Angels superstar Mike Trout (25 homers in 84 games) is +200 to hit a home run while Shohei Ohtani (12 homers in 50 contests) is +275.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, July 5

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INDIANA (5 - 9) at DALLAS (4 - 7) - 7/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in July games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (2 - 9) at SEATTLE (8 - 7) - 7/5/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (6 - 7) at PHOENIX (5 - 5) - 7/5/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (9 - 3) at LAS VEGAS (8 - 5) - 7/5/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 193-245 ATS (-76.5 Units) after a division game since 1997.
LAS VEGAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
LAS VEGAS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-2 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury (-7.5, 160.5)

Two of the WNBA’s hottest teams collide in Phoenix when the New York Liberty put their three-game winning streak on the line against the Mercury, who have also strung together three straight victories.

While these teams have taken different paths to success during their respective runs – Phoenix clamping down on defense and New York exploding on offense – they do share a common thread with low-scoring first quarters.

The Liberty’s three-game winning streak has produced an average of 34.6 combined first-quarter points (New York allowing just 16.3 first-quarter points against), compared to a season average of 37.7 total points scored in the first frame.

As for the Mercury, their last three games have seen an average of 39.6 points on the scoreboard in the first quarter, and Phoenix ranks as the third-best first-quarter defense in the WNBA (18 points against per game).

New York will be at the tail end of a challenging road trip as well, playing its third game in six days while Phoenix has been off since a one-point road win at Seattle on June 30. The Mercury (who will be without Essence Carson) run the most methodical pace in the WNBA (91.08) and will enforce that on a tired Liberty squad in the opening frame Friday.

PREDICTION: Under first-quarter 40


Washington Mystics at Las Vegas Aces (-1, 164.5)

It’s a bet so nice, we’re going to hit it twice. Back on June 20, the Mystics and Aces combined for 90 points in the opening 20 minutes and blew the 82.5-point first-half total out of the water, thanks in part to a 49-point opening quarter.

These two teams mix it up again in Sin City Friday. Washington is the WNBA’s best offensive team, and is scoring 47.5 points per first half on better than 48 percent shooting on the year. Since that last meeting with Vegas, the Mystics have boosted their first-half production and are putting up 49.8 points in the opening 20 minutes over the last four outings.

The Aces post 44.3 points per first half on the year with that average climbing to 47.3 first-half points when inside the Mandalay Bay Events Center. Las Vegas shoots 46.6 percent from the field in the first two quarters before watching their scoring output sink to 40.6 points per second half.

Those strong first-half offenses aren’t the only reason why we love this bet again. Las Vegas is allowing 39.8 points per opening half at home on the year while Washington caves for 40.3 points in the first 20 minutes of action in road games.

PREDICTION: Over first-half 83

Wednesday’s pick: 1-0
Season to date: 31-19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

Let's head to SunTrust Park for tonight's complimentary winner, as I like the Atlanta Braves on the run line against the Miami Marlins.

Though pitchers are automatically listed when making Run Line wagers, I am insisting you DO NOT worry about who the scheduled starters are. In the event of a scratch, you MUST re-wager the game with the new pitcher(s) who are scheduled. This play will stand no matter who pitches for either team.

That's because we're seeing pure value with the National League East's first-place team hosting the division's last-place team that has lost four straight and has been outscored by 86 runs this season.

The Marlins are 17-24 on the road this season, and come in having lost 7 of 10 while they have a 5.44 ERA in that span. Miami also has the National League's worst on-base percentage, .297. The Marlins are one of three teams in the majors with an on-base percentage of less than .300.

Miami also has the fifth-worst batting average, at .239, while they've scored just 304 runs - second worst in the bigs.

That won't contend against an Atlanta team that has scored 262 runs at home, second-best in the league. That offense will come to life, especially knowing the second-place Washington Nationals are hosting the lowly Kansas City Royals over the weekend, and could gain ground with a sweep.

Play the run line in this one, as the Braves roll.

4* BRAVES RUN LINE