Service Plays Tuesday 7/16/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

8 unit goy
Altanta milwuakee under 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

7unit Boston -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider)

MLB - Padres -106

The Padres travel to the east coast after getting swept at home by the NL East-leading Braves. San Diego faces the NL East doormats as the Padres face the Marlins in Miami. Logan Allen makes his first start since getting racked by the Giants on July 1 as the West Palm Beach native won in his only road start at Baltimore. The Marlins are 4-1 in Jordan Yamomoto's five starts this season, as this is the lowest price that the rookie is receiving this season. Miami is 5-14 the last 19 home games and although San Diego has struggled, I'll back the Padres here.

MLB - Pirates +165

The Cardinals have won three consecutive games, coming off Monday's 7-0 shutout of the Pirates. Pittsburgh has lost four consecutive games, as the Pirates try to turn it around with Dario Agrazal on the mound. The right-hander has pitched well in his limited time in the Pirates' rotation by tossing six innings in each of his last two starts, while beating the Astros and Brewers as an underdog. The Cardinals counter with Jack Flaherty, as the righty is winless in seven of his past eight outings in the favorite role. I'll back Pittsburgh here to end its losing skid.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Consensus Picks

Dodgers -190 (9-2)
Marlins +100 (6-0)
Cubs -130 (5-0)
Rockies -135 (5-0)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Bollman


N.Y. YANKEES -163


TAMPA BAY @ N.Y. YANKEES | 7/16 | 7:05 PM EDT
11:32 AM
CC Sabathia is 5-4 with a 4.03 ERA this season but he is 4-1 with a 2.31 ERA at home. Ryne Stanek is 0-2 with a 3.14 ERA this season and the Rays are 17-9 when he starts. Brendan McKay will be the primary reliever and he is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA this season. He gave up three runs in five innings against the Yankees on July 5th. CC Sabathia has faced the Rays four times this season already and he’s 1-0 with a 2.63 ERA. The Yankees are 48-21 as the favorite, 30-13 as the home favorite, and they are 9-5 against the Rays this season.

77-48 IN LAST 125 MLB PICKS | +1808
5-4 IN LAST 9 TB ML PICKS | +73


MINNESOTA -157


N.Y. METS @ MINNESOTA | 7/16 | 8:10 PM EDT
11:30 AM
Steven Matz is 5-6 with a 4.89 ERA this season and 2-6 with a 7.07 ERA on the road. Michael Pineda is 6-4 with a 4.56 ERA and he has only given up one run total in four of his last five outings. The Twins have the second highest OPS in the league against lefties and the Mets are 19-32 on the road. The Twins are 28-15 at home and 36-18 as the favorite. Take the value in the Twins.

77-48 IN LAST 125 MLB PICKS | +1808
6-4 IN LAST 10 NYM ML PICKS | +166

5-4 IN LAST 9 MIN ML PICKS | +83


WASHINGTON -194


WASHINGTON @ BALTIMORE | 7/16 | 7:05 PM EDT
11:29 AM
Asher Wojciechowski is 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA this season in three appearances including two starts. Austin Voth is 0-0 with a 5.52 ERA in three starts. Neither of these pitchers has pitched well, but the Nationals are 8-2 in their last 10 and the Orioles are 4-6. The Orioles are 12-34 at home and they are the only team in the league that has a worse bullpen than the Nationals. Adding a DH will only help the Nationals lineup, lay the road favorite.

77-48 IN LAST 125 MLB PICKS | +1808
5-0 IN LAST 5 BAL ML PICKS | +504


MIAMI +110


SAN DIEGO @ MIAMI | 7/16 | 7:10 PM EDT
11:28 AM
Jordan Yamamoto is 3-0 with a 1.24 ERA in five starts this season, and he is coming off a six inning, two hit gem in Atlanta. Logan Allen is 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA in three starts and four appearances. Both these teams have been struggling lately but the Marlins are 2-1 against the Padres this season and 4-1 when Yamamoto starts.

77-48 IN LAST 125 MLB PICKS | +1808
3-1 IN LAST 4 SD ML PICKS | +131


N.Y. YANKEES -148


TAMPA BAY 5 @ N.Y. YANKEES 4
7/15LOSSYESTERDAY 11:51 AM
Blake Snell is 5-7 with a 4.70 ERA this season and 2-4 with a 6.48 ERA on the road. In 10 career starts at Yankee stadium he is 1-5 with a 6.34 ERA. James Paxton is 5-4 with a 4.01 ERA this season and he is 2-2 with a 3.26 ERA at home. He faced the Rays for the first time this season in his last outing throwing six innings only giving up two runs. The Yankees are 30-12 as the home favorite and they are 9-4 against the Rays this season.

77-48 IN LAST 125 MLB PICKS | +1808
5-4 IN LAST 9 TB ML PICKS | +73

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein


ATLANTA +154


ATLANTA @ MILWAUKEE | 7/16 | 8:10 PM EDT
11:25 AM
Twenty-one year-old Bryse Wilson's return to the rotation on July 3 went far better than many expected, as he allowed two runs on five hits over six innings in a 9-2 win over the Phillies. The Braves are 22-8 in their last 30 road games and have a good shot against a Brewers team on a 2-8 skid. Play the road dog.

37-19 IN LAST 56 MLB ML PICKS | +1729
15-6 IN LAST 21 MIL ML PICKS | +958

33-26 IN LAST 59 ATL ML PICKS | +360


TEXAS -165


ARIZONA @ TEXAS | 7/16 | 8:05 PM EDT
11:21 AM
Lance Lynn is rolling and the Rangers have won his last five starts. On top of that, he loves facing the Diamondbacks. In 12 career appearances versus Arizona, Lynn is 6-0 with a 2.80 ERA. Arizona has been solid on the road, but the Rangers are outstanding at home, 31-19 thus far at Globe Life Park. Lay it.

37-19 IN LAST 56 MLB ML PICKS | +1729
3-1 IN LAST 4 TEX ML PICKS | +234


MINNESOTA -157


N.Y. METS @ MINNESOTA | 7/16 | 8:10 PM EDT
11:18 AM
Michael Pineda has allowed exactly one run in four of his past five starts, and tonight he goes to the mound at Target Field where the Twins are 28-15. Minnesota loves facing left-handed pitching and should enjoy success against Steven Matz; he's 2-6 with a 7.07 ERA on the road. Lay it.

37-19 IN LAST 56 MLB ML PICKS | +1729
37-15 IN LAST 52 NYM ML PICKS | +1873

5-3 IN LAST 8 MIN ML PICKS | +145


WASHINGTON -199


WASHINGTON @ BALTIMORE | 7/16 | 7:05 PM EDT
12:22 AM
The Orioles' Asher Wojciechowski has made two starts and neither has gone well. He's 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA. Baltimore is 12-34 at home. Back the Nationals to improve to 8-1 in the last nine meetings.

37-19 IN LAST 56 MLB ML PICKS | +1729
17-6 IN LAST 23 BAL ML PICKS | +1041

23-12 IN LAST 35 WAS ML PICKS | +920


SEATTLE +154


SEATTLE @ OAKLAND | 7/16 | 10:07 PM EDT
12:13 AM
Mariners lefty Marco Gonzales has been much better on the road this season, with a 3.07 ERA compared to 5.46 at home. He's 3-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts against the Athletics this year. Grab the value with the last-place Mariners as they have a good shot to break their four-game skid.

37-19 IN LAST 56 MLB ML PICKS | +1729
16-7 IN LAST 23 SEA ML PICKS | +865

14-8 IN LAST 22 OAK ML PICKS | +416

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Thompson


SEATTLE +155


SEATTLE @ OAKLAND | 7/16 | 10:07 PM EDT
10:03 AM
The Mariners' offense has bottomed out, hitting .218 while barely averaging three runs per game in July. But there's hope on Tuesday against A's hurler Daniel Mengden, who they got for three runs on six hits in 5.1 innings in Mengden's last start. He's been far worse at home than on the road this year -- which is the opposite trend of Mariners starter Marco Gonzales. He's dominated Oakland this year, going 3-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts. Take away Matt Chapman's robust .450 lifetime average against him, and the rest of the A's lineup is .177 against him in 113 chances. Take a chance on the big underdog.

17-8 IN LAST 25 MLB ML PICKS | +760
3-1 IN LAST 4 OAK ML PICKS | +281


MINNESOTA -156


N.Y. METS @ MINNESOTA | 7/16 | 8:10 PM EDT
9:53 AM
Steven Matz is back in the rotation due to Zack Wheeler's injury, but this is not a good place for him. He faces a Twins lineup that ranks No. 1 in MLB in hitting against left-handed pitching (.296), and No. 2 in OPS (.868). And he's on the road -- Matz this season is 2-6 with a 7.07 ERA away from Citi Field. Meanwhile, Twins starter Michael Pineda has found his form, allowing two runs over his last 12 innings.

17-8 IN LAST 25 MLB ML PICKS | +760
15-6 IN LAST 21 NYM ML PICKS | +773

11-5 IN LAST 16 MIN ML PICKS | +483


MIAMI +110


SAN DIEGO @ MIAMI | 7/16 | 7:10 PM EDT
9:43 AM
Through five starts, Marlins rookie pitcher Jordan Yamamoto has held opponents scoreless in three of them and hasn't allowed more than three hits in any. Now he gets a Padres team that's struggling, hitting .217 and averaging 3.2 runs in the month of July. The Marlins' offense isn't any good and it's always a risk to back, but Padres rookie LHP Logan Allen is coming off consecutive duds -- opponents are hitting .294 against him this year. The price is right to back the home underdog.

17-8 IN LAST 25 MLB ML PICKS | +760
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA ML PICKS | +131

3-2 IN LAST 5 SD ML PICKS | +14


BOSTON -197


TORONTO @ BOSTON | 7/16 | 7:10 PM EDT
9:34 AM
Andrew Cashner makes his debut for the Red Sox since being traded from the Orioles. He's made two career starts at Fenway and both went not-so-good, but he was with Baltimore then. Now he is backed by a Boston offense that's raking, averging seven runs per game this month. And he faces a Blue Jays team that he's had a history of success against. The Toronto lineup is .175 hitting against him in 97 at-bats. The Sox offense should give enough support against Blue Jays call-up Jacob Waguespack.

17-8 IN LAST 25 MLB ML PICKS | +760
7-3 IN LAST 10 TOR ML PICKS | +334

27-19 IN LAST 46 BOS ML PICKS | +244


N.Y. YANKEES -150


TAMPA BAY @ N.Y. YANKEES | 7/16 | 7:05 PM EDT
9:23 AM
The Rays are hitting well right now and are 17-9 this year when Ryan Stanek starts in one of their bullpen games. But the Yankees are at home and they're throwing a pitcher that Tampa has yet to figure out. Typically the more-often a team sees a pitcher, the better the bats should do. But the Rays have already faced CC Sabathia four times this year, and he's held them down in all four. Through 25 innings, Tampa's managed only seven runs on 18 hits with 18 strikeouts. Sabathia is always tougher at Yankee Stadium, where his 2.31 ERA is more than three runs lower than his road split.

17-8 IN LAST 25 MLB ML PICKS | +760
13-5 IN LAST 18 TB ML PICKS | +672

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel


SEATTLE +152


SEATTLE @ OAKLAND | 7/16 | 10:07 PM EDT
6:13 PM
There's spot value Tuesday on the Mariners because of a favorable matchup for starter Marco Gonzales, who has 30 percent of his wins this season against Oakland. He is 3-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts against the Athletics. He is 4-1 with a 3.12 ERA in his career against them. Oakland starter Daniel Megden is 1-2 with a 5.20 ERA in five career starts against the Mariners. Current form of both clubs dictates this price, but value looms on the underdog.

12-4 IN LAST 16 SEA ML PICKS | +794

[FATMANWINS]

ats
6 wash over
5 phil over

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
15 pitt over