Service Plays Friday 7/19/19

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 04:56 AM

Stephen Oh

San Francisco +157 Deg Bee
Colorado +188 Hap
Toronto -153 Str

SAN FRANCISCO +157

N.Y. METS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/19 | 10:15 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:23 PM
Defending Cy Young Award winner Jacob deGrom is going for the Mets, but New York hasn't shown up when he has, posting a poor 6-13 record in his starts. Meanwhile, San Francisco, not exactly a world-killer this year, is 7-2 when Tyler Beede gets the ball. My projections still back the Mets, but only by the slimmest of margins -- the Giants win nearly 50 percent of my simulations. Take the Giants as a wise value pick at a huge underdog price.

116-76 IN LAST 192 MLB ML PICKS | +3667
35-24 IN LAST 59 NYM ML PICKS | +1492

3-0 IN LAST 3 SF ML PICKS | +348

COLORADO +188

COLORADO @ N.Y. YANKEES | 7/19 | 7:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:19 PM
The Rockies aren't the same team on the road as they are at home, and they're in a big funk right now after a four-game sweep at the hands of the Giants. Now they head to Yankee Stadium, but they shouldn't be this big of an underdog. In fact, my projections are calling for an outright Rockies win over J.A. Happ. Getting an offense like this at a price like this is a gift. Lock in Colorado.

116-76 IN LAST 192 MLB ML PICKS | +3667
36-19 IN LAST 55 COL ML PICKS | +1895

29-20 IN LAST 49 NYY ML PICKS | +1093

TORONTO -153

TORONTO @ DETROIT | 7/19 | 7:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:15 PM
Both these teams' offenses have turned it around to an extent over the last few weeks. But Detroit was shut down by Marcus Stroman earlier this year. Stroman is auditioning to be traded to a contender -- my computer model says he does fine and the Blue Jays offense goes off. Toronto wins 68 percent of my simulations, which offer an implied probability of -213. Toronto at this price is a strong value.

116-76 IN LAST 192 MLB ML PICKS | +3667
28-9 IN LAST 37 DET ML PICKS | +1882

39-24 IN LAST 63 TOR ML PICKS | +1543

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 06:46 AM

SPARTAN

3*
Minnesota -128

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 06:46 AM

Goodfella

3*
OTTAWA/WINNIPEG UNDER 53

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 06:46 AM

SLEEPYJ

3*
Arizona / Milwaukee over 9.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 07:24 AM

BEN BURNS

3*
Minnesota / Oakland under 10.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 08:34 AM

JR ODONNELL

3* GOM Milwaukee -136

3* Oakland -110

3* LA DODGERS / Miami over 7.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 09:05 AM

+EV

MLB

4u Cardinals/Reds UNDER 10.5
4u Rangers/Astros OVER 8
4u Marlins +0.5 (+135) FIRST 5 INNINGS

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 11:06 AM

Larry Hartstein

ATLANTA +104

WASHINGTON @ ATLANTA | 7/19 | 7:20 PM EDT
10:22 AM
The Braves have an .804 OPS versus lefties, third-best in the National League, and I like them to bounce back Friday from a rare blowout loss at SunTrust Park. Grab the value on the home dog.

43-28 IN LAST 71 MLB ML PICKS | +1272
25-12 IN LAST 37 WAS ML PICKS | +1120

35-27 IN LAST 62 ATL ML PICKS | +460

CHI. CUBS -152

SAN DIEGO @ CHI. CUBS | 7/19 | 2:20 PM EDT
12:03 AM
Padres lefty Eric Lauer sports a 5.75 road ERA entering Friday's visit to Wrigley, where the Cubs are 34-17. Jon Lester is 4-1 with a 2.97 ERA in his last five starts. With the Padres on a 1-5 skid since the All-Star Break, their only victory a squeaker over the Marlins, I'll back Chicago to stay hot and win for the seventh time in their last eight at Wrigley.

43-28 IN LAST 71 MLB ML PICKS | +1272
34-14 IN LAST 48 SD ML PICKS | +1437

16-9 IN LAST 25 CHC ML PICKS | +597

TORONTO -159

TORONTO @ DETROIT | 7/19 | 7:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:52 PM
The Tigers are mired in a 4-24 swoon and I think Toronto will be the next team to take advantage. Detroit starter Jordan Zimmermann has been shelled for 14 earned runs over his last two starts covering 7.1 innings, and he's 0-4 with a 7.20 ERA at home this season. Lay it.

43-28 IN LAST 71 MLB ML PICKS | +1272
23-13 IN LAST 36 TOR ML PICKS | +856

9-2 IN LAST 11 DET ML PICKS | +700

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 11:06 AM

Adam Thompson

L.A. ANGELS -146

L.A. ANGELS @ SEATTLE | 7/19 | 10:10 PM EDT
10:11 AM
The Angels' offense is heating up, averaging 6.2 runs in the month of July. Friday they face Mike Leake -- the L.A. lineup is a lifetime .364 against him in a sizeable 162 at-bats Meanwhile, the Mariners have bottomed out, hitting .216 while averaging a measly 2.9 runs per game the last month. Angels starter Jamie Barria has allowed four runs over his last 15 innings. If he can go five frames (as he did each of his last three starts) and not get blown up, the Angels' offense can keep it going against Leake and the subpar Mariners bullpen.

21-13 IN LAST 34 MLB ML PICKS | +343
5-2 IN LAST 7 LAA ML PICKS | +271

ATLANTA +111

WASHINGTON @ ATLANTA | 7/19 | 7:20 PM EDT
10:02 AM
The Nationals' offense is playing better over the last few weeks and Patrick Corbin has allowed just six runs over his last five starts. He's also had a career of success against Atlanta (5-1 record in seven starts). But the Braves are one of the premier hitting teams at home, they're battering lefties and Corbin's 5.17 road ERA is more than three runs higher than his home split. Julio Teheran, meanwhile, has been far better at home and he's rebounded from three poor outings with a pair of quality starts. The Braves have won 13 of his 20 starts. The price is right to back the home underdog.

21-13 IN LAST 34 MLB ML PICKS | +343
26-10 IN LAST 36 ATL ML PICKS | +1757

4-3 IN LAST 7 WAS ML PICKS | +11

TORONTO -162

TORONTO @ DETROIT | 7/19 | 7:10 PM EDT
9:33 AM
Detroit is 2-11 in July and its team ERA is 7.19. On Friday they go with Jordan Zimmermann, who has zero wins on the season and has a 7.01 ERA of his own. He's backed by the 26th-ranked bullpen. Marcus Stroman has allowed three runs or less in 10 if his last 11 starts and blanked the Tigers over seven innings earlier this season. Toronto's offense should have a strong day and Stroman can hold down Detroit again.

21-13 IN LAST 34 MLB ML PICKS | +343
4-0 IN LAST 4 DET ML PICKS | +400

7-4 IN LAST 11 TOR ML PICKS | +137

CINCINNATI -109

ST. LOUIS @ CINCINNATI | 7/19 | 7:10 PM EDT
9:29 AM
Offensively, these teams are having similar seasons: inconsistent at times but overall just average. Their home vs. away splits are close. But there's reason to go with the Reds here, and it's the pitching matchup. Tyler Mahle hasn't won a game since May, but he's been decent enough at home -- opponents are hitting just .203 against him at Great American Ballpark. The trend is the same for Adam Wainwright. He's been good at home, but on the road he's 1-5 with a 6.20 ERA. With a Heat Index in Cincy expected to be in the 105-degree range for the first pitch, I'll give that edge to the pitcher 13 years younger, and the home team.

21-13 IN LAST 34 MLB ML PICKS | +343
5-1 IN LAST 6 STL ML PICKS | +405

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 11:06 AM

CleInsiderSports (7-3 L4 days)

MLB
Blue Jays ML (-160)
Cardinals/Reds OVER 10

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 11:06 AM

newworldinsiders

PHILLY INSIDER: Pirates -108

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 11:06 AM

Rockdeman Sports (MLB Underdog of the Day) - Atlanta Braves +108

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 11:07 AM

Consensus (4-7 L5 days)

MLB
5u Nationals ML (-115)
5u Diamondbacks ML (+120)

CFL
5u RedBlacks/Blue Bombers OVER 52

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-19-2019, 11:07 AM

H&H Sports

(MLB Runline Game of the Month)

6* Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 runs (-120)

Service Plays Friday 7/19/19

Service Plays Friday 7/19/19

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