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Season Betting Trends
Favorites: 16-7 SU, 11-12 ATS
Home teams: 15-8 SU, 13-10 ATS
Over/Under: 11-12
Favorites: 16-7 SU, 11-12 ATS
Home teams: 15-8 SU, 13-10 ATS
Over/Under: 11-12
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 7
David Schwab
Week 6 Betting Recap
The home teams swept Week 6 in the CFL straight-up while going 3-1 against the spread. The run started Thursday night with Calgary’s 26-16 victory at home against Toronto, but the Stampeders could not cover as heavy 13 ½-point favorites. On Friday night, Winnipeg stayed perfect of the year both SU and ATS with a 31-1 rout over Ottawa as 11 ½-point home favorites.
Saturday’s action started with Montreal pulling off its third-straight upset with a 20-10 victory against Edmonton closing as six-point underdogs at home. Later that night, Saskatchewan raced past British Columbia 38-25 as a six-point favorite in the first meeting in that home-and-home series.
Thursday, July 25
Calgary Stampeders (3-2 SU, 1-4 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -5
Total: 51 ½
Game Overview
Calgary remains two games back in the West Division standings as the defending champ. The total stayed UNDER 52 points in last week’s win against Toronto and it has remained UNDER in the Stampeders’ last three games.
Nick Arbuckle continues to get the start at quarterback and he has thrown for 914 yards and five touchdowns in four games. He had two touchdown passes against Toronto, but he was also picked off twice. Juwan Brescacin caught five passes for 64 yards and both of those touchdowns.
Ottawa’ losing streak reached three games with Friday’s setback. It has failed to cover the closing spread in its last four games. The RedBlacks went with Jonathon Jennings at quarterback for the injured Dominique Davis and he struggled with just 45 yards passing while going 6-for-15.
Will Arndt could not do much better with four completions on 13 attempts for 57 yards. The lone bright spot in one of Ottawa’s most dismal showings in franchise history was John Crockett’s 88 yards rushing on 15 carries.
Betting Trends
-- Calgary has a 4-1-1 SU record against Ottawa through the last six meetings. The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 11 meetings overall and in four of the last five matchups played at TD Place Stadium.
Toronto Argonauts (0-5 SU, 2-3 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -10 ½
Total: 53
Game Overview
The Argonauts have lost 14 of their last 15 games SU dating back to late August of last season. They have failed to cover in 11 of those games and the total has stayed UNDER in three of five games this year.
Mcleod Bethel-Thompson continues to get the start at quarterback and he continues to put up some big numbers despite the 0-5 start. He completed 32-of-42 passes against Calgary for 343 yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw four interceptions. He has thrown for 1,159 yards and seven scores in five games, but he leads the CFL with eight INT’s.
Edmonton has fallen two games in back of Winnipeg in the West with Saturday’s loss. The total stayed UNDER 54 in that game and it has stayed UNDER in the its last three games. The Eskimos have won their only two games at home this season SU with a 1-1 mark ATS.
Trevor Harris completed 29-of-43 passing attempts against Montreal for 271 yards, but he could not get the offense into the end zone through the air. He also ran for 16 of Edmonton’s 49 total rushing yards.
Betting Trends
-- Edmonton has won five of the last seven meetings SU in this inter-division matchup, but Toronto holds a 4-1 edge in the last five games ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings in Edmonton.
Friday, July 26
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Pick 'em
Total: 55
Game Overview
The Blue Bombers continue to play extremely well on both sides of the ball. The offense is averaging 33.8 points per game complementing a defense that has only allowed a total of 80 points in its first five games. The total stayed UNDER 52 points against Ottawa and it has stayed UNDER in three of their last four contests.
Matt Nichols completed an impressive 86.2 percent of his 29 passing attempts on Friday night for 295 yards and two touchdowns. This included a franchise-high 19 completions in a row.
Hamilton is the class of the East Division behind the highest scoring offense in the CFL (37.4 PPG). Its defense has also played extremely well by holding opposing teams to an average of 20 points a game. Jeramiah Masoli has thrown for 1,517 yards and nine touchdowns in his first five games.
His top target Brandon Banks leads the CFL in receiving yards with 506 on 36 receptions. He has caught three balls for touchdowns. The Tiger-Cats are 3-0 SU and ATS at home this year with the total staying UNDER in all three games.
Betting Trends
-- The Blue Bombers have the SU 4-2 edge in the last six meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in the last five matchups. It has also stayed UNDER in 11 of the last 12 meetings in Hamilton.
Saturday, July 27
Saskatchewan Roughriders (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) at British Columbia (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan 3 ½
Total: 52
Game Overview
The Roughriders needed three consecutive touchdown drives in the second half of the series opener to get past BC. They also got a huge boost from Marcus Thigpen’s 100-yard kickoff return for a touchdown near the end of the second quarter.
Cody Fajardo ended the game with 278 yards passing and two touchdown throws while completing 17 of his 23 passing attempts. He also led the team in rushing with 53 yards and a score on eight carries. Shaquelle Evans caught five passes for 158 yards and one of the two scores through the air.
The total went OVER 50 points in Saturday’s loss and it has gone OVER in four of the Lions’ first six games. Their defense has allowed an average of 32.7 points in those first six games. It has given up at least 30 points in five of those contests.
Mike Reilly put up some big numbers on Saturday with 346 yards passing while completing 77.5 percent of his 40 attempts and BC added another 122 yards running the ball.
Betting Trends
-- With Saturday’s win, Saskatchewan improved to 4-1 both SU and ATS in its last five games against the Lions. BC still has the 4-1 edge SU and ATS in its last five home games of this West Division tilt. The total has stayed UNDER in 14 of the last 18 meetings at BC Place Stadium.Comment
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CFL
Dunkel
Week 7
Thursday, July 25
Calgary @ Ottawa
Game 681-682
July 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
116.128
Ottawa
105.596
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 10 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 5
50
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-5); Over
Toronto @ Edmonton
Game 683-684
July 25, 2019 @ 9:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
97.278
Edmonton
115.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 18
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 11 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-11 1/2); UnderComment
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CFL
Long Sheet
Week 7
Thursday, July 25
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CALGARY (3 - 2) at OTTAWA (2 - 3) - 7/25/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-3 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (0 - 5) at EDMONTON (3 - 2) - 7/25/2019, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-0 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasonsComment
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CFL
Week 7
Trend Report
Thursday, July 25
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 9 games
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games when playing Ottawa
Calgary is 1-2-2 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games at home
Ottawa is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ottawa's last 11 games when playing Calgary
Ottawa is 2-2-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing Edmonton
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games at home
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Edmonton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Edmonton's last 13 games when playing Toronto
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing at home against TorontoComment
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CFL
Thursday, July 25
Calgary (3-2) @ Ottawa (2-3)— RedBlacks (+9) won 32-28 in Calgary June 15, outscoring Stampeders 11-0 in 4th quarter- they scored winning TD with 1:22 left, in sloppy game where Ottawa was -2 (5-3) in turnovers. Stamps are 4-1-1 in last six series games; they’re 1-1-2 SU in last four visits to nation’s capitol. Over is 7-3-1 in last 11 series games. Calgary allowed 30+ points in both their losses; they split couple road games. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. RedBlacks lost last three weeks, scoring 1-19-14 points- they scored 44-32 points in their only wins.
Toronto (0-5) @ Edmonton (3-2)— Home side won nine of last ten series games, with Toronto covering last four; Argonauts lost last five visits to Edmonton (2-3 vs spread). Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Four of winless Argos’ five losses are by 10+ points; their road losses are by 25-27-10 points. Three of their last four games stayed under. Eskimos scored 32+ points in all three of their wins, were held to 21-10 in losses. Last three Edmonton games stayed under the total.Comment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Saratoga
Saratoga - Race 3 Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Pick 4 (Races 3-6) Double WagersOptional Claiming $25,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $80,000 • Post: 1:51P FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (1.5% AFTERCARE ASSESSMENT DUE AT TIME OF CLAIM OTHERWISE CLAIM WILL BE VOID). ContendersRace AnalysisP#Horse Morn
LineAccept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PAVED WITH GOLD is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * LUCKY MOVE: Horse had a bullet workout within the las t seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RATAJKOWSKI: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. NOT ABOUT THE NAIL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BEYOND DISCREET: Horse has a TrackM aster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. 1LUCKY MOVE 4/17/26RATAJKOWSKI 8/55/13NOT ABOUT THE NAIL 6/18/12BEYOND DISCREET 6/110/1
P#Horse (In Running Style Order)PostMorn
LineRunning StyleGood
ClassGood
SpeedEarly FigureFinish FigurePlatinum
Figure7PAVED WITH GOLD 77/2Alternator/Front-runner 755942.744.636.16RATAJKOWSKI 68/5Stalker 807975.975.971.92BEYOND DISCREET 26/1Alternator/Stalker 806768.867.060.01LUCKY MOVE 14/1Alternator/Stalker 908560.078.673.13NOT ABOUT THE NAIL 36/1Trailer 838056.067.060.05CARLISLE BELLE 58/1Trailer 717042.658.045.54COTTON CANDY CUTIE 412/1Alternator/Non-contender 806970.063.052.5Comment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs
Presque Isle Downs - Race 6 $2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 6-7-8)Claiming $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 7:30P (PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES). ContendersRace AnalysisP#Horse Morn
LineAccept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * NO INTEREST: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equiba se Speed Figure at the distance/surface. EDDINGTON'S NOTE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BRING IT ON HOME: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. I ZOOM: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. 6NO INTEREST 12/15/13EDDINGTON'S NOTE 9/26/12BRING IT ON HOME 9/57/18I ZOOM 3/19/1
P#Horse (In Running Style Order)PostMorn
LineRunning StyleGood
ClassGood
SpeedEarly FigureFinish FigurePlatinum
Figure5ALEXANDRA KAY 58/1Front-runner 8685100.268.858.88I ZOOM 83/1Front-runner 868493.473.866.34MORGAN'S Z VA 415/1Front-runner 827982.656.843.82BRING IT ON HOME 29/5Front-runner 908580.287.279.27STARDOZA 710/1Front-runner 788474.676.665.16NO INTEREST 612/1Stalker 889074.886.484.43EDDINGTON'S NOTE 39/2Trailer 898478.483.077.01MAY FLOWERS 16/1Trailer 877751.681.469.4Comment
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $9100 Class Rating: 78
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES IN 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000
SURE SHE'S GRAND is my choice. Has to be given a shot - I like the numbers from the last competition. Is worth thinking about and may be a bet - strong speed figs (64 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Players should probably take a good look at this one as this filly has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this field. BUCH OF DAISIES - She must be given consideration given the competitive speed figs. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Colon will almost certainly have this mare in excellent position to win the contest. SPEARETTE - With a nice Equibase class rating average of 76, has one of the best class advantages in this group. She has recorded formidable numbers under today's conditions and will probably fare well against this group of horses in this race.RECOMMENDED CHOICES 
# 5 SURE SHE'S GRAND 4/1
# 7 BUCH OF DAISIES 5/1
# 3 SPEARETTE 2/1
Comment
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Arlington - Race #5 - Post: 3:36pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 89
Rating:
#6 INDUSTRIALIST (ML=8/1)
#5 FIST OF RAGE (ML=7/2)
#3 HERO TIGER (ML=9/2)
INDUSTRIALIST - You always have to be on the prowl for bankroll building rider/handler tandems; we have an instance right here. You have to like this fine animal changing from dirt to turf for the first time. He finished on the board on a sluggish dirt track on April 7th. A sign he may take to turf. Lets try to beat the probable favorites with this horse. Just missed last out, but ran a decent race. This trainer brings horses to the turf conditioned properly and ready to go, winning over 20 pct of the time under similar conditions. FIST OF RAGE - If the speed horses get weary, this gelding will kick into high gear. This gelding is probably the best closer in the field. This first time turf runner is going to give these horses a run for their money. He came in first in his try on a sluggish track on May 31st. Should like the turf. HERO TIGER - Running on the turf today, you should review a horse's class. This one has the top number in the bunch. Taking this jockey/conditioner combination is a smart move. A repeat of that last effort on July 13th where he earned a rating of 87 looks high enough to win in this event.
Vulnerable Contenders: #10 JIMMY AT LAST (ML=5/1), #1 POWER CRY (ML=6/1), #7 ECHOES OF LAUGHTER (ML=6/1),
JIMMY AT LAST - The speed figure last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a possibly overvalued equine. POWER CRY - The finish position of sixth in the last affair shows me that this equine may be going out of form. This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in short distance contests. I find it hard to bet on him in this race. ECHOES OF LAUGHTER - This thoroughbred hasn't had nary a single morning drill after running so well on July 5th.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - HERO TIGER - This colt improved his speed rating two races back on July 6th and improved again in the last race.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: #6 INDUSTRIALIST to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:Box [3,5,6] Total Cost: $6 SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [3,5,6] with [3,5,6] with [1,3,5,6,7] with [1,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $36 Comment
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Prairie Meadows
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 92
FOR THREE YEAR OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 25, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 25, 2019 ALLOWED 3 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE APRIL 25, 2019 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 IOWA BRED
POWERFUL THIRST is my choice. Have to play this gelding with the strong earnings per start in dirt route contests. Has been travelling soundly and has among the top speed in the race for today's distance. Reason to like this gelding as he has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. KIT CHECK - Has some encouraging handicapping angles which make this one a play. Seems to have a respectable class edge based on the most recent company kept. SEA TREATY - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Broberg have shown very solid results lately. Broberg has him trained admirably to break swiftly out of the gate.RECOMMENDED CHOICES # 4 POWERFUL THIRST 8/5
# 3 KIT CHECK 8/1
# 7 SEA TREATY 99/1
Comment
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Penn National - Race #8 - Post: 9:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,800 Class Rating: 50
Rating:
#8 FLOATING RATE (ML=4/1)
#4 REGAL TREASURE (ML=9/2)
FLOATING RATE - You'll be making money right and left by turning your cash onto this jockey/trainer combination. This filly is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprinters that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. Has a decent chance to break maiden moving to the main track in this event. REGAL TREASURE - I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least five class points like this one did in the last race. I believe she'll be competitive at this class. This mare almost broke her maiden since she finished first last time out, but was disqualified.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 LEMON DROP DREAMER (ML=7/2), #1 TAPITSTRY R V F (ML=6/1), #1A TIZ PROMISING RVF (ML=6/1),
LEMON DROP DREAMER - This filly hasn't had any strong victories in short distance races in the last two months. Just cannot bet on this steed. Didn't show me anything last out or on June 16th. Finished ninth in her most recent performance with a quite unimpressive speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. TAPITSTRY R V F - Doesn't appear to be worth 6/1 this time out. Pass on her this time. TIZ PROMISING RVF - This questionable contender hasn't been near the winner at the finish lately.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: #8 FLOATING RATE to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:8 with 4 with [3,5,6] Total Cost: $3 SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass Comment
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar
07/25/19, DMR, Race 2, 2.30 PT
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.39.03 CLAIMING. Purse $35,000.
Claiming Price $32,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2019
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta - $2 Rolling Double / 50 cent min. Rolling Pick Three - $1 Superfecta (10 cent min.) / 50 cent Early Pick 4 (2-5) - $2 Pick 6 Starts / $2 WPS Parlay
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.100.0000 3 Unusually Green 5-1 Cedillo A Wong Jonathan JT 097.7434 2 Kenjisstorm 3-1 Pedroza M A Carava Jack E 097.6263 11 Offshore 5-1 Arroyo. Jr. N Baltas Richard 096.9622 8 Artie B Good 5-1 Fuentes R Knapp Steve C 096.5765 10 Start a Runnin 6-1 Flores E Palma Hector O. WL 095.6145 6 Terrys Tom Cat 6-1 Gutierrez M McCanna Tim 094.8576 7 French Getaway 10-1 Bejarano R Hess. Jr. Robert B. SF 094.3064 9 Buckstopper Kit 4-1 Desormeaux K J Jones Martin F. 094.2516 4 Play Hard to Get 6-1 Van Dyke D Kruljac Ian 093.9121 1 Lifeline 10-1 Velez J I Sadler John W. 093.5547 5 Van Cortlandt 20-1 Arroyo. Jr. N Cerin Vladimir
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to DMR.
If Race Is Off Turf3 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 2 79.00 1.09 30.40 138 454 [All Surfaces] Not Third Start 11 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 8 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 10 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 6 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 7 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 9 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 4 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 1 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 5 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.100.0000 3 Unusually Green 5-1 Cedillo A Wong Jonathan JT 098.2421 11 Offshore 5-1 Arroyo. Jr. N Baltas Richard 096.6432 10 Start a Runnin 6-1 Flores E Palma Hector O. WL 096.4655 2 Kenjisstorm 3-1 Pedroza M A Carava Jack E 095.9386 9 Buckstopper Kit 4-1 Desormeaux K J Jones Martin F. 095.8318 8 Artie B Good 5-1 Fuentes R Knapp Steve FC 094.8036 6 Terrys Tom Cat 6-1 Gutierrez M McCanna Tim 094.4670 7 French Getaway 10-1 Bejarano R Hess. Jr. Robert B. S 092.6613 4 Play Hard to Get 6-1 Van Dyke D Kruljac Ian 092.0154 1 Lifeline 10-1 Velez J I Sadler John W. 090.4606 5 Van Cortlandt 20-1 Arroyo. Jr. N Cerin Vladimir
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to DMR.
3 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 11 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 10 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 2 83.60 1.34 34.43 42 122 [All Dirt] Not Second Race After 45 Days Off 9 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 8 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 6 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 7 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 4 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 1 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) 5 84.00 1.15 23.47 65 277 [All Surfaces] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry) Comment
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga
07/25/19, SAR, Race 10, 5.48 ET
1M [Inner Turf] 1.33.01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $83,000.
Claiming Price $40,000 (1. INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.100.0000 8 Minsky Moment 4-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. F 098.7264 11 Mo Diddley 7/2 Velazquez J R Casse Mark E. W 098.5376 4 Way Early 5/2 Franco M Weaver George SC 098.3670 12 The Caretaker 4-1 Saez L McLaughlin Kiaran P. 097.6389 1 Storm Prophet 8-1 Santana. Jr. R Atras Rob 097.5084 5 Macagone 3-1 Lezcano J Servis Jason JT 097.2300 10 Shamrock Kid 20-1 Saez L Schosberg Richard E. L 096.9736 2 Evaluator 8-1 Alvarado J Bond H. James E 094.8470 9 We Should Talk 15-1 Landeros C Gullo Gary P. 094.7795 6 Appealing Briefs 10-1 Ortiz J L Abreu Jorge R. 094.4101 3 Ides of Arch(b-) 15-1 Maragh R Levine Bruce N. 090.8685 7 Leaveematthegate 15-1 Davis D Gyarmati Leah
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.
If Race Is Off Turf8 68.80 1.75 45.65 21 46 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Finish 11 65.40 1.41 31.65 25 79 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today 4 63.00 1.62 37.25 19 51 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today 12 65.40 1.41 31.65 25 79 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today 1 65.40 1.41 31.65 25 79 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today 5 57.50 1.34 34.52 29 84 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today 10 65.40 1.41 31.65 25 79 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today 2 65.40 1.41 31.65 25 79 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today 9 49.00 1.27 30.77 28 91 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today 6 63.00 1.62 37.25 19 51 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today 3 63.00 1.62 37.25 19 51 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today 7 57.50 1.34 34.52 29 84 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.100.0000 8 Minsky Moment 4-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. 099.6375 11 Mo Diddley 7/2 Velazquez J R Casse Mark E. W 098.9357 4 Way Early 5/2 Franco M Weaver George SEC 098.1339 12 The Caretaker 4-1 Saez L McLaughlin Kiaran P. 097.7568 1 Storm Prophet 8-1 Santana. Jr. R Atras Rob 097.7424 5 Macagone 3-1 Lezcano J Servis Jason JTF 097.5639 2 Evaluator 8-1 Alvarado J Bond H. James 096.4481 10 Shamrock Kid 20-1 Saez L Schosberg Richard E. L 094.9318 9 We Should Talk 15-1 Landeros C Gullo Gary P. 094.0793 6 Appealing Briefs 10-1 Ortiz J L Abreu Jorge R. 093.8548 3 Ides of Arch(b-) 15-1 Maragh R Levine Bruce N. 092.5312 7 Leaveematthegate 15-1 Davis D Gyarmati Leah
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.4 26.80 1.56 33.33 8 24 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race 12 16.20 1.27 33.33 10 30 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today 1 9.90 1.11 42.55 20 47 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5 5 9.90 1.11 42.55 20 47 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5 2 26.80 1.56 33.33 8 24 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race 10 16.20 1.27 33.33 10 30 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today 9 16.20 1.27 33.33 10 30 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today 3 9.90 1.11 42.55 20 47 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5 Comment
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Bob Valentino
Thursday's comp play will be the Yankees in the first of four big division battles in Boston tonight as they take on the Red Sox.
This is the first time this season the teams will be meeting at Fenway Park, and the fact that the host Sox are below .500 at 24-25 in their home park sure does not bode well for a play on the home team tonight.
The Yankees shook off their 2 game losing skid by winning the final pair of game in their just finished 3 game set at Minnesota, and they did so by scoring a whopping 24 runs!
New York is on a 7-2 run their last 9 games, and in games against Boston this season the Yankees have won 6 of 7.
Masahiro Tanaka and Rick Porcello get the call tonight for the opener, and Tanaka is 4-0 in his last 7 starts, and is also 8-4 for his career against the Red Sox.
Porcello is on a 3 game winning streak, and stands at 10-9 for his career versus the Yankees.
Boston needs a sweep this weekend. If not a sweep, at least a winning series, but New York continues to look like the team to beat in the A.L., so I will lay the small road chalk with the Yankees on Friday.
3* N.Y. YANKEESComment
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