Friday 7-26-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Arthur Ralph

FREE play FRI Phillies w/ ARREITA+115

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Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Friday: TEXAS (Lynn) Even over Oakland

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High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Friday: Tampa Bay Rays - 145

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Tony Brown

Tony's *5 Star MLB Free Pick

LA Dodgers vs. Washington, 07/26/2019 19:05 EDT

Total: +100/+9 Under

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Fp: dodgers struggling right now losers of back to back games have seen the bats go cold . And I don't see the nats getting many runs vs Ryu who has been lights out all year with a sub 2 era ! 10 runs to beat us will be a chore making the under my mlb free pick !

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Alex Smart

MLB

Chi Cubs vs. Milwaukee, 07/26/2019 20:10 EDT

Money Line: -108 Chi Cubs

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

When I first looked at this game, I was not sold on the Cubs with Hendricks on the hill as he has struggled a bit on the road this season. But after really running the numbers, my projections and power rankings say we do have some value here with the Cubbies vs the Brewers. Note: Hendricks despite of being winless in July still garnered a 3.60 ERA. In 20 career starts against Milwaukee, Hendricks is 8-6 with a 3.22 ERA. Meanwhile the Brewers starter Gio Gonzalez will make his second start since a stint on the injured list for left shoulder inflammation and in his first start after the injury threw just 74 pitches, and could easily experience rust.

Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 games following an off day.

CHICAGO CUBS are 30-17 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.

Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day.Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.MILWAUKEE is 2-9 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season.

MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 37-16 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 1	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Place Pick All Starts Here/ $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $1 Early Double / $1 Pick Four
Claiming $2,500 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 7:55P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 26 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500 (MAIDEN RACES AND RACES FOR $2,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * PART OF MY HEART: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today i s a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. MISS NAPPER TANDY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BABY BEAUTY: Toda y is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SIX EIGHTEEN: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
3	PART OF MY HEART	3/1	9/2
5	MISS NAPPER TANDY	5/2	6/1
4	BABY BEAUTY	2/1	7/1
2	SIX EIGHTEEN	3/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	SIX EIGHTEEN	2	3/1	Front-runner	64	61	75.0	49.2	41.2
5	MISS NAPPER TANDY	5	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	66	66	71.5	53.0	48.5
3	PART OF MY HEART	3	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	76	67	65.0	65.8	62.3
4	BABY BEAUTY	4	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	68	63	65.0	54.4	49.4
1	SHARPEST ONE	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	56	46.7	49.6	40.6
6	AVO	6	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	60	45.8	42.8	31.8

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Meadows

Fair Meadows - Race 12	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
Allowance • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 9:35P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. (MULTIPLE WINNERS PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * POLITICAL MESS: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. EYE THE CORONADO: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. THROW TH D ICE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. OLENA SANGRIA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. REDNECKEDNESS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6	POLITICAL MESS	7/2	6/1
2	EYE THE CORONADO	6/1	6/1
5	THROW TH DICE	10/1	7/1
1	OLENA SANGRIA	8/1	8/1
7	REDNECKEDNESS	10/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	OLENA SANGRIA	1	8/1	Average	85	79	5.3	0.0	0.0
2	EYE THE CORONADO	2	6/1	Average	87	84	4.1	0.0	0.0
3	MARY JANES HERO	3	12/1	Average	81	83	4.8	0.0	0.0
4	PEVES CANDY COWBOY	4	5/1	Average	78	79	5.0	0.0	0.0
5	THROW TH DICE	5	10/1	Fast	85	82	3.3	0.0	0.0
6	POLITICAL MESS	6	7/2	Slow	91	84	6.1	0.0	0.0
7	REDNECKEDNESS	7	10/1	Average	85	82	5.3	0.0	0.0
8	PV HY RATE OF CANDY	8	20/1	Fast	73	73	0.0	0.0	0.0
9	APOLLITICAL DESIRE	9	9/2	Slow	82	80	7.2	0.0	0.0
10	DASHAIR JESS	10	6/1	Fast	76	80	2.8	0.0	0.0

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Albuquerque

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10600 Class Rating: 48

FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 TRIGGERED 5/2
# 4 SOMETIMES A REBEL 7/2
# 3 GHOSTLY TWO STEP 10/1

I've got to go with TRIGGERED. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Cappellucci running at this distance are the most favorable in this group. Negron will almost certainly be able to get this filly to break out early here. Must be carefully examined - I like the figs from the last outing.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 85

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OR NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 OBSOLETE 7/2
# 3 ELLE'S CROWN 8/1
# 1 BENTEN 12/1

OBSOLETE looks to be a very strong contender. Don't overlook this filly in your bets - very dangerous with Lara aboard. Could best this group of horses based on the speed rating - 89 - of her last outing. Has a strong shot for this event if you like back class. BENTEN - Will almost certainly come out strong - I have liked the way this mare has moved rapidly to the front end recently. With a very good 83 speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this outing.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Arlington - Race #5 - Post: 5:31pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#3 PRADO'S ENCORE (ML=8/1)
#8 RAGATAGTAG (ML=7/2)
#1 KURINGAI (ML=6/1)


PRADO'S ENCORE - That recent bullet 35.0 work shows that this filly is ready for a top race today. RAGATAGTAG - She keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. When I handicap a race on the turf, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This magnificent animal has the highest average class in the entire group. (EPS) earnings per start is something that I believe can be an important handicapping aspect. This entrant is ranked at the top of the list in this bunch. KURINGAI - Boyce has this filly spotted in the ideal race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DAME OF THRONES (ML=3/1), #7 MY JILLY (ML=6/1), #6 COOLER SCHEDULE (ML=8/1),

DAME OF THRONES - This field is a whole lot tougher than the ones she met in the last event. Quite unimpressive speed figure last out at Arlington at 1 mile. Don't feel this runner will improve too much in today's race. MY JILLY - Just cannot play this questionable contender. Didn't show me anything positive last time out or on June 21st. Registered a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last time out in a $12,500 Claiming race on July 4th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that rating. COOLER SCHEDULE - This mount showed very little last time out of the box finishing sixth. No reason to expect any change in today's event. Can't really be sure that the latest rating of 75 is valid since it was garnered on the soft turf.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - RAGATAGTAG - This horse is meeting a much easier bunch than in the last contest on Jul 6th. Worth a prime wager today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #3 PRADO'S ENCORE to win if you can get odds of 4/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park

07/26/19, MTH, Race 1, 1.15 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.39.01 CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
Claiming Price $16,000, For Each $1,000 To $14,000 1 lb. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Win, Place and Show - Exacta, 50-Cent Trifecta and 10-Cent Superfecta - Daily Double (Races 1-2)/50-Cent Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) - 50-Cent Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	1	Jammin Jimtown	7/2	Diaz. Jr. H R	Navarro Jorge	TFW
097.8031	6	Tizcreetly	8-1	Juarez N	Cibelli Jane
096.1777	4	Cappy Hour	8/5	Kay W R	Belsoeur Yvon	SL
095.9913	7	He'll Do	4-1	Coa K J	Proctor Thomas F.	E
095.8892	5	Run for Boston	6-1	Lopez P	Ryerson James T.	JC
094.6436	2	Chichmeister	10-1	Torres J	Huston Rory K.
093.9823	8	Knight Errant(b-)	5-1	Rodriguez J C	Zito Nicholas P.
092.6017	3	Reign Charger	30-1	Parish R	Thompson Garry L.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to MTH.

1	6.20	1.10	41.94	13	31	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Third Race After 45 Days Off
6	2.80	1.13	45.45	5	11	[All Turf] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
4	3.40	1.04	41.46	17	41	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best LeadPack
7	2.80	1.13	45.45	5	11	[All Turf] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
5	2.80	1.13	45.45	5	11	[All Turf] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
2	4.60	1.38	50.00	3	6	[All Turf] Last Race Purse Same As Today
8	2.80	1.13	45.45	5	11	[All Turf] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
3	2.80	1.13	45.45	5	11	[All Turf] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5

* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	1	Jammin Jimtown	7/2	Diaz. Jr. H R	Navarro Jorge	TSFW
095.4561	5	Run for Boston	6-1	Lopez P	Ryerson James T.	JEC
095.3229	6	Tizcreetly	8-1	Juarez N	Cibelli Jane
095.1838	7	He'll Do	4-1	Coa K J	Proctor Thomas F.
094.7430	4	Cappy Hour	8/5	Kay W R	Belsoeur Yvon	L
094.1957	2	Chichmeister	10-1	Torres J	Huston Rory K.
092.7957	8	Knight Errant(b-)	5-1	Rodriguez J C	Zito Nicholas P.
091.4597	3	Reign Charger	30-1	Parish R	Thompson Garry L.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to MTH.

1	5.00	1.13	15.79	3	19	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
5	5.00	1.13	15.79	3	19	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
6	5.00	1.13	15.79	3	19	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
7	5.00	1.13	15.79	3	19	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
4	1.00	1.02	14.29	3	21	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
8	13.80	1.26	51.85	14	27	[All Dirt] Carries Apprentice Weight

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Maiden Special - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 60

Rating:

#9 JORDAN SPRINGS (ML=3/1)
#8 NICO (ML=9/2)


JORDAN SPRINGS - Acosta was aboard this filly last time around the track and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. This equine has the speed, and no one may be able to keep up with her. NICO - This handler has an ROI of +79 with horses first time out. I like the fact that this first-timer has been working over the same track he'll be making his debut on. Contreras, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix right here. A positive sign.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 OCASIONALY CLASSY (ML=5/1), #5 HYPOTHESIS (ML=6/1), #4 TAMAQUA (ML=8/1),

OCASIONALY CLASSY - Could be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list. HYPOTHESIS - Doesn't look to have enough positive qualities to warrant the price. TAMAQUA - Trying to beat this thoroughbred this time at the value of 8/1.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - NICO - This trainer does well with firsters (25 pct winners). This colt is worth a play.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#9 JORDAN SPRINGS is the play if we get odds of 8/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [8,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	9 with 8 with [3,4,5] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	9 with 8 with [2,3,4,5,10] with [2,3,4,5,10] Total Cost: $20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

07/26/19, SAR, Race 1, 1.00 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $40,000.
Claiming Price $20,000 (1. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	4	Karabessa	15-1	Carmouche K	DiPrima Gregory	EW
099.6882	2	Handle With Care	7/2	Gaffalione T	Brown Bruce R.	L
099.5894	3	Countenance	3/5	Ortiz J L	Clement Christophe	JSFC
098.8677	5	G. T. Sonia	10-1	Alvarado J	Noda Orlando	T
097.8017	1	Russian Melody	6-1	Davis D	Weaver George
094.6400	7	Know Point Given	20-1	Reyes L R	Matties Gregg M.
093.8958	6	Ask Contrition	30-1	Martinez J R	Parker Joseph G.
092.4665	8	Flying Pleasantly	20-1	Jimenez S	Persaud Randi

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.

4	26.80	1.34	30.00	12	40	[Dirt MdnMClm] Best Workouts
2	6.00	1.25	25.00	3	12	[Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Age 4UP
3	12.80	1.19	30.30	10	33	[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
5	65.40	1.41	31.65	25	79	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
1	1.10	1.01	28.21	11	39	[All Dirt] Race Type Maiden Claiming
7	6.00	1.25	25.00	3	12	[Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Age 4UP
6	12.80	1.19	30.30	10	33	[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
8	6.00	1.25	25.00	3	12	[Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Age 4UP

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Reds -130
2. Gameday Network MLB – Indians -130
3. VegasSI.com MLB – Giants +130
4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Cubs -110
5. Sports Action 365 MLB – Red Sox +110
6. Point Spread Report MLB – Dodgers under 9.5
7. Lou Panelli MLB – Reds over 8.5
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino MLB – Cardinals -105
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Tigers +125
10. William E. Stockton MLB – Rangers +100
11. Vincent Pioli MLB – Indians over 9.5
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Twins -160
13. SCORE MLB – Rockies +120
14. East Coast Line Movers MLB – Mets -175
15. Tony Campone MLB – Red Sox +110
16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Giants +130
17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Twins -160
18. VIP Action MLB – Blue Jays +120
19. South Beach Sports MLB – Dodgers -160
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Mets -175
21. NY Players Club MLB – Athletics -110
22. Fred Callahan MLB – Rangers under 9
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Cubs -110
24. Michigan Sports MLB – Diamondbacks -175
25. National Consensus Report MLB – Dodgers under 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Lock Sports

MLB

BOSTON RED SOX +115