Service Plays Friday 8/2/19

[B*mb07]

Champagne - Phillies Dime Man - Indians Astros

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockdeman Sports (MLB Underdog of the Day) - Boston Red Sox +123

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Goodfella (MLB) - 2* Pittsburgh Pirates +105

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MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:05 PM EST
Rotation #965-966
Red Sox/Yankees Over 10.5 runs
Rodriguez/Paxton

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

TOP RATED 10* RED SOX @ YANKEES TOTAL
10* play on OVER


8* play on NY Mets


TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY
10* play on Houston Astros -1.5.

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Stats Analytics Sports

MLB

Risked 3 units to win 3.09 UNDER 10 +103 vs New York Yankees

Risked 3.39 units to win 3 OVER 9 -113 vs Cleveland Indians

Risked 3.36 units to win 3 UNDER 10 -112 vs Texas Rangers

Risked 3.36 units to win 3 UNDER 11 -112 vs Minnesota Twins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Rogers

MLB - Chicago White Sox +170

The White Sox are coming off a rough homestand against the Marlins, Twins, and Mets by losing eight of ten games. Chicago travels to Philadelphia tonight to face the Phillies for a three-game interleague series. The Sox have won only two games since July 22, but both victories have come with Ivan Nova on the mound. Nova gets the start for the Sox tonight as the veteran right-hander allowed a total of two runs in his past two starts against Miami and Minnesota. I'll back Chicago as a heavy underdog here

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia

MLB - Texas Rangers -1.5 runs (-140)

The Tigers are hopeful that rookie lefty Tyler Alexander can pick up his first victory but it's going to be a challenge against a Rangers lineup that scored five or more runs in five of their last six games to close July. Alexander has fared poorly in both his road starts and doesn't have much room for error since Rangers' ace Lance Lynn is taking the mound against Detroit and has won six of his last eight starts. Ride Texas -1.5 on the run line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tim Wilkerson (CFL) - Best Bet - Ottawa +7

Week 8 CFL Betting Preview
Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes

Ottawa's losing streak extended to four games last week with a controversial decision to take a safety late in the game to allow just a FG to beat them, rather then punt the ball away, yes, give Calgary a short field, but forcing the Stamps to need a TD to win. HC Rick Campbell owned up to his regrets in that decision after the game, as the 17-16 defeat added another layer to their recent woes. The Redblacks enter this week having lost four in a row, and they really blew a great outing from their defense specifically a week ago.

But it's not like there weren't signs of improvement for Ottawa, as they moved the ball against Calgary quite well in the 1st half of that game and just couldn't punch it into the end zone. Every bettor knows that any team that continually settles for FG's – especially short ones – is more then likely setting themselves up for failure in the end. While it took a highly questionable coaching decision in the end to reach that failure, had the Redblacks offense been able to put a few TD's up on the board earlier, that questionable decision would have never been made.

Moving the ball consistently was a positive to hang their hat on – even if it was just for a half – and with the return of starting QB Dominique Davis this week, their is definitely more cause for optimism. Davis hasn't been dominant by any stretch of the imagination, but he's definitely more capable to be the starter for the Redblacks at this stage of the season, and as long as he is able to protect the football, this offense should look much better then they have for weeks.

The problem with that is that's a big “if” for Davis going up against a Montreal defense that's been the biggest reason for the Alouettes three-game winning streak and turning their season around. They held a very talented Edmonton attack to just 10 points in their last outing, and coming off the bye with two weeks to prepare for this home game is quite the beneficial situation on paper at least. It's not like Montreal's an organization that's gotten used to winning in recent years, so complacency off the bye is unlikely, but winning the game SU and winning by 8+ points are two very different prospective results to wrap your head around.

The fact that this point spread has shifted the 16 points it has in a matter of weeks is telling to just how over-reactive the betting market can be in the span of a few weeks. One team – Montreal – has gotten nothing but praise (and rightfully so) for the past few weeks for their play, and all anyone remembers about Ottawa in that same span is how they got dominated at home by this Alouettes team as a big home favorite, put up just a single point the following week against Winnipeg, and then shot themselves in the foot for a victory against Calgary last week. In terms of perception, Montreal's stock probably couldn't be much higher right now and it would be tough for Ottawa's to be much lower. That can become a very problematic scenario in this spot because there is no way that just a few results and a home field switch warrant a 16-point swing in the spread.

These two teams aren't that different from the two versions of themselves that met three weeks ago, and what ended up being a bad number on Ottawa in that game, has the same feel of being a bad one on Montreal here. Even counting for home field advantage, neither team should really be laying more than a TD against the other, as recent form is still too influential across all sports in today's sports betting landscape.

This game is a prime example of that, and while in the end, this play could end up losing this specific week, going against this type of market perception over the course of a large sample size of wagers should rarely steer you wrong.

Best Bet: Ottawa +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

4% Over 9 LAD/SDG

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Consensus

Atlanta -171 (7-2)
Texas -260 (7-1)

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Seabass second update : 400 pirates , 400 Red Sox game under , 500 white Sox game over , 700 reds , 700 reds game under , 400 tigers RL, 500 Washington (WNBA)

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Chris Jordan

1000* L.A. DODGERS RUN LINE in their home game against the San Diego Padres. As I release this play at 8 am Thursday, the number I see is Los Angeles -1' runs, -115.