Tuesday 7-30-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs

07/30/19, LAD, Race 6, 5.37 CT
1M 70Y [Dirt] 1.39.02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $19,500.
Claiming Price $17,500 (Races Where Entered For $15,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $17,500
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	3	Tashkent	9/2	Lozada C	Prather. Jr. John Henr	JT
099.8364	1	Always a Catch	3/2	Eramia R E	Asmussen Steven M.
098.9924	5	Mallard's Bro	4-1	Dominguez J	Cates Al	S
097.8837	2	Nomo Ron	5/2	Singh R R	Caldwell J. R.	FEL
097.3545	4	Jack Be Quick	8-1	Guerrero J A	Turner Patti	W
096.0501	6	Whatdatpay Ray	12-1	Castillo A	Goins Garland	C

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.

3	39.90	1.06	33.33	107	321	[All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
1	44.10	1.11	35.75	69	193	[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
5	39.90	1.06	33.33	107	321	[All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
2	99.20	1.20	39.84	98	246	[All Surfaces] Best Finish
4	47.40	1.16	34.67	52	150	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Workouts
6	44.10	1.11	35.75	69	193	[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Jul 30 '19, 7:10 PM in 10h
MLB | Pirates vs Reds
Play on: Reds -123 at pinnacle

1* Free Sharp Play on Reds -123

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Jul 30 '19, 8:05 PM in 11h
MLB | Mariners vs Rangers
Play on: Mariners +118 at 5Dimes

One of the better starting pitchers this month is Mike Leake. Yeah, that Mike Leake. He's quietly posted a 2-1 record with a 2.59 ERA in four July starts. One of those victories came against the Rangers six days ago, 5-3. Leake held Texas to three runs in seven innings. Leake has a 22-to-2 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his past four outings. Seattle has been below-the-radar, too, winning its last five games. The Mariners have allowed just 10 runs during their five-game win streak. The Rangers have fallen back to Earth losing 11 of their last 14 games. They are 7-17 during their past 24 games and are looking to deal their best pitcher, Mike Minor, realizing that making the postseason is not a realistic goal anymore. Texas is 1-7 the past eight times facing a righty starter. The Rangers also are without their top power hitter with Joey Gallo sidelined. I like Leake in his current form better than Texas starter Ariel Jurado, who is 2-4 with a 5.45 ERA in 10 home starts. The Mariners' bullpen is bolstered by the return of Hunter Strickland. The Rangers, by contrast, have one of the worst bullpens and it's made worse by their closer, Shawn Kelley, being out.
(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is a perfect 2-for-2 the past two days on his baseball plays and has his strongest Interleague totals play of the summer going today in addition to this free play.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Jul 30 '19, 8:10 PM in 11h
MLB | Mets vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox +144 at 5Dimes

1* Free Play on White Sox +144

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Jul 30 '19, 8:10 PM in 11h
MLB | Mets vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox +143 at pinnacle

1* Free Pick on White Sox +143

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony’s *5 star MLB Free Pick

San Francisco vs. Philadelphia, 07/30/2019 19:05 EDT

Total: -113/+10½ Under

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Fp: Giants bats have been cold all season and with Philadelphia doing most of the heavy lifting in this series 11 runs will be a chore making the under my MLB free pick.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, July 30


Baltimore @ San Diego

Game 921-922
July 30, 2019 @ 3:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Eshelman) 14.645
San Diego
(Lamet) 17.307
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
N/A

Arizona @ NY Yankees

Game 923-924
July 30, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Clarke) 15.845
NY Yankees
(Happ) 13.688
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 2
16
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-220
11 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+190); Over

Atlanta @ Washington

Game 903-904
July 30, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Teheran) 14.180
Washington
(Fedde) 17.086
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-155
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-155); Over

San Francisco @ Philadelphia

Game 901-902
July 30, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Beede) 15.080
Philadelphia
(Smyly) 18.111
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-130
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-130); Under

Minnesota @ Miami

Game 925-926
July 30, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Odorizzi) 14.738
Miami
(Gallen) 15.986
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-155
8
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+135); Under

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati

Game 905-906
July 30, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Musgrve) 13.740
Cincinnati
(Roark) 15.877
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-130
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-130); Over

Tampa Bay @ Boston

Game 913-914
July 30, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Morton) 14.631
Boston
(Price) 16.525
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-145
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-145); Under

Houston @ Cleveland

Game 911-912
July 30, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Verlander) 17.321
Cleveland
(Bieber) 15.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-135); Under

Seattle @ Texas

Game 915-916
July 30, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Leake) 15.745
Texas
(Jurado) 14.167
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-125
11
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+105); Under

NY Mets @ Chicago White Sox

Game 927-928
July 30, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Syndrgrd) 16.964
Chicago White Sox
(Lopez) 12.840
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 4
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-160); Under

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis

Game 907-908
July 30, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Darvish) 14.635
St. Louis
(Wnwrght) 16.267
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+105); Under

Toronto @ Kansas City

Game 917-918
July 30, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Reid-Foley) 13.629
Kansas City
(Mntgmry) 15.858
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
N/A

LA Dodgers @ Colorado

Game 909-910
July 30, 2019 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Gonsolin) 16.763
Colorado
(Freeland) 14.237
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 2 1/2
14
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
N/A

Milwaukee @ Oakland

Game 929-930
July 30, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Houser) 17.375
Oakland
(Bassitt) 15.928
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
N/A

Detroit @ LA Angels

Game 919-920
July 30, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Verhagen) 12.968
LA Angels
(Canning) 14.454
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-270
10
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-270); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence Incredible Stat of the Day:

St. Louis Cardinal pitcher Adam Wainwright is 13-1 in his last 14 team-starts during July.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Jul 30 '19, 7:05 PM in 7h
MLB | SFO vs PHI
Play on: OVER 10½ -105

MIKE LUNDIN'S GIANTS @ PHILLIES FREE PICK
The San Francisco Giants have scored plenty of runs during a 19-5 run that has put them in postseason contention despite a slow start to the year. They'll visit the Philadelphia Phillies for the opener of a three-game series Monday night, and I expect to see plenty of fireworks from both sides as the Phillies have been swinging hot bats lately as well.
The Giants hand the ball to Tyler Beede (3-4, 4.85 ERA) who served up career worsts of three homers while allowing four runs on 10 hits in 5 2/3 innings of a loss to the Cubs last time out. Beede has a 5.54 ERA in eight outings (seven starts) on the road this season.
The Phillies counter with left-hander Drew Smyly (1-5, 7.69 ERA). He impressed with six innings of one-run ball in his first start with the team after coming over from Texas, but note his earned run average for the season ... The Giants have hit lefties well lately, and this could turn ugly fast for Smyly.
Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 9-2-1 in Giants last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Free pick on OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Jul 30 '19, 7:05 PM in 7h
MLB | Giants vs Phillies
Play on: Giants +119 at 5Dimes

My free play is on the SF Giants at 7:05 ET. The San Francisco Giants were 35-47 on the morning of June 30 but have since won 19 of their last 24 games to insert themselves into wild-card discussion in the National League. As the surging 54-52 Giants get set to open a three-game series against the host Philadelphia Phillies, they are just 2 1/2 games back of the second wild card spot. Philadelphia salvaged the finale of its pivotal series against Atlanta with a 9-4 victory on Sunday and at 55-50, resides one game out of that spot. However, unlike the red-hot Giants, the Phillies are 22-28 since May 29. Tyler Beede (3-4, 4.85 ERA) will take the mound tonight for the Giants, while Phillies will counter with Drew Smyly (1-5, 7.69 ERA). The Giants have won EIGHT of Beede's 11 starts (plus-$875) but he will take the mound Tuesday after surrendering a career-high three HRs and 10 hits in his last outing, a 4-1 setback vs the Chicago Cubs last Wednesday. All three of Beede's wins have come away from AT&T Park but his road ERA of 5.54) leaves a lot to be desired. The Phillies made a move Monday to bolster their starting rotation by trading for New York Mets left-hander Jason Vargas. Taking the mound tonight wiil be Drew Smyly, who the Phillies recently acquired from the Rangers. Smyly earned himself a second start after a dazzling debut with Philadelphia on July 21, when he allowed just one run while striking out eight in six innings of a no-decision against Pittsburgh (Phillies won, 2-1). Smyly has yet to face San Francisco in his career. Beede's road ERA is a concern but the Giants are on a roll (see above) plus how can one take Smyly's Philadelphia debut too seriously? It came against the Pirates, who have lost NINE in a row, plus 15 of 17 since the All Star break. Smyly made 13 appearances (nine starts) while with Texas in 2019, going 1-5 with an 8.42 ERA, 1.91 WHIP and .299 BAA. Giants are the bet! Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Jul 30 '19, 8:10 PM in 8h
MLB | Mets vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox +144 at 5Dimes

1* Free Play on White Sox +144
With the trade deadline swiftly approaching, the Mets (50-55) have a lot on their plate coming into tonight’s matchup with the White Sox (46-57).
After the Mets acquired starter Marcus Stroman, right-hander Noah Syndergaard (7-5, 4.33 ERA) became the subject of even more trade rumors. So, with the potential for this to be his last game in a Mets uniform, Syndergaard gets the start in Chicago (assuming he isn’t traded before the game).
Opposite Syndergaard will be Reynaldo Lopez (5-9, 5.52 ERA). The White Sox right-hander has had a strong second half so far, producing a 1.71 ERA since the All-Star break. In his last outing, Lopez pitched eight innings and gave up just two runs while striking out 10.
Although the Mets come into this contest as the favorites, New York is a meager 22-35 on the road while the White Sox have managed a winning record at home (27-25).
Look for a good game from White Sox third baseman Yoan Moncada, who’s been good against the NL this year. In 34 at-bats of interleague play, Moncada is batting .324 with three doubles, a triple, and three home runs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Jul 30 '19, 8:10 PM in 8h
MLB | Mets vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox +135 at 5Dimes

FREE PLAY on White Sox +135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Jul 30 '19, 8:15 PM in 8h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Royals
Play on: Royals -107 at BMaker

10* FREE MLB PICK (Royals -107)
I'll fire right back with the Royals on Tuesday, even though we lost with them in the series opener on Monday. The Blue Jays won by a final score of 7-3, but it was tied 3-3 going into the 8th inning. I think this is a big bounce back spot for KC and I like today's starter Mike Montgomery. After getting rocked on the road at Cleveland in his first start with the Royals after coming over from the Cubs, Montgomery limited those same Indians to just 1 run on 5 hits in 5 innings at home in his next start. I trust him a heck of a lot more than Toronto's Sean Reid-Foley, who is filling in for the traded Marcus Stroman. He's got a 6.14 ERA in 2 starts at the big league level this year and a 6.26 ERA in 18 appearances (17 starts) at Triple-A Buffalo. Give me the Royals -107!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Jul 30 '19, 10:07 PM in 10h
MLB | Brewers vs A's
Play on: Brewers +125 at YouWager

1* on Brewers +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Cubs -120
2. Gameday Network MLB – Nationals -110
3. VegasSI.com MLB – White Sox +135
4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Angels -1.5
5. Sports Action 365 MLB – Indians over 8.5
6. Point Spread Report MLB – Padres over 9
7. Lou Panelli MLB – Angels over 9.5
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino MLB – Rangers -125
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Padres -1.5
10. William E. Stockton MLB – Giants +115
11. Vincent Pioli MLB – Red Sox -140
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Cubs -120
13. SCORE MLB – White Sox +135
14. East Coast Line Movers MLB – Twins -135
15. Tony Campone MLB – Padres -1.5
16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Reds under 9.5
17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Cubs -120
18. VIP Action MLB – Athletics -120
19. South Beach Sports MLB – Nationals -110
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Padres -1.5
21. NY Players Club MLB – Rangers -125
22. Fred Callahan MLB – Astros over 8.5
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Yankees -1.5
24. Michigan Sports MLB – Giants +115
25. National Consensus Report MLB – Nationals -110