Friday 8-2-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369837

    #16
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Charles Town - Race #4 - Post: 8:25pm - Allowance - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 82

    Rating:

    #1 CRAIG'S (ML=9/2)


    CRAIG'S - This gelding has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Runco. Better beware this angle.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #2 IHEARUKNOCKIN (ML=7/5), #6 BOASTER (ML=7/2), #5 MOLOKAI (ML=5/1),

    IHEARUKNOCKIN - This probable favorite ran on June 22nd and hasn't had a work after that. A 'bounce' is likely to happen for this animal this time. May rebound next time. BOASTER - Don't think that this colt has value at 7/2 this time. MOLOKAI - The victory on July 6th probably isn't good enough to beat these today. This gelding recorded a speed rating in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's race.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #1 CRAIG'S on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
    EXACTA WAGERS: None

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369837

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



      Penn National - Race #1 - Post: 6:00pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,800 Class Rating: 75

      Rating:

      #2 GIO LEMON (ML=5/1)
      #3 JONATHANTOQUICK (ML=3/1)
      #5 PAYNEFUL (ML=7/2)


      GIO LEMON - Sub-par effort last out at Suffolk Downs was due to the off-going (he finished fourth). Will do better right here without the off-track conditions. JONATHANTOQUICK - Running on the grass today, you should review a horse's class. This one has the top number in the bunch. Quinones and Kulp teamed up together are a horse gambler's friend. PAYNEFUL - It looks like Gonzalez had to come to know this gelding on July 12th when riding him for the first time. Back on again today. Gonzalez and Cooney perform well when they work together. It's hard to beat a +300 ROI for a jockey and trainer. A pony coming back this soon after a good effort is a good sign.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #6 BENJI (ML=4/1), #1 BRO YOUR KILLINGME (ML=6/1), #10 PRIZED MERRY (ML=6/1),

      BENJI - The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class figure of today's contest. Mark this mount as a likely underpriced contender. BRO YOUR KILLINGME - This steed hasn't been near the victor at the wire recently. I checked out his pps and he hasn't done well out of the one hole. This colt recorded a speed rating in his last clash which likely isn't good enough today. PRIZED MERRY - Quite unimpressive speed rating in the last race at Penn National at 5 furlongs. Don't believe this horse will improve too much in today's event.


      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #2 GIO LEMON on top if we're getting at least 4/1 odds
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369837

        #18
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Retama Park

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 9 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $6600 Class Rating: 89

        QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 1 ROYAL SPECIAL 7/2
        # 3 TF ROWDY CARTEL 8/1
        # 6 COUNTRY HOT DOGGIN 9/2
        ROYAL SPECIAL has a quite good shot to take this race. Formidable average speed figs in short races make this animal a contender. This filly obviously likes the distance, going 2 out of 7 in her races recently. TF ROWDY CARTEL - Has a strong shot for this race if you like back class. I like the jockey on this gelding - very good chance to win the outing. COUNTRY HOT DOGGIN - He must be carefully examined given the very good speed numbers. Perez has this colt travelling well and is a strong pick based on the very good Equibase Speed Figures put up in short races lately.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369837

          #19
          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



          08/02/19, SAR, Race 4, 2.48 ET
          1M [Inner Turf] 1.33.01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $83,000.
          Claiming Price $40,000 (1. INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000
          Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Double
          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          100.0000 10 Minsky Moment 4-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C.
          099.3180 6 Shamrock Kid 8-1 Saez L Schosberg Richard E. L
          099.3064 8 Way Early 2-1 Franco M Weaver George SEWC
          098.1499 4 Storm Prophet 8-1 Santana. Jr. R Atras Rob
          098.1237 2 Mr. Massena 12-1 Rosario J Miceli Michael F
          097.9183 1 Macagone 5/2 Lezcano J Servis Jason JT
          097.2704 12 Manifest Destiny 4-1 Rider TBA Rodriguez Rudy R.
          095.9145 11 Playthatfunnymusic 8-1 Hernandez B Kantarmaci Mertkan
          095.4585 7 Appealing Briefs 10-1 Ortiz J L Abreu Jorge R.
          095.1384 5 We Should Talk 12-1 Landeros C Gullo Gary P.
          093.3059 3 Ides of Arch(b-) 15-1 Maragh R Levine Bruce N.
          090.1835 9 Leaveematthegate 20-1 Davis D Gyarmati Leah
          After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
          Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.
          10 59.30 1.36 30.12 25 83 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
          6 59.30 1.36 30.12 25 83 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
          8 68.20 1.63 48.15 26 54 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Earnings
          4 59.30 1.36 30.12 25 83 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
          2 76.20 1.75 47.06 24 51 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Finish
          1 49.90 1.32 30.38 24 79 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
          12 50.80 1.26 31.63 31 98 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today
          11 59.30 1.36 30.12 25 83 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
          7 51.20 1.49 34.62 18 52 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today
          5 50.80 1.26 31.63 31 98 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today
          3 51.20 1.49 34.62 18 52 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today
          9 49.90 1.32 30.38 24 79 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
          If Race Is Off Turf

          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          100.0000 10 Minsky Moment 4-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C.
          099.0857 8 Way Early 2-1 Franco M Weaver George EWC
          098.8002 6 Shamrock Kid 8-1 Saez L Schosberg Richard E. L
          098.5693 12 Manifest Destiny 4-1 Rider TBA Rodriguez Rudy R.
          098.3002 1 Macagone 5/2 Lezcano J Servis Jason JTS
          098.0053 4 Storm Prophet 8-1 Santana. Jr. R Atras Rob
          097.3086 2 Mr. Massena 12-1 Rosario J Miceli Michael F
          095.6714 11 Playthatfunnymusic 8-1 Hernandez B Kantarmaci Mertkan
          094.9203 5 We Should Talk 12-1 Landeros C Gullo Gary P.
          094.2064 7 Appealing Briefs 10-1 Ortiz J L Abreu Jorge R.
          093.4261 3 Ides of Arch(b-) 15-1 Maragh R Levine Bruce N.
          091.0731 9 Leaveematthegate 20-1 Davis D Gyarmati Leah
          After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
          Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.
          10 9.80 1.11 34.78 16 46 [All Surfaces] *Last Race Was OddsOn Favorite(not ent) And Not Greater Than 9 Horses Today
          8 26.80 1.56 33.33 8 24 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race
          6 19.30 1.29 33.33 11 33 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
          12 19.30 1.29 33.33 11 33 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
          1 9.80 1.11 34.78 16 46 [All Surfaces] *Last Race Was OddsOn Favorite(not ent) And Not Greater Than 9 Horses Today
          11 19.30 1.29 33.33 11 33 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
          5 19.30 1.29 33.33 11 33 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
          * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369837

            #20
            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar



            08/02/19, DMR, Race 1, 4.00 PT
            1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000.
            Claiming Price $12,500, if for $10,500, allowed 2 lbs. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS
            $1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $1 Place Pick All / 50 cent min. Rolling Pick Three - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / 50 cent Early Pick 5 / $2 WPS Parlay
            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            100.0000 2 Empire Wicket 8-1 Pena B Wong Jonathan W
            098.6575 6 Mason Dixon 4-1 Garcia M O'Neill Doug F. SF
            097.9748 4 Carters Blue 10-1 Pereira T J McCanna Tim
            097.0545 5 Brilliant Richie 9/5 Cedillo A Wong Jonathan JEL
            096.9278 7 Poppy's C Note(b+) 3-1 Delgadillo A Garcia Antonio
            096.8247 1 Ooh La La Whalah 10-1 Roman E A Saavedra Anthony K.
            096.1513 3 Dieci 6-1 Velez J I Hofmans David E. C
            After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
            Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to DMR.
            2 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
            6 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
            4 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
            5 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
            7 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
            1 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
            3 91.20 1.18 29.64 75 253 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369837

              #21
              Mike Wynn

              Free Play: Philadelphia w/Vargas -180 Over Chicago Wsox
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369837

                #22
                Razor Sharp

                YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: DETROIT/TEXAS OVER the total of 10½ runs
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369837

                  #23
                  Totals4U

                  Friday's Free Selection: Washington/Arizona over 9 1/2
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369837

                    #24
                    #1 Sports

                    Friday's Free Selection: Chicago White Sox + 170
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369837

                      #25
                      Platinum Plays

                      Free Pick: Detroit/Texas Game OVER The Total Of 10 Runs
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369837

                        #26
                        Nevada Sharpshooter

                        Your free winner for Friday : Take CINCINNATI/ATLANTA UNDER the total of 9 runs
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369837

                          #27
                          Golden Dragon

                          FREE WINNER for Friday

                          Atlanat Gauasman -143
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369837

                            #28
                            Hawkeye Sports

                            Friday's Free Pick: Ottawa Renegades + 7 1/2 (CFL)
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369837

                              #29
                              Huddle Up Sports

                              Free Play: Seattle Kikuchi +260
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369837

                                #30
                                Arthur Ralph

                                FREE play FRI Atl Braves w/ Gausman-150
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