Service Plays Tuesday 8/6/19

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  • dawggy
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2017
    • 1770

    #31
    DR. CHUCK


    • Game: (963) New York Yankees at (964) Baltimore Orioles
      Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 7:05 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Heritage
      Play Rating: 4%
      Play: New York Yankees -1.5 (-138)

      View Analysis

      Action v. Wojciechowski
      Yanks mashed 5 home runs in the series opener last night and most likely putting together a bullpen game tonight with Jonathan Holder starting it off after a stint back in AAA. Carlos Torres is behind the plate tonight, and while already being a boon for the road team in any game he umpires, he also is the best Over bet going in today's crews. He has also umpired the Yankees on the road 3 times already this season and in all 3 the Yanks won on the road and covering the run line each time winning by 4 and 4 and 2 all over division rivals as well in Boston, Toronto, and Baltimore.
      Asher had shut down teams twice in a row in 2 starts and faltered a good bit in his last outing...and now is rewarded with the Yankees mash unit! Good chance LeMahieu is back at 1st and basically the lineup from 1 through 9 can take this man deep each and every time to the plate...looking to extend the Camden Yards barrage to 14 straight games in this rivalry when the O's are in their friendly confines.
    • Game: (977) Atlanta Braves at (978) Minnesota Twins
      Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 8:10 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
      Play Rating: 3%
      Play: 1H Minnesota Twins -0.5 (-115)

      View Analysis

      Foltynewicz v. Berrios
      So Folty couldn't stop giving up bombs...they sent him down and he was miraculously cured by the International League and he gets to make his first start in 6 weeks...on the road...against the team with the MLB HR lead...by a LARGE margin...and even more HR at home facing LHP than the Rockies at Coors!
      Snitker had seen enough of Gauman after 3 starts back from the AAA stint and sure makes ya wonder if this is a coincidence that unfortunate for Folty or if he is being massively set up for failure!
      Berrios is solid and has even gotten a smidge better the last month than he was even prior...and should be able to skate by the Braves lineup on the road tonight as he has struck out more hitters, allowed less HR, and improved his LOB% all since the start of July compared to the previous 3 months. The Twinkies lineup will feature 3 left handed hitters facing the Braves hopefully resurgent starter, but only Max Kepler as the leadoff hitter presents even the slightest bit of a liability in this instance...as both Eddie Rosario and Luis Arraez will not be platooned for a reason, the former even with a better wOBA than facing RHP...especially at home.
      For the hot hitting Twins to lay such a miniscule amount on the first 5 to be ahead by a run or more is the VALUE of the day. This bet is in large amounts due to not buying this is AT ALL the spot to let Folty make his return...and if he isn't being set up to fail by Brian Snitker then he is outsmarting the room and that includes us on the play tonight!

    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358404

      #32
      Desert sports:

      Az -130
      min-150
      bos -170
      pit/mil o9
      nyy/balt o10.5
      bos/kc o10
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      Comment

      • dawggy
        Senior Member
        • Dec 2017
        • 1770

        #33
        Originally posted by dawggy
        DR. CHUCK


        • Game: (963) New York Yankees at (964) Baltimore Orioles
          Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 7:05 PM EDT
          Betting Line Provider: Heritage
          Play Rating: 4%
          Play: New York Yankees -1.5 (-138)

          View Analysis

          Action v. Wojciechowski
          Yanks mashed 5 home runs in the series opener last night and most likely putting together a bullpen game tonight with Jonathan Holder starting it off after a stint back in AAA. Carlos Torres is behind the plate tonight, and while already being a boon for the road team in any game he umpires, he also is the best Over bet going in today's crews. He has also umpired the Yankees on the road 3 times already this season and in all 3 the Yanks won on the road and covering the run line each time winning by 4 and 4 and 2 all over division rivals as well in Boston, Toronto, and Baltimore.
          Asher had shut down teams twice in a row in 2 starts and faltered a good bit in his last outing...and now is rewarded with the Yankees mash unit! Good chance LeMahieu is back at 1st and basically the lineup from 1 through 9 can take this man deep each and every time to the plate...looking to extend the Camden Yards barrage to 14 straight games in this rivalry when the O's are in their friendly confines.
        • Game: (977) Atlanta Braves at (978) Minnesota Twins
          Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 8:10 PM EDT
          Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
          Play Rating: 3%
          Play: 1H Minnesota Twins -0.5 (-115)

          View Analysis

          Foltynewicz v. Berrios
          So Folty couldn't stop giving up bombs...they sent him down and he was miraculously cured by the International League and he gets to make his first start in 6 weeks...on the road...against the team with the MLB HR lead...by a LARGE margin...and even more HR at home facing LHP than the Rockies at Coors!
          Snitker had seen enough of Gauman after 3 starts back from the AAA stint and sure makes ya wonder if this is a coincidence that unfortunate for Folty or if he is being massively set up for failure!
          Berrios is solid and has even gotten a smidge better the last month than he was even prior...and should be able to skate by the Braves lineup on the road tonight as he has struck out more hitters, allowed less HR, and improved his LOB% all since the start of July compared to the previous 3 months. The Twinkies lineup will feature 3 left handed hitters facing the Braves hopefully resurgent starter, but only Max Kepler as the leadoff hitter presents even the slightest bit of a liability in this instance...as both Eddie Rosario and Luis Arraez will not be platooned for a reason, the former even with a better wOBA than facing RHP...especially at home.
          For the hot hitting Twins to lay such a miniscule amount on the first 5 to be ahead by a run or more is the VALUE of the day. This bet is in large amounts due to not buying this is AT ALL the spot to let Folty make his return...and if he isn't being set up to fail by Brian Snitker then he is outsmarting the room and that includes us on the play tonight!

        Game:(955) Philadelphia Phillies at (956) Arizona Diamondbacks
        Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 9:40 PM EDT
        Betting Line Provider: Westgate
        Play Rating: 3%
        Play: 1H Arizona Diamondbacks -140

        View Analysis

        Arrieta v. Leake
        Leake is certainly the tortoise to much of the league's starters hare: he isn't a 'big' name, he doesn't strike a ton of guys out...47 in 64 innings since June started, he doesn't walk many guys at all at just 5 walks in last 10 starts, and he is steady to the point of very few earned runs considering his velocity and inability to blow ANYONE away...just 27 ER in last 64.1 innings...almost always worth the money he costs and never more than a 3rd-ish spot in the rotation guy He nearly had a perfect game for the woeful Mariners before becoming a consolation prize for the Dbacks fans (in addition to Zac Gallen) who dumped Zack Greinke's $700 million dollar contract on the soon-to-be champs...haha.
        Jake Arrieta is almost the opposite of Mike Leake: he is a big name with hardware to boot, signed a monster contract to walk away from Chitown after helping break the curse, and has underperformed almost completely since arriving. Arrieta is supposed to absolutely be any rotation's stud, Ks guys left and right, and help change a team from pretender to contender even before signing Bryce in this past offseason.
        Aside from this breakdown, I'm not sure more evidence is needed than Vegas telling us what they think. They hung AZ as a short chalk (off a series opening loss BTW) both first 5 and full game and it moved nearly immediately almost 25 points away from Jakester.
        Take the Dbacks to hit the RH well early (not fret over bullpen or late inning shenanigans) and take advantage of the 4.50 to 5.00 xFIP he has put up since June, including 20% HR/FB rate, striking out just 6 per 9 and walking nearly 4, which includes facing this Dbacks team at home and doing just that but surviving for the win that night.

        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358404

          #34
          Miller locks


          7:05 pm est mlb
          milwaukee brewers vs. Pittsburgh pirates

          pick: Milwaukee brewers (-145)

          risk: 11 units

          7:10 pm est mlb
          texas rangers vs. Cleveland indians

          pick: Cleveland indians -1.5 (-113)

          risk: 11 units

          8:10 pm est mlb
          colorado rockies vs. Houston astros

          pick: Houston astros -1.5 (-109)

          risk: 11 units

          8:10 pm est mlb
          atlanta braves vs. Minnesota twins

          pick: Over 10 (-109)

          risk: 11 units

          10:10 pm est mlb
          st. Louis cardinals vs. Los angeles dodgers

          pick: St. Louis cardinals +1.5 (-109)

          risk: 11 units
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358404

            #35
            GOODFELLA

            3* Arizona -130

            1* MINNESOTA TWINS

            1* CINCINNATI REDS

            1* YANKEES/ORIOLES OVER 10.5
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358404

              #36
              SLEEPYJ

              3* San Francisco / Washington under 8.5
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358404

                #37
                ANDRE GOMES

                2* Baltimore

                2* Tampa bay / Toronto over 8.5

                2* Cincinnati

                2* Atlanta
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                Comment

                • B*mb07
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2018
                  • 640

                  #38
                  Augie J - Indians Twins

                  Comment

                  • dawggy
                    Senior Member
                    • Dec 2017
                    • 1770

                    #39
                    DR. CHUCK


                    Game:(979) Colorado Rockies at (980) Houston Astros
                    Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 8:10 PM EDT
                    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
                    Play Rating: 4%
                    Play: Houston Astros Team Total Over 4.5 (-120)

                    View Analysis

                    Marquez v. Greinke
                    Greinke debut with his new offense facing a regular foe of his and they only need 5 runs?!?! Hmmm and against my fade pal German?

                    I'm so confused I'm keeping it down at 4...but feels like a 5% hammer!

                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358404

                      #40
                      OSKEIM SPORTS

                      Game: (969) Toronto Blue Jays at (970) Tampa Bay Rays
                      Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 7:10 PM EDT
                      Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Tampa Bay Rays -193


                      Game: (969) Toronto Blue Jays at (970) Tampa Bay Rays
                      Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 7:10 PM EDT
                      Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                      Play Rating: 2%
                      Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-108)


                      Game: (953) Miami Marlins at (954) New York Mets
                      Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 7:10 PM EDT
                      Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: New York Mets -1.5 (-118)


                      Game: (953) Miami Marlins at (954) New York Mets
                      Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 7:10 PM EDT
                      Betting Line Provider: Westgate
                      Play Rating: 2%
                      Play: New York Mets -215
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358404

                        #41
                        Dwayne Bryant

                        4% Rockies-Astros under 8
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358404

                          #42
                          Stats Analytics Sports

                          MLB

                          4* Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates ~ OVER 10 (+101)

                          4* Miami Marlins vs New York Mets ~ UNDER 8 (+101)

                          4* Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Indians ~ UNDER 10.5 (-108)

                          1* Chicago Cubs (-133) vs Oakland Athletics

                          1* Minnesota Twins (-149) vs Atlanta Braves

                          4* Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks ~ UNDER 9.5 (-117)

                          1* Los Angeles Dodgers (-180) vs St. Louis Cardinals
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358404

                            #43
                            Rockdeman Sports (MLB) - Marlins +1.5 runs
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358404

                              #44
                              Las Vegas Wolf

                              06-Aug-2019: 968 Boston over 10.5
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                              • Lexdeoh20189
                                Senior Member
                                • May 2019
                                • 372

                                #45
                                New - Vernon Croys' Picks For WNBA

                                4-Unit Play. Take #639 Minnesota -4.5 over Atlanta (Tuesday, August 6 at 7:00 PM ET)

                                I like Minnesota to -6 here tonight.

                                Note: Make sure you get my 2019 football package now at the early-bird price. I was the #1 NFL Expert last season 68% +9,125 on the regular season. I was also the #1 football expert in 2017-18 and the #1 college football expert that same year. We make it 5 straight winning NFL seasons so get my football package today. As for your top pick here take Minnesota ATS as my 4-Unit WNBA Smash for Tuesday night. This pick falls into one my top WNBA systems and Minnesota is the superior team here even on the road. This is also a big bounce back game for Minnesota after collapsing in the 2nd half against Indiana so you can expect them to play a full game here tonight. Minnesota is a much better team than their record indicates and I have them winning this game by 8+ points on the road here tonight. Atlanta has shot just 25.8% as a team from beyond the arc at home this season and Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. This is also a revenge spot for Minnesota here tonight so play Minnesota ATS as my dominating WNBA season continues.

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