Service Plays Saturday 8/10/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider)

MLB - Kansas City Royals +120

The Royals have dropped the first two games with the Tigers, including a 5-2 defeat last night. Now, the Royals are flipped to an underdog against a Detroit team that last won three straight home games in April. Spencer Turnbull has pitched well against Kansas City this season by allowing 3 ER in his first three starts against them before giving up five runs in three innings of an 8-5 loss in July. The Tigers are 1-11 in Turnbull's last 12 starts with the only victory coming at Atlanta as a +180 underdog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia (VegasInsider)

MLB - Athletics/White Sox Over 9.5

The A's rode home runs and a strong pitching performance from Mike Fiers to blank the White Sox on Friday afternoon but won't be able to count on another shutout here. The visitors will need to generate offense against Reynaldo Lopez in order to overcome Tanner Roark's presence. Oakland's newest starter had a strong debut against the Cardinals and Lopez has only allowed one homer in his last five games, but both should be victimized by the long ball here. Ride the high side.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Green Bay Monster Sports 25-14 on top rated plays - this is a MAX bankroll play -Twins

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK
Game:(951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Aug 10 2019 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: San Francisco Giants -102

View Analysis

Velazquez v. Samardzija

[B*mb07]

Champagne - Braves Astros Under Mets over Red Sox Dime Man - Chiefs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo
5% Phillies

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Jason Sharpe
3 Unit Det -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

4:10 pm est mlb
laa angels vs. Boston red sox

pick: Over 11.5 (-111)

risk: 11 units

7:10 pm est mlb
chicago cubs vs. Cincinnati reds

pick: Cincinnati reds (-112)

risk: 11 units

8:40 pm est mlb
colorado rockies vs. San diego padres

pick: Over 8.5 (-108)

risk: 11 units

9:10 pm est mlb
arizona diamondbacks vs. Los angeles dodgers

pick: Arizona diamondbacks +1.5 (-128)

risk: 11 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB BaseWizzard Plays:
8/10 MLB ADDED PLAYS
ALL 1*
LAD -170
SD -1 -148
MIN -143
HOU ML/ATL+1.5 PARLAY

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK
Game:(951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Aug 10 2019 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: San Francisco Giants -102

View Analysis

Velazquez v. Samardzija

Game:(975) Oakland Athletics at (976) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Aug 10 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Chicago White Sox 1.5 (-110)

View Analysis

Roark v. Lopez

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: NFLX 4u: 281 Dallas Cowboys +3 -110 (1st Half)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: MLB 4u: 976 Chicago White Sox +153 (T Roark | R Lopez) (Saturday, August 10th)

+EV: UFC 3u: Mike Perry +200 (UFC on ESPN+ 14) (Saturday, August 10th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

4-Unit Play. Take #656 Phoenix -9 over Dallas (Saturday, August 10 at 10:00 PM ET)

As for your top pick here take Phoenix ATS as my 4-Unit WNBA Smash that goes Saturday. This pick falls into one of my top WNBA systems and Phoenix has been dominant at home this season. Phoenix beat Washington by 21 points in their last home game despite being a 7.5 point underdog and I look for them to bounce back after a loss at Los Angeles. Dallas has averaged just 65.5 points per game on the road this season while shooting just 36.5% as a team and allowing opponents to shoot 43.9% against them while averaging 78.4 points per game. Opponents have shot 37.2% against Dallas from beyond the arc on the road this season and Phoenix is the best 3 point shooting team at home this season knocking down 40.7% from beyond the arc. Phoenix has averaged 85.4 points per game over their last 5 games while shooting 47.7% as a team and they have held opponents to shooting just 41.2% against them at home this season. Play Phoenix ATS as my dominating WNBA season continues.

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

• Game: (953) Atlanta Braves at (954) Miami Marlins
  Date/Time: Aug 10 2019 6:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-135)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Soroka v. Alcantara
  Atlanta came straight to Miami after walloping the Twinkies up in Target Field for 2 of 3 and promptly came out flat in every way! They righted the ship last night evening the series and now after defeating Caleb Smith last night they have their young top of the rotation stud ROY likely Mike Soroka getting to face Sandy Alcantara.
  Sandy has fit our xFIP fade system for a while now...and it's only gotten better in spurts over the past couple months. Since June 1st his xFIP has ballooned to. 5.80 with an ERA OF 4.80. He hasn't faced the Braves since early April and it didn't go well back then...and the Braves have gotten better on offense. Since 8/1 the Braves are right at the top of all hitting metrics facing RHP on the road...with 6 wRAA and .367 wOBA, 54 wRC, a 10% BB rate, and 127 wRC+ just in the 10 days of August!
  Sandy already walks far too many batters and clogs the bases with very minimal ability to get Ks to get himself out of jams.
  Mike Soroka has been excellent all around...and in fact of all the GB pitchers in the league he combines the lowest FB rate with the lowest HR/FB rate with the highest IFFB rate. It is an amazing 3 way metric combination especially against a very subpar lineup on a regular basis....and especially one that seems to have blown their whole wad with the BIG win on Thursday!
  This should be ugly early...but even were Soroka to get himself into trouble he has all the tools to get out...and Alcantara doesn't have the goods to keep this lineup at bay. The Braves know they let one slip but have a chance to dominate and still take 3 of 4...and with all 9 at bats on the road as well...going to be something like 10-3 or maybe worse in my estimation. I think Soroka can get into the 7th and Sandy maybe not even through the 4th inning.
  m
  
• Game: (975) Oakland Athletics at (976) Chicago White Sox
  Date/Time: Aug 10 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Chicago White Sox 1.5 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Roark v. Lopez
  
• Game: (955) Chicago Cubs at (956) Cincinnati Reds
  Date/Time: Aug 10 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Cincinnati Reds -108
  
  View Analysis
  
  Hendricks v. Gray
  Bauer whipped these Cubbies into shape last night and it sure don't get no easier for that lineup on the road where they struggle as the pitching gets tougher with Sonny Gray on the mound!
  Hendricks might be the whipping boy of this eager ready to crush Reds home team...backing Sonny Gray more each time after hanging him out to dry start after start to begin the year!
  Value here is nuts as the oddsmakers finally realize who should be favored...after Bauer crushed them for 7 innings and 1 run....as a DOG
  
• Game: (957) Washington Nationals at (958) New York Mets
  Date/Time: Aug 10 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: New York Mets -122
  
  View Analysis
  
  Corbin v. Syndergaard
  
• Game: (973) Cleveland Indians at (974) Minnesota Twins
  Date/Time: Aug 10 2019 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 2%
  Play: Total Under 10.5 (-100)
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (963) Arizona Diamondbacks at (964) Los Angeles Dodgers
  Date/Time: Aug 10 2019 9:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 (-130)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Young v. Maeda
  One of the easiest to back Dbacks starters facing easily the easiest to fade Dodgers starter....AND that LA bullpen....and the run plus the hook......HOLY VALUE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael Rusk


MINNESOTA -147


CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA | 8/10 | 7:10 PM EDT
11:29 AM
After pulling even in the AL Central last night, I think August is the month that the Twins kick it into high gear and extend their lead. We are betting against the Indians at an opportune time during their dominant stretch. Winning seven out of their last eight, regression is inevitable and the Twins go to their reliable five-year vet Jake Odorizzi. In his last two outings versus the Indians he has been lights out, pitching a total of 11.1 innings and giving up just two total runs. I like the better pitcher and the better team at home at a very fair line Saturday night.

3-2 IN LAST 5 MLB ML PICKS | +105
12-4 IN LAST 16 CLE ML PICKS | +725

7-3 IN LAST 10 MIN ML PICKS | +243


L.A. ANGELS +131


L.A. ANGELS @ BOSTON | 8/10 | 4:05 PM EDT
11:27 AM
Reverse line movement is the theme of this matchup. Starting out at -160, sharp bettors pounded the Angels to the point where they are now a small underdog. Even so, I find value on the Angels here with against Rick Porcello and the Boston Red Sox. Porcello doesn’t have the fondest memories of these Angels. In fact, in his last outing he gave up four runs in just five innings. He's struggled against tougher competition and has been struggling in general as of late. Since late June, he has given up run counts of 6,6,4,6 and 5. Just consistently below average after his hot start. The Angels will break out of their eight game losing streak this afternoon in Fenway.

3-2 IN LAST 5 MLB ML PICKS | +105