Service Plays Monday 8/12/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #31
    Zack Cimini


    COLORADO -113


    ARIZONA @ COLORADO | 8/12 | 8:40 PM EDT
    1:39 PM
    The Diamondbacks head to Colorado on Monday, which may help revitalize their bats. Two straight losses to the Dodgers featured just three runs. Prior to that, the Diamondbacks had won five of six games by averaging seven runs. As poor as Rockies pitcher Peter Lambert has been, they should be in a favorable spot against a taxed Arizona bullpen.

    31-12-2 IN LAST 45 MLB PICKS | +2017
    29-19 IN LAST 48 COL ML PICKS | +1039


    HOUSTON -295[/B]

    HOUSTON @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 8/12 | 8:10 PM EDT
    1:37 PM
    A loss yesterday by the Astros as the highest road favorite of the year did not deter Monday’s price. The Astros once again find themselves as nearly -300 favorites as they travel for a series against the White Sox. Zack Greinke’s debut as an Astro was not stellar, but he should have no problem against the White Sox. Play Houston.

    31-12-2 IN LAST 45 MLB PICKS | +2017
    16-3 IN LAST 19 CHW ML PICKS | +1251

    13-8 IN LAST 21 HOU ML PICKS | +405


    TAMPA BAY +116


    TAMPA BAY @ SAN DIEGO | 8/12 | 10:10 PM EDT
    1:34 PM
    The Rays continue to deliver in road environments, with an MLB best 38-22 record. They’re a value underdog based on extended travel that began up the Pacific coast in Seattle. Play Tampa Bay on Monday in its series opener against San Diego.

    31-12-2 IN LAST 45 MLB PICKS | +2017


    OVER 10.5 BOSTON @ CLEVELAND | 8/12 | 7:10 PM EDT


    1:33 PM
    Oddsmakers extended this total above double digits in what should be a slugfest Monday in Cleveland. The Indians' lineup will be the latest to hit the Red Sox hard, and do not expect Indians starter Zach Plesac to uphold his season ERA. Grab the Over.

    31-12-2 IN LAST 45 MLB PICKS | +2017
    6-4-1 IN LAST 11 CLE O/U PICKS | +174


    WASHINGTON -105


    CINCINNATI @ WASHINGTON | 8/12 | 7:05 PM EDT
    1:29 PM
    The Nationals finally got a victory over the Mets to conclude their weekend series Sunday. On Monday, they return home after a lengthy nine-game road trip that featured stops against Arizona and San Francisco. On the mound for the Nationals will be erratic pitcher Eric Fedde. One positive is that one of his two wins this year came against the Reds. Look for potent bats to key the Nationals to victory.

    31-12-2 IN LAST 45 MLB PICKS | +2017
    6-1 IN LAST 7 WAS ML PICKS | +463
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    • dawggy
      Senior Member
      • Dec 2017
      • 1770

      #32
      Originally posted by dawggy
      DR. CHUCK


      Game: (951) Cincinnati Reds at (952) Washington Nationals
      Date/Time: Aug 12 2019 7:05 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: William Hill
      Play Rating: 4%
      Play: Cincinnati Reds +100

      View Analysis

      Desclafani v. Fedde

      This almost seems too easy....and my cap is extensive. I don't have time to get it all down in here in a responsible amount of time so I apologize but

      1) no Soto

      2) Fedde is certainly not ready for Aquino et al

      3) Disco has punished the Nats lineup for a 2.21 FIP, .247 wOBA, and even lower .231 xwOBA

      4) Fedde barely Ks more batters than he even walks...trouble when facing the more patient than most Reds...and has an over all xFIP of an entire point higher than his ERA....a play ON factor anyway....aside from all else we have here.

      I would not be surprised if the Nats ran Fedde by the 4th and make for a long night for the home team in the nation's capital!



      Game: (957) Baltimore Orioles at (958) New York Yankees
      Date/Time: Aug 12 2019 7:05 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
      Play Rating: 3%
      Play: 1H New York Yankees -1.0 (-173)

      View Analysis

      Action all

      Game: (959) Texas Rangers at (960) Toronto Blue Jays
      Date/Time: Aug 12 2019 7:07 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Westgate
      Play Rating: 4%
      Play: Toronto Blue Jays -115

      View Analysis

      Jurado v. Action

      Game: (959) Texas Rangers at (960) Toronto Blue Jays
      Date/Time: Aug 12 2019 7:07 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: William Hill
      Play Rating: 3%
      Play: 1H Total Under 6.0 (-105)

      View Analysis

      Jurado v. Action

      Game: (961) Boston Red Sox at (962) Cleveland Indians
      Date/Time: Aug 12 2019 7:10 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
      Play Rating: 4%
      Play: Boston Red Sox -112

      View Analysis

      Rodriguez v. Plesac

      Could anyone construct in a lab a more terrible spot for a team....one that SCREAMS let down in a more overt way...in history! I'm not sure if it could be possible!

      First....the Twins get hammered by the Braves to allow the Indians to come in for a 4 gamer with the chance to take over the division. Next they take the first 2 before Odorizzi slows their role a bit on Saturday.

      Then...they have it all in the bag...Brad Hand comes in and promptly vomits up a 3-1 9th inning lead with a throw out at home away from a split and a crazy dejected dugout that was JUST on the precipice of the divisional lead they had fought so hard for...only to have the top of the 10th go single, BB, single.....an amazingly "smooth" grand salami from Carlos Santana!....and a RAUCOUS Indians team.

      Ancillary non letdown reasons

      1) I don't fully buy Plesac

      2) I fully buy Eduardo AND his run support from his offense is NUTSO

      3) wanna know how WE know the Indians team psyche as far as the let down? Yasiel Puig ( on a TEAR with the Tribe since his trade...and before honestly!) decided to start his suspension tonight.

      4) 75% of the tickets on the home dog....that WAS a favorite before ALL the money flowed in on the visitors!

      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #33
        Johnny Bollman


        WASHINGTON -104


        CINCINNATI @ WASHINGTON | 8/12 | 7:05 PM EDT
        2:26 PM
        Erik Fedde is 2-2 with a 4.20 ERA this season and he is coming off the best start of his career throwing six shutout innings with no walks. Anthony Desclafani is 7-6 with a 4.20 ERA this season and 2-3 with a 4.72 ERA on the road. He is coming off a couple poor outings struggling with the long ball. However, the Reds are a different team on the road at 23-32 while the Nats are 31-25 at home and needing some wins on a lengthy homestand. I like the Nats at home.

        113-81 IN LAST 194 MLB ML PICKS | +1008
        3-2 IN LAST 5 CIN ML PICKS | +79


        TAMPA BAY +115


        TAMPA BAY @ SAN DIEGO | 8/12 | 10:10 PM EDT
        2:24 PM
        Diego Castillo will be opening for the Rays tonight, he has a 3.50 ERA and the Rays are 2-0 when he starts. Joey Lucchesi is 7-6 with a 4.19 ERA this season but he is 6-2 with a 2.71 ERA at home. However, the Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 while winning three in a row, and they seem to play much better on the road. The Padres are 28-31 at home and 9-13 when Lucchesi starts, take the value in the Rays.

        113-81 IN LAST 194 MLB ML PICKS | +1008
        7-1 IN LAST 8 SD ML PICKS | +608


        CLEVELAND +102


        BOSTON @ CLEVELAND | 8/12 | 7:10 PM EDT
        2:23 PM
        Zach Plesac is 6-3 with a 3.13 ERA this season and he is 4-1 with a 2.97 ERA at home. He gave up one run in 5.1 IP in his ML debut in Boston. Eduardo Rodriguez is 13-5 with a 4.17 ERA this season and 7-4 with a 4.46 ERA on the road. The Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 while the Red Sox are 3-7. Take the value in the Indians.

        113-81 IN LAST 194 MLB ML PICKS | +1008
        7-0 IN LAST 7 CLE ML PICKS | +706

        8-6 IN LAST 14 BOS ML PICKS | +47
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #34
          Michael Rusk


          PITTSBURGH +131


          PITTSBURGH @ L.A. ANGELS | 8/12 | 10:07 PM EDT
          6:08 PM
          I like Pirates rookie Mitch Keller to complete his second consistent start of the season. With only three outings under his belt, Keller looks to build off an impressive showing versus the Tigers in late June. Due to the eight-game losing skid, I have the Pirates very undervalued here. They are plus-money against another rookie in Jose Suarez, who is coming off of two straight brutal starts, giving up a combined 10 runs in only nine innings. The underdog is the play Monday.

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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #35
            Miller locks

            7:10 pm est mlb
            texas rangers vs. Toronto blue jays

            pick: Texas rangers (+109)

            risk: 11 units

            7:10 pm est mlb
            boston red sox vs. Cleveland indians

            pick: Boston red sox (-113)

            risk: 11 units

            10:07 pm est mlb
            pittsburgh pirates vs. Laa angels

            pick: Over 10 (-103)

            risk: 11 units
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #36
              Micah Roberts


              TAMPA BAY +113


              TAMPA BAY @ SAN DIEGO | 8/12 | 10:10 PM EDT
              3:56 PM
              The Rays are hanging on to that last AL wild-card slot and they come off a sweep at Seattle, making it 12 wins in their last 15 games. The Padres are 10-17 since the All-Star break. Tampa Bay's Diego Castillo will be the opener, and then Austin Pruitt will take over for a few innings. The Rays have value as an underdog Monday and they are the play.

              13-8 IN LAST 21 TB ML PICKS | +709
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #37
                Josh Nagel


                TEXAS +103


                TEXAS @ TORONTO | 8/12 | 7:07 PM EDT
                4:36 PM
                The Blue Jays could be in for a bit of a down spot Monday following a strong series against the Yankees in which they won two of four and came just short of a series win because of a 1-0 loss Sunday. This is still a team that is 23 games below .500 facing a Rangers club that is still clinging to wild-card contention. Neither pitcher inspires fear, but Rangers starter Ariel Jurado is a respectable 4-3 with a 4.10 ERA on the road. Toronto's Neil Ramirez has a 10.80 lifetime ERA against the Rangers.

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                2-1 IN LAST 3 TEX ML PICKS | +149
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                Comment

                • B*mb07
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2018
                  • 640

                  #38
                  Augie J - Indians Philly Guy - Nationals Dime Man - Rockies over

                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #39
                    Seabass : 300 reds , 400 Red Sox , 600 Red Sox game over , 700 pirates game under
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                    • B*mb07
                      Senior Member
                      • Mar 2018
                      • 640

                      #40
                      • Marco D
                        PLAY: (951) CINCINNATI -104
                        RATING: 3% PLAY


                        Listed pitchers: DeSclafani vs Fedde

                        Cincinnati is 7-3 L10 Games and over the L7 games are averaging 6.3 runs per game. First game back at home for Washington after a 3 City Road Trip to Arizona, San Francisco and then New York puts Washington in a bad scheduling spot. Washington starter Erick Fedde is has a ERA of 6.85 and a WHIP of 1.97 at home. Cincinnati starter DeSclafani owns a 2-0 mark with a 2.17 ERA in seven career appearances (four starts) versus Washington. Fedde is 2-10 as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. Reds are the side here.


                        TAKE CINCINNATI as MARCO’S 3% NL BEST BET

                      • AL BEST BET
                        Game: (959) Texas Rangers at (960) Toronto Blue Jays
                        Date/Time: Aug 12 2019 7:07 PM EDT
                        Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
                        Play Rating: 3%
                        Play: Texas Rangers +105

                        View Analysis

                        PLAY: (959) TEXAS +105
                        RATING: 3% PLAY


                        Listed pitchers: Jurado vs Ramirez

                        Toronto after playing 4 against the Yankees and splitting the series is ripe for a flat spot tonight. Granted Toronto has been playing better recently but after playing division rival the Yankees I expect a letdown tonight. Texas starter Jurado pitched well in his last 2 road starts going 7 innings against both Cleveland and Oakland allowing just 2 and 3 runs. TORONTO is 3-13 in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. TEXAS is 13-6 after allowing 1 run or less this season. Texas gets the money here.

                        TAKE TEXAS as MARCO’S 3% AL BEST BET

                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #41
                        Las Vegas Wolf
                        12-Aug-2019: 951 Cincinnati ml f5 -125
                        12-Aug-2019: 964 CWS und 9.5-120
                        12-Aug-2019: 401 Philly under 38-115
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #42
                          Exodus to Black 1-2 yesterday
                          MLB
                          LAA-142
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #43
                            Green Bay Monster Sports 27-14 on top rated plays - max play - Rockies OVER 13.5 -115
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