Thursday 8-15-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #31
    High Stakes Syndicate

    Free Selection for Thursday: New York Yankees - 155
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #32
      Kenny Towers

      Your Free Winner for Thursday: Cincy/Wash UNDER 41
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #33
        Tony Brown

        Tony's *5 Star MLB Free Pick

        Los Angeles vs. Miami, 08/15/2019 15:05 EDT

        Point Spread: -1½/-150 Los Angeles

        Sportsbook:
        Bodog

        Fp: dodgers are a perfect 4-0 both straight up and on the run line last 4 contest including both games in this series . If it ain't broke dont fix it making la run line my mlb top pick .
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #34
          Brian Bitler

          Brian’s 9* CFL Absolute Cover

          BC vs. Winnipeg, 08/15/2019 20:30 EDT

          Point Spread: +11/-115 BC

          Sportsbook:
          SportsBetting

          BC Lions are better then their 1-7 record indicates as they have really under achieved this years. The Blue Bombers are off a heavy tough emotional win over rival Calgary and this week their is a great chance of a let down. Big game at the Eskimos next week love the Lions here extreme value.

          Invest 10 units on the Lions rotation #689
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #35
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Colonial Downs

            Colonial Downs - Race 5
            $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $.50 Pick 5 (Races 5-9) (12% Takeout)
            Optional Claiming $10,000 • 1 Mile • Inner Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 90 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 6:52P
            INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $6,250 OR LESS IN 2018 - 2019 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * POSHSKY: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Ho rse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SMART TWO A T: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MIDNIGHT HARBOR: Jocke y/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). MY COWBOY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class R ating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
            2
            POSHSKY
            5/1
            9/2
            5
            SMART TWO A T
            9/2
            6/1
            1A
            MIDNIGHT HARBOR
            8/1
            8/1
            9
            MY COWBOY
            3/1
            9/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            9
            MY COWBOY
            10
            3/1
            Front-runner
            88
            83
            92.2
            77.6
            69.1
            4
            CAMALUS
            4
            4/1
            Front-runner
            83
            79
            69.2
            47.4
            34.4
            5
            SMART TWO A T
            5
            9/2
            Stalker
            90
            93
            83.1
            81.1
            74.1
            1
            COUNTY CORRECTIONS
            1
            8/1
            Stalker
            84
            76
            62.0
            72.0
            59.5
            2
            POSHSKY
            2
            5/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            93
            91
            78.5
            86.4
            81.9
            8
            CAPTIVATED
            9
            12/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            86
            78
            69.2
            76.8
            61.3
            7
            IN EQUALITY
            8
            6/1
            Trailer
            89
            82
            77.7
            71.1
            61.6
            1A
            MIDNIGHT HARBOR
            6
            8/1
            Trailer
            91
            90
            56.4
            74.2
            65.2
            6
            NO KNOCK RAID
            7
            8/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            90
            73
            59.4
            74.4
            67.9
            3
            RED ALE
            3
            30/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            81
            70
            46.4
            47.0
            27.5
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #36
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields



              Golden Gate Fields - Race 2
              $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $1 Superfecta (.10 min) / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) $0.20 Golden Pick 6 (Races 2-7) $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
              Maiden Claiming $12,500 • 5 Furlongs • All-Weather • Age 2 CR: 61 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 2:14P
              FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * UNWRITTEN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TIZ THE STANDARD: Horse r anks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BLUE HAS A DATE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
              5
              UNWRITTEN
              5/2
              3/1
              2
              TIZ THE STANDARD
              4/1
              4/1
              3
              BLUE HAS A DATE
              10/1
              7/1

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              2
              TIZ THE STANDARD
              2
              4/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              0
              0
              64.5
              34.1
              28.1
              3
              BLUE HAS A DATE
              3
              10/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              0
              0
              47.4
              32.2
              25.7
              5
              UNWRITTEN
              5
              5/2
              Trailer
              0
              0
              45.5
              39.8
              35.3
              1
              GRACIE'S GIRL
              1
              2/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              52
              36
              79.9
              29.5
              24.5
              6
              MARGO WITH A T
              6
              8/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              0
              0
              58.6
              9.1
              2.1
              Unknown Running Style: ALWAYS IN VEGAS (7/2) [Jockey: Frey Kyle - Trainer: Mathis Andy].
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #37
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                Charles Town - Race #8 - Post: 10:17pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 58

                Rating:

                #7 AGAINSTREGULATIONS (ML=5/1)
                #1 ACCESS TO DENIS (ML=10/1)
                #5 ZUM WOHL (ML=6/1)


                AGAINSTREGULATIONS - Stehr has this gelding signed up for the right contest. ACCESS TO DENIS - The fact that this gelding is entered right back into a race so quickly means he's fit and ready. Taking a big drop in Equibase class figure points from his Aug 9th race at Charles Town. Based on that data point, I will give this one the advantage. ZUM WOHL - Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BERNARDINI BREEZE (ML=7/5), #4 TRUE HEIR (ML=3/1),

                BERNARDINI BREEZE - 7/5 is not worth the risk for any animal in a sprint of 7 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race lately. TRUE HEIR - Tough to bet on a horse that loses so frequently.


                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #7 AGAINSTREGULATIONS to win if you can get at least 9/2 odds
                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,5,7]

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                Box [1,5,7] Total Cost: $6
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #38
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Canterbury Park

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 7 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14500 Class Rating: 82

                  FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 6 SHARP HOLIDAY 9/2
                  # 7 WRAP IT UP 2/1
                  # 1 BETWEEN THE ARCHES 5/2
                  SHARP HOLIDAY is the best wager in this race. She has a good opportunity for this event as handler, Diodoro, has very strong win rate with horses going this distance. Is a solid choice - given the 80 speed fig from her most recent race. Has performed admirably recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 70 avg speed figure. WRAP IT UP - Should best this group of animals here, showing solid figures of late. I like the jock on this mare - formidable chance to win the race. BETWEEN THE ARCHES - Looks like a strong candidate for the exotics. She has a formidable distance/surface win record - 3 for 14.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #39
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                    Arlington - Race #3 - Post: 2:35pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 57

                    Rating:

                    #1 EL PAYASO (ML=4/1)
                    #2 STREET EDGE (ML=6/5)


                    EL PAYASO - This race horse should be rocking and rolling down the lane. STREET EDGE - A first timer with this conditioner. Rivelli wins a 30 pct of the time in these here situations. Nice winning percentage this jock and trainer duo have been putting together. Generally speaking, horses on Lasix for the first time should be considered. That's what we have here. Colt is a 1st time starter whose last three workouts were on this track.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SEQUINS STORM (ML=3/1),

                    SEQUINS STORM - Doesn't seem to be worth 3/1 this time. Pass on him this time.


                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #1 EL PAYASO on the nose if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,2]

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    Pass
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #40
                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.




                      Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 65

                      FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000.

                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 6 PREMIER JUSTICE 8/1
                      # 4 BROAD STORM 6/1
                      # 5 WACCA WACCA WACCA 4/1
                      My pick in this race is PREMIER JUSTICE and the potential return justifies the risky nature of the long odds. Progeny of this sire have produced formidable dividends recently in their first asking outing. Bloodlines are very strong and this horse looks to be in the money. Sharp gains over time for this jock and handler combo. BROAD STORM - Based on past performances, bets on the offspring of this sire would be considered strong. First time starters out of this trainer's barn have produced some of the strongest profits for 1st time starters in this field. Ought to go to the lead and may never look back. WACCA WACCA WACCA - This conditioner has done well recently with entries racing at this distance and surface.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #41
                        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



                        08/15/19, SAR, Race 5, 3.10 ET
                        7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $52,000.
                        Claiming Price $50,000, if for $45,000, allowed 2 lbs. (UP TO $9,048 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
                        Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), Late Pick 5 (.50) Races (5-9), Double
                        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                        100.0000 11 Cobble Hill 9/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. J
                        099.7338 5 Sneakiness(b-) 7/2 Rosario J Dutrow Anthony W. S
                        099.2874 1 Teachable Moment 6-1 Santana. Jr. R Atras Rob TFEC
                        098.1977 3 Borough Boy 10-1 Gaffalione T Antonucci Jena M. W
                        096.8236 7 Swick 5-1 Ortiz J L Terranova II John P.
                        096.4666 8 Monmouth Dr 12-1 Alvarado J Kimmel John C.
                        095.2466 4 Majestic West 8-1 Saez L Sharp Joe
                        093.8461 6 Dealin' Stelen 20-1 Bravo J Zito Nicholas P.
                        093.7573 2 Fireball Jon(b+) 8-1 Franco M Bauer Philip A.
                        093.6757 10 Cavaradossi 10-1 Cancel E Zito Nicholas P. L
                        090.8415 9 Muntahez 20-1 Davis D McLaughlin Kiaran P.
                        After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                        Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.
                        11 41.30 1.22 27.17 25 92 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
                        5 41.30 1.22 27.17 25 92 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
                        1 41.30 1.22 27.17 25 92 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
                        3 25.70 1.27 29.17 14 48 [Dirt MdnMClm] Best Workouts
                        7 41.30 1.22 27.17 25 92 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
                        8 6.20 1.07 27.91 12 43 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
                        6 6.20 1.07 27.91 12 43 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
                        2 41.30 1.22 27.17 25 92 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
                        10 5.60 1.47 50.00 3 6 [All Dirt] *Actual Post Greater Than 9 And Distance 7f or 7 1/2f
                        9 41.30 1.22 27.17 25 92 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
                        * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #42
                          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar



                          08/15/19, DMR, Race 1, 2.00 PT
                          1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
                          Claiming Price $8,000, if for $7,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
                          $1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $1 Place Pick All / 50 cent min. Rolling Pick Three - $1 Superfecta (10 cent min.) - 50 cent Early Pick 5 / $2 WPS Parlay
                          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                          100.0000 5 Love of Art (IRE) 4-1 Bejarano R Metz Jeffrey FC
                          097.7912 7 Topaz Time 3-1 Roman E A Pearson Molly J. E
                          097.1688 3 Forbidden Command 12-1 Jimenez A Clark Justin B. TWL
                          096.6402 1 Empress of Lov 9/5 Talamo J Dollase Craig
                          095.0802 6 Kennedie Sky 8-1 Delgadillo A DeLeon Rafael
                          093.9781 2 Cee Sam's Girl 5-1 Cedillo A Papaprodromou George J
                          092.2131 4 Victory Ice 10-1 Diaz. Jr. J Pearson Molly J. S
                          After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                          Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to DMR.
                          5 85.60 1.35 31.45 39 124 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                          7 85.60 1.35 31.45 39 124 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                          3 85.60 1.35 31.45 39 124 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                          1 84.40 1.33 34.38 44 128 [All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
                          6 85.60 1.35 31.45 39 124 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                          2 85.60 1.35 31.45 39 124 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                          4 85.60 1.35 31.45 39 124 [All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                          * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #43
                            Kenny Walker

                            Aug 15 '19, 7:00 PM in 9h
                            NFLX | Eagles vs Jaguars
                            Play on: Eagles +143 at 5Dimes

                            Free Pick on Eagles
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #44
                              Jimmy Boyd

                              Aug 15 '19, 7:20 PM in 9h
                              MLB | Mets vs Braves
                              Play on: Braves -121 at BMaker

                              1* Free MLB Pick on Atlanta Braves -121
                              I really like the value here with Atlanta as a small home favorite on Thursday. Braves scored 5 runs in the bottom of the 7th and were able to hold on for a 7-5 win on Wednesday. They have taken the first two in the series and I'm confident they finish off the sweep.
                              Braves will send out Julio Teheran, who has a sensational 2.52 ERA over 11 home starts this season. He's been even more locked in of late, as he has a 1.91 ERA over his last 7 outings. On top of that he's got a 2.50 ERA and 1.107 WHIP in 27 career starts against the Mets.
                              New York's offense has cooled off here of late and just recently lost one of their best hitters in Jeff McNeil to the IL. McNeil leads the team in average (.332) and OBP (.400). His 31 doubles are also 8 more than the next best.
                              Mets will have Marcus Stroman on the mound. While the Mets have won each of Stroman's first two starts since acquiring him in a trade, he's been a bit fortunate. Stroman has allowed 7 runs on 16 hits and 5 walks in 10 1/3 innings.
                              NY is 8-22 in their last 30 as a road dog of +100 to +150 and 4-14 in their last 18 on the road after a loss by 2 or fewer runs. Take Atlanta!
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #45
                                Bobby Conn

                                Aug 15 '19, 8:05 PM in 10h
                                MLB | Twins vs Rangers
                                Play on: Rangers +141 at 5Dimes

                                1* Free Play on Rangers +141
                                The Twins (72-48) come into tonight’s game with a 0.5-game lead in the AL Central and a powerful lineup, but they’ll be facing stiff competition against a Rangers team (60-60) that’s earned a 35-22 record at home.
                                A pair of rookies will be starting the game, as Rangers right-hander Pedro Payano (1-1, 3.86 ERA) goes up against Twins left-hander Devin Smeltzer (1-2, 3.66).
                                In his debut against the Twins in July, Payano held Minnesota scoreless with a walk in a single inning. In three innings against Milwaukee in his last outing, Payano allowed two runs on five hits. Payano is particularly good against left-handed hitters, holding them to a collective .206 average.
                                This will be Smelters second start against Texas. On the first occasion, Smeltzer allowed one run on five hits in 4 1/3 innings. In his last outing, the rookie gave up six runs on seven hits in 4 1/3 innings of work against the Indians.
                                Although Minnesota leads the majors in home runs and ranks third in scoring, they’ve slowed significantly in those departments recently. Over the past seven days, the Twins have launched nine homers and scored only 26 runs, good enough for 14thand 21stin the majors, respectively.
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