Thursday 8-29-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6800 Class Rating: 49

FOR NATIVE FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 14 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 CIELO SANTO 2/1
# 5 LA ORLANESSA 5/2
# 4 NOCHE OSCURA 3/1

I think CIELO SANTO is a respectable choice. Lately Jimenez has provided wagerers with a solid winning percentage with horses moving in dirt route races. Posted a decent speed figure last time out. Appears to have a strong class edge based on the latest company kept. LA ORLANESSA - With Santiago aboard her, this filly will probably be able to break out quickly in this event. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Santiago ought to have this filly in excellent position to win the outing. NOCHE OSCURA - Bettors ought to take a good look at this one as this filly has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group of horses in this race. Will most likely go to the lead and should never look back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

08/29/19, SAR, Race 1, 1.00 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $78,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLDFOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	12	Playtone	5-1	Ortiz J L	Kenneally Eddie	FELC
096.9699	4	More Glitter	2-1	Velazquez J R	Pletcher Todd A.	T
096.5289	5	Irish Danzing	4-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Clement Christophe	J
096.0371	1	Tequila Fog	6-1	Landeros C	Magner Dermot	W
095.7938	10	Welsh Gold	10-1	Saez L	Sacco Gregory D.
093.9084	13	Sister Beauty	10-1	Carmouche K	Contessa Gary C.
093.4821	11	E Z for You to Say	12-1	Harkie H K	Quick Patrick J.	S
093.3588	2	Aubrey Tate	9/2	Santana. Jr. R	Casse Norm W.
092.3731	6	Bingolina	8-1	Davis D	Kimmel John C.
092.0895	8	Keypit	15-1	Lezcano J	Albertrani Thomas
091.2967	9	Ama Is a Rock	20-1	Cancel E	Sciacca Gary
091.0896	3	Surprise Arrival	15-1	Ortiz J L	Maker Michael J.
089.3177	7	Barker Lane	30-1	Harkie H K	Barker Edward R.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.

1	22.20	1.21	29.63	16	54	[Dirt MdnMClm] Best Workouts
13	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
8	24.40	2.74	42.86	3	7	[All Dirt] Lasix On From Off
7	24.40	2.74	42.86	3	7	[All Dirt] Lasix On From Off

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

CFB, NFLX & MLB Picks 8/29

100* Tulane -3
100* Texans -2.5
100* Rockies -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Connors

"Deja Vu all over again", as Yogi Berra would say, as UCLA and Cincinnati will once again open the season against one another.

Last year the teams played at the Rose Bowl in first year coach Chip Kelly's debut, and it was the Uclans that were listed as the 2-touchdown favorites, but it was the Bearcats that stunned the Bruins, 26-17!

It started a 6-0 run to begin the season for Luke Fickell's team, en-route to an 11-2 finish that ended with a bowl win over Virginia Tech.

Chip Kelly's team will be improved this season, but having to play this game on the road at Nippert Stadium on ESPN will be no easy task, and the fact the Bruins went from -14 point favorites last season to +2 1/2 point underdogs this season should tell you that the oddsmakers know that Cincinnati is legit.

Cincinnati QB Desmond Ridder now has a full year under his belt, and he also has running back Michael Warren who ran for 3 scores and 142 yards in last season's win in Pasadena. The Bruins defense was plenty leaky last season, and I will need to see evidence that their stop unit is capable of making key stops this season before I put my "green" on them. If they can do so tonight, I will tip my cap and take my loss like a man.

UCLA's QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson is now also a sophomore - like his counterpart - and should be better out of the gate, and the Bruins do have a star RB of their own in Joshua Kelly, but Kelly has been a little dinged up to enter the season, and he will be trying to run against a formidable stop-unit that finished in the Top-20 in rushing last season.

Plenty of pressure on Kelly in season two at the helm in Westwood, while Fickell looks like the "golden boy" right now in the Queen City. Cincinnati will play at Columbus against Ohio State next, so it's important for Cincy to come out of the gates at home strong tonight.

I think they will. This is a small price to lay, and I am going to lay it with Cincinnati.

2* CINCINNATI

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Thursday's comp play goes on the afternoon card, as I back the Twins on the Run Line to leave Chicago with the 2 runs or better victory this afternoon.

Minnesota has done the job through the first pair of games in this concluding series, as they have won 3-1, and 8-2 on Tuesday and Wednesday.

That makes it 4 straight wins for Minny, and all 4 have come by 2 runs or more. They are also 9-3 the last 12 times pitcher Jose Berrios has started away from home. The Twins are also 8-1 the last 9 times Berrios has started against Chicago.

The Pale Hose have now dropped 3 of their last 4 games, and they offense has been limited to a meager 5 runs over their last 4 games.

Dylan Cease has had issues keeping runs off the board, as his season ERA is up there at 5.76. Included in that bloated ERA is 5 runs allowed in 5 innings of work at the end of July in his lone start against the Twins.

I will take my chances today and lay the run-and-a-half with the Twins in their finale against the White Sox.

5* MINNESOTA -1 1/2 RUNS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) CFB – BYU +6.5
2. Gameday Network CFB – Tulane under 58
3. VegasSI.com CFB – Texas A&M -32.5
4. Vegas Line Crushers CFB – Central Florida over 65.5
5. Sports Action 365 CFB – Connecticut -18.5
6. Point Spread Report CFB – Minnesota U under 56
7. Lou Panelli CFB – Arizona St over 60.5
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino CFB – Charlotte -31.5
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club CFB – Robert Morris +46
10. William E. Stockton CFB – Connecticut -18.5
11. Vincent Pioli CFB – Central Michigan -16
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CFB – BYU over 48
13. SCORE CFB – Minnesota U -15
14. East Coast Line Movers CFB – Georgia Tech +37
15. Tony Campone CFB – Tulane under 58
16. Chicago Sports Group CFB – Western Kentucky -10
17. Hollywood Sportsline CFB – Connecticut -18.5
18. VIP Action CFB – Tulane under 58
19. South Beach Sports CFB – UCLA +3
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CFB – NO. Colorado under 59.5
21. NY Players Club CFB – Central Michigan -16
22. Fred Callahan CFB – Alabama St +38.5
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club CFB – Connecticut -18.5
24. Michigan Sports CFB – Tulane -3
25. National Consensus Report CFB – Minnesota U under 56