Friday 8-30-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ruidoso Downs

Ruidoso Downs - Race 2	2nd Half Early Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta 1st Leg .50 Pick 3 / 2nd Leg Pick 4
Maiden • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 78 • Purse: $9,100 • Post: 12:28
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * MELAS MIRACLE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PIE PIES FLASHBACK: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. ONE SL ICK CARTER: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. AMERICAS DASH: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. LA BORREGUITA: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equiba se Speed Rating.
6	MELAS MIRACLE	8/1	6/1
4	PIE PIES FLASHBACK	2/1	6/1
7	ONE SLICK CARTER	5/1	7/1
1	AMERICAS DASH	6/1	7/1
2	LA BORREGUITA	4/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	AMERICAS DASH	1	6/1	Average	77	73	5.3	0.0	0.0
2	LA BORREGUITA	2	4/1	Average	75	68	0.0	0.0	0.0
3	PR VOLCOM	3	3/1	Average	73	67	4.2	0.0	0.0
4	PIE PIES FLASHBACK	4	2/1	Average	86	75	3.7	0.0	0.0
5	SFR GIGGLES	5	12/1	Slow	70	67	8.2	0.0	0.0
6	MELAS MIRACLE	6	8/1	Average	84	76	5.1	0.0	0.0
7	ONE SLICK CARTER	7	5/1	Fast	77	68	2.7	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 3	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 3-4) Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / Pick 6 (Races 3-4-5-6-7-8)
Claiming $5,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 7:57P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 28, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY)(W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. JEWEL HEIST is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JEWEL HEIST: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
4	JEWEL HEIST	8/5	9/5

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	JEWEL HEIST	4	8/5	Front-runner	90	84	94.0	85.6	83.6
5	HOSWAY	5	8/1	Front-runner	89	75	67.0	68.4	61.4
2	POET WARRIOR	2	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	74	76	51.6	68.0	58.5
1	SERVE	1	2/1	Stalker	82	76	80.6	72.8	67.8
3	GOODBYESEEULATER	3	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	78	65	52.4	58.6	50.6
6	GEORGE JET	6	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	79	73	45.2	66.6	56.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Claiming - 7.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7700 Class Rating: 77

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 28. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $1,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 BEENTOSPAIN 1/1
# 1 STAR VIXEN 7/1
# 5 WHATSNOTTOLOVE 12/1

I think BEENTOSPAIN is a solid choice. She should be carefully examined given the competitive speed numbers. With a decent 71 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this affair. The average Equibase class figure of 74 makes this one tough to beat. STAR VIXEN - A nice ROI of +6 with this jock and conditioner combo. This mare looks good in this competition since Gardipy has a sharp winning percentage with horses going this distance. WHATSNOTTOLOVE - Looks quite good for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races recently. Ought to be given a shot here on the basis of the figures in the speed realm alone.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #9 - Post: 6:29pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $36,000 Class Rating: 50

Rating:

#8 LEISHLANICK (ML=5/1)
#11 WHYCANTTHISBELOVE (ML=10/1)


LEISHLANICK - Panici rode this horse for the initial time last time out and comes right back today. Faced tougher last time out at Gulfstream Park. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this animal on my list of strong contenders. Look for this filly to show lots better today. Last race at Gulfstream Park finishing seventh in the slop is no sign of her true talent. WHYCANTTHISBELOVE - Was in a $12,500 Maiden Claiming race at Gulfstream Park in the last race. That race had a class figure of 59 and she is moving down right here. A certain serious competitor. After the contest aboard this animal on August 10th, the rider is going to be in tune with the filly much better. This filly is in nice condition, having run a strong race on August 10th, finishing third.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 FRERET (ML=9/2), #1 POWERFUL WORDS (ML=6/1), #12 QUEEN FIELD (ML=6/1),

FRERET - Would have to get quite a bit more than the morning line of 9/2 to play this horse. POWERFUL WORDS - I predict a setback for this animal in this race. QUEEN FIELD - Doubtful for this thoroughbred to do much running with no recent success in a short distance race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#8 LEISHLANICK to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [8,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #1 - Post: 6:00pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,400 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#4 SPRING AWAY (ML=9/2)


SPRING AWAY - This mare is very familiar with the winner's circle at Penn National. I expect a repeat trip in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 TRULAMO (ML=8/5), #2 ROBIN'S DESTINY (ML=9/5), #3 GIA ALEXA (ML=5/1),

TRULAMO - Unlikely that this animal will finish better than she did last time when placing fourth. ROBIN'S DESTINY - This mare registered a speed fig in her last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race. GIA ALEXA - Hard to keep stabbing at this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. The Equibase speed figs continue to descend, 72/63/57. Not a good sign.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #4 SPRING AWAY to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ellis Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 61

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 COLONIAL JILL 7/5
# 1 TRIPLE KAPALUA 8/1
# 2 MISS DISCREET 2/1

I think COLONIAL JILL is a respectable choice. In this field, this entrant is at the top in earnings per start in dirt sprint contests. Has run solidly when running a dirt sprint race. Carroll has a win percentage of 19 over the last month. TRIPLE KAPALUA - The speed fig of 54 from her latest race looks formidable in here. Appears to have a quite good class edge based on the latest company kept. MISS DISCREET - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look solid in this contest. Has decent front-end speed and should fare well against this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar

08/30/19, DMR, Race 3, 5.00 PT
5F [Turf] 00.54.04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $64,000.
Claiming Price $20,000 (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $16,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred)(HORSES THAT ARE ENTERED FOR CLAIMING PRICE ARE RUNNING FORAPURSE OF $35,000). FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - 50 cent min. Rolling Pick Three / $1 Superfecta (10 cent min.) - 50 cent Late Pick 5 (3-7) / $2 WPS Parlay
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	1	Absolutely Perfect	7/2	Prat F	Blacker Dan	JFE
098.5239	4	Miss Ricochet	9/2	Pedroza M A	Glatt Mark
098.3957	3	Sunrise Royale	5-1	Cedillo A	Kruljac J. Eric
097.4013	8	Rose Dunn	6-1	Maldonado E A	Koriner Brian J.	L
097.0110	9	Shylock Eddie	12-1	Talamo J	Koriner Brian J.
096.9822	7	Violette Szabo	6-1	Garcia M	D'Amato Philip	W
094.6981	5	Ismelucky	6-1	Fuentes R	Bonde Jeff
094.6076	10	Lucky Ms Jones	12-1	Franco G	D'Amato Philip	C
094.4430	11	Papaclem'smidnight	15-1	Cedillo A	Wong Jonathan	T
093.5091	6	Maycee Jo	8-1	Van Dyke D	McLean Bill	S
092.5900	2	Marjorie E	20-1	Flores E	Gallagher Patrick

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to DMR.

1	57.20	1.30	34.38	33	96	[All Turf] Best Jockey
4	36.60	1.08	29.02	65	224	[All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Equal To Today
3	36.60	1.08	29.02	65	224	[All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Equal To Today
8	36.60	1.08	29.02	65	224	[All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Equal To Today
9	36.60	1.08	29.02	65	224	[All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Equal To Today
7	36.00	1.17	18.10	19	105	[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Better Win Percent
5	36.60	1.08	29.02	65	224	[All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Equal To Today
10	40.00	1.27	26.67	20	75	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
11	67.00	1.23	32.41	47	145	[All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
6	32.60	1.27	30.00	18	60	[All Surfaces] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
2	36.00	1.17	18.10	19	105	[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Better Win Percent

* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	3	Sunrise Royale	5-1	Cedillo A	Kruljac J. Eric
099.6465	8	Rose Dunn	6-1	Maldonado E A	Koriner Brian J.	L
098.8556	7	Violette Szabo	6-1	Garcia M	D'Amato Philip	EW
098.2501	9	Shylock Eddie	12-1	Talamo J	Koriner Brian J.
097.1174	1	Absolutely Perfect	7/2	Prat F	Blacker Dan	JF
096.0191	4	Miss Ricochet	9/2	Pedroza M A	Glatt Mark
094.6718	5	Ismelucky	6-1	Fuentes R	Bonde Jeff
093.4329	10	Lucky Ms Jones	12-1	Franco G	D'Amato Philip	C
093.1050	6	Maycee Jo	8-1	Van Dyke D	McLean Bill	S
092.2738	11	Papaclem'smidnight	15-1	Cedillo A	Wong Jonathan	T
091.8831	2	Marjorie E	20-1	Flores E	Gallagher Patrick

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to DMR.

3	52.60	1.25	29.91	32	107	[All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
8	49.20	1.14	28.49	49	172	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Greater Than Today
7	52.60	1.25	29.91	32	107	[All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
9	51.20	1.22	32.17	37	115	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Not Second Race After 45 Days Off
1	46.80	1.10	33.33	78	234	[All Surfaces] Best Jockey
4	52.60	1.25	29.91	32	107	[All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
5	49.20	1.14	28.49	49	172	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Greater Than Today
10	58.60	1.77	36.84	14	38	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Closer
6	33.60	1.11	30.00	48	160	[All Dirt] Last Race Purse Not Higher Than Today
11	80.40	1.30	40.74	55	135	[All Dirt] Best Trainer
2	52.60	1.25	29.91	32	107	[All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

08/30/19, SAR, Race 3, 2.06 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $48,000.
Claiming Price $40,000 (1. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	4	Wild William	4-1	Saez L	Bond H. James	S
099.9271	2	Wicked Grin	5/2	Carmouche K	Clement Christophe	E
098.8725	7	Danzante(b-)	10-1	Landeros C	Bond H. James
097.4993	11	Centrist	10-1	Rosario J	Handal Raymond
096.7101	6	Exchange Fever	6-1	Santana. Jr. R	Weaver George
096.6304	14	Later Cat	8/5	Rider TBA	Levine Bruce N.
096.4416	12	Capt. Courageous	8-1	Franco M	Abreu Jorge R.	FC
095.7515	9	Big Browning	12-1	Ortiz J L	Abreu Jorge R.
095.2061	1	Silver Token	12-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Rice Linda	J
094.8715	10	Wisecrack	30-1	Martinez J R	Martin Carlos F.	W
093.0360	3	Clear the Ramp	10-1	Davis D	Sciacca Gary
092.9208	13	Fusilli	20-1	Baez J	LeCesse Michael A.
092.7222	5	Zelenka	30-1	Jimenez S	Meadow Patricia E.	L
092.6630	8	Yousaidhello	20-1	Hernandez B	Sciacca Gary

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.

4	63.40	1.44	48.61	35	72	[All Turf] Best Speed
7	4.00	1.13	26.67	4	15	[Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 4UP
11	21.50	1.28	25.64	10	39	[All Turf] *Actual Post Greater Than 9
6	15.30	1.03	32.96	88	267	[All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
14	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
12	47.40	1.33	38.89	28	72	[All Turf] Best Closer
9	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
1	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
10	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
3	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
13	21.50	1.28	25.64	10	39	[All Turf] *Actual Post Greater Than 9
5	12.50	1.17	30.56	11	36	[All Turf] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
8	2.20	1.07	25.00	4	16	[Turf MdnMClm] Second Start

* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	4	Wild William	4-1	Saez L	Bond H. James	S
098.4213	7	Danzante(b-)	10-1	Landeros C	Bond H. James
098.3184	2	Wicked Grin	5/2	Carmouche K	Clement Christophe	E
098.2960	6	Exchange Fever	6-1	Santana. Jr. R	Weaver George	F
096.9814	14	Later Cat	8/5	Rider TBA	Levine Bruce N.
096.5469	11	Centrist	10-1	Rosario J	Handal Raymond
094.7196	3	Clear the Ramp	10-1	Davis D	Sciacca Gary
094.7041	12	Capt. Courageous	8-1	Franco M	Abreu Jorge R.	C
094.5893	10	Wisecrack	30-1	Martinez J R	Martin Carlos F.	W
094.5053	5	Zelenka	30-1	Jimenez S	Meadow Patricia E.	L
094.3515	9	Big Browning	12-1	Ortiz J L	Abreu Jorge R.
094.2217	1	Silver Token	12-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Rice Linda	J
093.4058	13	Fusilli	20-1	Baez J	LeCesse Michael A.
091.4713	8	Yousaidhello	20-1	Hernandez B	Sciacca Gary

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SAR.

4	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
7	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
2	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
6	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
12	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
10	22.20	1.21	29.63	16	54	[Dirt MdnMClm] Best Workouts
5	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
8	45.80	1.21	28.70	31	108	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) CFB – Wake Forest -5
2. Gameday Network CFB – Rice +22
3. VegasSI.com CFB – Nevada +11
4. Vegas Line Crushers CFB – South Florida +10.5
5. Sports Action 365 CFB – Colorado -13.5
6. Point Spread Report CFB – Nevada under 57.5
7. Lou Panelli CFB – Oklahoma St -14
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino CFB – Wake Forest over 60.5
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club CFB – Rice +22
10. William E. Stockton CFB – South Florida under 58
11. Vincent Pioli CFB – Oklahoma St -14
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CFB – Rice over 48
13. SCORE CFB – Nevada +11
14. East Coast Line Movers CFB – Wake Forest -5
15. Tony Campone CFB – Michigan St over 48
16. Chicago Sports Group CFB – Colorado -13.5
17. Hollywood Sportsline CFB – Rutgers -16.5
18. VIP Action CFB – Rice +22
19. South Beach Sports CFB – Oklahoma St -14
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CFB – Nevada +11
21. NY Players Club CFB – Oklahoma St -14
22. Fred Callahan CFB – Wake Forest -5
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club CFB – Michigan St over 48
24. Michigan Sports CFB – South Florida +10.5
25. National Consensus Report CFB – Nevada under 57.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, August 30


Milwaukee @ Chicago Cubs

Game 951-952
August 30, 2019 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Anderson) 16.223
Chicago Cubs
(Quintana) 14.842
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-145
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+125); Under

NY Mets @ Philadelphia

Game 953-954
August 30, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Wheeler) 14.552
Philadelphia
(Nola) 16.248
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-155
9
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-155); Over

Miami @ Washington

Game 955-956
August 30, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Hernandez) 13.057
Washington
(Sanchez) 17.514
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-260
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-260); Under

Oakland @ NY Yankees

Game 965-966
August 30, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Anderson) 15.398
NY Yankees
(Sabathia) 17.432
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-140
11
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-140); Under

Houston @ Toronto

Game 967-968
August 30, 2019 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Miley) 18.747
Toronto
(Thornton) 14.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 4 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-200
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-200); Over

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay

Game 969-970
August 30, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bieber) 14.766
Tampa Bay
(Pruitt) 18.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-160
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+140); Over

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 971-972
August 30, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Gibson) 14.209
Detroit
(Jackson) 15.802
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-270
10
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+230); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Atlanta

Game 979-980
August 30, 2019 @ 7:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Nova) 16.193
Atlanta
(Fried) 14.965
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-215
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+175); Under

Seattle @ Texas

Game 973-974
August 30, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Gonzales) 15.308
Texas
(Allard) 13.821
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-115
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-105); Under

Cincinnati @ St. Louis

Game 957-958
August 30, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Bauer) 16.335
St. Louis
(Hudson) 13.929
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 21/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+100); Over

Baltimore @ Kansas City

Game 975-976
August 30, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Means) 14.048
Kansas City
(Skoglund) 15.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+100); Over

Pittsburgh @ Colorado

Game 959-960
August 30, 2019 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Agrazal) 13.802
Colorado
(Senzatela) 14.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-125
14 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-125); Under

LA Dodgers @ Arizona

Game 961-962
August 30, 2019 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Gonsolin) 14.857
Arizona
(Gallen) 16.255
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+110); Under

Boston @ LA Angels

Game 977-978
August 30, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Eovaldi) 16.182
LA Angels
(Suarez) 13.611
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-140
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-140); Under

San Diego @ San Francisco

Game 963-964
August 30, 2019 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lamet) 16.621
San Francisco
(Bmgrner) 12.191
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 4 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-130
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+110); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

By: Rohit Ponnaiya



STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

STREAKING

Dakota Hudson, St. Louis Cardinals (13-6, 3.47 ERA, $994): The Cardinals have been rolling lately, going 16-5 in their last 21 home games and 6-1 over their previous seven games overall. Hudson has been a big reason for their success, going three straight starts without giving up a single run. During that three-game span he's allowed just seven hits over 18 2-3 innings. The Cards are an incredible 15-3 in Hudson's last 18 starts.

Today, Hudson and the Cardinals are hosting the Cincinnati Reds and starter Trevor Bauer. Bauer has been awful since being acquired by Cincy, with an ERA of 7.62 and a WHIP of 1.58 while the Reds have gone 1-4 in his five starts. The Cardinals are small home faves at -116 and are definitely worth the price given how each starting pitcher is trending.

SLUMPING

Jose Suarez, Los Angeles Angels (2-5, 6.67 ERA, $-658): The 21-year-old lefthander is struggling in his first year as a pro. Over his last five starts he has an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.05. Suarez will have a tough matchup tonight as the Angels host the Boston Red Sox who lead the majors in batting average (.277) and are third in runs per game (5.78).

The BoSox will give the ball to Nathan Eovaldi and the Over has gone 7-1-2 over his last 10 starts. With the Over also hitting in eight of the Angels last 10 home games and going 9-2-1 in Suarez's previous 12 starts the Over 10.5 looks like a good play.



3 STRIKES

CUBS COOKING AT HOME

The Brewers are still in the NL Central race and enter a crucial three-game series on the road against the Cubs. With 10 of their next 16 games against the Cubs and Cardinals, who are both ahead of them in the division race, the Brew Crew will need to start winning soon.

Milwaukee is a +125 underdog for this afternoon's matchup and most trends are pointing towards a Cubs victory. Milwuakee is 2-8 in it's last 10 road games against a team with a winning record and 1-4 in Chase Anderson's previous five starts on the road. The Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 games and 8-2 in Jose Quintana's previous 10 starts.

Chicago is also 40-19 in their previous 59 games at home and 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two sides at Wrigley Field. The Cubs offer good value on the moneyline at -145.

SUPER NOVA

Ivan Nova is coming off a 4-0 loss to the Texas Rangers but he only allowed one earned run through 5 2-3 innings in that game. Over his last seven starts the White Sox have gone 6-1 and Nova has an incredible ERA of 0.94.

Nova and the White Sox are in an interleague matchup today as they travel to Atlanta to face the Braves and southpaw Max Fried. Fried is 14-4 with a 4.03 ERA and has a sparking 3.29 ERA over his five starts in August.

The Under has gone 9-2 in the Braves last 11 games and has cashed in four of Chicago's last five contests. With the O/U installed at 9.5 tonight, the Under is worth a look.

GRUDGE MATCH

We've got a grudge match in Detroit as Twins starter Kyle Gibson faces off against Tigers right-hander Edwin Jackson for the second time within seven days. Gibson and the Twins won 8-5 in Minnesota last Saturday and Jackson was shelled for six runs in five innings.

Jackson has been pretty awful all season going 3-7 with an 8.70 ERA and a WHIP of 1.87. Gibson is 12-6 with a 4.49 ERA but he's been pretty bad over his last four starts going 1-2 with a 7.17 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP. The Twins are massive -268 faves but given that the Twins average a league-best 5.88 runs per game (and an even higher 6.25 runs/game on the road) the Over 10 might be the better play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, August 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (21 - 9) at NEW YORK (9 - 21) - 8/30/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 6-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Friday, August 30


Connecticut @ New York

Game 635-636
August 30, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
112.691
New York
100.221
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 12 1/2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 9
161
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(-9); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

MLB & CFB Picks 8/30

100* Giants -120
100* Rangers -130
100* South Florida +11