Friday 9-6-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358497

    #16
    Huddle Up Sports

    Free Play: San Francisco Samardjiza +225
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358497

      #17
      Arthur Ralph

      FREE play FRI WhiteSox w/ Giolito-148
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358497

        #18
        Vegas Steam Line

        Your free winner for Friday: WASHINGTON/ATLANTA UNDER the total of 9½ runs
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358497

          #19
          High Stakes Syndicate

          Free Selection for Friday: Seattle Mariners + 210
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358497

            #20
            Kenny Towers

            Your free pick for Friday: Marshall/Boise St OVER 56½
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358497

              #21
              NCAAF
              Long Sheet



              Friday, September 6


              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              WAKE FOREST (1 - 0) at RICE (0 - 1) - 9/6/2019, 12:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              WAKE FOREST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
              RICE is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
              RICE is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
              RICE is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              WAKE FOREST is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
              WAKE FOREST is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
              1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              MARSHALL (1 - 0) at BOISE ST (1 - 0) - 9/6/2019, 9:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              MARSHALL is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
              MARSHALL is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
              BOISE ST is 148-107 ATS (+30.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
              BOISE ST is 148-107 ATS (+30.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358497

                #22
                NCAAF

                Week 2


                Trend Report


                Friday, September 6


                Wake Forest @ Rice
                Wake Forest
                Wake Forest is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                Wake Forest is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                Rice
                Rice is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                The total has gone OVER in 10 of Rice's last 15 games at home


                Marshall @ Boise State
                Marshall
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 5 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Marshall's last 7 games
                Boise State
                Boise State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
                Boise State is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home

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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358497

                  #23
                  NCAAF

                  Week 2



                  Friday’s games
                  Wake Forest gave up 596 yards but beat Utah State 38-35 at home LW; Aggies threw for 416 yards, WF 401. Rice lost its opener 14-7 at Army; total yardage was 284-243- Owls threw for only 62 yards. Wake plays local rival North Carolina Thursday; since 2010, Wake is 1-4 ATS as a road favorite. Last three years, Owls are 5-4 as home underdogs. Deacons (-27) beat Rice 56-24 in last meeting. Wake has more experienced OL (82 returning starts to 32). Last four years, ACC teams are 11-5 vs spread when playing a C-USA opponent.


                  Trap game for Boise State after their emotional comeback win at Florida State. Broncos have solid young QB in freshman Bachmeier; he threw for 407 yards at FSU last week. Under Harsin, Boise is 17-21 ATS as a home favorite- they’re 14-10 ATS in last 24 non-league games. Marshall whacked a I-AA team in their opener; hard to tell much about that. Since ’12, Marshall is 11-4-1 as a road underdog. Both teams have 100+ returning stats on their OL; Conference USA teams covered seven of last nine games as an underdog vs Mountain West opponents.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358497

                    #24
                    College Football Picks: Texas and A&M try to win the breakup
                    September 4, 2019
                    By The Associated Press



                    Texas and Texas A&M don't play anymore. The best their fans can do is compare resumes since the split, gloating about their team's successes and basking in the failures of their rival.


                    There has been more basking then gloating.


                    This weekend, the Aggies and Longhorns play in college football's biggest games. No. 12 Texas A&M visits No. 1 Clemson and No. 9 Texas hosts No. 6 LSU. It's a prime opportunity for fans of the estranged rivals (who are so over each other!) to assess which program is winning the breakup.


                    Since the Aggies joined the Southeastern Conference, leaving the Big 12 and Longhorns behind, they are 60-31, peaking in Year 1 with Heisman winner Johnny Manziel leading A&M to an 11-2 season that included a victory at Alabama, a Cotton Bowl win over Oklahoma and a final ranking of No. 5.


                    The Aggies have not broken nine wins since, but optimism is high in coach Jimbo Fisher's second season.


                    That's an OK run, but compared to Texas, it has been high times in College Station.


                    The Longhorns are 50-40, with three losing seasons since A&M left. Last year's 10-4 breakthrough season under coach Tom Herman was the high point, including a Sugar Bowl victory against Georgia and a final ranking of No. 9.


                    Advantage, Aggies. Both programs seem to be trending in the right direction, but Saturday's games will be measuring sticks - in part against each other.


                    The picks:


                    FRIDAY


                    Marshall (plus 10+) at No. 24 Boise State



                    Excluding a couple losses to independent BYU, the Broncos have not lost a regular-season nonconference game to a team outside a Power Five conference since 1999 ... BOISE STATE 35-21, BEST BET.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358497

                      #25
                      Marshall at Boise State
                      September 3, 2019
                      By Matt Blunt



                      Marshall at Boise State
                      Venue/Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID
                      Time/TV: Friday, Sept. 6, 9:00 p.m. ET, ESPN2
                      Line: Boise State -11, Total 55



                      After last week had a handful of great games on Friday, this week there are just two games that pit FBS programs against one another, and it's the later of the two out on the Smurf Turf that I'll be focusing on here.


                      Last week's piece ended up playing out alright, as Rutgers is going into Iowa this week off a win of 20+ over Massachusetts, staying away from Oklahoma State wasn't the best idea as they brought out their offense early and often against a bad Oregon State team, while the Best Bet on the 'over' in the Colorado-Colorado State showdown cashed with relative ease.


                      It was a nice start to a season of Friday Showcase breakdowns, and hopefully this week brings more rewards to all those inclined to join.


                      Marshall and Boise State both come into this game with 1-0 SU records, but while Marshall beat up on FCS Virginia Military (56-17), Boise State was on the road in Tallahassee, engineering a great 2nd half comeback to beat Florida State. The Broncos outscored FSU 17-0 in the final 30 minutes, as a combination of great in-game adjustments and a gassed FSU team who appeared to have shot their full shot in the opening 30 minutes enabled Boise State to comeback. Given that it was true freshman quarterback Hank Bachmeier that orchestrated that comeback for the Broncos, this “rebuilding” year for Boise State may have turned into a “contending” year after just a single game.


                      But just like we will see next week when Week 2 of the NFL season arrives, Week 2 in college football is known for overreactions as well. Excitement for the season means football consumption is at an all-time high in Week 1 in terms of sheer volume of games consumed (bettors trying to get a handle on teams across the country), and there are always some snap judgements made after good/bad Week 1 performances. Keep that in mind as you navigate your way through the entire college football betting board this week, but Boise State contending for a Mountain West title this year with their youthful roster is still not something I'm sold on yet. That being said, Boise State is still Boise State, and you've got to give them the benefit of the doubt in terms of recruiting quality talent and coaching them up once they arrive on campus.


                      But it's that same positive, potential overreaction on the Broncos win that has seen early money for this game push the number Marshall's way after opening up at -12. An early week move like that is very understandable on multiple levels, as the perception of how good Boise State is this year is definitely inflated a touch after the Florida State win, and laying double digits with a freshman QB in his first career home start against FBS competition is still a big ask. Marshall's a team that's still projected to be the program that does very well in Conference USA this season, and relies on a great returning O-line to spark a highly explosive running game.


                      Yet, at the same time, Marshall was not challenged in any aspect of football in its Week 1 win over VMI, and taking that initial step up for a team can bring some issues. For one, it's a road game on a short week, meaning that travel cuts into prep time on the field in that regard for Marshall, and the home field advantage that the Smurf Turf brings Boise State is one of the better ones in the land.


                      There will likely be no 6.1 yards per rush for Marshall this week like they had a week ago, and their 55% 3rd down conversion rate on offense (6-for-11) should take a hit as well. Boise's State's comeback against FSU was fueled by the ability of their defense to get off the field on 3rd down – Florida State was 1-for-12 on 3rd down in the game – and the offense's ability to stay on the field on 3rd down (10-for-19) against what should be a quality program. Remember, Marshall went 55% on 3rd down against VMI, Boise State nearly did the same (53%) against Florida State. The opening number of 12 points was warranted and may even end back up there by the time kickoff arrives.


                      So while it's still fine to take a long-term cautious approach with Boise State this year – there will be some dud games for the freshman QB – I do believe backing them this week is the right move. Going against the early line move does bring some minor concerns, but you can't underestimate (or perhaps quantify) the confidence someone like Hank Bachmeier gained from that comeback win at FSU last week, and hopefully that rolls over into Friday's game as well.


                      With Marshall's defense still having a big question mark in terms of their ability to stop the run this year, Boise State should be able to use the running game – RB Robert Mahone had 142 yards rushing on 24 attempts vs FSU (2 TDs) – to open up the pass, because Marshall's secondary enters the year as the strength of the unit and one that's probably eager to get a crack at Bachmeier. But if they are forced to come down into the box to help stop the run – which I believe they will be – things can really start to open up for Bachmeier and Boise's attack can get on a roll from there.


                      Playing under the lights on the Smurf Turf typically is rough for visiting teams as it is, and with Marshall as a program on a 0-7 ATS run after allowing fewer than 20 points, and 3-7 ATS when coming off a win of 20+ points, the initial move on them makes sense, but it won't be the one that gets bettors to the payout window.


                      Best Bet: Boise State -10.5


                      Best Bet YTD Record: 1-0 ATS
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358497

                        #26
                        Boise at home and ready for Marshall
                        September 5, 2019
                        By The Associated Press



                        For the second straight week, Hank Bachmeier gets a chance to make a first impression.


                        It will be hard for Boise State's freshman quarterback to top what he did in the season opener.


                        ''You thought after having a four-year starter at quarterback there would be a little bit of a drop-off there,'' Marshall coach Doc Holliday said. ''But this kid, he didn't look like a freshman out there. He took some shots in that Florida State game, stood right in there and delivered the ball.''


                        Bachmeier and the 24th-ranked Broncos play their first game on the blue turf Friday night when they host Marshall, one of the preseason favorites in Conference USA. While it's an intriguing matchup of two Group of Five teams, all eyes will be on Bachmeier.


                        Bachmeier helped create the excitement with his performance last week in Boise State's 36-31 comeback win over Florida State. Down by 18 in the second quarter, the Broncos (1-0) outscored Florida State 23-0 the rest of the way, with Bachmeier turning in a sterling performance. He completed 30 of 51 passes for 407 yards and a touchdown. It was the best passing debut by a Boise State quarterback since the school went to the FBS level in 1996 and the 407 yards nearly cracked the top 10 performances all time in school history.


                        The 18-point comeback was the biggest by Boise State against a Power Five opponent since overcoming a 14-0 hole to rout Oregon State 42-14 in 2006.


                        ''Hank showed toughness in there and that's part of it. You don't want your quarterback to get hit but at times to stand in there and deliver a ball you've got to do that sometimes,'' Boise State coach Bryan Harsin said. ''Just the overall game, his poise, composure and staying in it. As the game was not going our way early on I think guys mentally can get themselves out of it and it's hard to get refocused in three and a half hours and get yourself back on track and he never seemed to lose that throughout the game.''


                        Marshall (1-0) opened with a 56-17 thumping of VMI. Sophomore Isaiah Green threw a career-high four touchdowns while the Thundering Herd compiled 620 yards of offense, including 280 on the ground. Holliday is hoping his team understands the challenge will be far different out west.


                        ''It's a challenge we're looking forward to. I know when you're in this business as a coach or as a player, these are the kind of games that you want to go play,'' Holliday said. ''I talk to these kids all the time because you play this great game, you get opportunities a lot of people don't get. This is one of them.''


                        Other things to watch as the Broncos and Thundering Herd meet for just the second time:


                        CRACKING 100



                        Boise State running back Robert Mahone rushed for 142 yards and two touchdowns against Florida State, and averaged nearly 6 yards per carry. It's a pretty good start for a program trying to continue a 10-year streak of having a 1,000-yard rusher. He'll be challenged by a Marshall defense that has not allowed a 100-yard rusher in the past 15 games. Marshall was one of just four teams that didn't allow a 100-yard rusher last season, along with Clemson, Southern Miss and Northern Illinois.


                        PLENTY OF TARGETS


                        Eleven different players caught passes for Marshall against VMI, including five different players with a TD catch. Corey Gammage led the Herd with five catches for 82 yards, while Tavin Richardson and Armani Levias had three catches each.


                        NO HANGOVER


                        One of Harsin's big concerns going into Week 2 was that his younger players would be affected by the attention they got after the win over Florida State.


                        ''There was a lot of hype from this last game and there can be a major hangover because of that,'' he said. ''Everybody is on their phone, they want to see how many times their name gets retweeted and they want to see the pictures that Boise State football puts out there.''


                        Maybe he shouldn't be as concerned as the Broncos have won 17 straight home openers.


                        WE MEET AGAIN


                        It's been a long time since the only previous meeting between the schools. Marshall and Boise State met in the 1994 Division I-AA (now FCS) national semifinals. The Broncos pulled out a 28-24 win at home and faced Youngstown State in the national title game played on Marshall's home field. The Broncos fell in the title game 28-14.


                        *********************************************


                        Wake Forest looks to improve defense
                        September 5, 2019
                        By The Associated Press



                        HOUSTON (AP) Wake Forest got a close win over Utah State in the season opener. Coach Dave Clawson admits there's still plenty the Demon Deacons need to improve, especially on defense.


                        The defense picked off three passes but gave up 596 yards, including 416 yards passing, in the 38-35 win. The Demon Deacons (1-0) will have a quick turnaround to fix those issues, traveling to Houston to play Rice (0-1) on Friday night.


                        ''We gave up 13 plays for 393 yards and the rest were a little over 200,'' Clawson said. ''We didn't tackle well. We had poor angles. We had some communication breakdowns in the back end. Those are things that we have to coach, correct and get better at.''


                        Rice will present a different challenge for the Wake Forest defense after rushing for 181 yards and throwing for just 62 yards last week in a 14-7 loss at Army.


                        ''It is completely opposite to what we do and what we have seen,'' Clawson said. ''They use multiple personnel groups and use groupings with two, three, even four tight ends. It is hard to prepare for. They stretch you out.''


                        On offense, Wake Forest threw for 401 yards. The Demon Deacons averaged 3.1 yards per carry, finishing with 178 yards rushing on 58 carries and a fumble.


                        ''I think anytime something doesn't go well you have to ask, `Why didn't it go well? Was it what we're doing, how we're doing it, who's doing it?''' Clawson said. ''It's always a combination of those three things. So I think at times we were a little bit too robotic with our snap count that they were able to predict the quarterbacks sneak, they were off the ball before we were.''


                        More things to know about the Wake Forest-Rice game:


                        FINISHING DRIVES



                        Rice had trouble finishing drives in the opener against Army, going 0 for 1 in the red zone, 3 for 11 on third downs and 0 for 1 on fourth down.


                        ''It's very simple,'' said Rice coach Mike Bloomgren. ''I love averaging six yards a carry. I love protecting the football and with the way our defense is playing, I think it's a formula that can win a lot of games. But we need a couple of more points on the scoreboard. That's the bottom line.''


                        SHORT-YARDAGE WOES


                        Wake Forest needs to perform better in short-yardage situations. The Demon Deacons were stopped on fourth downs twice inside the Utah State 5, and they settled for a field goal after another drive stalled inside the 10.


                        ''They were physical and they were able to tighten things up and get the backfield and at times we just didn't execute well,'' Clawson said.


                        SECONDARY TEST


                        Rice's defensive line saw a lot of action against Army, holding the Black Knights to 231 yards rushing, but the secondary had a rather light night as Army finished 3 of 8 passing for 53 yards. Bloomgren knows that will be different against Wake Forest. Quarterback Jamie Newman finished 34 of 47 for 401 yards and three touchdowns against Utah State.


                        ''This is going to be a tempo,'' Bloomgren said. ''Their quarterback threw for over 400 yards the other night. He's playing at a really high level.''
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358497

                          #27
                          Dwayne Connors

                          Friday's comp play is Jeff Samardzija and Clayton Kershaw to go out there at Dodger Stadium and keep the bats in check, as the Giants and the Dodgers hold Under the total in their weekend opener.

                          San Francisco's bats were skunked for the second time in three games on Thursday afternoon in St. Louis, as the Giants offense has been held to one run or less in 4 of their last 6 efforts.

                          The Dodgers offense continues to hum, but I say they hit a flat spot against Jeff Samardzija who I will give a "mulligan" to for his last start against the Padres which was not up to snuff. Prior to that poor outing, Shark had worked 7 straight starts with 2 runs or less allowed. 6 of the 7 starts holding Under the total. Shark is 0-1 this season against the Dodgers, but does tote in a respectable 2.61 ERA against L.A.

                          As for Kershaw, he has been decidiely "un-Kershawlike" for his last 3 starts, 11 runs allowed in 18 innings of work, and the Over connecting in 3 of his last 4 starts.

                          That's the bad news about Kershaw. The good news is the Under is 26-9-3 in Kershaw's last 38 starts against the Giants, and he owns a career ERA of just 1.68 against the Giants over the years.

                          I will side with the Under in this Giants-Dodgers meeting tonight.

                          2* SAN FRANCISCO-L.A. DODGERS UNDER
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358497

                            #28
                            LEADING OFF: A's winning streak on line in suspended game
                            September 5, 2019
                            By The Associated Press


                            A look at what's happening around the majors Friday:


                            SO, WHERE WERE WE?


                            Before their regularly scheduled matchup in Oakland, the Tigers and Athletics will resume a game that was suspended May 19 at Detroit with the A's leading 5-3 in the bottom of the seventh inning. Back then, the A's were in the middle of putting together their first 10-game winning streak since 2006. But that could get wiped away if Oakland can't close out the May 19 game against Detroit. If the A's hang on, the winning streak will go to 11 games. If the Tigers rally to win, Oakland's streak from that stretch will only be considered a seven-gamer. Center fielder Ramon Laureano is expected to come off the injured list for the A's and play in the second game.


                            OPPORTUNITY KNOCKS


                            Minnesota has a chance to widen its 6+-game lead in the AL Central over Cleveland and perhaps all but salt away the division title when the Indians come to town for a three-game series. Michael Pineda (11-5, 4.11 ERA) pitches the opener for the Twins, back home from an 8-2 road trip. Adam Plutko (6-4, 4.53) goes for Cleveland.


                            CLOSING IN


                            Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers have a magic number of four to clinch their seventh consecutive NL West title. They could do it at home over the weekend against rival San Francisco - depending on how Arizona fares in Cincinnati. Kershaw (13-4, 2.96 ERA) starts the first game opposite Jeff Samardzija (9-11, 3.61), who is 0-3 with a 4.21 ERA in five appearances at Dodger Stadium. Los Angeles lefty Rich Hill will face hitters as he works his way back from a forearm strain.


                            WINDY CITY WORRIES


                            Cubs closer Craig Kimbrel was placed on the 10-day injured list with elbow inflammation Thursday, retroactive to Monday, ahead of a big series against Milwaukee. Chicago also scratched All-Star shortstop Javier Baez with lingering soreness in his left thumb. Kimbrel hasn't pitched since allowing a three-run homer to Brewers slugger Christian Yelich in a 4-0 loss Sunday.


                            ''He felt a little something pop up in that outing so just to be on the cautious side, we had an MRI done,'' Cubs president of baseball operations Theo Epstein said. ''It showed everything is in place structurally. He just has a little inflammation.


                            ''His elbow was pristine just like when we signed him, which is good news, but unfortunately we have to give him a few days without throwing to let it calm down,'' Epstein said.


                            Kimbrel is 0-2 with a 5.68 ERA and 13 saves in 21 games for Chicago.


                            Baez hasn't played since jamming his thumb on a slide Sunday. X-rays were negative.


                            AILING ASTROS


                            Houston right-hander Aaron Sanchez will have surgery on his pitching shoulder and miss the remainder of the season. Sanchez hasn't appeared in a game since Aug. 20.


                            All-Star outfielder George Springer was diagnosed with a mild concussion and will sit out a few games. He is expected to return early next week. Springer was carted off the field Tuesday after his head hit the wall when he made a catch against Milwaukee.

                            MANAGER MISSING


                            White Sox skipper Rick Renteria is scheduled for surgery on his right rotator cuff in Chicago and will miss a weekend series against the visiting Los Angeles Angels. Renteria plans to return to the dugout early next week. Bench coach Joe McEwing will run the team in Renteria's absence.


                            ''I do intend to play again this year,'' the 57-year-old Renteria joked.


                            Renteria played parts of five seasons in the majors from 1986-88 and again from 1993-94. He was an infielder for the Pirates, Mariners and Marlins.


                            All-Star right-hander Lucas Giolito (14-8, 3.30 ERA) faces Mike Trout and the struggling Angels in the opener.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358497

                              #29
                              Friday’s games


                              National League


                              Cardinals (79-61) @ Pirates (61-78)
                              Mikolas is 1-1, 5.48 in his last four starts; he is 2-1, 3.94 in five starts vs Pitt this year. Team in his starts: 15-13
                              5-inning record: 6-16-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-28 Over/under: 8-16-4


                              Musgrove is 1-1, 4.81 in his last four starts; he is 0-4, 11.00 in four starts vs StL this year. Team in his starts: 13-15
                              5-inning record: 13-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-27 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven


                              Cardinals won 12 of last 15 games; they’re 10-12 in road series openers- under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-4 last ten games.


                              Pittsburgh won five of last seven games; they’re 8-14 in home series openers- over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2-1 last eight games.


                              Diamondbacks (73-67) @ Reds (66-75)
                              Ray is 3-0, 4.30 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 4.09 in four starts vs Cincy. Team in his starts: 17-11
                              5-inning record: 12-11-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-28 Over/under: 14-13-1


                              Mahle is 0-2, 7.62 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 4-16
                              5-inning record: 6-13-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-20 Over/under: over 4-1 last five


                              Arizona won nine of its last ten games; they’re 16-7 in road series openers- under is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3-1 last 11 games.


                              Cincy lost six of its last nine games; they’re 9-13 in home series openers- under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.


                              Phillies (72-67) @ Mets (71-68)
                              Eflin is 1-0, 2.08 in his last two starts; he is 1-1, 6.19 in three starts vs NYM this year. Team in his starts: 9-14
                              5-inning record: 9-13-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-23 Over/under: 11-12


                              Matz is 2-1, 2.66 in his last four starts; he is 2-2, 11.40 in four starts vs Philly this year. Team in his starts: 13-12
                              5-inning record: 8-11-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-25 Over/under: 11-12-2


                              Phillies split their last 14 games; they’re 11-11 in road series openers- under is 5-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-3 last 11 games.


                              Mets won four of last six games; they’re 9-12 in home series openers- over is 3-0 in their last three games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last eight home games.


                              Nationals (78-61) @ Braves (87-54)
                              Corbin is 2-1, 2.00 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.27 in two starts vs Atlanta this year. Team in his starts: 17-11
                              5-inning record: 14-11-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28 Over/under: under 9-3 last 12


                              Keuchel is 3-0, 1.08 in his last four starts; he is 0-2, 6.97 in two starts vs Washington this year. Team in his starts: won last four
                              5-inning record: 8-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-14 Over/under: 2-9-3


                              Washington lost three of last four games; over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2-1 last eight games.


                              Braves won their last seven games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 13-4-1 last 18 games.


                              Cubs (76-63) @ Brewers (71-68)
                              Hamels is 1-1, 3.71 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 1.85 in four starts vs Milwaukee this year. Team in his starts: 14-9
                              5-inning record: 13-8-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-23 Over/under: 11-11-1


                              Davies is 0-5, 6.07 in his last six starts; he is 1-2, 4.91 in five starts vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 12-14
                              5-inning record: 10-10-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-26 Over/under: under 4-0 last four


                              Cubs won seven of last nine games; under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.


                              Milwaukee is 4-6 in its last ten games; under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3 last eight games.


                              Giants (67-73) @ Dodgers (92-50)
                              Samardzija is 0-2, 3.97 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 2.61 in two starts vs LA this year. Team in his starts: 14-14
                              5-inning record: 8-11-9 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-28 Over/under: under 6-2 last eight


                              Kershaw is 0-2, 6.00 in his last two starts; he is 1-1, 1.29 in two starts vs SF this year. Team in his starts: 18-6
                              5-inning record: 15-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-24 Over/under: over 7-2 last nine


                              Giants lost eight of their last ten games; they’re 14-9 in road series openers- under is 6-4 in their last ten road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-1-1 last five games.


                              Dodgers won their last four games; they’re 16-7 in home series openers- over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-3-1 last nine games.


                              Rockies (59-82) @ Padres (64-75)
                              Melville is 1-1, 3.86 in three starts. Team in his starts: 2-1
                              5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2


                              Lamet is 1-1, 5.14 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 7.00 in two starts vs Colorado. Team in his starts: 3-7
                              5-inning record: 5-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-10 Over/under: over 5-1-1 last seven


                              Rockies lost their last nine games; they’re 1-8 in last nine road series openers- over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1-1 last seven road games.


                              San Diego lost its last three games; they’re 13-9 in home series openers- over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1-1 last five games.




                              American League


                              Rangers (69-73) @ Orioles (46-94)
                              Burke is 0-1, 1.50 in three starts. Team in his starts: 2-1
                              5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 0-3


                              Bundy is 1-1, 5.32 in his last four starts; he is 3-1, 1.61 in six games (4 starts) vs Texas. Team in his starts: 9-17
                              5-inning record: 12-12-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-26 Over/under: 11-13-2


                              Rangers lost three of last five games; under is 10-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under is 10-1 in last 11 games.


                              Baltimore lost five of last six games; under is 3-0 in their last three games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-0 last four games.


                              New York (92-49) @ Boston (75-65)
                              German is 1-1, 4.96 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 4.50 in three starts vs Boston this year. Team in his starts: 19-4
                              5-inning record: 15-7-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: under 3-0 last three


                              Bullpen game. Team in his starts: 0-0
                              5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0


                              New York won eight of last ten games; they’re 12-9 in road series openers- under is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-0 last six games.


                              Red Sox are 7-4 in their last 11 games; they’re 12-10 in home series openers- under is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-2 last 10 home games.


                              Blue Jays (55-86) @ Rays (83-59)
                              Buchholz is 1-2, 6.32 in his last three starts; he is 9-8, 2.62 in 24 games (22 starts) vs TB. Team in his starts: 3-4
                              5-inning record: 2-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-7 Over/under: 2-5


                              Morton is 1-1, 6.28 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 2.31 in two starts vs Toronto this year. Team in his starts: 18-11
                              5-inning record: 15-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-29 Over/under: last three over


                              Blue Jays lost six of last seven games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.


                              Tampa Bay won seven of last eight games; over is 7-3 in their last ten home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-0 last four games.


                              Angels (65-76) @ White Sox (62-78)
                              Peters is 0-1, 8.40 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 3-4
                              5-inning record: 3-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-7 Over/under: 5-2


                              Giolito is 2-2, 2.67 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 3.75 in two starts vs LAA. Team in his starts: 16-11
                              5-inning record: 15-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-27 Over/under: under 3-1-1 last five


                              Angels lost 10 of last 12 games; they’re 11-15 in road series openers- over is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 last four road games.


                              White Sox lost eight of their last ten games; they’re 1-6 in last seven home series openers- over is 7-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-4 last 12 home games. Chicago manager Renteria will miss this weekend series (shoulder operation).


                              Indians (81-60) @ Twins (87-53)
                              Plutko is 1-1, 3.94 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 4.73 in three games (2 starts) vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 10-5
                              5-inning record: 7-7-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-15 Over/under: over 3-1 last four


                              Pineda is 4-0, 3.91 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.60 in two starts vs Cleveland. Team in his starts: 16-9
                              5-inning record: 15-9-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-25 Over/under: over 4-1 last five


                              Indians lost five of last seven games; they’re 12-10 in road series openers- over is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2 last six games.


                              Minnesota won 10 of last 12 games; they’re 14-8 in home series openers- under is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 last four games.


                              Mariners (58-83) @ Astros (91-50)
                              Milone is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three games; he is 0-1, 1.80 in three games vs Houston this year- they might use an opener. Team in his starts: 0-0
                              5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0


                              Valdez is 1-4, 10.61 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 2-5
                              5-inning record: 2-4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-7 Over/under: 2-4-1


                              Mariners lost eight of their last ten games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.


                              Houston won 10 of last 13 games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.


                              Tigers (41-97) @ A’s (81-58)
                              Turnbull is 0-5, 7.61 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: lost last 13 starts
                              5-inning record: 5-18-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-24 Over/under: 8-14-2


                              Bailey is 3-0, 2.22 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 1.50 in two starts vs Detroit this year. Team in his starts: 5-3
                              5-inning record: 5-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-8 Over/under: 5-3


                              Tigers lost 10 of last 12 games; they’re 9-14 in road series openers- under is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2 last seven games.


                              Oakland is 13-6 in its last 19 games; they’re 17-6 in home series openers- under is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.


                              Before this game starts, teams will finish a suspended game from earlier this season.




                              Interleague


                              Royals (51-90) @ Marlins (49-89)
                              JLopez is 1-0, 8.18 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 3-10 (won last two)
                              5-inning record: 2-11 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-13 Over/under: 8-4-1


                              PLopez is 0-2, 11.25 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 6-10
                              5-inning record: 7-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-16 Over/under: 6-10


                              Royals won four of their last five games; they’re 7-15 in road series openers- over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-1-1 last eight games.


                              Miami lost seven of last ten games; they’re 9-14 in home series openers- under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-0-1 last five games.

                              _________________________________________


                              %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
                              Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/5
                              Ariz 21-71……18-68……39
                              Atl 21-69…..25-71……46
                              Cubs 18-67……25-70…..43
                              Reds 24-67……27-73…..51
                              Colo 17-72……26-66……43
                              LA 20-67……25-73……45
                              Mia 13-66……20-70…..33
                              Milw 21-67…..25-71…..46
                              Mets 26-64……21-66…..47
                              Philly 17-66…..21-70……38
                              Pitt 25-71…..18-67……43
                              StL 17-68…..20-70……37
                              SD 19-68……21-68…..40
                              SF 10-71……15-66……25
                              Wash 22-69…..21-67……43


                              Orioles 20-71…….23-69..….43
                              Boston 20-69…….24-69……44
                              W Sox 16-71…….18-68…….34
                              Clev 20-69…..21-71……..41
                              Det 21-71……18-65……..39
                              Astros 26-70…..17-69……..43
                              KC 19-68…..24-72……..43
                              Angels 26-72……15-67…….41
                              Twins 28-71……18-68……46
                              NYY 21-66……27-75……48
                              A’s 17-66…..19-71…….36
                              Sea 19-71…..17-69…….36
                              TB 24-70…..22-70……46
                              Texas 17-73…..24-67…….41
                              Toronto 18-71…..19-71…….37

                              Interleague play- 2019
                              NL @ AL– 75-55 NL, favorites -$1,213 under 61-60-3
                              AL @ NL– 64-58 NL, favorites -$1,296 over 66-54-7
                              Total: 139-113 NL, favorites -$2,509 Over 126-115-10
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358497

                                #30
                                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arlington

                                Arlington - Race 1
                                $2 Win/Place/Show / $1 Daily Double (1-2) / $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta $0.10 Superfecta / $0.50 Pick 3 (1-3) / $0.50 Early Pick 5 (1-5) (15% Takeout)
                                Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up CR: 87 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 1:35P
                                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MARCH 6, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $3,200 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
                                Contenders
                                Race Analysis
                                P#
                                Horse
                                Morn
                                Line
                                Accept
                                Odds

                                Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MADE TO FIT is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MADE TO FIT: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or four th start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BATTLE N AWAY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Hor se's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
                                1
                                MADE TO FIT
                                5/1
                                7/2
                                7
                                BATTLE N AWAY
                                9/2
                                4/1

                                P#
                                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                                Post
                                Morn
                                Line
                                Running Style
                                Good
                                Class
                                Good
                                Speed
                                Early Figure
                                Finish Figure
                                Platinum
                                Figure
                                1
                                MADE TO FIT
                                1
                                5/1
                                Alternator/Front-runner
                                82
                                83
                                76.8
                                79.8
                                72.8
                                7
                                BATTLE N AWAY
                                7
                                9/2
                                Alternator/Front-runner
                                84
                                87
                                75.8
                                74.6
                                68.6
                                3
                                TOUCH OF DISNEY
                                3
                                7/2
                                Trailer
                                86
                                73
                                62.2
                                79.8
                                76.8
                                2
                                SMOKEY ROW MAC
                                2
                                5/2
                                Trailer
                                84
                                88
                                48.0
                                74.0
                                66.5
                                4
                                DO GUESS AGAIN
                                4
                                4/1
                                Alternator/Non-contender
                                84
                                77
                                65.4
                                73.2
                                62.7
                                5
                                TIMS HOPE
                                5
                                8/1
                                Alternator/Non-contender
                                73
                                62
                                58.6
                                61.0
                                50.0
                                6
                                SUNNY'S RAINBOW
                                6
                                8/1
                                Alternator/Non-contender
                                87
                                77
                                53.8
                                56.2
                                46.2
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