Friday 9-6-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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CFL Betting Notes - Week 1
David Schwab


Football ‘north of the border’ returns to action with Week 1 of the 2019 CFL regular season. The Calgary Stampeders finally broke through with a victory over the Ottawa RedBlacks in last season’s CFL title game in their third-straight trip to the Grey Cup Championship.


Turning to the CFL futures odds to win this year’s CFL title, Calgary has been opened as a 13/5 favorite. Second on the list is the British Columbia Lions at 9/2 followed by Ottawa and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers at 11/2 betting odds.


Further down the list at 7/1 is the Hamilton Tiger-Cats with the Saskatchewan Roughriders at 15/2. Rounding out the nine CFL teams are the Edmonton Eskimos (10/1), Toronto Argonauts (15/1) and Montreal Alouettes (18/1).


Friday, June 14


Montreal Alouettes (5-13 SU, 11-7 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (9-9 SU, 8-10 ATS)
Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF


Game Overview


A front office shake-up over the weekend sent Mike Sherman packing after just one season as Montreal’s head coach. This unexpected departure less than a week before the season opener elevated offensive coordinator Khari Jones to the top spot. It was believed that Vernon Adams, Jr. would be the team’s starter at quarterback, but Antonio Pipkin was also in the mix during the preseason. Other off-field issues have the Alouettes under league ownership while the search for a buyer continues.


The Eskimos missed the playoffs last season after falling to last place in the West. Following the loss of Mike Reilly at quarterback, Edmonton will turn to Trevor Harris after playing last season in Ottawa. Harris threw for 5,116 passing yards while helping the RedBlacks get back to the CFL title game. He tossed 22 touchdowns against 11 interceptions in 2018. The Eskimos did win two of three both SU and against the spread to close out 2018 on a positive note.


Betting Trends


-- Montreal has a 6-3 edge ATS in the last nine meetings, but Edmonton has won its last five home games against the Alouettes SU. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings.

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CFL
Long Sheet


Week 1


Friday, June 14


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MONTREAL (5 - 13) at EDMONTON (9 - 9) - 6/14/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 2-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 1

Trend Report

Friday, June 14


Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games
Montreal is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Montreal is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 11 games on the road
Montreal is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton

Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Edmonton is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday, June 14


Montreal Alouettes (5-13 SU, 11-7 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (9-9 SU, 8-10 ATS)
Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview


A front office shake-up over the weekend sent Mike Sherman packing after just one season as Montreal’s head coach. This unexpected departure less than a week before the season opener elevated offensive coordinator Khari Jones to the top spot. It was believed that Vernon Adams, Jr. would be the team’s starter at quarterback, but Antonio Pipkin was also in the mix during the preseason. Other off-field issues have the Alouettes under league ownership while the search for a buyer continues.


The Eskimos missed the playoffs last season after falling to last place in the West. Following the loss of Mike Reilly at quarterback, Edmonton will turn to Trevor Harris after playing last season in Ottawa. Harris threw for 5,116 passing yards while helping the RedBlacks get back to the CFL title game. He tossed 22 touchdowns against 11 interceptions in 2018. The Eskimos did win two of three both SU and against the spread to close out 2018 on a positive note.

Betting Trends


-- Montreal has a 6-3 edge ATS in the last nine meetings, but Edmonton has won its last five home games against the Alouettes SU. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday, June 14


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MONTREAL (5 - 13) at EDMONTON (9 - 9) - 6/14/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 2-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday, June 14


Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games
Montreal is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Montreal is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 11 games on the road
Montreal is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton

Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Edmonton is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday, June 14


Montreal @ Edmonton


Game 683-684
June 14, 2019 @ 9:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
105.680
Edmonton
126.150
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 20 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 10
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-10); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MONTREAL ALOUETTES AT EDMONTON ESKIMOS


Line: Edmonton -10, O/U 51.5
Time: Friday, June 14, 9:00 p.m. ET


Edmonton lost star quarterback Mike Reilly and his 5562 passing yards but replacing him with Trevor Harris (5116 yards through the air) should soften the blow. They also added Greg Ellinson and DaVaris Daniels to a receiving corps that lost Derel Walker and D'haquille Williams (currently trying to make the Bills). On defense they completely revamped their linebackers by signing a pair of Eastern All-Stars from Hamilton in Larry Dean and Don Unamba while also pilfering Jovon Santos-Knox from Winnipeg.


Despite finishing 9-9 last season the Eskimos were probably better than their record indicated and dismantled the Alouettes in both of the games in the head to head, winning by 21 points in Montreal and and 16 points in Edmonton.


I'm not going to sugarcoat this: Montreal will be BAD this year. They won just five games last year and two of those were meaningless games to end the year. The Alouettes parted ways with head coach Mike Sherman (who you might remember from such shows as the Brett Favre-led Packers of the early 2000s) on Saturday after a tumultuous two years with the organization. Getting rid of your coach less than a week before the season starts is never a good sign.


This team could not find the back of the endzone last year and will likely start Antonio Pipkin at QB. Pipkin had all of three passing TDS and eight interceptions on 131 pass attempts in 2018 and will be behind one of the worst offensive lines in the league. This is a team in turmoil with not a whole lot of talent and on the road. Take the Esks to cover.


PICK: Edmonton -10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME RECAP


HARRIS, STAFFORD LEAD ESKIMOS TO WIN OVER ALOUETTES


EDMONTON — In his Edmonton Eskimos debut, Trevor Harris led his team to a 32-25 victory over the Montreal Alouettes at Commonwealth Stadium on Friday night.


The Montreal Alouettes came alive in the fourth quarter with Vernon Adams Jr. at the helm, taking over for the injured Antonio Pipkin, and tied things up at 25 with two minutes left in the game. But Harris showed why the Eskimos were thrilled to sign him this off-season, effectively moving his team down the field and scoring the game-winning touchdown himself on a quarterback sneak.


Harris tossed 447 yards in his first win in green and gold and found receiver Kenny Stafford twice for touchdown strikes while also tossing a major score to running back C.J. Gable out of the backfield. Stafford hauled in seven catches for 98 yards to go along with his two majors while Gable rushed 20 times for 154 yards and caught three passes for 29 yards, one for a score.


Ricky Collins Jr. also had quite the night for the Eskimos, hauling in nine passes for 175 yards. While Greg Ellingson caught five passes for 66 yards.


Adams Jr. finished his night connecting on seven of 10 passes for 134 yards, a touchdown and an interception. He also added three carries for 13 yards on the ground. Before his exit from the contest, Pipkin had completed seven of 17 passes for 57 yards and a touchdown and added five carries for 45 yards rushing.


B.J. Cunningham led all Alouettes receivers with seven catches and 96 yards and a touchdown. Running back William Stanback carried the rock nine times for 76 yards and a major score and added two catches for 17 yards through the air.


The first points of the game were after the Alouettes conceded a safety on their opening offensive drive after the Eskimos stuffed Montreal on their own goal line, putting the home team up 2-0.


Harris made quick work of the team’s next possession, spreading the ball around to his receivers, Natey Adjei, Ricky Collins Jr., Kenny Stafford and Greg Ellingson, and moved the chains deep into Alouettes territory. But just when the Esks were eyeing the end zone, Collins Jr. fumbled the football on Montreal’s 14-yard line, stopping Edmonton in their tracks. It was defensive back Marcus Cromartie, in his first CFL game, that knocked the ball out of Collins Jr.’s hand and right back into the mitts of Antonio Pipkin.


The Alouettes weren’t able to take advantage of the turnover, however, and had to punt the ball away. But just when it looked like things were going the Eskimos way, Monshadrik Hunter fumbled the ball on the return and Montreal recovered once again, giving Pipkin and co. another chance to get their offence rolling.


A 20-yard catch by DeVier Posey and a roughing the passer penalty called on Vicker moved the Alouettes down into Edmonton territory. Pipkin tossed the Alouettes first touchdown of the 2019 season to Posey for the score, taking advantage of their second turnover of the night. Along with Boris Bede‘s convert, the Alouettes took a 7-2 lead with 2:46 left in the first quarter.


The Eskimos were moving the ball effectively through the first quarter and a half but were unable to finish their drives with points until six minutes left before the break. Harris tossed a strike to Stafford for the 26-yard major and along with Sean Whyte‘s convert, the Eskimos took the lead (9-7). The drive covered 84 yards in 12 plays as Harris threw his first touchdown as a member of the green and gold.


To end the Alouettes next offensive possession, Bede missed a 34-yard field goal attempt and tacked on a single point with under three minutes left in the quarter.


With the clock ticking down, Edmonton wasn’t done scoring yet.


Harris and Stafford continued the connection they had earlier in the half, as the Esks quarterback found an open Stafford for the 10-yard score. The drive was aided by three runs from running back C.J. Gable (two, 24 and nine yards, respectively) to put the home team in scoring position to set up their second major of the evening. Whyte connected on his convert and Edmonton increased their lead to 16-8 with 28 seconds left on the clock.


Both teams’ defences held strong in the third quarter. Six and a half minutes into the frame, the Alouettes conceded a safety, increasing the Eskimos lead to 18-3.


On Edmonton’s next drive, the team committed their fourth turnover on the night, this one was on downs, as the Alouettes stuffed Harris on a quarterback sneak on third and one. Esks head coach Jason Maas challenged the call but after review, the ruling on the field stood.


Just when it seemed like things started to tilt in Montreal’s favour, their starting quarterback was hurt. After taking a sack from Josh Johnson, Pipkin was visibly in pain on the field and was taken out of the game. Vernon Adams Jr. took over under centre for the Alouettes.


Harris and the Eskimos continued their success on their next drive. Starting on their own one-yard line, Harris shredded the Alouettes defence, moving the chains into Montreal territory. Then Gable showed why he’s one of the best, versatile running backs in the league with a highlight-reel catch for the Eskimos’ third touchdown of the night. The nine-play, 109-yard drive, and Whyte’s completed convert, increased Edmonton’s lead to 25-8 to start the final quarter.


The Alouettes weren’t going to give up easily, however.


On the visiting team’s next drive, they responded with a touchdown of their own. William Stanback and Adams Jr. did most of the work on the ground, with Stanback exploding for a 42-yard gain and his quarterback completing a QB sneak and a seven-yard run to get into Edmonton territory. Stanback then scored his first major of the 2019 campaign, a five-yarder, and along with Bede’s completed convert, the Alouettes cut the Esks lead to 25-15.


After the Alouettes defence stuffed Harris and co., they scored once again on the team’s next drive. This time Adams Jr. found B.J. Cunningham in tight coverage in the end zone, cutting Edmonton’s lead to just three with eight minutes left in the contest.


Adams Jr. continued to keep the momentum on the Alouettes side, moving his team into field goal range. Bede booted a 52-yarder with just over two minutes left in the game, tying things up at 25.


Harris and the Eskimos weren’t ready to let the momentum stay with the Alouettes, however. Collins Jr. caught a 45-yard pass to move the Eskimos into Als territory and Gable continued to rumble, moving the Esks to the Montreal two-yard line. Harris called his own number, scoring his fourth touchdown on the night. Along with Whyte’s completed convert, Edmonton took a 32-25 lead with just over a minute left.


The Eskimos defence made sure to seal the victory for their team, as defensive back Anthony Orange picked off Adams, giving the ball back to Harris with 52 seconds left in the game.


The Eskimos now set their sights on BC as the Lions will be in town next week while the Alouettes head out on a Week 2 bye.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Reds +105
2. Gameday Network MLB – Pirates +120
3. VegasSI.com MLB – Red Sox +110
4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Orioles over 9
5. Sports Action 365 MLB – Phillies +140
6. Point Spread Report MLB – Royals +120
7. Lou Panelli MLB – Twins -160
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino MLB – Padres -155
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – White Sox -150
10. William E. Stockton MLB – Braves +105
11. Vincent Pioli MLB – Pirates over 8.5
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Reds over 9.5
13. SCORE MLB – Orioles -130
14. East Coast Line Movers MLB – Brewers under 10
15. Tony Campone MLB – Dodgers -1.5
16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Twins -160
17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Braves +105
18. VIP Action MLB – Athletics -1.5
19. South Beach Sports MLB – White Sox -150
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Royals under 8.5
21. NY Players Club MLB – Dodgers -1.5
22. Fred Callahan MLB – Braves +105
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Red Sox +110
24. Michigan Sports MLB – Phillies under 8.5
25. National Consensus Report MLB – Pirates +120

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Lasvegasmoneymachine

MLB

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS ‑125

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Monster Sports Picks

MLB

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS ‑125

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Shadow Sports Syndicate

NCAA Football

MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD +12.5

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Brand X Sports

MLB

BOSTON RED SOX +130

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Tommy King Wins

MLB

CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑150