Service Plays Sunday 9/8/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mti 6 pt teasers
Caro/nos
Nos/buff
Caro/buff

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root

Mill- Vikings

No limit- buffalo

Perfect-Pittsburgh

Inner circle- panthers

Pinnacle- Jaguars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SuperContest Picks - Week 1

Circa Million Consensus - Week #1

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry.

Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. A win is worth one point while a push earns a half point. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.

The Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.

This year's contest has 3,328 entries.

Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.

Week 1
1) Baltimore -6.5 (1,080)
2) Indianapolis +6.5 (1,052)
3) Houston (+7) (904)
4) Tampa Bay PK (862)
5) Denver PK (856)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Blunt - NFL (VegasInsider)
SNF - Steelers at Patriots
Best Bet: Steelers/Patriots Over 49 points

There might be some big names gone from what's become an annual game between the Steelers and Patriots on Sunday night, but that doesn't mean the first SNF game of the season won't be a good one. There won't be LeVeon Bell, Antonio Brown, or Rob Gronkowski involved on the field in this contest – the 5th straight year these two have met in the regular season – as it's a year of reloading and redefining their identity for both New England and Pittsburgh.

Sunday Night Football History

There is still plenty of talent on both sidelines, and in another year where both have their sights set on division titles and more accolades from there, owning the head-to-head tiebreaker could prove to be important by the time Santa is snooping around our chimneys. But we are a long ways away from that entering the conversation, as now it's all about whether or not the Patriots can win this game by about a TD.

With this year being the 100th anniversary of the NFL, the usual spot on TNF to open up a new campaign for the defending champs was pushed back to give the longest rivalry (Green Bay/Chicago) in the league the spotlight on opening night. And while that game wasn't all that aesthetically pleasing, it was expected given that starters on both sides had next to nothing in terms of preseason action and were working out plenty of kinks on TNF. That's something to keep in mind as you go through the entire Week 1 card, but for this SNF game we should get a much better overall brand of football.

Total Talk
History suggests that we will in the sense that over the past eight years, Week 1 SNF games are 6-2 O/U with an average of 48.25 points scored. One of those two 'unders' against the closing number came in the 2016 year when the Patriots opened up in Arizona on SNF with Jimmy Garoppolo under center while Brady served his suspension. There weren't many believers in the Patriots that day, but the 'under' also only came in by the hook, so there is a case to be made that these Week 1 prime time games tend to be a swoon for 'over' bettors.

That hasn't been the case according to the market this week as action has been hot and heavy on the 'under' for weeks now after this game originally opened up at 51.5. Obviously missing all those big name playmakers as “known” entities plays a part in that, but both franchises are likely looking for more of a defensive identity as it is.

Betting Trends

Betting percentages currently show a strong 80+% of bets on this 'under' so far, and that historical average of 48.25 points for Week 1 SNF games would still cash an 'under' ticket at the current number. However, if you break down that set of eight games that have opened up the SNF season in the past to just the non-division matchups – remember, with the defending champs typically getting the TNF showcase, SNF was reserved for divisional rivalries, this year that's flipped – the O/U mark is 3-1 O/U with that lone being the Garoppolo start vs Arizona that lost by the hook. The Average points scored there clocks in at exactly 50 points per game, which puts this current line of 49 right in the cross hairs of history.

Side Spiel
Regarding the side, the spread has seen about a 55/45 split in favor of New England, as the number keeps bouncing around between -5.5 and -6. That type of two-way action is what oddsmakers prefer to see, and until we get to see what these revamped identities for both teams start to look like, it's hard to confidently side with either group in this spot.

Bettors on the Steelers side of things are looking at a possible “addition by subtraction” scenario this year with the distractions of Bell and Brown being gone, as the less off-field stuff that a football team has to answer to each week is never a bad thing. The Steelers seemed to survive on the field without Bell last year as they remain high on Conner and the rest of their RB core, but the production lost from Brown's departure will have to be made up somewhere, and that's a lot to put on the shoulders of young guys like JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Washington who find themselves in prominent roles this year.

From a Patriots backer perspective, relying on the known entity of the Brady/Belichick duo is a big part of why someone would lay these points, even with New England being a slow starter both SU and ATS traditionally these past few years. Brady's another year older at 42 years old, and with his security blanket in Gronk now retired, things will look a bit different. But it's not like Brady hasn't played well (or often) when the oft-injured Gronk wasn't on the field, and that could easily be the case for New England this season too.

The Patriots side also has the backing of history in terms of what defending champions have done the following year out of the gate, but Pittsburgh is a quality foe where six points does have the look of a number that could potentially be too high.

Final Feelings
Cases for and against each side are rather easy to make, and the ones for each side tend to lack conviction, so the spread is one that's probably best to pass on for the week. Openers of -5.5 tend to bring some indecision from an oddsmaking perspective as well in that that spread resides in no man's land and is placed with the intention of moving. The fact that this line has essentially stayed in that range for months suggests that there is plenty of indecision from an overall betting perspective too.

The total is one where I believe the better betting option lies, and while it is hard to ignore the respective move down, the 'over' between these two teams is where I'm going.

Both QB's are vets that have seen it all in this league, and with months of prep time already completed, the questions that bettors may have about new faces in prominent roles on both sides, is probably just flat out confidence from Brady and Roethlisberger's perspective. Getting to 50 points isn't a huge ask for these two teams, and given the initial negative feedback from TNF about it being a sloppy, non-entertaining game, I'm sure the NFL wouldn't mind to have it's next prime time showcase of the year turn into a back-and-forth shootout.

As long as the total stays below 50, 'over' should be the way to go.
Best Bet: Steelers/Patriots Over 49 points

[GetTheseDimes]

Anyone have any of the season wins totals? Particularly if anyone has Warren Sharp or the others Docs guys.
saw Ferringo is 8* Az un 5.5, 5* Chargers un 10.5, 3* un Cincy 6

thanks and best of luck everyone

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BASEWINNER:

0,5* Colorado +150
0,33* washington -115
0,33* was/atl u8,5* -115
0,33* Toronto +185
0,33* LA Angels -121

[TAWJR]

any eyes on H & h tia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn
3% Tampa Bay Over 50.5

[dawggy]

THE PREZFOOTBALL PLAYS

• PREZ EARLY NFL WEEK 1 TOTAL
  Game: (465) Tennessee Titans at (466) Cleveland Browns
  Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 1:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Total Under 45.5 (-113)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Play UNDER the TOTAL of 45.5 (good to 44 points)
  3% play rating
  (465) Tennessee Titans at (466) Cleveland Browns
  
  If you believe as I do. If you have talked to the tens, seemingly hundreds, who cover the Titans and have for the last half decade, then as they know as I have stated here and on other social media outlets, Marcus M is not 100 percent and likely will never have the career many of us thought he could have because of the beatings he took early in his career.
  
  The Titans are and will remain a run-first scheme. Be that with their stable of tailbacks. With the signing of slot receiver Adam Humphries and the selection of rookie A.J. Brown in the second round of the 2019 NFL Draft, the Titans have the best receiving unit this franchise has seen in recent memory. But the lack of a healthy and strong armed quarterback makes the Titan receivers, especially in the fantasy realm, hit and miss.
  
  Corey Davis has yet to have the chance to show off his God given talent because of the issues at quarterback that Tennessee has had.
  Brown, on the other hand, is going to be much more unpredictable. He hasn’t done much in camp after suffering a minor injury on the first day. We haven’t seen enough of the Ole Miss product in practice to get a good idea of just where he is in his development.
  
  Do not expect the Browns to be crazy unpredictable offensively early on this season. This is a focused team under relative unknown Kitchens. But I trust that this Conference Contest will be played close to the vest by both OC's with the winner being the defense that executes the coaching staffs game plan as directed on Sunday
  
  UNDER the TOTAL of 45.5
  
• PREZ MAIN EVENT NFC TOTAL ~ MONTH
  Game: (453) Atlanta Falcons at (454) Minnesota Vikings
  Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 1:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Total Over 47.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Play Over the Total of 47 points (good to 48 points)
  5% game rating
  
  (453) Atlanta Falcons at (454) Minnesota Vikings
  The poor showing by the Atlanta Falcons in 2018 was due to injury and just plain bad luck.
  As Kirk Cousins goes so go the Vikings. And Cousins and head coach Zimmer have a chip on their shoulder heading into 2019 with something to prove.
  After missing the playoffs in the first year of Cousins’ three-year free-agent deal with Minnesota the Vikings overhauled a number of players and coaches. Assistant head coach/offensive advisor Gary Kubiak and offensive line coach/run game coordinator Rick Dennison are now in charge of putting Cousins in a position to succeed.
  
  The John DeFilippo era has been over for quite some time, since Week 14 of last November, and while one should expect a more featured role from Cook and the offense Kubiak will give the strong-armed Cousins plenty of situations to look downfield.
  
  GM Rick Spielman used three of the team's draft picks on the offensive line, including Garrett Bradbury, the first center drafted in the first round in team history.
  
  The 2018 Atlanta Falcons suffered key loses on both sides of the ball early in 2018. Defensively, Keanu Neal was lost to an ACL injury and linebacker Deion Jones to a foot ailment. Eight major contributors were on IR by year's end.
  
  It is The Year of the Juiced Ball in Major League Baseball and the Year of scoring in the NFL.
  
  OVER the TOTAL of 47 points
  
• PREZ NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK (6-0)
  Game: (475) New York Giants at (476) Dallas Cowboys
  Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 4:25 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Under 45.5 (-107)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Play UNDER the TOTAL of 45.5 (good to 44)
  4% play rating
  (475) New York Giants at (476) Dallas Cowboys
  Without boring you with a large number of historic data that revolve around the history of NFL Week 1 offensive numbers and end result final scores when two divisional teams meet in season openers.. without having to dig too far into the cyberspace archives -- take a look at the scores between these two rivals the last three-to four years.
  Did you look? Then you need not read any further.
  If you did then you know that thre isn't any way to play this game to the OVER.. Eli doesn't have the deep or red zone threats he once did and both teams are run-first, second and third down offenses with three-down backs.
  UNDER the TOTAL of 45.5
  
• MON NIGHT FOOTBALL: RAIDERS V BRONCS
  Game: (481) Denver Broncos at (482) Oakland Raiders
  Date/Time: Sep 9 2019 10:15 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Denver Broncos -111
  
  View Analysis
  
  Play Denver Broncos on the money-line which will avoid any late pointspread steam. With the announcement that A Brown has been suspended the number has moved from the hosts of the Black Hole being short favorites to short underdogs.
  Denver Broncos -111 (good to -140)
  4% play rating
  (481) Denver Broncos at (482) Oakland Raiders
  DENVER BRONCOS -111

[dawggy]

rob veno


BASEBALL PLAYS

• Game: (903) Philadelphia Phillies at (904) New York Mets
  Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 1:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: New York Mets -1.5 (+110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (907) St. Louis Cardinals at (908) Pittsburgh Pirates
  Date/Time: Sep 8 2019 1:35 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-133)
  
  View Analysis

[dawggy]

Teyas Sports GUAR EARLY NFL PLAY/YEAR



9/8/2019
GUARANTEE NFL LA RAMS -1 1/2 MUST WIN OR ALL SUNDAYS NFL LATE NIGHT PLAYS ARE FREE
BONUS PLAYS NFL MINNESOTA -3 1/2 KANSAS CITY -3 1/2 ARIZONA +2 1/2 & OVER 46






9/8/2019
GUARANTEE NFL PITTSBURGH UNDER 49 MUST WIN OR ALL MONDAYS NFL PLAYS ARE FREE
BONUS PLAY NFL PITTSBURGH +5 1/2




Teyas Sports GUAR MLB DOG/MONTH

9/8/2019
GUARANTEE MLB ARIZONA +115 MUST WIN OR ALL MONDAYS MLB PLAYS ARE FREE
BONUS PLAYS MLB NY METS UNDER 8 1/2 MILWAUKEE -120 MINNESOTA UNDER 9 BOSTON OVER 11


FREE PICK 9/8 NFL NY GIANTS +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hammerin Hank
Titans
Giants
Chiefs
Pats
Vikings

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Demarco
Top-Rated 15-Dime Opening Lock
Baltimore Ravens

[Packerman]

Any Northcoast today? Hopefully a bounce back after yesterday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Connors

Top-End
1000 UNIT
Winner # 4 of 5

Double-Digit Blowout
Baltimore Ravens