Sunday 9-15-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MARC LAWRENCE
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Bills vs. Giants
Giants+2

Play - New York Giants (Game 266).

Edges - Giants: 6-1-1 ATS in this series, and Eli Manning 11-3 SU and 10-2-2 ATS versus AFC East … Bills: 4-8 SU and 2-9 ATS away in this series when coming off a win … With that, we recommend a 1* play on the Giants. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MIKE LUNDIN
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
49ers vs. Bengals
49ers+2 -114

The San Francisco 49ers opened the season with a 31-17 victory at Tampa Bay, not a bad result considering QB Jimmy Garoppolo completed just 18-of-27 passes for 166 yards with a touchdown and an interception that was returned for a score.

I think Jimmy G will have more success here against a questionable Bengals pass defense that was among the worst in the NFL last season.

The Bengals struggled to move the ball on the ground in their season-opening 21-20 loss to Seattle. They managed only 34 yards on 14 carries, with Joe Mixon spraining an ankle.

Cincinnati will have to rely on QB Andy Dalton to make things happen, but that will be easier said than done against a Niners defense that owned the Bucs and picked off Jameis Winston three times, of which two were returned for touchdowns.

We can also note that Dalton is without his top weapon with star receiver A.J. Dalton still out after suffering an ankle injury on the very first day of training camp.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Bears vs. Broncos

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Denver Broncos +2.5

The Denver Broncos will have a big advantage having Vic Fangio as their head coach against the Chicago Bears in this one. He was the defensive coordinator for the Bears last season, so he went up against Chicago’s offense every day in practice. He knows exactly what Matt Nagy likes to run in different situations.

Of course, the Bears had all kinds of problems offensively against the Packers last week. They managed just 3 points and 254 total yards against what wasn’t expected to be a very good Green Bay defense. Mitchell Trubisky looked like a rookie out there and was fortunate not to throw more than the one interception he threw to Adrian Amos. The Packers dropped at least two others, and they were in the backfield putting pressure on Trubisky all game.

The Broncos have two of the best pass rushers in the NFL in Von Miller and Bradley Chubb. The Raiders did a good job with the quick passing game while also chipping on both of them to keep them off of Derek Carr last week. Trubisky isn’t good at making quick decisions and constantly holds onto the ball too long. I fully expect Miller and Chubb to be much bigger factors this week against a suspect Chicago offensive line.

The Broncos moved the ball OK against the Raiders last week with 344 total yards, but they had to settle for too many field goals and only got one touchdown. Not to mention, they had another easy TD dropped and had to settle for a FG. Joe Flacco should be much more comfortable in his second start with the team playing in front of his home fans in Denver.

Opposing teams have really struggled with the altitude in Denver early in the season. Players aren’t in game shape in the first few weeks of the season, which is why this following trend makes a lot of sense. Denver is an incredible 22-1 SU in home games in Week 1 and Week 2 over their last 23 tries. This trend leads me to believe that the wrong team is favored in this game. Bet the Broncos Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE PRICE
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Chargers vs. Lions

1* on Detroit Lions +2

The Key: The Chargers have not been good in these early start times out East. It’s just tough for them to get their bodies used to playing a game in the morning, which is 10 AM Pacific time. I don’t think they’ll fare well here against a hungry Detroit Lions team that blew an 18-point lead against the Cardinals last week and had to settle for the tie. The Lions racked up 477 total yards and appear to have an improved offense this season. Their defensive line is really good, and it will pose problems for a banged up Chargers offensive line that will be playing without Russell Okung. The Chargers have all kinds of injuries that they’ll have to adjust to. They are without Melvin Gordon, who is still holding out. They are also without S Derwin James, TE Hunter Henry and WR Mike Williams. That’s 5 of their best players they have to play without this week, while the Lions are basically at full strength. Take Detroit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JESSE SCHULE
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Bears vs. Broncos
UNDER 40½ -110

This is a Free play to go Under the total.

The Bears come off the bye week with more questions than answers. Starting quarterback Mitch Tribisky looked awfule in a 10-3 home loss to Green Bay in the season opener. He threw for 228 yards and an INT on 26-of-45 passing in that game, and it won't get any easier on the road in Denver. The good news for the Bears is that their defense was just as good as advertised, holding Green Bay to just 10 points. Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times while throwing for 203 yards and a TD on 18-of-30 passing. These teams have played twice in the last decade, and neither of these teams scored 20 points in either of those games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK BRAYMAN

The Miami Dolphins clearly have packed it in, long before the season started, with liquidation moves that emptied the roster. Now they have to host the Super Bowl champion, and odds-on favorite to win this year's title. And what will the New England Patriots do for an encore to Sunday night's 33-3 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers against the worst team in the league? Eh, they'll usher out and introduce Antonio Brown as Tom Brady's newest target.

It's about to get real funky.

Especially seeing how Brady continued to defy the odds at 42 years old by spinning a 341-yard, three-touchdown game against the Steelers. Brady spread the ball around to seven players, and that didn't include Brown, arguably one of the two best wide receivers in football.

Oddly enough, Brady and company were 0-for-3 in the red zone against the Steelers. That won't be the case against the sad Dolphins, who - oops - may have just allowed another touchdown to Baltimore. Yeah, it was that bad.

On the other side of the football, I'm thinking if the Patriots just held the Steelers to a field goal, they should most certainly be able to keep the Fins out of the end zone with a run defense spearheaded by linebackers Dont'a Hightower, Jamie Collins and John Simon.

This will be over by the end of the first quarter. Lay the points.

2* PATRIOTS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 2

Sunday, September 15

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INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 7) at TENNESSEE (9 - 7) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 118-153 ATS (-50.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CHARGERS (13 - 5) at DETROIT (6 - 10) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 126-92 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 126-92 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 101-72 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in dome games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (6 - 10) at NY GIANTS (5 - 11) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (3 - 13) at BALTIMORE (10 - 7) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (14 - 5) at MIAMI (7 - 9) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 263-200 ATS (+43.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 263-200 ATS (+43.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 203-146 ATS (+42.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 194-146 ATS (+33.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
MIAMI is 75-102 ATS (-37.2 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (11 - 7) at WASHINGTON (7 - 9) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (5 - 11) at HOUSTON (11 - 6) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (10 - 7) vs. PITTSBURGH (9 - 6 - 1) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 108-79 ATS (+21.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 12) at CINCINNATI (6 - 10) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (8 - 7 - 1) at GREEN BAY (6 - 9 - 1) - 9/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 193-139 ATS (+40.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (13 - 5) at OAKLAND (4 - 12) - 9/15/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 146-183 ATS (-55.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (14 - 4) at LA RAMS (15 - 4) - 9/15/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 194-240 ATS (-70.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 194-240 ATS (-70.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 140-189 ATS (-67.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 148-190 ATS (-61.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 69-103 ATS (-44.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 2-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (12 - 5) at DENVER (6 - 10) - 9/15/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
DENVER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) against NFC North division opponents since 1992.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PHILADELPHIA (10 - 8) at ATLANTA (7 - 9) - 9/15/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 2

Trend Report

Sunday, September 15

Green Bay Packers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Green Bay's last 11 games
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games at home
Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Green Bay is 2-2-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 6-11-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Minnesota is 2-6-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay


Houston Texans
Houston is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 2-9-2 ATS in its last 13 games
Jacksonville is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Jacksonville is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Houston
Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston

Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Tennessee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 10 games
Indianapolis is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore

Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
Cincinnati is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing San Francisco
Cincinnati is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
San Francisco is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

Detroit Lions
Detroit is 3-7-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
LA Chargers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
LA Chargers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
LA Chargers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Miami's last 22 games at home
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Miami is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing New England
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New England's last 13 games
New England is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
New England is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 7 games on the road
New England is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
New England is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing Miami
New England is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
New England is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami

New York Giants
NY Giants is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games
NY Giants is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
NY Giants is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games at home
NY Giants is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
NY Giants is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants's last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing NY Giants
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing NY Giants

Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

Washington Redskins
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 13 games on the road
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington

Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Oakland is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Kansas City is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games
Kansas City is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Kansas City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Oakland
Kansas City is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Kansas City is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland

Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
LA Rams is 2-4-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
LA Rams is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games at home
LA Rams is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 17 of LA Rams's last 24 games when playing at home against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games
New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing LA Rams
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 17 of New Orleans's last 24 games when playing on the road against LA Rams

Denver Broncos
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Denver is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
Chicago is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Chicago is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 4-13-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 2

Sunday, September 15

Buffalo @ NY Giants

Game 265-266
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
129.387
NY Giants
125.438
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 4
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 1 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-1 1/2); Under

LA Chargers @ Detroit

Game 263-264
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Chargers
137.432
Detroit
129.688
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 8
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 2 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-2 1/2); Over

Indianapolis @ Tennessee

Game 261-262
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
129.686
Tennessee
128.549
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 1
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(+3); Over

Dallas @ Washington

Game 271-272
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
135.431
Washington
123.641
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 12
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-4 1/2); Over

New England @ Miami

Game 269-270
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
139.202
Miami
129.068
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 10
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 19
48
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+19); Under

Jacksonville @ Houston

Game 273-274
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
127.049
Houston
141.491
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 14 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 8 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-8 1/2); Over

Arizona @ Baltimore

Game 267-268
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
126.742
Baltimore
137.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 11
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 13 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+13 1/2); Under

San Francisco @ Cincinnati

Game 277-278
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
124.140
Cincinnati
132.653
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 8 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-1 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ Green Bay

Game 279-280
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
136.834
Green Bay
130.847
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 6
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+3); Over

Seattle @ Pittsburgh

Game 275-276
September 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
130.003
Pittsburgh
141.470
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 11 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 4
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-4); Under

Kansas City @ Oakland

Game 281-282
September 15, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
130.946
Oakland
125.808
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 5
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 7 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+7 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ LA Rams

Game 283-284
September 15, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
140.046
LA Rams
138.131
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 2 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+2 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Denver

Game 285-286
September 15, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
130.441
Denver
131.972
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+2 1/2); Over

Philadelphia @ Atlanta

Game 287-288
September 15, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
134.528
Atlanta
130.405
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 4
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
51
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-1); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Recap - Week 1
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 1 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 9-4-1
Against the Spread 6-7-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 6-7-1
Against the Spread 3-10-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 8-6

National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 9-4-1
Against the Spread 6-7-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 6-7-1
Against the Spread 3-10-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 8-6

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Titans (+5.5, ML +205) at Browns, 43-13
Bills (+3, ML +145) at Jets, 17-16
Packers (+3, ML +150) at Bears, 10-3

The largest favorite to cover
Cowboys (-7) vs. Giants, 35-17
Ravens (-7) at Dolphins, 59-10
Patriots (-6) vs. Steelers, 33-3
Vikings (-4) vs. Falcons, 28-12

Don't Believe the Hype

-- The Tennessee Titans (+5.5, ML +205) routed the Cleveland Browns, who entered the 2019 season with tremendous hype and expectations. About two hours into the season, that same ol' feeling was setting in on the shores of Lake Erie in what has been referred to as the 'Factory of Sadness'. It was a sad day for bettors, too, as the Browns had plenty of side bettors driving the line from 4 1/2 to 5 1/2 at one point. As Titans TE Delanie Walker said, borrowing a line from former NFL coach Dennis Green, "They are who we thought they were." The Browns will play on Monday Night Football on the road in Week 2 against the New York Jets, and one of those teams will leave the field next week with an 0-2 SU hole to start the season.

Nicked Up

-- The Jacksonville Jaguars landed big-ticket free agent QB Nick Foles during the offseason, but he was forced out early against the Kansas City Chiefs due to a broken collarbone, and he will be out indefinitely. So now the starting quarterback, perhaps just temporarily, will fall to rookie Gardner Minshew, who was a graduate transfer sensation for Mike Leach at Washington State last season. You can be sure some will be beating that Colin Kaepernick drum, too. They need something, as a season of promise has already changed in the course of three hours, after getting paddled by the Chiefs.

South Florida Fade

-- Back in the day, Dan Marino was lighting it up for the Miami Dolphins, while the Miami Hurricanes were running college football. These days, the Hurricanes are 0-2 SU/1-1 ATS and likely already eliminated from the College Football Playoff chase, while the Dolphins kicked off their season with a 59-10 ass beating from the Baltimore Ravens. Instead of calling their venue 'Hard Rock Stadium', it should be called 'Hard Pass'. If you're a sports fan in South Florida looking to stretch your dollar, you should likely be able to cheap seats very soon. Heck, you can even toss in the Florida Atlantic Owls and Florida International Golden Panthers, two more South Florida teams who are 0-2 SU.

The good news for bettors, at least as far as the Dolphins are concerned, is that they welcome the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots to Hard Pass...err, Hard Rock Stadium in Week 2. After the Pats spanked the Pittsburgh Steelers by a 33-3 count on Sunday Night Football, will we be looking at a potential 20-point favorite on the road by the time the game closes next week? The Patriots opened as 'just' a 14 1/2-point favorite after the Week 1 games on Sunday wrapped up.

Total Recall

-- The game with the highest total on the board Sunday was the San Francisco 49ers-Tampa Bay Buccaneers (51) battle at Raymond James Stadium. With just 13 points on the board at halftime, 'under' bettors were feeling might confident. This game also featured four touchdowns called back due to penalty, which is certainly helpful.

Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston did his best to assist 'over' bettors, tossing not one, but two pick-sixes in this one. That was quite the change for the Niners, who recorded a total of two interceptions during the entire 2018 season. They picked off Winston three times total, including late in the game to make it 31-17, immediately giving the Bucs the ball back with just over two minutes to go. If you were holding an 'under' ticket, you got an eerie feeling that the Bucs were gonna score in garbage time and ruin a good things, as under bettors were on the right side all day. Luckily, the 49ers defense stepped up and kept disaster from happening.

-- On the flip side, the lowest total on the board was the Ravens-Dolphins (40.5) game. The Ravens scored 42 points themselves in the first half to send 'over' bettors into the black. The second-lowest total on the board was the Buffalo Bills-New York Jets (41.5) battle. The teams combined for a total of six points in the first half, too deep of a hole for 'over' bettors to overcome. There was a flurry of scoring in the seconf half -- 27 total points to be exact -- but the damage was already done early, including a scoreless second.

-- The 'under' is 2-0 in two primetime games so far during the 2019 regular season schedule, with the Monday Night Football doubleheader with the Houston Texans-New Orleans Saints (53.5) and Denver Broncos-Oakland Raiders (43) still pending. The 'over' is 0-2 (0.0%), during the early 2019 primetime schedule with two games still pending.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Chargers WR Mike Williams (knee) checked out of the Week 1 game against the Colts due to a knee ailment.

-- Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (shoulder) was hospitalized after suffering a collarbone injury in Jacksonville. It has been determined that he will not require surgery, but Hill will miss a "few weeks," according to NFL.com.

-- Colts WR Devin Funchess (collarbone) will have a second opinion, but initial tests suggest a broken collarbone for the new Colts receiver.

-- 49ers RB Tevin Coleman (ankle) suffered an ankle injury in Tampa Bay, leaving head coach Kyle Shanahan "concerned".

-- Jaguars QB Nick Foles (collarbone/clavicle) suffered a fractured clavicle and will undergo surgery on Monday. It's uncertain if he is done for the entire season, but he'll miss significant time.

-- Steelers WR Juju Smith-Schuster (toe) suffered a toe injury late in the fourth quarter of Sunday's blowout loss in New England, and he is expected to undergo X-rays.

Looking Ahead

-- The Panthers will host the Buccaneers on Thursday night at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, a game featuring a pair of 0-1 SU/ATS teams. In this series the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings, with the road team 7-3 ATS in the past 10 in the series. The 'under' is also 5-1 in the past six battles, and 13-6 in the previous 19 encounters in the Queen City. Interestingly, something's gotta give with these two teams, as Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in their past five appearances on Thursday Night Football, while Carolina is 0-4 ATS in their past four on TNF.

-- The Cowboys and Redskins will meet in the nation's capital, and both clubs are playing their second divisional game in as many weeks. Dallas is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the previous five inside the NFC East. While Washington blew a 17-point lead in Philadelphia in Week 1, they were able to cover to improve to 1-4 ATS in the past five divisional games. The road team is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings, with the Cowboys 4-1 ATS in the past five trips to D.C. The underdog is 31-11 ATS in the past 42 in this series, too. If you're a total bettor, remember that the 'over' has cashed in six of the past seven meetings.

-- The Vikings and Packers lock horns in an NFC North early-season showdown. Someone is going to leave the field with a 2-0 SU record, too. The home team has cashed in five of the past six meetings in this series, with the Vikings just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 forays into Lambeau Field. The 'under' has also connected in seven of the past nine meetings. For Minnesota, the under is 22-7 in the past 29 inside the NFC North, while the under is a perfect 4-0 in the past four divisional games for Green Bay, including their 10-3 win in Week 1 at Chicago.

-- The Jaguars travel to Houston to meet the Texans. Jacksonville is just 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven on the road, and 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven inside the AFC South, too. Will the rookie Minshew turn their fortunes around? The Jaguars are 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight meetings, the road team is 11-4-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings and the underdog is 9-4 ATS in the previous 13 battles. The trends point to Jacksonville, but logic seems to point at Houston.

-- The Patriots travel to the heat and humidity of South Florida to take on the Dolphins. That might be the most difficult obstacle for New England. The Patriots are 19-8 ATS in their past 27 road games, and they're 6-2 ATS in the past eight inside the division. The Dolphins have posted a 6-1 ATS mark in the past seven at home against the Patriots, but that was with much more talented rosters. The home team is also 14-3 ATS in the past 17 in this series.

-- The Chiefs land in Oaktown to battle the Raiders. Kansas City is 13-4 ATS in the past 17 against AFC West foes, and they're 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 on the road, including their Week 1 whitewashing of the Jags. The Raiders are just 5-11 ATS in their past 16 home battles against the Chiefs, and the 'over' is 5-1 in the past six in the Black Hole.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 2 odds are up, and Saints-Rams could be heaviest-bet game on docket
Patrick Everson

Todd Gurley and Los Angeles opened their NFC title defense with a win and cover at Carolina. The Rams opened as 3-point home favorites in Week 2 vs. the Saints, a rematch of the NFC title game.

There’s still a “Monday Night Football” doubleheader to close NFL Week 1, but the Week 2 numbers are up, topped by the line for an NFC Championship Game rematch. Covers checks in on the opening odds and early action for four games, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams (-3)

Los Angeles fended off a comeback to open defense of its NFC title with a season-opening victory Sunday. The Rams (1-0 SU and ATS) led by 13 points multiple times, including 23-10 late in the third quarter, then held on for a 30-27 win as 1.5-point road favorites.

New Orleans still has Week 1 work to do, opening the Monday twinbill at home against Houston. But the Saints surely recall the last time they were on the field for a meaningful game, in January’s NFC Championship Game. Drew Brees and Co. were 3-point home favorites to the Rams, got the short end of a now infamous noncall of pass interference and lost 26-23 in overtime.

“NFC Championship Game rematch could be the most heavily bet game of the day,” Murray said of a key clash on the Sunday docket. “There’s no reason to move off -3 here yet. The Rams took care of business. The Saints in action Monday night.”

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-3)

Tennessee got it done in Week 1 against a team that arguably received more offseason hype than any other outfit. The Titans (1-0 SU and ATS) gave up an early touchdown at Cleveland, but ended up leading much of the game and ran away in the second half for a 43-13 win as 5.5-point underdogs.

Indianapolis, without the recently retired Andrew Luck at quarterback, perhaps showed it will not be a pushover this season. On Sunday against the Chargers, Jacoby Brissett led the Colts (0-1 SU, 0-0-1 ATS) to a touchdown and 2-point conversion in the final minute to tie the game at 24, but Indy fell short in overtime 30-24 catching 6 points in Los Angeles.

“We opened Titans -3 and moved to Titans -3 (-120) off action we took on that side,” Murray said. “Both teams impressed today, the Titans with a great win in Cleveland, the Colts really hung in there on the road against the Chargers. Indianapolis might have won with a better kicking game.”

Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5)

Seattle travels across the country for one of next Sunday’s early kickoffs, after barely hanging on as big home chalk in Week 1. The Seahawks (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) went back-and-forth with Cincinnati on Sunday, eking out a 21-20 victory as 9.5-point faves.

Pittsburgh missed the playoffs last season, then opened the 2019-20 campaign against the defending Super Bowl champions. Under the Sunday night lights, the Steelers () wilted in a 33-3 loss at New England getting 5.5 points.

“We opened Steelers -4.5, but it’s off the board, as they are currently getting throttled by the Patriots,” Murray said while Pittsburgh-New England game was in the fourth quarter. “We may see this line come down a little between now and Monday morning, although the Seahawks’ performance today wasn’t anything special either.”

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3)

Green Bay is already off to a good start in the NFC North as it prepares for another big rivalry game. The Packers (1-0 SU and ATS) put the clamps on Chicago in a Week 1 defensive slugfest, posting a 10-3 victory as 3.5-point road ‘dogs.

Minnesota, which reached the NFC title game two seasons ago but missed the postseason last year, stormed out of the gate in Week 1. The Vikings (1-0 SU and ATS) built a 21-0 halftime lead against Atlanta and coasted to a 28-12 victory giving 3.5 points at home Sunday.

“Great win for the Vikings over the Falcons. Only 10 passing attempts from Kirk Cousins,” Murray said. “The Vikings are clearly looking to establish the run. They’ll need to move it on the ground effectively against what appears to be an improved Packers defense.”

The line opened -3 but at even money for the Pack, then briefly ticked to -2.5 (-120) before going back to the opener.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best spot bets for NFL Week 2 odds: Texans tangle with a 'fruit salad' of situations
Jason Logan

In the fight against the big bad bookies, sports bettors have an arsenal of weapons at their disposal – some more effective than others.

One of the most popular methods of getting a leg up on the sportsbooks is situational handicapping: factoring in unique situations for the teams involved. Some of the more common situational plays – or spot bets – are “letdowns”, “lookaheads”, and “schedule” spots.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan combs through the Week 2 schedule and highlights the best opportunities for spot bettors to take advantage of the NFL odds.

LETDOWN SPOT: BUFFALO BILLS AT NEW YORK GIANTS (+1.5, 43.5)

The Bills escaped MetLife Stadium with a Week 1 win over the New York Jets, thanks to a fourth-quarter surge that saw Buffalo outscore the host 14-0 in the final 15 minutes and come away with a 17-16 win as a 2.5-point road pup.

The Bills are back in East Rutherford again in Week 2 looking to avoid a letdown spot after such a thrilling come-from-behind victory. Buffalo fell in a similar spot last season, enjoying a come-from-behind road win at Atlanta in Week 4 then losing 20-16 at Cincinnati in Week 5.

This time, it’s the New York Giants, who are getting around two points at home from oddsmakers. While not a far trip from Orchard Park, this is the second straight road game for Buffalo, which looked bad for three quarters of football in Week 1. The Bills were down 16-3 entering the fourth quarter with just as many turnovers on the board.

The Giants got rolled by the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1, but that one-sided loss was on the defense. To the chagrin of some N.Y. fans (hoping to see more Daniel Jones), Eli Manning played well and Saquon Barkley did his thing. Buffalo doesn’t pose the same scoring threats as Dallas, and could fall victim to a classic letdown spot as road chalk Sunday.

LOOKAHEAD SPOT: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (-8.5, 43.5)

While we’re tagging this a lookahead spot, since the Texans travel to California to face the L.A. Chargers in Week 3, this Week 2 matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars is the fruit salad of spot bets. Let’s get the lookahead out of the way first…

Houston's in the driver’s seat in the AFC South (don’t tell Tennessee) with Andrew Luck gonzo and Nick Foles sidelined with a broken collarbone until November (at best). Next week’s trip to Los Angeles could go a long way in deciding the AFC pecking order, as the Texans could end up jockeying for home field in the postseason come December. Normally, I wouldn’t dub a divisional matchup as a game teams tend to look past but given the Jags’ quarterback situation, you can't blame Houston for peaking down the road.

Jacksonville appears to be going with rookie QB Gardner Minshew for the time being, and the former Washington State record-breaker and obvious student of Mike Leach (just soak in that “Captain Jack Sparrow” sideline look for a moment. Pirates, right?) was great in relief of Foles during the team’s loss to Kansas City Sunday. But, a rookie starter none the less.

Now for a sprinkling of situational seasonings. Houston is sandwiched in this lookahead spot by a slice of letdown, coming off a crushing defeat versus the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football. And that game also puts the Texans in a schedule spot, with a short week to prepare for the Jaguars as well as giving Deshaun Watson less time to heal up from an obvious back injury suffered early in that Monday nighter.

The line opened Houston -9.5 and didn’t last long, with sharp play on the Jaguars trimming off a full point to the deadest of dead numbers: -8.5. According to our Covers Consensus, 67 percent of early bets are on the home side, which looks to be stuck in situational hell for Week 2.

SCHEDULE SPOT: CHICAGO BEARS AT DENVER BRONCOS (+2.5, 40.5)

There are a couple different ways to look at this potential schedule spot:

1. The Bears have had a mini bye due to playing last Thursday, giving Mitch Trubisky and the offense more time to right the ship after scoring only three points in the opener versus Green Bay. So, with that said, Chicago’s offense benefits from the schedule in Week 2.

But…

2. Denver is the worst place to play early in the season, specifically in the Broncos’ home openers. Since 2000, Denver is an incredible 18-1 SU in home openers and has gone 11-4-4 ATS in those Mile High debuts (73 percent).

I’ll admit, most betting trends are about as useful as “rubber lips on a woodpecker” (thanks to my Newfie mother-in-law for that one), but this trend does have a narrative behind it. Empower Field at Mile High is located at 5,280 feet above sea level, which means the air is thinner than Trubisky’s mustache.

NFL teams, regardless of all the pre-camps, summer camps, training camps, preseason and whatever else they’ve got going, are still not in game shape until they play actual games (ask anyone who’s ever played competitive sports and they’ll tell you there’s no substitution for actual games). And with Denver's season opener usually falling in the first three weeks of action, opponents are left sucking wind when they visit the Broncos.

Chicago head coach Matt Nagy likes to run a quicker pace, with the Bears totaling 65 plays in Thursday’s loss despite having the football for less than 29 minutes. The oxygen-light atmosphere in Denver could be a big speed bump for Da Bears, which is why this total is creeping down from 41.5 to 40.5 as of Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

By: Josh Inglis


RINGING THE BELL

Heading into Week 1, there were questions on Le’Veon Bell’s workload after not being tackled since January of 2018. Bell didn’t explode on the stat sheet but for a per-touch basis, he was dominant. The 27-year-old led all running backs in avoided tackles on the ground with nine — three more than the next back — while getting 23 touches and a score. With his workload set to increase, look for the New York Jets to lean on him heavily at home versus the Cleveland Browns.

The Browns gave up some big yards to Tennessee Titans RBs last week allowing Derrick Henry to rip off a 75-yard catch and run and while managing 84 yards on 19 carries. Look for the Jets to use a lot of screens to offset that dominant Browns pass-rush, playing right into Bell’s strength.

We are hitting the Over total rushing and receiving yards on anything under 125 yards.


ALLEN AIRS IT OUT

Last week we hit our Josh Allen Over 219 passing yards as the Buffalo Bills came out throwing versus the Jets. Allen was playing quite loose as he turned the ball over four times, but the Bills look committed into turning him into a passer.

Up next for the 2-point-road-favorite Bills are the New York Giants who allowed 400-plus yards in the air last week versus Dallas. The Giants secondary gave up a pair of 100-yard receivers and let Michael Gallop go for 158 yards.

We like both these offenses as Saquon Barkley and, to a lesser degree, Devin Singletary can bust big plays with any touch. However, Allen’s turnovers and the Bills defense scare me on the Over 43.5. So we are going back-to-back with Allen’s passing yard total and grabbing the Over 216 yards.


THE BIG BEN THEORY

After scoring just three points in New England, look for Big Ben and the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to bounce back versus the Seattle Seahawks who are fresh off allowing 418 passing yards to Andy Dalton. The Hawks have allowed an average of 28 points over their last four road games (1-3 SU) and are 1-8 SU and 0-8-1 ATS on the road in September over their last nine.

The Steelers’ team total sits at 26.5 which we feel is a little high so we will be taking the Steelers -4. The Steelers to need to rebound after an ugly loss and beat an average road team travelling from west to east for a 1 pm game.


CHRISTIAN THE PANTHER

If bettors thought they could get an easy line on Christian McCaffrey’s rushing, receiving or total yards, guess again. With the soft Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense on deck for Sunday, CMC’s rushing and receiving yardage total sits at 139.5 — a number he has hit five times in his last 17 games.

We understand if you can’t pull the trigger with better value plays out there in your quest for some Thursday night action. How about the anytime score prop? That’s out of the question for most as it sits a ridiculous -277. We are zeroing in on the first TD of the game prop where McCaffrey is a much more reasonable +350.

If CMC is expected to rack up yards and score, as the lines predict, then we are going to put our money on him being the first to cross the goalline. There is a good chance he could lead his team in targets and carries, just as he did in Week 1. Take CMC to score the first TD at +350 and enjoy the bounty.


SHADY GAGA

With the news of Kansas City Chiefs Tyreke Hill hitting the shelf for 4-6 weeks, most will be looking at Sammy Watkins to fill that role. That’s great news for us as we don’t mind looking for scraps at the table if there is value.

LeSean McCoy, outplayed fellow RB Damien Williams on the ground versus the Jaguars and we are expecting the former Bill to cut into Williams' passing work this week against the Oakland Raiders. McCoy is still learning his pass protection but with another week under his belt, the back who averaged nearly four receptions under Reid as an Eagle will be more involved.

McCoy already has a major role on this team and it will only grow as he familiarizes himself with the playbook. We are taking the Over on a reception total of anything under 3.5. If you can’t find that market, we fully support the Over on 41 rushing yards as well.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

261INDIANAPOLIS -262 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 37-61 ATS (-30.1 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.

263LA CHARGERS -264 DETROIT
LA CHARGERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 2 seasons.

265BUFFALO -266 NY GIANTS
NY GIANTS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in the 1rst half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

267ARIZONA -268 BALTIMORE
ARIZONA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.

269NEW ENGLAND -270 MIAMI
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in the last 2 seasons.

271DALLAS -272 WASHINGTON
DALLAS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

273JACKSONVILLE -274 HOUSTON
JACKSONVILLE is 6-20 ATS (-16 Units) in road games after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

275SEATTLE -276 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 108-79 ATS (21.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. since 1992.

277SAN FRANCISCO -278 CINCINNATI
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games after a win by 14 or more pts. since 1992.

279MINNESOTA -280 GREEN BAY
GREEN BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

281KANSAS CITY -282 OAKLAND
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in the 1rst half of the season in the last 2 seasons.

283NEW ORLEANS -284 LA RAMS
LA RAMS are 83-121 ATS (-50.1 Units) after playing their last game on the road since 1992.

285CHICAGO -286 DENVER
CHICAGO is 20-6 ATS (13.4 Units) against the AFC West since 1992.

287PHILADELPHIA -288 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 in the last 2 seasons.

289CLEVELAND -290 NY JETS
NY JETS are 21-8 ATS (12.2 Units) in home games after a home loss since 1992.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 2

Colts (0-1) @ Titans (1-0)— Tennessee crushed the Browns 43-13 LW, with a +3 turnover ratio, and an 11-yard edge in field position- their defense also scored nine points. Last three years, Titans are 8-5-2 as home favorites- they covered seven of last eight tries as a HF in AFC Seuth games. Indy won 18 of last 21 series games, winning 38-10/33-17 in LY’s meetings; Colts won six of last seven visits to Nashville. Tennessee lost four of last five home openers (under 5-2 last seven). Colts lost to the Chargers in OT last week despite being +2 in TO’s; Indy ran ball for 203 yards but gave up 8.2 yards/pass attempt and allowed TD plays of 28-55 yards. Under Reich, Colts are 4-2 as road underdogs.

Chargers (1-0) @ Lions (0-0-1)— Last week, Detroit blew a 24-6 lead with 11:30 left- they tied Arizona 27-27; Lions gave up 230 passing yards to rookie QB Murray, just in 4th quarter/OT. Last four years, Detroit is 4-11 as a home underdog- last five years, they’re 8-14 as a dog of 3 or fewer points. Chargers are banged up but won at home in OT LW, despite giving up 203 YR; LA is 8-5-1 ATS in last 14 games on fake grass- under Lynn, they’re 4-2-1 as a road favorite. Bolts won seven of last eight series games, taking two of last three visits here. LA lost four of last five road openers but covered six of last seven; over is 8-4 in their last 12 RO’s. Detroit lost three of last four home openers; over is 7-2 in their last nine HO’s.

Bills (1-0) @ Giants (0-1)— Buffalo is in Meadowlands for 2nd week in row; they nipped Jets 17-16 here LW, rallying back from down 16-0 with 4:00 left in 3rd quarter. Bills outgained Jets 370-223 LW, but NYJ defense scored first 8 points of the game. Last five years, Buffalo is 2-5-1 as a road favorite- they’re 20-17-2 ATS in last 39 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Giants lost 35-17 in Dallas LW, giving up 405 PY; Cowboys averaged 12.7 yards/pass attempt. Big Blue is 4-8 ATS in last dozen tries as a home dog- they’re 11-5 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC foes, are 3-9-1 in last 13 games where spread was 3 or less. Giants lost six of last seven home openers (under 6-1). Giants won last three series games, by 17-3-14 points.

Cardinals (0-0-1) @ Ravens (1-0)— Over last decade, teams that won by 28+ points in Week 1 are 1-10 ATS in Week 2, 0-5 when favored. Ravens ran ball for 265 yards LW, outgained Miami 643-200. Last four years, Baltimore is 10-15-1 as a home favorite. First road start for rookie QB Murray, who rallied Redbirds back from down 24-6 with 12:00 left in Week 1; he was 20-29/239 passing just in 4th quarter/OT vs Lions, after being 9-25/70 in dismal first three quarters. Arizona is 6-10-1 in last 17 games as a road dog. Ravens are 4-2 in last six series games, winning 26-23/30-27 in last two played here. Redbirds lost last three road openers, by 15-12-34 points; over is 4-2 in their last six RO’s. Ravens won last three home openers, allowing total of 20 points; under is 4-2 in their last six HO’s.

Patriots (1-0) @ Dolphins (0-1)— Miami coach Flores was a Patriot scout/assistant the last 15 years; since 2010, Belichick is 28-6 SU the first time he faces a head coach. New England lost five of last six visits here, losing 27-20/34-33 the last two years; Patriots crushed Steelers 33-3 LW, holding Pitt to 32 RY; Miami got crushed 59-10 by the Ravens, giving up 643 TY, 265 on ground. Patriots are 6-2 SU in last eight road openers (5-3 vs spread)- four of their last five RO’s went over. Last 10 years, NFL teams who lost by 28+ points in Week 1 are 7-3-1 ATS in Week 2; teams who won by 28+ points in Week 1 are 1-10 ATS in Week 2. Spread opened at 14.5, quickly jumped to 17.5. There is unrest in Miami locker room over direction their front office is taking. This game opened at NE -14.5, is up to 18.5/19 as I type this.

Cowboys (1-0) @ Redskins (0-1)— Dallas won seven of last nine series games, winning five of last six visits here; they scored 31+ points in last four series wins. Cowboys passed for 405 yards in their 35-17 win LW, averaging 12.7 yards/attempt; over last five years, they’re 12-5-1 as road favorites. Dallas is 14-7 ATS in their last 21 NFC East road tilts. Washington lost 32-27 in Philly LW after leading 20-7 at half; Redskins threw ball for 370 yards but ran it only 13 times for 28 yards- over last four years, Skins are 9-7 ATS as a home underdog. Cowboys lost last two road openers 42-17/16-8 (under 5-2 in last seven)- they’re 9-3 vs spread in last 12 RO’s. Washington lost last four and six of last seven home openers (under 3-1 last four).

Jaguars (0-1) @ Texans (0-1)— First NFL start for rookie QB Minshew, who was 22-25/275 passing in relief in his NFL debut LW. Jaguars are 14-17-1 ATS in last 32 games as a road dog- their new backup QB is former Tennessee Vols’ QB Dobbs. Short week for Texans after last-second loss in Superdome Monday nite; Houston gave up 502 yards, 354 thru air. Under O’Brien, Texans are 18-11-1 ass home favorites. Houston won eight of last 10 series games, beating Jags 20-7/20-3 LY; last four series games were all decided by 13+ points. Jaguars lost four of last five visits here. Jax won last two road openers after losing eight of previous nine- under is 10-5 in their last 15 RO’s. Texans lost three of last four home openers, despite being favored in all four.

Seahawks (1-0) @ Steelers (0-1)— Pitt was outgained 465-308 in ugly 33-3 loss LW, but over last nine years, Steelers are 30-18-1 ATS coming off a loss- since 2013, they’re 21-17 as home favorites. Pitt is 18-13 ATS in last 31 games as a HF outside AFC North. Seahawks won 21-20 LW despite being outgained 429-233; over last five years, Seattle is 10-6-1 ATS as a RU. Seahawks allowed TD plays of 33-55 yards to Cincy LW. Seattle lost 12 of last 14 road openers (under 13-2-1); they’re 0-6-1 ATS in last seven RO’s as an underdog. Steelers won 14 of last 16 home openers (11-5 ATS)- under is 7-3 in their last 10. Pitt won three of last four meetings, blanking Seattle 21-0/24-0 in last two played here.

49ers (1-0) @ Bengals (0-1)— 49ers picked off three passes LW, after picking off only two all of LY; they ran two of them back for TD’s in 31-17 win in Tampa, where yardage was 295-256, TB. SF is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Under Shanahan, 49ers are 9-8 ATS on road. Cincy threw for 395 yards in tough 21-20 loss in Seattle LW; they scored only six points in three trips to red zone. Bengals threw 51 passes, ran ball only 14 times. Niners are 11-4 vs Bengals, 2-0 in Super Bowls- they’re 4-2 in Cincy. Bengals won five of last seven home openers; under is 8-3 in their last 11 HO’s. Average total in last three series meetings, 30.7. This is second straight week east of Mississippi for 49ers.

Vikings (1-0) @ Packers (1-0)— Home side is 12-1-1 in last 14 series games, wth Vikings 5-1-1 in last seven; they’re 2-6-1 SU in last nine visits to Lambeau. Minnesota threw ball only 10 times in LW’s 28-12 home win over Atlanta- they ran ball for 172 yards, were +3 in TO’s and blocked a punt. Last three years, Vikings are 4-7 as road underdogs. Packers gained only 213 yards (47 on ground) in their 10-3 win in Chicago LW; over last five years, Green Bay is 20-12-2 as a HF. Last eight years, Pack is 13-7 ATS as a HF in NFC North games. Minnesota is 4-10-1 SU in last 15 road openers (5-8-2 vs spread); under is 6-3 in their last nine. Green Bay won its last six home openers (4-2 vs spread), with three of last four HO’s going under.

Chiefs (1-0) @ Raiders (1-0)— KC won eight of last nine series games, winning 40-33/35-3 in LY’s games; Chiefs won three of last four visits here, winning by 14-16-7 points. Chiefs threw for 378 yards in their 40-26 win at Jacksonville LW; they allowed 347 PY to rookie backup QB Minshew, who was making his NFL debut. KC is 16-9 ATS in its last 25 games as a RF. last two years, Chiefs are 14-6 ATS coming off a win. Short week for Oakland after their Monday night win; last two years, Raiders are 1-9 ATS coming off a win. Carr was 22-26/259 passing Monday; they converted 10-14 on 3rd down. Since 2012, Oakland is 13-19-1 as a home underdog. This is the Raiders’ last home game until Week 9 (November 3). You’re reading ***************.com

Saints (1-0) @ Rams (1-0)— Rams won NFC title game in OT in Superdome LY, after losing in NO during season; teams split last eight series games. Saints lost last three road series games, by 10-11-6 points. Short week for Saints after their last-second win Monday; they outgained Texans 510-414, giving up 180 YR, but Brees threw for 362 yards. NO is 14-7-1 in last 22 games as a RU. Rams converted 9-17 on 3rd down in their 30-27 win in Charlotte LW; 89 of Gurley’s 97 RY came in 2nd half. Under McVay, LA is 6-8 as a home favorite, 4-7 in games with spread of 3 or fewer points. Saints lost six of last eight road openers; over is 8-3 in their last 11. Rams won both home openers in McVay era, 46-9/34-0.

Bears (0-1) @ Broncos (0-1)— Denver coach Fangio was Chicago’s DC the last four years, which has to be an edge. Bears had four extra days to recover/prep for this; they played on Thursday LW, Denver played Monday, edge for Bears, one of two teams that didn’t score a TD LW- they outgained Packers 254-213 LW, but were 3-15 on 3rd down. Denver scored only 16 points (one TD, three FGs) on four trips to red zone. Chicago lost its last four road openers (1-3 ATS); under is 15-3 in their last 18 RO’s. Broncos are 27-3 SU in last 30 home openers, 6-7 ATS in last 13. Over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 HO’s. Denver won four of last six series games; two of last three meetings went to OT. Average total in last seven meetings is 32.7.

Eagles (1-0) @ Falcons (0-1)— Philly won last three series games, winning 15-10/18-12 last two years; this is their first visit here since ’15. Eagles converted 11-17 on 3rd down in 32-27 win LW; they trailed 20-6 at the half. Philly’s TD plays of 51-53 yards both came on 3rd-and-10 passes. Last three years, Eagles are 5-9 ATS on artificial turf. Over last six years, Atlanta is 8-2 as a home underdog; they’re 9-7 SU at home the last two years. Falcons are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Atlanta was 2-8 on 3rd down, turned ball over three times (-3) in 28-12 loss at Minnesota. Eagles won eight of last ten road openers; over is 6-3-2 in their last 11. Atlanta won 13 of its last 15 home openers; four of last five went over.