Service Plays Saturday 9/21/19

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[dawggy]

DREW MARTINFOOTBALL PLAYS

• Game: (325) Temple at (326) BUFFALO U
  Date/Time: Sep 21 2019 3:30 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Temple -14.0 (-108)
  
  View Analysis
  
  2% at 16.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 21 2019 3:30PM
349 Washington -5.5(-110) Westgate vs 350 BYU triple-dime bet

Analysis: How much does BYU have left in the tank after back-to-back outright upsets in overtime over Tennessee and USC? Now they face a Washington team fresh off a blowout win over Hawaii. These two met last year and it was a total mis-match as Washington won 35-7.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: CFB 3u: 354 Mississippi Rebels -128 (Saturday, September 21st)

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Dave Cokin:

Florida -14
App St +3
Baylor -26.5
Nevada -14

[dawggy]

TEDDY COVERS



Game:(343) MICHIGAN at (344) WISCONSIN
Date/Time: Sep 21 2019 12:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: MICHIGAN 3.5 (-110)

View Analysis

4% Take Michigan (#343)
The concept here is as simple as it gets: Buy low, Sell high. The lookahead line this summer at the Westgate Superbook ‘Games of the Year’ was Michigan -7.5 in Madison. The markets are saying that there is an 11 point difference between what these two teams were supposed to be at what they actually are after a two game sample size. I’m not buying that argument one iota.
Wisconsin has an amazing statistical profile after shutting out USF and Central Michigan by a combined 110-0 score, two teams that couldn’t match up with the Badgers in the trenches. Michigan, on the other hand, didn’t cover the spread in their opener against Middle Tennessee State and never sniffed a pointspread cover in a tough, gutty win against Army. The betting markets are viewing the two games that each team has already played as hugely significant ATS this week. I couldn’t disagree more.
Army was a tough opponent for Michigan – hungry, disciplined and focused with a unique style of offense. USF and Central Michigan were easy opponents for Wisconsin because they couldn’t hang tough in the trenches – period. The disparate final scores for those games means NOTHING moving forward……..except for its effect on the pointspread.
The Wolverines won three road games last year and four road games the year before; not a team that I hesitate to back on the highway. They’re coming off a tough test – that they passed – and a bye week; primed to play their best game of the season here. The Badgers are taking a HUGE step up in defensive class. Much like Maryland – Temple last week; I have little hesitation fading a team off multiple blowout wins now facing a ‘real’ opponent with an inflated pointspread! Live dog here! Take Michigan.
Line Parameter: 4% at +3 or higher, 3% at +2.5 or lower.

[dawggy]

ROB VENOFOOTBALL PLAYS

• Game: (311) UL MONROE at (312) IOWA STATE
  Date/Time: Sep 21 2019 12:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Over 56.0 (-110)

UL-Monroe @ Iowa State Analysis

Like the scheduling situation here in this one as UL-Monroe comes in off of a bye week while Iowa State enters after their heartbreaking 18-17 loss to in-state rival Iowa. Don’t envision this as a payday throwaway game for the Warhawks who boast an explosive offense led by sr. QB Caleb Evans. Fully understand the opposing defenses they’ve faced to date are not in the same category as the Cyclones but their run/pass offensive balance, wide open play calling and dual threat QB are all productive features that ISU’s defense has not encountered thus far. Other side of the coin signals an offensive breakout for Iowa State which steps down significantly in defensive class this week. Monroe was punished for 243 rushing yards on 6.6 per carry by FCS Grambling State en-route to 407 total yards while Florida State torched them for 501 yards gaining 219 on the ground and 282 through the air. Look for Iowa State QB Brock Purdy who just went 25/35/327/71.4% completions versus the rugged Iowa defense to have a field day here while the ground game should click as well. Realistic to expect a Cyclones non-conference, double digit favorite look-ahead spot here since they come off an intense, draining, maximum effort contest and have their Big 12 opener next week against Baylor. That could open the door for the dynamic ULM offense to blindside Iowa State’s defense. Expect each offense to have point scoring success and surprised at the downward movement of the total to 56 off the opener of 57. More than willing to step in and take advantage in a game where 60+ is more than capable of being scored. Recommendation: OVER 56

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: CFB 4u: 320 Pittsburgh Panthers +12 -110 (Saturday, September 21st)

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NCAAF - Virgobbi Sports

9/21:

Southal +10 (-113)
southmiss +39 (-110)

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Sharp Totals Club

3* Rice Under
2* UMass Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ken Thomson

3* 368 Texas A&M -3.5 (-110) Westgate vs 367 Auburn

Analysis:

A look back at trip to death Valley to play Clemson in week two for the Aggies. They shut out the Tigers for 19 minutes out of the gate. Held Travis Etienne to 53 yards on 16 carries. Gave up 164 & ONE TD to Tee Higgins & Justyn Ross ...not too bad. Had the ball 6 minutes longer than the Tigers and if not for a RED Zone turnover inside the 5 yard line that game is much closer.
Meanwhile, Auburn steals their opener from Oregon on neutral field with 60% of crowd in Arlington at Jerry's House. Trailed for 59 minutes and 51 seconds....think a¨bout it...if they lost that game...what would this line be? They struggled with Tulane at home only a 24-6 win and then beat up on MAC school Kent State in second half last week.
A&M defense lost six starters and was supposed to struggle but Jimbo Fisher has a solid D in place and should get after Frosh QB Bo Nix who will be in his first true roadie and there is NO BIGGER HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE in CFB than KYLE FIELD!


320 Pittsburgh 12.5 (-110) Westgate vs 319 UCF

double-dime bet
Analysis:
Freshman QB Dillon Gabriel has been unbelievable this season and the freshman has yielded off other suitors for the job. Darriel Mack is now healthy but last season's QB has not gotten his job back. Brandon Wimbush transferred from Notre Dame and he is a back-up as well. Lots of speed lots of scoring for this UCF team. The Knights may have too many speedy weapons for Pitt but the Panthers are¨ a physical team and will hold their own at home. They darn near won at Penn State last week as 17 point dogs and had their chances in the red zone several times before floundering. DL Jaylen Twyman is a beast and if DE Rashad Weaver didn't go down for the year in training Camp this Panther defense would have been relentless. QB Kenny Pickett had solid game at Happy Valley throwing for 372 yards but struggled deep in Lions red zone or Panthers win the game. Pitt needs something from non-existent run game to have a chance. Knights longest Regular Season win streak but you never go....it could stop right....HERE!

KEN THOMSON | CFB SIDE SAT, 09/21/19 - 10:30 PM
398 Washington St. -18.5 (-110) Westgate vs 397 UCLA

double-dime bet
Analysis:
QB Gordon has 6 receivers and a solid du¨el threat RB in Max Borghi.....Bruins Defense is weak and just scratched lead tackler LB Barnes.


KEN THOMSON | CFB SIDE SAT, 09/21/19 - 7:30 PM
376 Texas -5.0 (-110) William Hill vs 375 Oklahoma St.

double-dime bet
Analysis:
QB Ehlinger will help Horns break 4-game skid in this series....no¨t over thinking it...Texas by 7-17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 21 2019 3:30PM
370 Tulsa -3.0(-110) Westgate vs 369 Wyoming double-dime bet

Analysis: Even though we cashed going against them, we liked what we saw from Tulsa last week as Oklahoma St had to out-score the Golden Hurricane 20-0 in the second half to get the cover. Meanwhile, Wyoming is 3-0, but the Cowboys have been out-gained in every game this season. Last week, huge underdog Idaho (+27.5) had a 303-287 yard edge and Wyoming only managed a 5-point win. That’s coming off the heels of two wins vs Missouri and Texas St where the Cowboys were out-gained by 148 yards and 151 yards but managed wins and covers. We like the favorite here.

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 21 2019 8:00PM
392 Georgia -14.0(-110) Westgate vs 391 Notre Dame double-dime bet

Analysis: Both teams come in off blowout wins last week. Notre Dame probably isn’t as good as they’ve looked because they are No. 1 in the country in turnover margin at +3.0 a game. Last week, they converted four New Mexico TOs into four TD’s. We feel this is a bad match-up for an under-sized Notre Dame defense. The Irish are allowing 231 rush yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry (that’s vs Louisville and New Mexico). Now they face a Georgia rush offense that is averaging 287 rush yards per game and 7.6 yards per carry. Remember, ND’s starting defensive line average weight is 273 pounds. UGA’s starting offensive line average weight is 329 pounds. That’s 56 pounds per man. Finally, Georgia has won their last 15 home games by an average of 31 ppg. All 15 wins have come by 14-points or more and 13 have been by 21 points or more!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Kezirian (NCAAf Saturday)

Charlotte TT over 9.5 points (-127)
Texas -5.5
Oregon -10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: CFB 3u: 347 New Mexico State Aggies +4 -105 (Saturday, September 21st)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TAP (5-5 50% YTD)

Ohio St. -39.5
UCLA +18.5
Utah St. -3.5
New Mexico -5
Michigan St. -7
LSU -23.5
Western Mich. +6
Florida -14
Appalachian St. 3.5
Georgia -13.5
Iowa St. -19
Temple -14