Service Plays Saturday 9/21/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369690

    #106
    Seabass first report : 400 cal , 400 cubs , 300 Pitt (NCAAF), no limit w Michigan
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369690

      #107
      Cajun Sports Wire

      5.5* Georgia
      5* Texas A&M
      5* Washington St
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369690

        #108
        Stephen Oh


        UCF -10.5


        UCF @ PITTSBURGH | 9/21 | 3:30 PM EDT
        YESTERDAY 11:45 PM
        Central Florida keeps rolling and keeps getting no respect from bettors. The Knights have been all business this season, beating their opponents 155-41. Meanwhile Pitt is coming off an emotional loss to in-state rival Penn State in a game that went down to the final play and cannot afford any kind of hangover against Central Florida. My model says the Knights cover almost two-thirds of the time, so you're getting solid value with the spread at this price.

        12-1 IN LAST 13 CFB PICKS | +1090
        2-1 IN LAST 3 PITT ATS PICKS | +90


        NORTHWESTERN +8.5


        MICHIGAN ST. @ NORTHWESTERN | 9/21 | 12:00 PM EDT
        YESTERDAY 11:22 PM
        Rarely does my model say that a point spread offers as much value as this one. My model says Northwestern covers almost three-quarters of the time. The Wildcats have beaten Michigan State three straight times, including last year in East Lansing, and are a veteran team that brings back a lot of players who played in last year's Big Ten Championship Game. The Spartans couldn't score at home last week; they won't score enough to cover this week. Take the points.

        12-1 IN LAST 13 CFB PICKS | +1090
        2-1 IN LAST 3 NWEST ATS PICKS | +80
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369690

          #109
          +EV: CFB 4u: 346 Colorado State Rams +9 -103 (Saturday, September 21st)
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369690

            #110
            Big al mlb goy

            Cubs -118
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369690

              #111
              Jason Sharpe

              3 Unit Cincy +125
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369690

                #112
                SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS

                Free Play: West Virginia vs Kansas Over 49

                NCAA Football Service Plays


                Wisconsin -3 (buy .5) -120 vs Michigan


                Louisville vs Florida St Over 61.5


                Ole Miss -2.5 vs California


                Ohio St -39 vs Miami OH


                Clemson -41.5 vs Charlotte


                Notre Dame +14.5 vs Georgia


                Oregon vs Stanford Over 56.5


                Georgia St +3 vs Texas St


                Arizona St -8.5 vs Colorado


                MLB Service Plays


                Cleveland RL -1.5 +110 vs Philly


                Oakland RL -1.5 -150 vs Texas
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369690

                  #113
                  Power Sweep 5 star GOM
                  Texas A&M -4
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369690

                    #114
                    Northcoast Totals
                    4 Utah St Under
                    3Cal Under
                    3Ohio Over
                    3 Clemson Over
                    Marquee Ohio st Over
                    T West Vir Over
                    T Colorado Under
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369690

                      #115
                      Northcoast Marquees (3-0 last week)

                      Over Ohio st. 56 1/2

                      South Carolina + 9 1/2

                      Old Dominion +27
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                      • B*mb07
                        Senior Member
                        • Mar 2018
                        • 640

                        #116
                        Executive
                        10:00
                        CFB
                        600%
                        Arizona St -7'
                        over Colorado
                        4:00
                        CFB
                        300%
                        Miss State -6
                        over Kentucky
                        10:30
                        CFB
                        300%
                        Utah St -3'
                        over San Diego St
                        While Arizona St returns home off their big road win over Michigan St, Colorado takes to the road for the
                        first time this season. Colorado is coming off
                        an OT loss to Air Force, and the week before they won

                        in OT vs Nebraska. They've had 3 emotional weeks in a row, as in week one they played instate rival

                        Colorado St. Both teams in this contest are playing their Pac 12 opener. Arizona St is playing this one

                        with revenge from last year's 7 point road loss in Coach Herm Edwards first season as the coach.

                        They are 3-0 on the season and have held each opponent to only 7 points in each game.

                        Colorado has given up 31, 31, and 30 in their 3 games where they are 2-1 on the season.


                        COLORADO is 3-12 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons
                        .
                        They are 17-38 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.
                        ARIZONA ST is 26-9 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games,

                        and are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after a win by 3 or less points .
                        ARIZONA ST is 7-3 against the spread versus Colorado, and 5-0 against the spread versus them when at home.

                        ARIZONA ST GETS REVENGE TONIGHT ... ARIZONA STATE by 17



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                        • dawggy
                          Senior Member
                          • Dec 2017
                          • 1770

                          #117
                          Dr. Chuck

                          BASEBALL PLAYS

                          Game: (979) Philadelphia Phillies at (980) Cleveland Indians
                          Date/Time: Sep 21 2019 7:10 PM EDT
                          Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
                          Play Rating: 4%
                          Play: Total Over 10.5 (-105)

                          View Analysis

                          Vargas v. Plesac

                          Indians are right at the top of the leaderboards in all metrics against LHP at home in September...and draw a walk rate equal to the K rate, which is excellent playing an NL team and having runners on base constantly. In addition the Indians need every win like blood and do not want to let any games slip to an NL team that has underachieved massively. Each team will be able to use a DH, which for the Phillies adds an extra non-pitcher bat to a total that isn't all that higher than normal...likely a Jay Bruce or similar who may be boom or bust but helps with an Over play with one swing.

                          Vargas coming from the left side should allow his share of runs and Zach Plesac has almost become president of my xFIP fade club plays haha. He still sports a middle-3 ERA and 5.10 xFIP, which over the last 3 starts has actually gone up toward 5.30...he walks too many batters and the Phillies should send their fair share of big lefty bats at the young kid due for a regression more than most any starter still going.

                          Among other factors, we shall finish with the home plate umpire being the Under fade machine. He has umpired 30 contests and only 7 of those 30 games have gone under the total. Neither of his interleague games went Under the total...and this is up from a very quick opening at 9.5.....at that 9.5 this would have been AT LEAST A 5% PLAY. So do what you will...but the double DH, the pitching matchup that is very hitter friendly and a wind that is blowing slightly out at about a 7mph clip.

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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369690

                            #118
                            Doc mlb

                            Nats RL
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369690

                              #119
                              Daily Sports Edge

                              Saber
                              349, Washington -6.5 vs BYU
                              386, Oregon/Stanford UNDER 58.5
                              370, Tulsa -3.5 vs Wyoming

                              GoSooners349 Washington -6.5320 Pitt +11
                              364 Vanderbilt +24.5

                              Pexgordo
                              400 SDSU +3.5/+6
                              306 USC +4
                              351 Colorado +8.5

                              Best Bets
                              320 Pitt +11
                              400 SDSU +4
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369690

                                #120
                                Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 21 2019 3:30PM
                                320 Pittsburgh 11.0(-110) William Hill vs 319 UCF single-dime bet

                                Analysis: Pitt hasn’t left the state of Pennsylvania yet this season. Pitt QB Kenny Pickett is throwing the ball a ton this year with back-to-back 300-yard games and remember last year, he didn’t top 200 yards passing in 13 of 14 games! This is a Pitt defense that is much stouter than what UCF faced vs Stanford last week. Keep in mind, UCF has scored at least 30 points in 29 straight games, longest streak in AP Poll era (since 1936). This spread looks a little inflated especially after UCF’s blowout win over Stanford. We like Pitt.



                                Top 7 Leans of the Day if you need additional action.

                                (327/328) Central Michigan/MIAMI, FL OVER 48. 4:00pm ET.

                                (340) SYRACUSE -4.5 over Western Michigan. 12:00pm ET.
                                (361/362) Kentucky/MISSISSIPPI ST OVER 48. 4:00pm ET.

                                (364) VANDERBILT +24 over Lsu. 12:00pm ET.

                                (368) TEXAS A&M -4 over Auburn. 3:30pm ET.

                                (380) TCU -8 over Smu. 3:30pm ET.

                                (400) SAN DIEGO ST +4 over Utah St. 10:30pm ET.
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