Service Plays Saturday 9/21/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White


OVER 58 UCLA @ WASHINGTON ST. | 9/21 | 10:30 PM EDT


9:47 AM
UCLA has gone Under in all three of its games, scoring exactly 14 points in each. It is time for the Bruins offense to bust out against Washington State. UCLA will continue to play uptempo, and this could be the least talented defense the Bruins have played so far. Washington State is going to get its points as the Cougars have gone over 50 in two of their three games.

6-1 IN LAST 7 CFB PICKS | +489


NOTRE DAME +14.5


NOTRE DAME @ GEORGIA | 9/21 | 8:00 PM EDT
9:42 AM
Brian Kelly has done a great job at Notre Dame; the Irish are 24-4 the last two-plus years. Kelly is 12-10 ATS vs Top 25 teams the past four years, including 1-3 in 2016 when the team went 4-8 straight up. The Fighting Irish defense starts nine upperclassmen and will stack the box to slow down D'Andre Swift. Georgia is the real deal, but two touchdowns and the hook are to too much to pass up.

5-0 IN LAST 5 CFB ATS PICKS | +500
2-1 IN LAST 3 UGA ATS PICKS | +95


OLD DOMINION +27


OLD DOMINION @ VIRGINIA | 9/21 | 7:00 PM EDT
9:38 AM
This is the Super Bowl for Old Dominion -- well maybe two weeks ago at Virginia Tech might have been -- but this is the second Super Bowl. The Monarchs lost to Virginia Tech by 14 but covered the spread as a 29.5-point underdog. Every player on Old Dominion most likely wanted to play for Virginia when he was growing up but was snubbed by big brother. Virginia is coming off a nice win over Florida State and has Notre Dame on deck. Old Dominion has had two weeks to prepare and are well coach by 10 year vet Bobby Wilder.

5-0 IN LAST 5 CFB ATS PICKS | +500


OVER 61 SAN JOSE ST. @ ARKANSAS | 9/21 | 7:30 PM EDT


9:32 AM
Chad Morris came to Arkansas from SMU promising basketball on grass, meaning an uptempo frenetic pace. Well last week the offense got after it with 55 points, including 21 in the final quarter to pull away from Colorado State. The Hogs offense will bring that momentum into today's game versus a San Jose State team that has a well below average defense but a serviceable offense that also likes to play fast.

6-1 IN LAST 7 CFB PICKS | +489

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Bank

lock Baylor
Strong SMU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

4 Units - #967 - Chicago White Sox (-125) over Detroit *6:10
Detroit has lost their last 4 MLB Games being outscored 26-4. Chicago blew them out last night and while I do not expect another 10-1 loss today with Nova on the hill for the White Sox who has been struggling, Detroit is just hitting .194 as a team I do not think they can exploit it. White Sox hitting .319 as a team their last 5 and Alexander is hittable and I expect the Chicago pitching staff to have the better run support here at a cheap number.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Texas sportswire
5* Central Florida
4* Kentucky
3* Northwestern

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Burns

cfb goy

Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux college FB
10* Louisville +8.5
10* West Virginia/Kansas under 51
20* Michigan +3.5
10* Michigan/Wisconsin under 45.5
10* San Jose State/Arkansas over 57.5
10* Temple/Buffalo under 53
10* UL Monroe/Iowa State under 56.5
10* Appalachian State/North Carolina over 58
10* South Alabama +11
10* Baylor -26.5
10* Wyoming +4.5
10* Oklahoma State +7
10* Washington/BYU under 51.5
10* UCLA/Washington State over 58
10* New Mexico State/New Mexico over 69

[dawggy]

Dr. Chuck

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (979) Philadelphia Phillies at (980) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Sep 21 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 10.5 (-105)

View Analysis

Vargas v. Plesac

Indians are right at the top of the leaderboards in all metrics against LHP at home in September...and draw a walk rate equal to the K rate, which is excellent playing an NL team and having runners on base constantly. In addition the Indians need every win like blood and do not want to let any games slip to an NL team that has underachieved massively. Each team will be able to use a DH, which for the Phillies adds an extra non-pitcher bat to a total that isn't all that higher than normal...likely a Jay Bruce or similar who may be boom or bust but helps with an Over play with one swing.

Vargas coming from the left side should allow his share of runs and Zach Plesac has almost become president of my xFIP fade club plays haha. He still sports a middle-3 ERA and 5.10 xFIP, which over the last 3 starts has actually gone up toward 5.30...he walks too many batters and the Phillies should send their fair share of big lefty bats at the young kid due for a regression more than most any starter still going.

Among other factors, we shall finish with the home plate umpire being the Under fade machine. He has umpired 30 contests and only 7 of those 30 games have gone under the total. Neither of his interleague games went Under the total...and this is up from a very quick opening at 9.5.....at that 9.5 this would have been AT LEAST A 5% PLAY. So do what you will...but the double DH, the pitching matchup that is very hitter friendly and a wind that is blowing slightly out at about a 7mph clip.

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (953) New York Mets at (954) Cincinnati Reds
Date/Time: Sep 21 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Mets -126

View Analysis

Wheeler v. Desclafani

Game: (955) Washington Nationals at (956) Miami Marlins
Date/Time: Sep 21 2019 6:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (-170)

View Analysis

Strasburg v. Yamamoto

Yamamoto is coming of the IL to start today at home facing the Nats...clinging to life in the playoff hunt which currently sits them in a tiebreaker game to get to the one game wild card game. The latter is unavoidable as the Braves have clinched the division.

What more could you want than the Nats offense who has been solid and hitting RHP well, Strasburg on the mound to kick some ass, and an opposing starter who was extremely fade worthy prior to hitting the injured list.

The price is sadly huge and I am disappointed not to have done better with the price and the fact it is a Run line at that...but there is a reason...Vegas is lazy but sometimes they are right...and tonight the price is right!

Game: (979) Philadelphia Phillies at (980) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Sep 21 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 10.5 (-105)

View Analysis

Vargas v. Plesac

Indians are right at the top of the leaderboards in all metrics against LHP at home in September...and draw a walk rate equal to the K rate, which is excellent playing an NL team and having runners on base constantly. In addition the Indians need every win like blood and do not want to let any games slip to an NL team that has underachieved massively. Each team will be able to use a DH, which for the Phillies adds an extra non-pitcher bat to a total that isn't all that higher than normal...likely a Jay Bruce or similar who may be boom or bust but helps with an Over play with one swing.

Vargas coming from the left side should allow his share of runs and Zach Plesac has almost become president of my xFIP fade club plays haha. He still sports a middle-3 ERA and 5.10 xFIP, which over the last 3 starts has actually gone up toward 5.30...he walks too many batters and the Phillies should send their fair share of big lefty bats at the young kid due for a regression more than most any starter still going.

Among other factors, we shall finish with the home plate umpire being the Under fade machine. He has umpired 30 contests and only 7 of those 30 games have gone under the total. Neither of his interleague games went Under the total...and this is up from a very quick opening at 9.5.....at that 9.5 this would have been AT LEAST A 5% PLAY. So do what you will...but the double DH, the pitching matchup that is very hitter friendly and a wind that is blowing slightly out at about a 7mph clip.

[wardywins]

Thanks, good fade!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miller locks

12:00 pm est ncaaf
michigan state vs. Northwestern

pick: Northwestern +8 (-103)

risk: 11 units

12:00 pm est ncaaf
western michigan vs. Syracuse

pick: Syracuse -4.5 (-114)

risk: 11 units

12:00 pm est ncaaf
boston college vs. Rutgers

pick: Boston college -7.5 (-112)

risk: 11 units

3:30 pm est ncaaf
central florida vs. Pittsburgh u

pick: Central florida -10.5 (-101)

risk: 11 units

3:30 pm est ncaaf
washington u vs. Byu

pick: Washington u -6.5 (-113)

risk: 11 units

[crimsontide]

Anyone seen Root ? Or Leiner ?

vegas winner from twitter :

michigan
kansas
Louisville
New Mexico under 71

[Klondike]

Gameday 4* ?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass final update : 300 Missouri , 400 Texas a & m, 400 Baylor , 600 Texas , 500 smu , 800 West Virginia , 600 Winnipeg (cfl) , no limit Tulsa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Pipeline

100 NOTRE DAME + 14.5

[WeWantMoehr]

Chris Jordan -

My 400♦ Winner is on the OVER in the SEC clash between the South Carolina Gamecocks and Missouri Tigers. At 5:30 am pacific, the line is 61.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pay Day Sports

10 Game of the Year Total Play · Under [361] Kentucky Wildcats vs. [362] Mississippi State Bulldogs