Monday 10-7-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 07:44 AM

MLB

Monday, October 7

Trend Report

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Houston
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 15 games when playing Houston
Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Astros
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 13 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Houston is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Tampa Bay
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 15 games when playing Tampa Bay
Houston is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 15 of St. Louis's last 22 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
St. Louis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
St. Louis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Atlanta's last 22 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis

Washington Nationals
Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Washington is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
Washington is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing LA Dodgers
Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
LA Dodgers is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Washington
LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington

Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Minnesota is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
NY Yankees is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 07:45 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, October 7

Houston @ Tampa Bay

Game 905-906
October 7, 2019 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Greinke) 18.142
Tampa Bay
(Morton) 15.315
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-145
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-145); Under

Atlanta @ St. Louis

Game 901-902
October 7, 2019 @ 3:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(TBD) 16.213
St. Louis
(Hudson) 15.297
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
N/A

LA Dodgers @ Washington

Game 903-904
October 7, 2019 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Hill) 18.122
Washington
(Scherzer) 16.582
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(+115); Over

NY Yankees @ Minnesota

Game 907-908
October 7, 2019 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Severino) 17.226
Minnesota
(Odorizzii) 13.937
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-145
9
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-145); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 07:45 AM

83ST LOUIS -84 TORONTO
ST LOUIS are 21-10 ATS (17.5 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

85BUFFALO -86 COLUMBUS
BUFFALO is 5-17 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 07:46 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (1-0-0-1, 3 pts.) at TORONTO (2-0-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/7/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-0 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 4-0-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at COLUMBUS (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/7/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 4-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 4-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 07:47 AM

NHL

Monday, October 7

Trend Report

Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Columbus is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 8 games
Columbus is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Columbus is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games at home
Columbus is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Columbus is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Columbus is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Columbus's last 11 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Columbus
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Buffalo's last 11 games when playing on the road against Columbus

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Toronto is 2-12-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against St. Louis
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Toronto
St. Louis is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Toronto

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 07:48 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs

Presque Isle Downs - Race 7	$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double
Claiming $8,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 7:55P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 7 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. STORM TALES is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * BETWEENHEREANDCOOL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 da ys. BLUE SKY'S ABOVE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. FOX ROX: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. REEDER: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TARTAN THE BULL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	BETWEENHEREANDCOOL	5/2	5/1
3	BLUE SKY'S ABOVE	3/1	6/1
2	FOX ROX	6/1	7/1
1	REEDER	8/1	9/1
8	TARTAN THE BULL	4/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	BLUE SKY'S ABOVE	3	3/1	Front-runner	93	93	94.0	86.0	80.0
5	BETWEENHEREANDCOOL	5	5/2	Front-runner	93	92	80.4	89.8	85.3
4	SAVE THE DRAMA	4	6/1	Front-runner	89	89	65.8	84.8	71.8
8	TARTAN THE BULL	8	4/1	Stalker	87	89	78.4	84.4	74.4
7	THE LONE ROO	7	15/1	Stalker	93	83	71.8	85.4	76.9
1	REEDER	1	8/1	Stalker	92	89	69.0	81.8	72.8
2	FOX ROX	2	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	96	88	58.0	85.8	77.3
6	STORM TALES	6	20/1	Trailer	78	81	33.0	77.8	59.8
9	RAPA ITI	9	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	91	83	62.0	72.4	61.9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 07:49 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ajax Downs

Ajax Downs - Race 9	Daily Double / Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta
Allowance • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 66 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 4:31P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS OPEN. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * PRETTY RUNAWAY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. FIREBALL XL5: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MAGIC DOWN THERE: Hors e has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
2	PRETTY RUNAWAY	3/1	3/1
3	FIREBALL XL5	5/1	6/1
5	MAGIC DOWN THERE	9/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	REACH FOR IT	1	15/1	Slow	0	0	9.2	0.0	0.0
2	PRETTY RUNAWAY	2	3/1	Fast	67	64	3.0	0.0	0.0
3	FIREBALL XL5	3	5/1	Slow	67	56	6.2	0.0	0.0
4	SPITFIRE STOLI	4	4/1	Average	56	56	5.8	0.0	0.0
5	MAGIC DOWN THERE	5	9/2	Average	55	55	5.2	0.0	0.0
6	HEY THERE GIORGI BOY	6	10/1	Average	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7	WAVIN BAC ATYA	7	7/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	56	55	8.2	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 07:50 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 73

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 BEST SURPRISE 5/1
# 3 FLAT BILL 2/1
# 5 FRITTER 5/1

BEST SURPRISE has a strong shot to take this race. He has to be carefully examined given the strong speed numbers. Should go to the front end and should never look back. The Equibase Speed Figure of 66 from his latest affair looks very strong in here. FLAT BILL - Investors using horses with this jock and trainer combo have done strongly lately. Ought to be given a shot based on the strong speed rating earned in the last competition. FRITTER - Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. Over time, this conditioner has a strong ROI at this distance/surface.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 07:51 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 2:16pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,500 Class Rating: 76

Rating:

#6 PURE STYLE (ML=12/1)
#4 TU EXAGERES (ML=8/1)
#7 RIDE ON FAITH (ML=5/1)
#5 BROTHER TEZ (ML=7/2)
#9 MANTLE (ML=2/1)

PURE STYLE - Lopez rode this horse for the first time last out and comes right back this time. A repeat of that last race on Sep 25th where he registered a fig of 82 looks strong enough to score in this clash. TU EXAGERES - I do like the fact this gelding is back in a race so quickly. Dropping 7 lbs from last race. Could be a deciding factor today. RIDE ON FAITH - Has found a great spot in today's event. BROTHER TEZ - Rode this horse on September 9th and Arroyo is right back in the irons today. Took a big class drop last out, and I think he may have needed it. Catalano enters him at a similar level today. I'd expect an improved performance. MANTLE - He has the top earnings per race entered. Check out this horse.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BILL'S MAFIA (ML=6/1),

BILL'S MAFIA - Generally I need a sprinter to have some success lately in sprint events in order to bet on him.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#6 PURE STYLE is going to be the play if we are getting 5/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[4,6] with [4,6,7] with [4,5,6,7,9] with [4,5,6,7,9] Total Cost: $24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 07:51 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10700 Class Rating: 85

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 7. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 7 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 GOT GRIT 7/2
# 1 STRATEGIC EKATI 6/1
# 7 D'MONEY HONEY 5/2

GOT GRIT should be supported as the bet in here. The quick return to the races points to a reliable effort this time out. This one has been constatntly racing well lately. Is a contender - given the 77 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. STRATEGIC EKATI - Has put up solid Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Recorded a formidable speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest. D'MONEY HONEY - Meeting a much less demanding field of horses than last time out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 07:51 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #6 - Post: 8:50pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,900 Class Rating: 55

Rating:

#3 AZIFORCAST (ML=5/2)

AZIFORCAST - Taking a trip down the ladder based on class rating points; has the class ability to make her presence felt. The 58 most recent race rating looks strong in black and white. Look at this pattern of improvement. 42/50/58 are the last three Equibase speed figures.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 FAST PAY (ML=8/5), #1 TRULY BRILLIANT (ML=2/1),

FAST PAY - When scrutinizing today's Equibase class figure, she will have to earn a better speed rating than last out to vie in this dirt sprint. This mare will probably bounce, and not come close to the last speed fig of 45. TRULY BRILLIANT - This mare hasn't had any positive outcomes in sprint contests in the last 60 days.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 AZIFORCAST is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 08:02 AM

Chase Diamond

Chase’s 8* NHL Diamond Dog

St. Louis vs. Toronto, 10/07/2019 19:00 EDT

Money Line: +115 St. Louis

Sportsbook:
Bookmaker

This game features the 1-0-1 Blues at the 2-0-1 Leafs. Blues were the best bet in the NHL last season and we will be betting them from time to time this year as well love them to get a needed win tonight in Toronto. Leafs do not impress me and should not be favored here. 8* Winner on the Blues.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 08:08 AM

Jimmy Boyd

Oct 07 '19, 7:05 PM in 10h
NHL | Blues vs Maple Leafs
Play on: Maple Leafs -121 at betonline

1* Free Pick on Maple Leafs -121

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 03:22 PM

Mike Wynn

Free Play: NY Yankees/Minnesota Over 9 Runs

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2019, 03:22 PM

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Monday, October 7, 2019

10/07 03:40 PM PT / 6:40 PM ET

MLB (903) LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS (904) WASHINGTON NATIONALS

Take: (903) LOS ANGELES DODGERS

Reason: Your free play for Monday, October 4, 2018 is in the MLB scheduled contest between the LA Dodgers and the Washington Nationals. Your free play is on the DODGERS.

Monday 10-7-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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