Service Plays Saturday 10/5/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369682

    #61
    Balfe

    NCAA Football
    12:30 PM EST
    Rotation #313-314
    Louisville -4 over Boston College
    Boston College has serious question marks all over their defense. Anthony Brown is missing wide open receivers. Louisville has the talent, speed and athletes to limit AJ Dillon. Bad defenses don’t travel well and that is exactly the scenario we have here. Anthony Brown is just not a guy I trust right now to win a game with his arm on the road. Louisville has team speed on both sides of the ball that will be too much for the Eagles today. Take Boston College.

    NCAA Football
    3:30 PM EST
    Rotation #317-318
    West Virginia +10.5 over Texas
    West Virginia has a lot of really good running backs. Texas is thin on defense this year and the secondary is a mess with injuries. If the Mountaineers can run the ball well they will put up points and keep that high powered Texas offense off the field. The Stills brothers are great assets on the WVU Defensive Line and have the talent to rattle Sam Ehlinger who himself is dealing with a rib injury. This is a large spread to cover on the road without a rock solid defense. I think the Mountaineers can keep it close. Take WVU.

    NCAA Football
    8:00 PM EST
    Rotation #325-326
    Duke -4 over Pitt
    Quentin Harris has looked sharp at QB for Duke this year. David Cutliffe is an offensive minded coach that can do things to make defenses look silly. The Blue Devils have a ton of talent and experience on their defense. This really is a complete team that is playing well. Pitt has also been impressive. The Panthers QB Kenny Pickett is dealing with a shoulder injury so we will see if Duke can take advantage and knock him around early. The Pitt Offensive Line is inexperienced so on the road are vulnerable. The Pitt Defensive Line also has a few injuries too it and lacks experience. Pitt is a team that can be awful or great. They can take PSU to the wire and then almost lose to Delaware. I think the Blue Devils are in a much better spot at this point in the season. Take Duke.

    NCAA Football
    12:00 PM EST
    Rotation #331-332
    Texas Tech +10 over Oklahoma State
    Tech QB Alan Bowman is out for this game so the line has been pumped up in Oklahoma State’s favor. Jeff Duffey is a very capable backup and we have to remember that the Oklahoma State QB Spencer Sanders is still a freshman himself. Tech is 2-2 in the standings and are feeling desperate. This Red Raiders team has an experienced offensive line, good receivers and an experienced defense. Home field advantage is huge in College Football and I believe this team can take Oklahoma State to the wire. The Cowboys are more of a ball control offense and are not looking to score in 90 seconds like in years past. The Red Raiders need to lean on their offensive line and simply run the football. Take Texas Tech.

    NCAA Football
    3:30 PM EST
    Rotation #337-338
    Virginia Tech +14 over Miami
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369682

      #62
      Insider Sports

      5* U.A.B. -9.5 over Rice
      3* Army +2.5 over Tulane
      3* Iowa St. -3 over T.C.U.
      3* Northern Illinois -4.5 over Ball St
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      • J Pendleton
        Junior Member
        • Feb 2019
        • 89

        #63
        King Creole has 3 totals today .. 3-0 Last week

        One of them is Minnesota / Illinois OVER

        does anyone have the others ?

        TIA

        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369682

          #64
          ATS Lock club :

          BC + 5
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369682

            #65
            Stephen Oh

            SAN DIEGO ST. -7.5


            SAN DIEGO ST. @ COLORADO ST. | 10/05 | 10:00 PM EDT
            YESTERDAY 9:55 PM
            No other college football point spread on Saturday offers as much value as this one, according to my model, which says San Diego State covers 70 percent of the time. So you're getting terrific value with the Aztecs here. San Diego State has one of the country's best defenses, giving up just 11.8 points a game (eighth best in the country). Meanwhile Colorado State has one of the nation's worst, allowing 39.0 points a game (123rd in the nation). Lay the points with San Diego State.

            13-4 IN LAST 17 CFB ATS PICKS | +858
            3-2 IN LAST 5 SDGST ATS PICKS | +90

            3-2 IN LAST 5 COLOST ATS PICKS | +80


            BOSTON COLLEGE +5


            BOSTON COLLEGE @ LOUISVILLE | 10/05 | 12:30 PM EDT
            YESTERDAY 9:09 PM
            Behind running back AJ Dillon (125.4 rushing yards per game), Boston College has one of the top rushing offenses in the country, averaging 252.0 yards per game (13th in the nation). The Eagles almost knocked off an excellent Wake Forest squad last week. Meanwhile Louisville's quarterback situation remains a work in progress. My model says Boston College covers almost 70 percent of the time, so you're getting excellent value with the Eagles.

            13-4 IN LAST 17 CFB ATS PICKS | +858
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369682

              #66
              NFAC CFB

              385) OVER 48 AUB-FLA…($500) via BetOnline & Carib

              342) NEW MEXICO ST +4…($600) via 5dimes

              367) W MICHIGAN +1.5…($900) – BIG MOVE via Bookmaker

              356) MICHIGAN -3.5 (-115)…($600) via Pinnacle & BetOnline

              359) RICE +9.5…($600) via Pinnacle

              375) OVER 63.5 VANDI-MISS…($600) via Pinnacle & BetBuckeye

              346) UNDER 50 SDST-CSU…($600) via Pinnacle
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              • philinnyc
                Member
                • Jan 2018
                • 45

                #67
                Originally posted by Can'tPickAWinner
                Alan Eastman

                6 Arkansas State -7
                For what it's worth, Big Al Mcmordie has a 4 star on Arkansas State's opponent, Georgia State.

                Comment

                • tider10
                  Junior Member
                  • Aug 2017
                  • 23

                  #68
                  Originally posted by J Pendleton
                  King Creole has 3 totals today .. 3-0 Last week

                  One of them is Minnesota / Illinois OVER

                  does anyone have the others ?

                  TIA
                  No he doesn't..

                  Comment

                  • J Pendleton
                    Junior Member
                    • Feb 2019
                    • 89

                    #69
                    Originally posted by tider10
                    No he doesn't..
                    ok .. thanks .. he said he had 3 in his podcast ... maybe he changed his mind .

                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369682

                      #70
                      Zack Cimini
                      CONTRARIAN WITH CHUTZPAH
                      10:17 AM
                      ARMY +2.5
                      TULANE @ ARMY | 10/05 | 12:00 PM EDT
                      One of the key early morning games will come between Army and Tulane. Both teams are well rested with Tulane coming off the memorable thrilling cover against Houston. Its offense will test an Army squad that may still be without quarterback Kelvin Hopkins Jr. Expect a back-and-forth affair with Army getting the key stops late to get this cover.

                      12-4-1 IN LAST 17 CFB ATS PICKS | +760
                      6-2 IN LAST 8 TULANE ATS PICKS | +374

                      3-1 IN LAST 4 ARMY ATS PICKS | +189
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369682

                        #71
                        Mike McClure
                        MONEY
                        10:08 AM
                        MICHIGAN -4
                        IOWA @ MICHIGAN | 10/05 | 12:00 PM EDT
                        The road loss to Wisconsin and narrow victory over Army has created a little value on the Wolverines. Iowa has a solid rating, but they struggled with the only quality opponent in Iowa State. Home field advantage is worth 3.4 points at The Big House. My simulations make Michigan -5.5 in this spot. Lay it.

                        2-1 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +91

                        Zack Cimini
                        CONTRARIAN WITH CHUTZPAH
                        9:55 AM
                        MICHIGAN -4
                        IOWA @ MICHIGAN | 10/05 | 12:00 PM EDT
                        Look for Michigan to build upon last week and showcase elevated play against a solid Iowa team. Grab the Wolverines as they pull away in the second half.

                        12-4-1 IN LAST 17 CFB ATS PICKS | +760
                        3-1 IN LAST 4 MICH ATS PICKS | +199


                        Michael Rusk
                        THE PRODIGY
                        9:02 AM
                        UNDER 47.5
                        IOWA @ MICHIGAN | 10/05 | 12:00 PM EDT
                        For a college game this total may seem low, but for these teams it is way too high. Both styles of play are extremely slow and have phenomenal defenses to back it up. Iowa enters this contest with the sixth best defense in college football, while entering The Big House where Harbaugh has held the reputation of a top-tier defense since his start in 2015. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a tight, low-scoring game similar to their last contest which ended as a 14-13 Iowa victory.

                        13-3 IN LAST 16 CFB PICKS | +966

                        Josh Nagel
                        SENIOR ANALYST
                        YESTERDAY 3:02 PM
                        MICHIGAN -4
                        IOWA @ MICHIGAN | 10/05 | 12:00 PM EDT
                        It appears very few people, oddsmakers included, want to forgive the Wolverines for that football-size turd they left on the turf in Wisconsin a couple weeks ago. There has been a ton of sentiment for the rock-solid Hawkeyes in this game, and they could very well win or cover. But this is about the cheapest home price you'll see on a good team that should use that loss to Badgers as motivation the rest of the way. Look for the still widely available line of -3.5 if possible.

                        11-6-2 IN LAST 19 CFB PICKS | +434
                        8-4 IN LAST 12 MICH ATS PICKS | +353

                        6-3 IN LAST 9 IOWA ATS PICKS | +269


                        Barton Simmons
                        CHIEF OF PERSONNEL
                        THU 10/3
                        UNDER 47.5
                        IOWA @ MICHIGAN | 10/05 | 12:00 PM EDT
                        Iowa has the ultimate bend-but-don’t-break defense (5th in the nation in plays allowed of 20-plus yards) and Michigan has an offense that has had a hard time finding its explosive element (61st in the county in offensive plays of 20-plus yards). On the other side of the ball, Iowa is very content plodding down the field with one of the best offensive lines in the nation. I expect Iowa to pull Michigan into its kind of game (slow) and see who can win in the fourth quarter.

                        12-8 IN LAST 20 CFB PICKS | +315

                        Mike Tierney
                        TOP DOG
                        THU 10/3
                        IOWA +3.5
                        IOWA @ MICHIGAN | 10/05 | 12:00 PM EDT
                        The hook makes all the difference in a pairing of evenly matched teams. Oh, and there is Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh’s 1-7 against-the-spread record lately against foes with winning records. Wisconsin dominated the Wolverines with a ball-control offense that sports the nation’s second-best time of possession. Right behind the Badgers in that category is ... Iowa. This is a series geared toward the underdogs, who have covered in 11 of the last 14 meetings. Take the points and Iowa.

                        11-6-2 IN LAST 19 CFB PICKS | +439
                        8-0 IN LAST 8 MICH ATS PICKS | +800


                        Bill Marzano
                        VETERAN HANDICAPPER
                        WED 10/2
                        IOWA +3.5
                        IOWA @ MICHIGAN | 10/05 | 12:00 PM EDT
                        This is a huge game for both teams, and one that very likely will be decided by a field goal either way. Iowa quarterback Nate Stanley has eight TD passes and no interceptions this season. The Hawkeyes also have the better overall defense. Take the points.

                        3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB PICKS | +190

                        Barrett Sallee
                        CFB GURU
                        WED 10/2
                        IOWA +149
                        IOWA @ MICHIGAN | 10/05 | 12:00 PM EDT
                        The Wolverines loss to Wisconsin wasn't an aberration, it was an indictment. The offense is a disaster and the lack of speed on the defensive side of the ball is stunning. Iowa quarterback Nate Stanley has gone north of 200 yards in all four games and has yet to throw a pick. Nothing will change against a fragile Wolverines squad.

                        13-8-2 IN LAST 23 CFB PICKS | +413
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369682

                          #72
                          Miller locks

                          12:00 pm est ncaaf
                          tulane vs. Army

                          pick: Army +2.5 (-105)

                          risk: 11 units

                          12:00 pm est ncaaf
                          iowa vs. Michigan

                          pick: Under 48 (+101)

                          risk: 11 units

                          12:00 pm est ncaaf
                          oklahoma state vs. Texas tech

                          pick: Over 62.5 (-107)

                          risk: 11 units

                          12:00 pm est ncaaf
                          utah state vs. Lsu

                          pick: Over 72.5 (-114)

                          risk: 11 units

                          3:30 pm est ncaaf
                          auburn vs. Florida

                          pick: Florida +2.5 (-103)

                          risk: 11 units

                          5:07 pm est mlb
                          minnesota twins vs. New york yankees

                          pick: New york yankees (-177)

                          risk: 11 units

                          7:30 pm est ncaaf
                          michigan state vs. Ohio state

                          pick: Ohio state -20.5 (-103)

                          risk: 11 units

                          7:30 pm est ncaaf
                          tulsa vs. Smu

                          pick: Smu -12 (-108)

                          risk: 11 units
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369682

                            #73
                            INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

                            5* UAB

                            3* Army

                            3* Iowa State

                            3* No Illinois
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369682

                              #74
                              ELITE SPORTS PICKS

                              Liberty
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369682

                                #75
                                NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

                                4* Utah St

                                3* Iowa

                                3* Boston College
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