Sunday 10-20-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Grants Pass

Grants Pass - Race 4	$2 WPS / $1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta $1 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Stakes • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 69 • Purse: $12,500 • Post: 1:15P
HIS S. - FOR OREGON BRED THREE YEAR OLDS. NO NOMINATION. $100 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. PREFERENCE BY LIFETIME EARNINGS. WEIGHT: 124 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * AZEE RULES: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. BULLIONAIRE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in averag e Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PREACHINATDINNER: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. THE DESPISED: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
4	AZEE RULES	7/5	3/1
5	BULLIONAIRE	9/2	8/1
1	PREACHINATDINNER	5/2	8/1
3	THE DESPISED	7/2	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	BULLIONAIRE	5	9/2	Front-runner	54	54	86.5	43.6	36.6
4	AZEE RULES	4	7/5	Front-runner	86	55	81.0	57.6	55.6
3	THE DESPISED	3	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	52	50	65.0	49.8	42.3
1	PREACHINATDINNER	1	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	64	58	0.0	47.4	43.4
2	HELLAGOOD	2	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	50	42	0.0	44.4	35.4

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings

Hastings - Race 5	Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 3:42P
AUTUMN LEAVES S. - FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STAKE RACE SINCE APRIL 19, 2019. PURSE.$30,000 GUARANTEED, OF WHICH 55% GOES TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH AND 4% TO FIFTH, AND 2% SIXTH THROUGH EIGHTH. THREE YEAR OLDS: 118 LBS. OLDER: 123LBS. PREFERENCE WILL BE BASED ON TOTAL EARNINGS IN 2018-2019 AS RECORDED BY EQUIBASE AT TIME OF ENTRY. FIELD LIMITED TO 12 STARTERS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. NICE BROWN GIRL is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * NICE BROWN GIRL: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race withi n the last 30 days. ANSTRUM: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. NORTHERN GRAYSTAR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ran ks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5	NICE BROWN GIRL	3/1	3/1
3	ANSTRUM	6/1	7/1
6	NORTHERN GRAYSTAR	9/5	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	NICE BROWN GIRL	5	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	82	83	82.5	84.4	76.9
6	NORTHERN GRAYSTAR	6	9/5	Stalker	87	74	102.0	73.3	67.3
4	YES PLEASE	4	12/1	Stalker	75	81	71.1	72.4	64.4
3	ANSTRUM	3	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	87	84	51.0	76.4	69.9
1	SNAPPY GINGER	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	68	78.8	61.5	49.0
2	SUDDENLY AWESOME	2	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	73	73.1	57.8	49.8
7	WARRIOR'S PROMISE	7	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	76	73.0	71.1	64.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Zia Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 41

Rating:

#11 DIAMOND Z ROSEBUD (ML=3/1)


DIAMOND Z ROSEBUD - Enriquez comes to ride after getting to know the filly in the last event. The October 1st clash at Zia Park was at a class level of (47). Dropping down in class ranks a significant amount, so she should be in a good spot. A pony coming back this promptly after a solid outing is a good sign.

Vulnerable Contenders: #12 TERAS SILENCE (ML=5/2), #5 VANESSA DREAM (ML=3/1), #10 WONTONTOMATO (ML=7/2),

TERAS SILENCE - Tough to put any money on this filly on the top end. Likes to finish in the money though. In the last race this questionable contender finished seventh. Doesn't look good for her chances today. When looking at today's class figure, she will have to notch a better speed figure than last race out to compete in this dirt sprint. VANESSA DREAM - Difficult to play this mount today. Make her show you something in a short distance race before you bet on her in a race of 5 furlongs. Didn't hit the board on Apr 20th at Turf Paradise. Followed it up with another lackluster effort. WONTONTOMATO - This pony will in all probability be at the back of the pack as this field crosses the finish line.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #11 DIAMOND Z ROSEBUD to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	11 with [4,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park West

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 FRANKIE APPS 2/1
# 5 MONEY COME 9/2
# 7 BROADCAST TIME 15/1

FRANKIE APPS supports the bet in here. Could beat this field given the 81 speed figure posted in his last outing. The average Equibase class rating alone makes this one a contender. With a formidable 74 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's competition. MONEY COME - Might best this field here, showing very good figures of late. Will almost certainly go to the lead and could never look back. BROADCAST TIME - Could beat this group of animals given the 76 speed figure put up in his last outing. Is tough not to look at based on speed figures which have been very good - 67 avg - of late.

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

10/20/19, SA, Race 8, 4.19 PT
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $50,000.
FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
$1 Exacta /$0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) - $0.50 Jackpot Super High 5
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	7	I Will Not	5-1	Gutierrez M	O'Neill Doug F.	TS
099.7799	3	Fly the Sky	5/2	Diaz. Jr. J	Miyadi Steven	EL
098.6063	1	Rocks and Salt	8-1	Prat F	Gaines Carla	J
098.5353	4	Canyon Crest	5-1	Espinoza V	McCarthy Michael W.
097.9192	2	Cleveland Cat	10-1	Talamo J	Chew Matthew	F
097.6822	8	Tropical Terror	12-1	Cedillo A	Cassidy James M.	W
097.3826	6	One Fast Bro	4-1	Fuentes R	Ruis Shelbe
096.5994	9	Blues Rapper(b+)	6-1	Franco G	Gaines Carla
096.4632	5	If Id Told You	12-1	Baze T	Mandella Gary

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.

7	18.00	1.15	27.12	16	59	[Turf MdnMClm] Race Age Not 3Up
3	18.00	1.15	27.12	16	59	[Turf MdnMClm] Race Age Not 3Up
1	23.80	2.98	66.67	4	6	[Turf MdnMClm] *Actual Post 1
4	18.00	1.15	27.12	16	59	[Turf MdnMClm] Race Age Not 3Up
2	44.00	1.13	32.35	55	170	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today
8	18.00	1.15	27.12	16	59	[Turf MdnMClm] Race Age Not 3Up
6	18.00	1.15	27.12	16	59	[Turf MdnMClm] Race Age Not 3Up
9	18.00	1.15	27.12	16	59	[Turf MdnMClm] Race Age Not 3Up
5	44.00	1.13	32.35	55	170	[All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today

* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	3	Fly the Sky	5/2	Diaz. Jr. J	Miyadi Steven	FEL
098.2690	7	I Will Not	5-1	Gutierrez M	O'Neill Doug F.	TS
097.6361	1	Rocks and Salt	8-1	Prat F	Gaines Carla	JW
097.1533	4	Canyon Crest	5-1	Espinoza V	McCarthy Michael W.
096.8706	6	One Fast Bro	4-1	Fuentes R	Ruis Shelbe
096.0628	5	If Id Told You	12-1	Baze T	Mandella Gary
095.8285	8	Tropical Terror	12-1	Cedillo A	Cassidy James M.
095.6584	2	Cleveland Cat	10-1	Talamo J	Chew Matthew
095.4828	9	Blues Rapper(b+)	6-1	Franco G	Gaines Carla

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.

3	73.20	1.19	32.64	63	193	[All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
7	73.20	1.19	32.64	63	193	[All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
1	11.00	1.17	57.58	19	33	[Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
4	73.20	1.19	32.64	63	193	[All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
6	73.20	1.19	32.64	63	193	[All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
5	73.20	1.19	32.64	63	193	[All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
8	73.20	1.19	32.64	63	193	[All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
2	73.20	1.19	32.64	63	193	[All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
9	73.20	1.19	32.64	63	193	[All Surfaces] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m

* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $20800 Class Rating: 70

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 MONEY MATTERS 7/2
# 7 ODDS GET EVEN 5/2
# 8 FRAT PARTY 20/1

I lean toward MONEY MATTERS here. Should be given a chance here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. Ran a solid last race. The average Equibase class rating of 62 makes this horse hard to beat. ODDS GET EVEN - Will probably compete solidly in the pace contest which bodes well with this group. Had one of the most favorable speed figures of this field in his last contest.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belmont Park - Race #3 - Post: 1:51pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#4 LITTLE NANNY (ML=9/5)


LITTLE NANNY - Martin drops her down to this class level. You don't need too much more from the horse's history to think this one is in a good spot at this level.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 STELLA B. (ML=8/5), #3 MISS LOYALTY (ML=5/2), #1 ZECHA (ML=6/1),

STELLA B. - Can't really back the public's top choice when she has multiple failures as the public's choice. This filly hasn't had any strong efforts in sprint contests in the last 60 days. Improbable that the speed figure she garnered on Jul 26th will be enough in this clash. MISS LOYALTY - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance races recently. Doubtful to see her doing it in today's event either. This entrant just hasn't looked fit of late. ZECHA - No success for this questionable contender in a sprint race over the last couple of months tells me that this filly is in a very difficult spot This animal hasn't been in the money in either of her last two races.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #4 LITTLE NANNY on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park

10/20/19, MTH, Race 4, 2.37 ET
1M 70Y [Dirt] 1.38.04 CLAIMING. Purse $26,500.
Claiming Price $6,000, For Each $500 To $5,000 1 lb. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD NEW YORK, NEW JERSEY OR PENNSYLVANIA BREDS
Win, Place and Show - Exacta, 50-Cent Trifecta and 10-Cent Superfecta - Daily Double (Races 4-5)/50-Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) - 20-Cent Jersey Shore 6 (Races 4-5-6-7-8-9)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	2	Fratello Del Nord	7/2	Diaz. Jr. H R	Dunham Bernard G.	SFL
097.0543	1	Banker's Island	10-1	Juarez N	Crowell Susan L.	WC
096.8224	8	Best Choice	7/2	Lopez P	Farro Patricia	J
095.9857	4	Very Charming	6-1	Gonzalez J L	Nunn Douglas
094.7360	6	Fiery Opal	4-1	Severino V	Grullon Riquelvis	E
093.8029	7	Fake Frontier	12-1	Torres J	Huston Rory K.
093.3849	3	Spin Cycle	3-1	Suarez A	Sweezey J. Kent	T
091.8650	9	Gone Astray Kiss	15-1	Hernandez C J	Foglia Anthony
090.4780	5	Z J Wins	20-1	Castillo I	Mazza Joseph W.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to MTH.

2	33.10	1.09	46.93	84	179	[All Surfaces] Best Finish
1	5.90	1.06	44.23	23	52	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
4	5.90	1.06	44.23	23	52	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
3	73.00	2.74	23.81	5	21	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race
5	5.90	1.06	44.23	23	52	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5

* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.