Service Plays Saturday 10/19/19

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  • dawggy
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2017
    • 1770

    #16
    DREW MARTIN


    Game:(395) TULANE at (396) MEMPHIS
    Date/Time: Oct 19 2019 7:00 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 5%
    Play: TULANE 4.5 (-109)

    View Analysis

    4% at 3.5

    3% at 3

    2% at 2.5

    Comment

    • dawggy
      Senior Member
      • Dec 2017
      • 1770

      #17
      NICK BORRMAN


      Game:Bologna at Juventus
      Date/Time: Oct 19 2019 2:45 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Heritage
      Play Rating: 5%
      Play: Juventus -1.25 (-120)

      Italy Serie A
      (201293) Bologna at (201294) Juventus
      Juve is back where they belong atop the table in Serie A after defeating Inter Milan 2-1 in their last match. The 8-time defending Italian champions didn't look the best to start the year, yet they still were getting results. They are 6-1-0 (W-D-L) in league play with a 13:6 goal differential and were actually conceding more than they historically do until they last couple of matches they seem to have tightened up their back line. They beat Spal 2-0 at home and followed that up with an impressive 3-0 win over Leverkusen from Germany in the Champions League before beating the aforementioned Inter Milan on the road. On the year they are unbeaten in nine matches including the Champions League with seven wins and two draws.
      Bologna finished 10th in the table last season with an 11-11-16 record and a -8 goal differential and so far this year, look to be pretty much the same team, currently sitting 11th with a 2-3-2 record and an even goal differential. Historically they have struggled against Juve, as most Italian teams have, losing seven straight matches and have failed to cover this spread in four of the last five against Juve. At home, Juve has won and covered four straight against Bologna including last year, winning 2-0 with what should be almost the same lineup, minus Chiellini on defense who is out injured (although he actually sat out this match last year). They held a 75% to 25% possession advantage and outshot Bologna 15 to 5 with 9 on goal compared to just 2 for the visitors.
      De Ligt, Juve's $80M transfer this offseason from Ajax, has started to anchor down that backline after a learning curve to start the season, getting used to Serie A. The 1-2 punch of Ronaldo and Dybala up front has really started to look strong as well as the two feed off each other and teams cannot simply zero in on Ronaldo as Dybala is a lethal scorer as well. All in all, the talent level of Juve is head and shoulders above Bologna and I believe this line should be closer to -1.75 or -2 so I see tremendous value here.
      TAKE JUVENTUS -1.25 (split line of -1 and -1.5)
      Line Parameter: 5% to -1.5 but prefer -1.25 to protect half our bet against a one goal win and you can pay up to -130 to get the -1.25 number. Grab this number now as this line should move to -1.5 or worse by kickoff.


      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #18
        Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 19 2019 4:00PM
        390 Oklahoma St. -3.5(-108) Pinnacle vs 389 Baylor triple-dime bet

        Analysis: We love Oklahoma State here. Oklahoma St is fresh off a bye after a misleading loss to Texas Tech in their last game. How was it misleading? Oklahoma St was -5 in TO’s! Oklahoma St QB Spencer Sanders after the game: “I mean, I had 5 turnovers, not the offensive line, not the receivers, not the defense. I did. Spencer Sanders had 5 turnovers. I can’t do that. I’ve got to do better.” Meanwhile Baylor is off a dramatic 2OT win over Texas Tech last week. The Bears are unbeaten but have two “coin flip” wins. Baylor is dealing with a key injury that won’t be factored into the market place. They lost their best defensive player Clay Johnston (58 tackles, 2nd leading tackler only has 30!). Stats wise, Baylor is the better team but they’ve played the much weaker schedule.



        Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 19 2019 3:30PM
        384 Louisiana Tech 1.0(-110) Westgate vs 383 Southern Miss. double-dime bet

        Analysis: Louisiana Tech should be plenty rested off a bye and a blowout win over UMass last week. This line says Southern Miss is clearly the superior team. We don’t agree. Louisiana Tech is +65.6 ypg (So Miss +56.3), LT is +11.0 ppg (So Miss +0.7) and LT is +1.4 yards per play (So Miss +0.5). Sure LT has played the softer schedule they’re at home catching a point. The Bulldogs also have revenge here for an OT loss here two years ago (blew an 11-point lead in the final minutes) and then a 1-point loss at Southern Miss last year.



        Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 19 2019 12:00PM
        373 Florida -5.0(-105) Pinnacle vs 374 South Carolina double-dime bet

        Analysis: A misleading final for South Carolina last week creates value on Florida this week. Remember South Carolina was -14 first downs and -171 yards last week vs Georgia but were +4 in TO’s. Meanwhile, Florida should’ve covered vs LSU. The Gators were intercepted in the end zone and stopped on downs at the LSU 2-yard line on their final 2 possessions and actually led 28-21 in the second half. We came away very impressed with Florida QB Kyle Trask (310 yards and 3 TD’s). The Gators have a bye on deck and can ill afford another loss. South Carolina QB Ryan Hilinski will play here but will he be 100%?



        Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 19 2019 7:30PM
        422 Penn St. -9.0(-105) Pinnacle vs 421 Michigan single-dime bet

        Analysis: This is a “White Out” game for Penn St. The Nittany Lions are 9-6 ATS +2.5 ppg in those games and remember 12 of those 15 games came against ranked teams. James Franklin is 4-1 ATS in “White Out” game (+8.5 ppg). There is a huge mismatch here with the Penn State defense vs the Michigan offense. Penn St’s defense is No. 3 in the country in yards per play allowed (3.8). Meanwhile, Michigan’s offense is No. 81 in the country in yards per play (5.6). The Wolverines in their last 20 games on the road vs ranked teams: 1-19 SU (-16.1 ppg) and 5-15 ATS (-8.8 ppg).
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #19
          Scott Sprietzer

          8 Oklahoma St. -3.5
          4 Bowling Green +10.5
          2 Army -5
          2 Ole Miss +6.5
          2 Penn St. -9
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          Comment

          • WeWantMoehr
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2018
            • 353

            #20
            Alan Harris - CFB

            3 Boston College +3.5
            3 Nevada +21
            6 Boise St -7
            3 Georgia -25
            4 Alabama -34.5
            5 UAB -16
            3 Tulane +4
            2 Appalachian st -15
            5 Missouri -21
            4 Middle Tenn st +8
            4 Penn St -9
            2 Wisc/Illinois 50.5o
            2 New Mexico/Wyoming 48.5o
            2 Arizona/USC 67u
            2 LSU/Miss St 61.5o
            2 Baylor/Okl St 68.5u
            2 Temple/SMU 59o
            2 Air Force/Hawaii 66.5o

            Comment

            • swaminator
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2017
              • 858

              #21
              looking for an oddball play if anyone catches it, Rochestertitans Syndicate play.
              with gratitude- Swami
              King Creole- Victor King
              Pac 12 'AFTER DARK': College Football Saturday 3*** OVER THE TOTAL from King's Totals Team!
              ARIZONA STATE / UTAH OVER

              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #22
                Jason Sharpe

                Sat:

                8 - So. Miss pk
                5 - VA -3
                4- MTSU + 8
                3 - Ore -2.5
                3 - Tx Tech +7
                3 - Navy -14.5
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #23
                  LV Wolf

                  380
                  misst st +17.5
                  362
                  Ball st -1.5
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #24
                    Indian Cowboy

                    10/19 4 Unit Barcelona -1(-120) over Eibar

                    10/19 3 Unit Atletico Madrid -0.5(-160) over Valencia
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #25
                      Ultra Sports


                      395 Tulane +4
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #26
                        Marc lawrence

                        From vegas insider
                        fla st
                        baylor
                        michigan
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #27
                          Gold sheet

                          From vegas insider
                          washington
                          w.kentucky
                          ole mis
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #28
                            Dwayne Bryant

                            5% #331 Florida State +1.5 (-110)
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #29
                              The Rainman

                              10*: Oklahoma st
                              5*: Cincinnati, Arizona st
                              3*: Army
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #30
                                north coast economy club....Economy Club Plays
                                Selections
                                ECONO CLUB PICKS
                                COLLEGE
                                1. UAB
                                2. Central Michigan
                                3. Boston College
                                4. Duke
                                5. Temple
                                6. North Carolina
                                7. Missouri
                                8. Georgia Southern
                                9. LSU
                                10. Texas A&M
                                11. Michigan
                                12. San Diego St
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