Service Plays Sunday 11/3/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: NFL 2u: 474 NE/BAL un45 -102 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 3u: 469 CLE/DEN ov38.5 -110 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 2u: 474 Baltimore Ravens +3.5 -110 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 3u: 471 GB/LAC ov47 -104 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 3u: 463 IND/PIT ov42.5 -105 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 2u: 455 TEN/CAR ov41 -117 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 3u: 458 CHI/PHI un43 -103 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 2u: 463 Indianapolis Colts +1 -105 (Sunday, November 3rd)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney


CLEVELAND -3
CLEVELAND @ DENVER | 11/03 | 4:25 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:31 PM
While Denver might not miss under-performing QB Joe Flacco (neck), its contingency plan seems shaky. Stepping in is third-year backup Brandon Allen, who has yet to take a regular-season snap. The offense was horrid enough with the veteran Flacco, so Allen slides into a challenging situation. Cleveland’s offense has been blah, too, but it wields more star power. QB Baker Mayfield won’t see much of a pass rush, partly because DE Bradley Chubb (ACL) bowed out for the year in Week Four.

9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +354
10-8 IN LAST 18 CLE ATS PICKS | +106

MINNESOTA -1
MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY | 11/03 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:29 PM
This spread could creep up to three points or higher if Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes (knee) sits. He has not been ruled out but just a two-week rehab seems overly optimistic for the ailment. Even if he plays, the hotter QB will be Minnesota’s Kirk Cousins, who has completed 75 percent-plus in four of his last five outings. The Vikings are refreshed from a bye, and they beat the Chiefs three years ago after an off week. All three of Kansas City's straight-up losses have transpired at home.

9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +354
8-1 IN LAST 9 KC ATS PICKS | +685

5-2 IN LAST 7 MIN ATS PICKS | +284

11 NE ATS PICKS | +254

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White


CLEVELAND -3
CLEVELAND @ DENVER | 11/03 | 4:25 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:27 PM
The worst part of the Browns' schedule is over after consecutive games against the Rams, Ravens, 49ers, Seahawks and Patriots, five teams with a combined 31-7 record. That means this is the low point of Cleveland's stock, and as such we're getting them at a favorable line against a Broncos team that has no reason to fight with Brandon Allen at quarterback. Even if their defense (fifth in points per drive allowed) has another good game here, the Browns offense only needs to get to 17 to expect a cover, something they should accomplish with a run-based approach.

28-22 IN LAST 50 NFL PICKS | +351
10-5-1 IN LAST 16 CLE ATS PICKS | +460

5-1 IN LAST 6 DEN ATS PICKS | +390

OVER 50.5
DETROIT @ OAKLAND | 11/03 | 4:05 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:21 PM
Neither of these defenses has played well at all this year, with both ranking in the bottom five of points allowed per drive. Detroit's one good defensive game on the scoreboard (a 13-10 win over the Chargers) still involved them allowing 424 yards. The one thing the Lions do well is pass the ball (top five in net yards per attempt on offense), and that's the Raiders' biggest weakness, as they rank 28th in net yards allowed per pass attempt and have given up a league-worst 19 passing touchdowns. That tells me we should expect to see a higher-scoring game in this one.

16-11 IN LAST 27 NFL O/U PICKS | +389
9-7 IN LAST 16 DET O/U PICKS | +127

N.Y. JETS -3
N.Y. JETS @ MIAMI | 11/03 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:12 PM
Despite the chaos in the locker room following a trade deadline where it sounds like multiple stars were available but only one dealt, the Jets should have an easy time wit the Dolphins here. While they've been bad, they haven't sunk to the level of the Dolphins, a team that has lost all but one game by double digits (and was behind 17-3 entering the fourth quarter of that outlier). Now Miami has a short turnaround after losing 27-14 despite taking a 14-0 lead to start the game. I can't see them winning this game, so I'm laying the relatively small number with the road team.

28-22 IN LAST 50 NFL PICKS | +351
14-11-2 IN LAST 27 NYJ ATS PICKS | +202

OVER 46.5
HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE | 11/03 | 9:30 AM EST
YESTERDAY 5:56 PM
These two teams played a 13-12 grind of a game early in the season, but here's why this week will be different. That was Gardner Minshew's first start, and the Jacksonville offense has been much better since, scoring 26+ in four of their last five games (with big yardage numbers to back it up). The Texans have seen their last four games go over 50 points as their offense keeps rolling while their defense falls apart. The injury to J.J. Watt surely won't help Houston's defense play any better, so I'm expecting a lot of points for the London crowd in this one.

16-11 IN LAST 27 NFL O/U PICKS | +389
3-0 IN LAST 3 JAC O/U PICKS | +300

GREEN BAY -3
GREEN BAY @ L.A. CHARGERS | 11/03 | 4:25 PM EST
YESTERDAY 5:40 PM
I think the Packers' overall market value is a little inflated thanks to their favorable first-half schedule stacked with home games, but they aren't exactly headed into the mouth of the lion in this one. In fact, Packers fans could take over the Chargers' soccer stadium in this one, making it even harder for a home team still beset by injuries. They've scored more than 20 just once since Week 1, while Green Bay has scored 27 or more in five of their last six (and 23 in their 'bad' performance). Green Bay should be able to throw all over a poor Chargers pass D (27th in net yards per attempt) and cruise to a win.

28-22 IN LAST 50 NFL PICKS | +351
29-5 IN LAST 34 GB ATS PICKS | +2345

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

DATA SCIENTIST
1:02 AM
SEATTLE -6
TAMPA BAY @ SEATTLE | 11/03 | 4:05 PM EST
Jameis Winston is a turnover machine and I expect the Seahawks to capitalize at home. In my simulations, Seattle is winning by double digits. Lay the points.

7-3 IN LAST 10 NFL PICKS | +369
5-0-1 IN LAST 6 SEA ATS PICKS | +500

5-2-1 IN LAST 8 TB ATS PICKS | +284

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 9:22 PM
ARIZONA +10
SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA | 10/31 | 8:20 PM EDT
Extensive travel caught up with the Cardinals last Sunday when their three-game win streak ended against the Saints, who were inspired by the return of beloved QB Drew Brees. Arizona is back home after playing three away games in four weeks — all back east. San Francisco might be unbeaten, but the double-digit line is a case of overexuberance, especially for a Thursday nighter on the road.

9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +354

Zack Cimini
CONTRARIAN WITH CHUTZPAH
YESTERDAY 12:23 PM
ARIZONA +9.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA | 10/31 | 8:20 PM EDT
The San Francisco 49ers continue to show new levels of excellence. Last week’s statement win over the Carolina Panthers was all the more impressive as they handled an above-average team coming off a bye week. With Thursday's quick turnaround, I expect San Fran to try to run the ball and wear down the Cardinals. Yet, look for Arizona to match the 49ers offensively and keep this within the number. Grab Arizona.

4-3 IN LAST 7 NFL ATS PICKS | +66
6-0-1 IN LAST 7 ARI ATS PICKS | +605

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 5:56 PM
OVER 46.5
HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE | 11/03 | 9:30 AM EST
These two teams played a 13-12 grind of a game early in the season, but here's why this week will be different. That was Gardner Minshew's first start, and the Jacksonville offense has been much better since, scoring 26+ in four of their last five games (with big yardage numbers to back it up). The Texans have seen their last four games go over 50 points as their offense keeps rolling while their defense falls apart. The injury to J.J. Watt surely won't help Houston's defense play any better, so I'm expecting a lot of points for the London crowd in this one.

16-11 IN LAST 27 NFL O/U PICKS | +389
3-0 IN LAST 3 JAC O/U PICKS | +300


Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
MON 10/28
HOUSTON -2
HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE | 11/03 | 9:30 AM EST
This spread looks light by about three points, which is why I played the Texans. Perhaps the lower number is because J.J. Watt is out for the season, and WR Will Fuller is questionable, or maybe it’s because the Jaguars play at London often and are kind of the home team, but those reasons might equate to a one-point edge for the Jaguars. The Texans should still be favored by at least three points. Back the Texans to get the cover.

5-3 IN LAST 8 NFL ATS PICKS | +161
8-2-1 IN LAST 11 HOU ATS PICKS | +580

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Nov 3 2019 8:20PM
474 BAL 3.5(-117) Pinnacle vs 473 NEP double-dime bet

Analysis: THURSDAY Football Update: LEAN AZ

NOTE STRONG LEAN at +10.5


STrong lean PROP: Kittle OVER 71 reception yards

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt
Philadelphia -5

The Eagles' newfound run game helped them knock out the Buffalo Bills last week. This week against the Bears, they face a similar opponent, as the Bears have a great defense and a QB that's a non-factor in the passing game. In much better conditions than last week in Buffalo, expect the end result to be the same for Philadelphia.

18-6 IN LAST 24 NFL ATS PICKS | +1132
21-13-1 IN LAST 35 PHI ATS PICKS | +659
3-2 IN LAST 5 CHI ATS PICKS | +81

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt
Miami +3
Both teams are among the worst offensively in the league, averaging just 11 points per game. Where they differ is in the effort. The Dolphins seem like they can move the ball on offense, more so than the Jets. Defensively, Miami has a much more cohesive group, despite all of the changes. Look for the Phins to get their first win of the season.

18-6 IN LAST 24 NFL ATS PICKS | +1132
3-1 IN LAST 4 MIA ATS PICKS | +193


R.J. White
N.Y. Jets -3
Despite the chaos in the locker room following a trade deadline where it sounds like multiple stars were available but only one dealt, the Jets should have an easy time wit the Dolphins here. While they've been bad, they haven't sunk to the level of the Dolphins, a team that has lost all but one game by double digits (and was behind 17-3 entering the fourth quarter of that outlier). Now Miami has a short turnaround after losing 27-14 despite taking a 14-0 lead to start the game. I can't see them winning this game, so I'm laying the relatively small number with the road team.

28-22 IN LAST 50 NFL PICKS | +351
14-11-2 IN LAST 27 NYJ ATS PICKS | +202

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt
Indianapolis -1

This game will come down to which QB can you rely on, and if last week was of any indication, that heavily favors Indianapolis in this game. Jacoby Brissett has played some really good football, both statistically and situationally. It's the latter that'll have him go into Pittsburgh and come out unscathed.

18-6 IN LAST 24 NFL ATS PICKS | +1132
2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS | +95

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White
OVER 50.5
Detroit @ Oakland

Neither of these defenses has played well at all this year, with both ranking in the bottom five of points allowed per drive. Detroit's one good defensive game on the scoreboard (a 13-10 win over the Chargers) still involved them allowing 424 yards. The one thing the Lions do well is pass the ball (top five in net yards per attempt on offense), and that's the Raiders' biggest weakness, as they rank 28th in net yards allowed per pass attempt and have given up a league-worst 19 passing touchdowns. That tells me we should expect to see a higher-scoring game in this one.

16-11 IN LAST 27 NFL O/U PICKS | +389
9-7 IN LAST 16 DET O/U PICKS | +127

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt
Cleveland -3

Cleveland is about to enter the "softer" part of its schedule, starting with the Broncos. This is a Denver team that plays tough defense, but its offense hasn't been able to find its rhythm at all this season. To make matters worse, starting QB Joe Flacco is out with a neck injury. Look for the Browns defense to feast on reserve QB Brandon Allen.

18-6 IN LAST 24 NFL ATS PICKS | +1132
2-1 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS | +89
3-2 IN LAST 5 CLE ATS PICKS | +82


Mike Tierney
Cleveland -3

While Denver might not miss under-performing QB Joe Flacco (neck), its contingency plan seems shaky. Stepping in is third-year backup Brandon Allen, who has yet to take a regular-season snap. The offense was horrid enough with the veteran Flacco, so Allen slides into a challenging situation. Cleveland’s offense has been blah, too, but it wields more star power. QB Baker Mayfield won’t see much of a pass rush, partly because DE Bradley Chubb (ACL) bowed out for the year in Week Four.

9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +354
10-8 IN LAST 18 CLE ATS PICKS | +106


R.J. White
Cleveland -3

The worst part of the Browns' schedule is over after consecutive games against the Rams, Ravens, 49ers, Seahawks and Patriots, five teams with a combined 31-7 record. That means this is the low point of Cleveland's stock, and as such we're getting them at a favorable line against a Broncos team that has no reason to fight with Brandon Allen at quarterback. Even if their defense (fifth in points per drive allowed) has another good game here, the Browns offense only needs to get to 17 to expect a cover, something they should accomplish with a run-based approach.

28-22 IN LAST 50 NFL PICKS | +351
10-5-1 IN LAST 16 CLE ATS PICKS | +460
5-1 IN LAST 6 DEN ATS PICKS | +390

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt
Baltimore +3.5

Not many players give Patriots coach Bill Belichick problems on game day. The one type of player that does is the mobile quarterback. To say Lamar Jackson is a mobile QB is like saying old-school hip-hop is the best. Jackson's ability to make it an 11-on-11 game will give the Ravens a chance to pull off the shocker in Charm City.

18-6 IN LAST 24 NFL ATS PICKS | +1132
2-1 IN LAST 3 NE ATS PICKS | +85


Mike Tierney
Baltimore +3.5

Baltimore coach John Harbaugh is 9-2 straight-up coming off a bye. Of course, none of those wins were against New England. Then again, no QB is akin to the Ravens’ Lamar Jackson, who will test Patriots coach Bill Belichick’s defensive smarts. The Pats’ offense remains efficient with smoke and mirrors; few teams have a less intimidating set of skill-position players outside of QB Tom Brady's unit. The defense has been sublime. This seems like the right time for the offensive shortcomings to catch up to New England.

9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +354
10-2 IN LAST 12 BAL ATS PICKS | +770
7-4 IN LAST 11 NE ATS PICKS | +254

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Ma

Hou
Pitt
Det
LAC