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6-Unit Play. #153-154 USC/Arizona State GAME TOTAL OVER 57 (Saturday, November 9 at 3:30 PM ET)
(Line available at William Hill, Circa and Stations)
Take USC/Arizona State GAME TOTAL OVER as my 6-Unit CFB Play for Saturday. This pick falls into one of my top college football systems and I have this game flying over the posted total here Saturday. Arizona State has completed 65.1% of their passes at home this season averaging 424 passing yards per game. USC has completed 68.4% of their passes this season averaging 293 passing yards per game. USC has played much tougher opponents than Arizona State this season and they have still averaged 432.7 yards per game this season and 6.2 yards per play. USC has averaged 33.3 points per game over their last 3 games and 4 turnovers cost them points against Oregon. You can expect USC to put up a big number here Saturday and I also expect a lot more pass attempts from Jayden Daniels as I expect them to be playing from behind most of the game. Arizona State has averaged 29.5 points per game at home this season while averaging 458.7 yards per game and 6.8 yards per play. Opponents have averaged 33.7 points per game against USC over their last 3 games and 449 yards per game against them on the road this season. The over/under is 7-3 in the last 10 games play between these 2 teams at Arizona State and the over/under is 10-3 for Arizona State in their last 13 games after a bye week. The over/under is 7-1 for the Trojans in their last 8 games after rushing for less than 100 yards in their previous game and they are beat up at the running back position which will force them to throw the ball here Saturday. Play the OVER as we move to 10-4 on the college football season if my top play won Friday.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 9 2019 7:00PM
140 South Carolina -5.5(-110) Westgate vs 139 Appalachian St double-dime bet
Analysis: Sometimes we think the market gets “too smart” for their own good. Think about this one out loud...An SEC team is laying less than a TD to a Sun Belt team. That SEC team should also be motivated because they need two wins to get to bowl eligibility. Yes, the two teams have one common opponent in North Carolina and South Carolina lost to the Tar Heels while App St beat NC. However, will there be “bubble burst” for App St after seeing their unbeaten season come to an end last week? South Carolina will look to get back RB Rico Dowdle back and note QB Ryan Hilinski hasn’t thrown an interception in any of his last 5 starts. Finally, South Carolina has a huge strength of schedule edge (No. 9 vs No. 124 in Sagarin’s ratings).
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 9 2019 7:30PM
158 BYU -17.0(-110) Westgate vs 157 Liberty double-dime bet
Analysis: Last week we easily with BYU in a 42-14 win and we go right back to them here. BYU has a huge schedule edge here as BYU has played a Top 15 schedule in terms of strength while Liberty has played a Bottom 5. This is BYU’s 5th home game this year and their previous 4 all came against ranked teams (Utah, USC, Washington and Boise St). Meanwhile, Liberty hasn’t played a Top 100 team since September 14th! In Liberty’s last 6 games, arguably the toughest team they played was a road trip to Rutgers and Liberty lost by 10. Quite simply, BYU is the best team Liberty has played this season and their games against similar competition, the Flames lost to Syracuse by 24 and UL-Lafayette by 21. Liberty is also playing their 3rd straight road game and are traveling across the country in altitude. BYU has been solid in November the last 10 years: 23-9-3 ATS (+6 ppg). Since they moved to Independent status, BYU’s schedule has been front-loaded with tough teams. Therefore, when November hits, BYU’s stats and records look average, but it’s because they have played tough schedules. Then the schedule gets much weaker in November (who wants to play BYU in middle of conference season)? Finally, BYU has a bunch of older players (20-23 years old instead of 18-21) that can handle the wear and tear of seasons.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 9 2019 10:15PM
156 Boise St. -13.5(-110) William Hill vs 155 Wyoming double-dime bet
Analysis: Wyoming has lost starting QB Sean Chambers (knee) for the season. Tyler Vander Waal will take over and he does have some experience dating back to last year (9 starts in 2018) so the drop-off won’t be significant. However, the Cowboys will really miss Chambers in the run game (2nd leading rusher with 567 yards and 10 TD’s) and Vander Waal is only 4 of out of 16 this season in limited time. Boise did rally vs San Jose St last week as they got back QB Hank Bachmeier. He should be even better here. Our power ratings are strong on the Broncos here and it makes sense considering Wyoming is a 6-2 SU team that is -22.8 ypg this season despite facing the No. 120 schedule.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 9 2019 3:00PM
149 Stanford -3.0(-110) Westgate vs 150 Colorado double-dime bet
Analysis: Stanford comes in fresh off a bye and prior to it got their QB KJ Costello back from injury. The only game the Cardinal have lost in their last 4 games was when they had to go to a 3rd-string QB vs UCLA. Otherwise this team looks poised to make a strong run in November. Meanwhile, the Buffaloes are heading in the wrong direction as they have allowed at least 30 points in all 9 games this year and have lost 5 straight. Make it 6.
Saturday Football card has the Mountain West Game Of the year, an Exclusive Executive level TIER 1 Side, an early Big Ten 6* the 100% SEC Game of the Month in the rivalry game 2 more best bets an NBA Blowout and early season NCAAB Power system plays. Comp play below.
The College football comp play is on North Carolina St plus the 33 points at 7:30 eastern. This is a boat load of points to give a team that is 4-0 at home. Clemson is trying for style points and usually covers. However they are just 2-7 ats as a road favorite of 21 or more . NC.St has covered 5 of 6 after passing for 170 or less yards, 6 of 8 vs Undefeated ACC Teams and 6-2 ats as a conference dog of 14 or more. Over the last 39 seasons Game 10 or later conference road favorites of -6.5 or higher have failed to cover over 80% of the time if they are off a win of 43 or more points. Clemson wins big but not by more than 33. Take the points with NC. St. A massive Saturday card takes center stage with the 100% Mountain West Game of the Year, an exclusive TIER 1 Executive level release, an Early rare 6* in the BIG Ten at noon, the SEC Game of the Month in the LSU vs Alabama game, 2 more best bets, an NBA Blowout and our early season College hoops systems. See us on facebook to jump on. For the free pick. Take NC. St plus the 33 points. RV- GC Sports
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