Tuesday 11-12-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2019, 09:56 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #7 - Post: 3:33pm - Allowance - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,500 Class Rating: 80

Rating:

#7 LIL' SMARTIEPANTS (ML=6/1)
#2 SWEET ALTERNATIVE (ML=8/1)

LIL' SMARTIEPANTS - Have to give this mare a fair chance. Ran a sharp outing last time out within the last month or so. Cruised home victorious as she wired the field just recently at Finger Lakes. Coming right back to potentially do it again right here in this race. SWEET ALTERNATIVE - This filly is certainly on the improve with speed ratings of 34, 60, 64 last three out.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY (ML=2/1), #4 MYOSITIS MYSTIQUE (ML=3/1), #1 SWEET EVY GRACE (ML=7/2),

TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY - Hasn't raced or had any morning drills since Oct 2nd. Not much value on this favorite. MYOSITIS MYSTIQUE - Hard to bet this less than sharp equine the way she ran unpredictably last time out. SWEET EVY GRACE - Most unsatisfactory speed rating last time around the track at Belterra Park at 1 mile. Don't feel this less than sharp equine will improve too much today. I don't think this less than sharp equine likes running on the inside, certainly not out of the one slot.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #7 LIL' SMARTIEPANTS on top if we're getting at least 9/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2019, 09:56 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,300 Class Rating: 43

Rating:

#1 TIMES GHOST (ML=15/1)

TIMES GHOST - The October 23rd race at Mountaineer Park was at a class level of (48). Dropping to a lower class rank significantly, so she should be in a good spot to win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 AVERE FORTUNA (ML=8/5), #7 TIZAAWESOMEDAY (ML=5/2), #3 UNBELIZABLE (ML=3/1),

AVERE FORTUNA - 8/5 is too low of a price to take on this thoroughbred. TIZAAWESOMEDAY - While Equibase's speed ratings are strong, I would not consider the high one from the October 1st on a track listed as good. Some horses just run well on the off going. UNBELIZABLE - Don't think that this filly has value at 3/1 this time out.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 TIMES GHOST is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2019, 09:57 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Allowance - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 80

FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 PARTY IN THE RAINE 2/1
# 1A EXCEED THE GOAL 5/2
# 1 TRUFFLESBERG 5/2

I think PARTY IN THE RAINE is a strong choice. Has to be given a shot versus this group of horses in this race displaying solid numbers recently and an average speed figure of 74 under similar conditions. Reason to like this filly as she has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. The Equibase Speed Fig of 84 from her latest affair looks very strong in here. EXCEED THE GOAL - Should best this group here, showing competitive numbers of late. With a formidable 73 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. TRUFFLESBERG - She has competitive class ratings, averaging 81, and has to be carefully examined in this race. With a formidable 72 average speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest.