Tuesday 11-19-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Recap - Week 12
Joe Williams

College Football Week 12 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 46-9
Against the Spread 34-21

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 27-28
Against the Spread 27-28

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 28-26-1

YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 567-151
Against the Spread 366-341-11

YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
Straight Up 456-258
Against the Spread 345-358-11

YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 345-366-13

The largest underdogs to win straight up
West Virginia (+14, ML +450) at Kansas State, 24-20
Rice (+13.5, ML +425) at Middle Tennessee, 31-28
Syracuse (+9, ML +280) at Duke, 49-6
Kent State (+6, ML +200) vs. Buffalo, 30-27

The largest favorites to cover
Army (-36) vs. VMI, 47-6
Clemson (-34.5) vs. Wake Forest, 52-3
Oregon (-27) vs. Arizona, 34-6
Boise State (-26.5) vs. New Mexico, 42-9

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)
--Cincinnati fell behind 10-0 at halftime at South Florida, and the Bulls never trailed...until :00 on the clock. The Bearcats kicked a 37-yard game-winning field goal at the buzzer to crush moneyline bettors of the Bulls, 20-17. USF improved to 6-3 ATS across the past nine outings. The 'under' is now 3-1-1 in the past five for the Bulls. ... Navy hit the road for their annual rivalry game and they were routed 52-20 at Notre Dame. The Middies entered the game ranked inside the Top 25, but that will be short-lived. ... Memphis got out to a bit of a sluggish start, but they recovered at Houston. The Tigers fell behind 17-7 after 15 minutes, but the Tigers outscored the Cougars 35-3 in the next two quarters to run away with the win. The total in this one had an interesting twist for some, too (see below).

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)
-- Clemson rolled Wake Forest in Death Valley by a 52-3 count. A lot of people might discount the Demon Deacons, but they were trying to play after losing their leading WR Sage Surrattt, as well as their third-leading WR Scottie Washington. Either way, the Tigers were able to win their 11th of the season, and they're 5-1 ATS in the past six since that near-miss at UNC back on Sept. 28, which appears to have served as a wake-up call. ... Duke used to be the doormat of the ACC, but head coach David Cutcliffe turned that around. However, injuries and inconsistent play have the Blue Devils reeling, and on the brink of missing a bowl. A very marginal Syracuse side routed them 49-6 at Wallace Wade, and now Duke needs wins at Wake and home to Miami to go bowling. ... Louisville earned bowl eligibility with a 34-20 win in chilly Raleigh over North Carolina State, 34-20. Head coach Dave Doeren's group find themselves in the same shape as their Triangle rivals from Duke, needing to win the final two to become bowl eligible. The road isn't as daunting, with trips to Georgia Tech and home to UNC on the remaining sked. The Wolfpack are a dismal 1-8 ATS across the past nine.

BIG TEN
-- Indiana gave Penn State a nice run, but the Hoosiers came up short in a 34-27 loss in Happy Valley. IU has covered three in a row, and six of the past seven. ... Michigan State-Michigan has been rather close at times in recent years, but not in 2019. Head coach Mark Dantonio's seat is Hades hot, as the Wolverines spanked their rivals from East Lansing by a 44-10 count. Michigan took care of the 'over' (43) themselves, as the Wolverines covered for the fourth straight game, and sixth time in the past seven. The 'over' is 4-1 in the past five and 6-2 in the past eight for Michigan. ... Minnesota headed to Iowa by a 23-19 score, as the boat is taking on a little water. The boat is also not sailing back to the Twin Cities with Floyd of Rosedale, as that remains in I-City. The Hawkeyes have covered three in a row, and the 'under' is 7-1-1 in the past nine for the Hawkeyes, too. ... Ohio State routed Rutgers in a 56-21 win in New Jersey. What's surprising by this is the Scarlet Knights are the first opponent to score more than twice in a game against the Buckeyes since Week 1 when FAU did it at Ohio Stadium, and that was also the last time the Buckeyes failed to cover.

BIG 12
-- West Virginia picked up a 24-20 win at Kansas State, as the Mountaineers snapped a five-game losing streak with the surprising win. They still have to win their final two to become bowl eligible. The 'under' is 3-0 in the past three for West Virginia. ... Texas was tripped up on the road against Iowa State, falling 23-21. While the Longhorns covered as touchdown underdogs, they slipped to 6-4 SU. They're now 1-3 ATS in the past four outings, and the 'under' has cashed in the past two for the 'Horns. ... Baylor fired out to a 28-3 lead at home against Oklahoma, but QB Jalen Hurts led the Sooners all the way back in the biggest comeback victory in school history, and without WR CeeDee Lamb. When the dust cleared it was 34-31 in favor of the road team. While Bears side bettors still managed the cover, it was a bitter pill for anyone holding moneyline tickets for Baylor.

CONFERENCE USA
-- Marshall handled Louisiana Tech in Huntington on Friday, 31-10. The Thundering Herd handed the Bulldogs just their second loss of the season, and the Herd pulled into a tie with FAU for the top spot in the East Division. Marshall is now 3-1 ATS across the past four after going 1-5 ATS in the first six to start. ... Rice picked up its first victory of the season after nine straight setbacks, surprising Middle Tennessee by a 31-28 count. The Owls snapped a four-game non-cover skid, too. ... Southern Miss posted a 36-17 win at Texas-San Antonio, and this one was a two-way bad beat. See the recap below. ... Alabama-Birmingham took care of Texas-El Paso by a 36-17 score on the road. UAB snapped a two-game mini-skid and power outage, improving to 7-3 SU/ATS. They're 4-0 SU/ATS in their four home games against FBS opponents at home, and the over is 3-0 in their past three home contests.

MID-AMERICAN (MAC)
-- Central Michigan and Ball State played a very entertaining 45-44 game which went to the Chippewas. They fell behind 27-11 at halftime, but used 34 second-half points to win for the fifth time in the past six games while also moving to 5-1 ATS across the span. The 'over' has connected in six straight for CMU, and nine of 11 games overall. They'll finish up against Toledo in the season finale on Nov. 29. That was the only MACtion on Saturday, as all of the other games took place mid-week. Road teams ended up 3-2 SU, with underdogs going 3-2 ATS. There was a bad beat in the Thursday battle between Buffalo-Kent State (see below).

MOUNTAIN WEST
-- The Air Force-Colorado State game had a crazy finish. If you were holding a Colorado State (+10.5) ticket, see below...although you already know what happened. ... Hawaii returned to the mainland and picked up a 21-7 win at UNLV, a rare under result for the Warriors. The last under for Hawaii was also in the state of Nevada against the Wolf Pack in Reno back on Sept. 28. Since then the Warriors threw up five consecutive over results. ... New Mexico-Boise State figured to be a little more competitive than expected with a third-string QB in there for the Cowboys. QB Jaylon Henderson made his first start with QBs Hank Bachmeier and Chase Cord nursing lower-body injuries. The last time Boise State used three different starting signal callers in a season was 1993. Now, they have three starting QBs with a win. Henderson and the Broncos rolled to a 42-9 win, as the Lobos slipped to 2-8 SU. UNM is also 2-7 ATS across the past nine, while the 'under' is 6-1 in the past seven for the Lobos.

PAC-12
-- USC-Californa was expected to be a close contest, especially with QB Chase Garbers (shoulder) back under center for the first time since late September. But he was knocked out again, and the Trojans rolled to a 41-17 road win. After opening the season 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS on the road, the Trojans have rattled off three straight wins on the road while going 1-1-1 ATS. The 'over' is 4-0 in the past four for SC, too. ... Utah is doing its best to stay in the chase for a playoff spot, as they routed UCLA by a 49-3 count. Most shops saw this total push as a result. The Utes have won and covered six in a row since a 30-23 loss at USC on Sept. 20. ... The Pac-12 have two potential playoff contenders, as Oregon also kept hope alive with a convincing 34-6 win over Arizona. The Ducks are 9-0 SU since a neutral-site loss to Auburn on Aug. 31. They're also 4-1 ATS across the past five.

SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)
-- Alabama had the biggest headline in their win over Mississippi State, but it wasn't because of the results on the scoreboard. By now everyone knows QB Tua Tagovailoa suffered a dislocated hip and fracture in the loss, and his regular season is over, and perhaps his college career. Now it's in the hands of QB Mac Jones to finish up the season. Obviously the Crimson Tide still have plenty left to play for, and Jones will get a tune-up against Western Carolina next week before battling Auburn in the regular season finale. ... The Tigers fell 21-14 to Georgia, showing a lot of heart after falling behind 21-0 after three quarters. However, the Tigers were unable to make it all the way back. The 'under' is 3-0 in the past thee for Auburn, but they're now 2-3 SU/ATS across the past five after a 5-0 SU/ATS start. ... South Carolina-Texas A&M was a battle between a banged up unit and a healthy unit, and it showed. The Aggies throttled the Gamecocks 30-6 at Kyle Field in a low-scoring game. The Aggies have won four in a row to move to 7-3 SU, and they're 3-1 ATS across the past four. It doesn't get any easier, as they have to face Georgia and LSU, both on the road.

SUN BELT
-- Georgia State gave Appalachian State a nice little run for a while, but the Mountaineers showed why they're the first Sun Belt team ever in the CFP rankings. The Mountaineers fell behind 21-14 after one quarter, but outscored the Panthers 42-6 over the final 45 to win it by 29 and keep their hopes of a New Year's Day bowl game alive. ... Troy posted an emphatic 63-27 win at Texas State, keeping their hopes of a bowl game alive. They improved to 5-5 SU, and they have covered back-to-back games for the first time this season. The 'over' is 4-0 in the past four, too, as the Trojans have scored 33 or more points in five straight outings. ... Georgia Southern took care of Louisiana-Monroe by a 51-29 count, as the 'over' connected. We had just 45 points on the board with a total of 57.5, but the teams combined for 35 points in the final quarter as the over easily hit. The Eagles, the only team to slay App State this season, are now 5-1 SU across the past six while going 3-1 ATS in the past four. The 'over' is also 3-0 in the past three.

Bad Beats

-- There was still 4:59 left on the clock when the total changed from 'under' to 'over' in Memphis-Houston, so it wasn't your definition 'bad beat'. However, with 4:59 to go, the Cougars blocked a punt and recovered it in the end zone to close the lead of the Tigers to 45-27, pushing the total over by a half-point.

-- With 1:22 to go, and Colorado State driving, Air Force had a 99-yard interception return for touchdown to take a 38-21 lead. Instead of making it a one-score game, and a certain cover for the Rams, they ended up going down 17 and they never recovered.

-- The Southern Miss-UTSA game had a total of 55.5 and USM was favored by 17. The Golden Eagles were never covering until 4:45 to go, when USM took a 36-17 lead. The Roadrunners fought back, getting inside the red zone. However, they failed to get a score in the final minute, crushing UTSA side bettors and 'over' bettors alike.

-- Lastly, on Thursday night it was a bad beat if you had Buffalo laying the points. The Bulls were up 27-6 heading into the fourth quarter, and under (55.5) bettors were feeling pretty good about themselves, too. The Golden Flashes erased the 21-point lead and they forced OT, tied 27-27. The Golden Flashes ended up taking it 30-27 in overtime, stunning under bettors and Buffalo side bettors alike.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4th Quarter Covers - Week 12
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the 12th weekend of the college football. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Western Michigan (PK) 37, Ohio 34: Western Michigan led 10-0 at halftime, but Ohio took a 14-10 lead eight minutes into the third quarter. A back-and-forth finish followed with the game eventually knotted 24-24 with 10 minutes to go. Western Michigan put together a touchdown drive to lead by seven and then stopped Ohio inside the 10-yard-line to seemingly wrap up the game. The Bobcats still had all three timeouts and got the ball back with 47 seconds to work with. Nathan Rourke delivered four straight completions to find the end zone with nine seconds to go and the Bobcats opted to kick to play overtime. Ohio had to settle for a field goal going first in the extra session and in just three plays, the Broncos got the win with a touchdown.

Northern Illinois (+1½) 31, Toledo 28: The Huskies were in command with a 28-7 edge through three quarters, but Toledo put a scoring drive together to cut the margin to 14 points. A botched punt attempt provided the break the Rockets needed to get back in the game, inheriting great field position and closing the margin to seven points two plays later. Toledo would force another punt on defense and went 91 yards to tie the game with about five minutes remaining. The slight underdog Huskies were able to milk most of the clock and come away with the go-ahead field goal in the final minute and the Rockets ran out of time despite eventually reaching the 26-yard-line.

Kent State (+6½) 30, Buffalo 27: The Bulls had a commanding 27-6 edge in the fourth quarter before Kent State turned in perhaps the comeback of the season. The Flashes scored two touchdowns in the span of 27 seconds of game clock in the middle of the fourth quarter thanks to an onside kick recovery. The Flashes were set to get the ball back quickly after forcing a 3-and-out and did even better, blocking the punt to start at the 4-yard-line. Despite the field position, it came down to 4th-and-goal but Dustin Crum got the completion for the tying score. Buffalo again was held to a punt and now with a chance to win, Kent State had possession with about two minutes remaining, getting the 44-yard field goal as time expired after consecutive timeouts.

Pittsburgh (-4½) 34, North Carolina 27: The Panthers had a 24-10 edge into the fourth quarter, but the Tar Heels hit a few big plays to quickly tie the game. Slowing down the pace, Pittsburgh drained nearly seven minutes off the clock before kicking a field goal that wasn’t going to be enough against the home favorite spread. The Tar Heels reached the red zone late in the game but went backwards and facing 4th-and-12, kicked for overtime. Pittsburgh was backed up, but converted on 3rd-and-14 and eventually scored seven going first in overtime, allowing for the favorite to have a shot to still cover. North Carolina converted 4th-and-4 on its overtime possession, but took a sack and was left with 4th-and-16 and the final throw fell incomplete.

Northwestern (-38) 45, Massachusetts 6: This game got a bit more coverage than it deserved based on the oddity of the line with the low-scoring Wildcats a massive favorite. The line climbed as high as -41½ on a Northwestern team that had scored 100 total points over the first nine games. The first touchdown came on a field goal block as the Wildcats didn’t score on offense until 22 minutes into the game and stayed well short of the spread through three quarters with a 24-6 edge. Northwestern would take over in the fourth quarter with three consecutive touchdowns incredibly giving the Wildcats a 39-point edge with just over five minutes remaining to slip past the opening and closing numbers though there were plenty of successful UMass tickets in the middle. The Minutemen were a threat to spoil it, but only could reach the Northwestern 6-yard-line on the final play as time expired.

UAB (-14) 37, UTEP 10: The Blazers took a 23-0 lead in this game, but UTEP got on the board just before halftime and by the early fourth quarter had closed to within 20 points, or a touchdown short of covering. The Miners reached UAB territory on its next drive but opted to go for it on 4th-and-7 and fell incomplete. UAB didn’t look like a threat to add points, but on 3rd-and-long connected for a 40-yard touchdown to make a late UTEP drive inside the UAB 5-yard-line meaningless.

Oklahoma State (-18) 31, Kansas 13: The Cowboys cruised to a comfortable win over Kansas and led 31-0 through three quarters. The Jayhawks didn’t go away however with a touchdown halfway through the fourth quarter after an Oklahoma State field goal miss, but an unsuccessful 2-point try kept Kansas down by 25. Oklahoma State went 51 yards on its next drive, but still wound up punting and Kansas was able to put another touchdown in with just over a minute to go, bringing the margin to 19. The Jayhawks kicked this time and the 18-point final matched the closing spread though -17 or -17½ remained common numbers that still cashed.

TCU (-4) 33, Texas Tech 31: An early 17-0 edge for TCU disappeared with a 27-16 margin at halftime and Texas Tech leading 28-27 through three quarters. The spread consistently climbed higher for the road team throughout the week after opening with the Red Raiders as a one-point favorite at some outlets. Field goals were exchanged early in the fourth quarter, then TCU burned a significant amount of clock and reached the Texas Tech 4-yard-line before offensive pass interference pushed the Frogs back. Ultimately, TCU had to settle for a short go-ahead field goal rather than a touchdown that could have cleared the favorite spread. After a pair of punts, Texas Tech would get the ball back with two minutes to work with but fumbled away its opportunity on 1st down.

Wisconsin (-14) 37, Nebraska 21: The Cornhuskers came to play in this game but had a few tough breaks, allowing a kickoff return touchdown while also giving up a short field score after an interception as Wisconsin led 27-14 at halftime and 34-14 late in the third quarter despite Nebraska winding up with more yardage in the game and having little trouble moving the ball against the highly regarded Wisconsin defense. Nebraska snuck within the spread with a touchdown late in the third quarter to trail by 13 after missing a field goal earlier in the quarter, but in the fourth quarter, the Huskers had drives of 81 and 74 yards that both come up empty on 4th-and-goal failures. In-between those long scoreless efforts for Nebraska, Wisconsin added a field goal to win by 16.

Iowa (-3) 23, Minnesota 19: Iowa was in command in the first half with a 20-3 edge, but Minnesota managed a field goal just before halftime and going first after the break the Gophers looked the part of a comeback threat with a quick touchdown to close to within seven. A long scoring drought on both sides followed and included what will be an infamous moment for P.J. Fleck as he was hit with an unsportsmanlike conduct call for running on to the field to check on injured player after a 4th down incompletion, eliminating leaving Iowa back inside its own 10-yard-line. Iowa eventually converted a short field goal to lead by 10 nearly midway through the fourth quarter. Minnesota answered with a touchdown to seemingly climb even with the underdog spread, but the PAT was missed in a monumental play relative to the spread. The Gophers were able to get the ball back, but Tanner Morgan took a second down sack and had to leave the game with an injury. Backup quarterback Cole Kramer stepped into a tough spot with a 3rd-and-21 incompletion and a 4th-and-21 interception as Iowa held on.

Central Michigan (+1) 45, Ball State 44: The Cardinals led 27-11 at halftime and still led by 10 entering the fourth quarter. Central Michigan proved up to the task however with an early touchdown in the fourth quarter offset only by a field goal for a six-point deficit for the Chippewas. Getting the ball back with about five minutes to go, Quinten Dormady didn’t face great resistance leading a drive 72 yards in 10 plays before cashing in with a minute to go for the one-point edge. Drew Plitt wound up intercepted on 4th down for Ball State’s final opportunity as the slight underdog delivered the comeback win.

Utah State (-5) 26, Wyoming 21: The Aggies opened at -6½ but dipped to -4½ and even -3 by Saturday before a late rise to close back at -5 at some outlets. The timing wound up mattering as a 23-14 Utah State lead through three quarters was threatened. The Aggies went up by 12 with a field goal following an interception after just missing a field goal on their last drive. Wyoming answered with one of its best drives of the game to climb within five with fewer than seven minutes remaining. Utah State didn’t offer much of a threat to add points late while Wyoming’s final drive across midfield ended in an interception, the third of the day for a Cowboys team not accustomed to passing that often.

Georgia (-3) 21, Auburn 14: Auburn was kept off the board in the first half despite three drives into Georgia territory with a missed field goal, getting stopped on downs just outside of field goal range, and a fumble. Up 7-0, Georgia managed another score right before halftime to lead 14-0 and that became 21-0 with the help of a big personal foul call late in the third quarter. Auburn flipped a switch from there with two quick touchdowns and two 3-and-outs on defense and had the ball back across midfield with a chance to tie the game. A surprising replay overturn took a 1st down catch away from the Tigers and then two plays later, Bo Nix missed a wide-open Harold Joiner in what would have been an easy 4th down conversion and likely a big gain. Auburn had timeouts and got the ball back with another chance in worse field position with nearly two minutes remaining, but a facemask on Nix was ignored on the series and Auburn was eventually sacked on 4th down to seal the win for Georgia, who clinched the SEC East despite being held to only 251 total yards.

Iowa State (-7) 23, Texas 21: The Cyclones controlled this game but a 20-7 lead through three quarters was erased with two Texas touchdowns to suddenly put the Longhorns in the lead by one with about five minutes to go. Sam Ehlinger would get the ball back with about four minutes left after the Texas defense held but the Longhorns didn’t gain a yard before punting. Texas got hit with back-to-back pass interference calls as Iowa State looked to go back in front for 30 free yards early in the drive and then defensive offsides converted 4th-and-5 for the Cyclones. Eventually, Iowa State burned the remaining clock and Connor Assalley hit the 36-yard field goal for the win but the late rally was enough for Longhorns backers.

Hawai’i (-6½) 21, UNLV 7: These teams were tied 7-7 until late in the third quarter and Cortez Davis gave the Warriors the lead with a 43-yard interception return touchdown. The Hawai’i offense added a score a few minutes later and then the defense got another interception to thwart a long UNLV drive. The Warriors then soaked up all the remaining clock with an 11-play drive to seal the win.

Washington State (-11) 49, Stanford 22: Washington State led 19-0 early in this game, but Stanford remained competitive trailing 25-22 late in the third quarter. Both teams had big production totals his game but Washington State kept the scoring going, closing the game on a 24-0 run to boost the numbers and create a misleading final result with Stanford suffering two late interceptions.

Air Force (-10) 38, Colorado State 21: The Rams led 14-0 led by a defensive touchdown in the first quarter. Air Force would score 10 in the second quarter, but the underdog Rams still led into the fourth quarter with a spread that reached +10½ at some outlets. Air Force took over in the final frame with a pair of scores to match the common spread with a 10-point advantage before Colorado State went 75 yards in two plays to stay in the game. Air Force scored with 2:32 to go to again make the margin 10 points and then as the Rams were poised to seal the underdog cover with a red zone opportunity, the Falcons got a 99-yard pick-six for the improbable road favorite cover.

Oregon State (+1) 35, Arizona State 34: A slight favorite all week, Arizona state found itself down two scores in the second half after a short-field touchdown for the Beavers made it 35-21 late in the third quarter. It took fewer than two minutes for the Sun Devils to respond closing the margin to seven heading into the fourth. Scoring stalled from there with fumbles costing both teams scoring chances before Jayden Daniels led a 90-yard drive into the end zone. With 1:40 on the clock, the Sun Devils opted to go for two but couldn’t convert as Oregon State narrowly held on.

Southern Miss (-17) 36, UTSA 17: Southern Miss allowed 422 yards to the Roadrunners in this game and led by only six late in the third quarter. A long run put the Golden Eagles up 12 heading into the fourth before five punts were traded between these teams. On a short field, Southern Miss added a late touchdown to slip past the favorite spread and then had to hold off four UTSA plays from the 10-yard line with a late Roadrunners threat ending up empty.

LSU (-21½) 58, Mississippi 37: LSU continues to tantalize with its offense posting big numbers again, but a now 4-7 Mississippi team put 614 yards up against allegedly the #1 team in the nation as the championship trophy shouldn’t be shipped to Baton Rouge just yet. LSU led 28-0 early in this game, but Ole Miss made several charges back into the contest including trimming the margin down to 11 points late in the third quarter. The Tigers would push the margin back to 21 with about five minutes to go in the game, but the Rebels would answer with another big play. LSU ran for a 49-yard score on the first play after recovering the onside kick and the game ultimately would end with Ole Miss barely hanging on to the heavy underdog cover as LSU took a knee at the 10-yard-line.

Oregon (-27) 34, Arizona 6: Arizona trailed by 22 heading into the fourth quarter as the defense kept Oregon in check respectably, but the offense wasn’t able to take advantage of a Justin Herbert interception to add points in the fourth quarter. The Ducks connected for a 33-yard touchdown with about 10 minutes remaining to slip past the spread with a 28-point edge, even with a missed PAT. Arizona reached the red zone on the next possession, but after converting a 4th down via penalty earlier in the drive, the Wildcats failed to come through on 4th down from the Oregon 13-yard-line. The Wildcats had another late drive into Oregon territory, but couldn’t add points as Oregon managed to cover the nearly four-touchdown spread despite scoring only five touchdowns.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

101OHIO U -102 BOWLING GREEN
BOWLING GREEN is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

103E MICHIGAN -104 N ILLINOIS
N ILLINOIS are 15-2 ATS (12.8 Units) off upset win vs conference foe since 1992.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 19

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OHIO U (4 - 6) at BOWLING GREEN (3 - 7) - 11/19/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO U is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO U is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
OHIO U is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 2-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E MICHIGAN (5 - 5) at N ILLINOIS (4 - 6) - 11/19/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 13

Tuesday’s games
Ohio U is 3-6 vs I-A teams, losing last couple games by FG each; Bobcats are 2-2 SU on road TY, with wins by combined total of 4 points- they’re 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a road favorite, 0-1 TY. Bowling Green is 2-7 vs I-A teams, allowing 6-7 points in the two wins; Falcons are 2-9 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog, 1-1 TY. Five of their last six games went under total. Ohio won its last three games with Bowling Green, scoring 97 points in last couple meetings; double digit favorites covered seven of last eight tries in this series.

Northern Illinois won three of its last five games after a 1-4 start; they gave up 615-508 TY in last two games. NIU is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite, 1-1 TY; they’re 0-6 SU vs I-A team this year when they score less than 31 points. Huskies’ last five games went over. Eastern Michigan is 4-1 when it scores 30+ points, 0-4 when it doesn’t; they’re 14-4 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog, 1-2 TY. Huskies won their last 11 games with EMU (8-3 ATS), but Eagles covered seven of their last ten visits to DeKalb.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 13


Tuesday,November 19

Ohio @ Bowling Green

Game 101-102
November 19, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio
76.044
Bowling Green
58.884
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 17
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 21
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Bowling Green
(+17 1/2); Over

Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois

Game 103-104
November 19, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Michigan
70.612
Northern Illinois
72.558
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Illinois
by 2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Illinois
by 5
54
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Michigan
(+5); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College football Week 13 opening odds and early action: Ohio State big favorite over Penn State
Patrick Everson

Ohio State's closest games all season were a pair of 24-point victories. The Buckeyes opened as 18-point home favorites against Penn State, in a Saturday clash with significant CFP implications.

Week 13 of the college football season features a key Big Ten clash, though the pointspread indicates it might not be a competitive contest. We check in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for PointsBet USA in New Jersey.

No. 9 Penn State Nittany Lions at No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-18)

Ohio State is steamrolling through the season at 10-0 SU (8-2 ATS), though its eight-game pointspread streak came to a halt in Week 12. The Buckeyes drubbed Rutgers 56-21, but fell well short as massive 52-point road favorites.

Penn State needs to pull off an upset if it hopes to get back into the College Football Playoff discussion. The Nittany Lions, who lost at Minnesota in Week 11, held off Indiana 34-27 as 15-point home faves in Week 12.

“Penn State still technically controls its own destiny for the Big Ten title, and by extension the College Football Playoff,” Chaprales said. “But the market clearly has no faith in the Nittany Lions’ chances to go into Ohio State and knock off a Buckeyes team that’s yet to break a sweat this season. The first few bets have reflected that.”

No. 24 Texas A&M Aggies at No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs (-13.5)

Georgia wrapped up the Southeastern Conference East Division in Week 12 and now must guard against a letdown to keep its CFP hopes on track. The Bulldogs (9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS) went to Auburn as 3-point favorites and emerged with a 21-14 victory.

Texas A&M kicked into gear in the second half of the season, winning its last four SU and three of four ATS. The Aggies (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) stumped South Carolina 30-6 laying 10.5 points at home in Week 12.

“Georgia looks to be gaining steam at the right time, but the first few bets have actually come in on Texas A&M,” Chaprales said, alluding to the line ticking down to Bulldogs -13. “Either way, this should be one of the higher-handle games of the week.”

Texas Longhorns at No. 13 Baylor Bears (-4)

Baylor had a huge opportunity to sway the opinion of the CFP committee, and held a huge lead over Oklahoma to go with that, at 28-3 early in the second quarter Saturday. But the Bears (9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS) imploded from there, scoring just a field goal the rest of the way in a 34-31 home loss catching 11 points.

Texas won four of its first five this season, with the lone loss more than respectable, at home against Louisiana State. However, the Longhorns (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS) have been up and down ever since, losing at Iowa State 23-21 as 7-point road ‘dogs in Week 12.

“Despite its collapse against Oklahoma, Baylor still covered as a big home ‘dog, while Texas, on the other hand, has been trending down of late,” Chaprales said. “It wouldn’t be a surprise to see this number increase.”

In fact, it quickly did just that, jumping to Baylor -5.5 by Monday afternoon.

No. 21 Southern Methodist Mustangs at Navy Midshipmen (-3)

Southern Methodist had its perfect season halted in Week 10 at Memphis, then struggled to win against a subpar East Carolina outfit in Week 11 before a bye this past week. The Mustangs (9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS) led ECU 28-10 in the second quarter, then were in a dogfight the rest of the way, landing a 59-51 victory as 23-point home favorites.

Navy was a popular play in Week 12, thought to be a live underdog as it rode a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS run into its road game against Notre Dame. However, the Midshipmen (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) got boatraced 52-20 as 7.5-point underdogs.

“Navy was quietly becoming an under-the-radar bet-on team until Saturday’s rout in a trendy ‘dog spot against Notre Dame,” Chaprales said. “The public tends to have a short memory, so we’ll have to see if they fade the Midshipmen as short home favorites against an SMU team that’s regressed a bit of late, relative to market expectations."

The line ticked up to Navy -3.5 Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn

Free Winner: CBB Dayton -15½ Over Nebraska-Omaha

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Tuesday, November 19, 2019


11/19 06:00 PM PT / 9:00 PM ET

CB (675) DETROIT VS (676) WYOMING

Take: (676) WYOMING

Reason: Your free play for Tuesday, November 19, 2019 is in the College basketball contest between Detroit and Wyoming. Your free play is on Wyoming.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: SOUTHERN MISS +17 over Iowa St

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Totals4U

Tuesday's Free Selection: Houston Cougars/Rice Owls under 145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins

Roz's TUESDAY, November 19, 2019 Free Pick
CBK
11/19 07:05 PM NBA(579) PHOENIX SUNSVS(580) SACRAMENTO KINGS
Take : Kings

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports

Tuesday's Free Selection: Samford Bulldogs - 6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays

Free Pick: the Maryland Terrapins -26 over Fairfield

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Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play Tuesday, November 19, 2019


11/19 05:00 PM CB(665) FURMANVS(666) ALABAMA
Take : Furman