Monday 11-25-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Rob Vinciletti

Nov 25 '19, 7:05 PM in 12h
NBA | Magic vs Pistons
Play on: UNDER 207½ -107

The NBA Comp play is on the under in the Orlando at Detroit game at 7:35 Eastern. This game fits a solid totals system from the database that pertains to rested home teams with a 210 or higher total that failed to cover as a road dog of 10 or more and scored 90 or less points vs a team like the Magic that were road dogs last out. The Magic are of 5 of under vs .400 or less teams and 16 of 23 under on Mondays as well as 41 of 60 off a loss. The Pistons are 5 of 7 under at home vs a losing road team and 5 of 7 under vs a team that scored 100 or more last out. Look for this game to stay under tonight. For the NBA Free play. Take Orlando and Detroit under the total. RV- GC Sports

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Sean Murphy

Nov 25 '19, 8:15 PM in 13h
NFL | Ravens vs Rams
Play on: Rams +3½ -105 at Bovada

Monday NFL Free play. My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Baltimore at 8:15 pm et on Monday.
The Ravens may own the better overall record in this matchup but it's the Rams that have somewhat surprisingly posted the better ATS mark at 7-3. I don't expect to see Los Angeles roll out the red carpet for Ravens superstar QB Lamar Jackson. Keep in mind, the Rams have held opponents to just 3.5 yards per rush this season. Baltimore has been able to take its last several opponents out of their gameplan early but I don't expect that to happen here. The Rams should be able to find some success moving the football on the ground, effectively shortening this game and limiting the amount of time the Ravens explosive offense takes the field. I also like the fact that Los Angeles has done an incredible job of taking away big passing plays downfield. The Rams have to feel a little disrespected being installed as a field goal underdog in this one. I'm anticipating a tightly-contested affair all the way and will grab all the points I can get with the home side. Take Los Angeles (8*).

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Steve Janus

Nov 25 '19, 10:35 PM in 16h
NHL | Sharks vs Kings
Play on: Sharks -123 at pinnacle

1* Free Sharp Play on Sharks -123

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275BALTIMORE -276 LA RAMS
BALTIMORE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

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Football jesus free pick : Rams plus pts

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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 12

Monday, November 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (8 - 2) at LA RAMS (6 - 4) - 11/25/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 92-123 ATS (-43.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 73-106 ATS (-43.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS are 71-104 ATS (-43.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LA RAMS are 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NFL

Week 12

Trend Report


Monday, November 25

Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
LA Rams is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 5 games
LA Rams is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Rams's last 9 games when playing Baltimore
LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing LA Rams
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Rams

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NFL

Week 12
Ravens (8-2) @ Rams (6-4)— Explosive Baltimore won its last six games, covered last four; they scored 42.3 ppg in their three post-bye games, scoring 14 TD’s on last 25 drives. Ravens gave up 33-40 points in their two losses (weeks 3-4), giving up 7.9/10.5 yards/pass attempt; Rams need WR Woods to play well here- he missed LW’s game (personal reasons). Baltimore is 4-3 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite,, 2-1 TY. Rams started three rookies on OL in their shaky 17-7 win over Bears LW; LA won three of last four games overall, giving up only 11 ppg (allowed 5 TD’s on last 45 drives). Rams’ last five games stayed under total. Ravens won last three series games, by average score of 25-8. Under McVay, Rams are 4-2 ATS as an underdog, 0-1 at home. Former Ram Peters is a Baltimore CB, figures to be a central figure here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 12

Monday, November 25

Baltimore @ LA Rams

Game 275-276
November 25, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
140.923
LA Rams
140.752
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
Even
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 3 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(+3 1/2); Over

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NFL's Top ATS Teams:

t1. Patriots 7-3 ATS
t1. Packers 7-3 ATS
t1. Saints 7-3 ATS
t1. Rams 7-3 ATS
t1. Cardinals 7-3-1 ATS
6. Bills 5-3-1 ATS
t7. Cowboys 6-4 ATS
t7. Raiders 6-4 ATS
t7. Steelers 6-4 ATS
t7. Broncos 6-4 ATS


NFL's Worst ATS Teams:

32. Buccaneers 2-8 ATS
t29. Redskins 3-7 ATS
t29. Giants 3-7 ATS
t29. Bears 3-7 ATS
t27. Browns 3-6-1 ATS
t27. Chargers 3-6-2 ATS
t22. Bengals, Jets, Lions, Falcons, Eagles 4-6 ATS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 12
Bruce Marshall

Monday, Nov. 25

BALTIMORE at L.A. RAMS - (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Ravens 4-1 SU and vs. line away TY, 7-1 vs. spread last eight away. Also “over” 4-1 away. Rams 3-6 vs. spread last 9 at Coliseum.
Tech Edge: Ravens, based on team trends.

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NFL Betting Stats heading into Week 12:

Road Teams: 90-68-4 ATS
Home Teams: 68-90-4 ATS

Favorites: 69-89-4 ATS
Underdogs: 89-69-4 ATS

Home Faves: 41-62-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 27-28 ATS

Road Faves: 28-27 ATS
Road Dogs: 62-41-4 ATS

O/U: 79-83

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765LA-LAFAYETTE -766 DETROIT
DETROIT is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.

767KENT ST -768 OHIO ST
KENT ST is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=41% of their attempts since 1997.

769CHICAGO ST -770 FLORIDA ST
FLORIDA ST is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) after 3 straight games where opponent grabbed 31 or less rebounds since 1997.

771ARKANSAS -772 GEORGIA TECH
ARKANSAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite over the last 2 seasons.

773UT-CHATTANOOGA -774 TENNESSEE
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

775OAKLAND -776 N ILLINOIS
OAKLAND is 63-40 ATS (19 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.

777CS-NORTHRIDGE -778 WI-GREEN BAY
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) in November games since 1997.

779LOUISIANA TECH -780 INDIANA
LOUISIANA TECH is 116-82 ATS (25.8 Units) off a home win since 1997.

781TENNESSEE ST -782 SAN DIEGO ST
SAN DIEGO ST is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

783NORTHEASTERN -784 S ALABAMA
S ALABAMA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after a combined score of 155 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

783NORTHEASTERN -784 S ALABAMA
Richie Riley is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after a combined score of 155 points or more (Coach of S ALABAMA)

785DRAKE -786 MIAMI OHIO
MIAMI OHIO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) in the last 3 seasons.

789MURRAY ST -790 LASALLE
MURRAY ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

791COLORADO ST -792 NEW MEXICO ST
COLORADO ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

793LOYOLA-IL -794 S FLORIDA
S FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.

795GEORGE MASON -796 OLD DOMINION
GEORGE MASON is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

797WASHINGTON ST -798 NEBRASKA
WASHINGTON ST is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

799YALE -800 W MICHIGAN
YALE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

801SEATTLE -802 BUCKNELL
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

803GRAND CANYON -804 ILLINOIS ST
ILLINOIS ST is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

805FORDHAM -806 W KENTUCKY
W KENTUCKY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) vs. excellent teams (Win Pct: 80%+) in the last 3 seasons.

811GEORGIA -812 DAYTON
DAYTON is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

813VIRGINIA TECH -814 MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN ST is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

817BYU -818 UCLA
BYU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

819LOYOLA-MD -820 IUPUI
LOYOLA-MD is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% over the last 2 seasons.

821SOUTHERN U -822 NEBRASKA-OMAHA
SOUTHERN U is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

825NORTHWESTERN -826 BRADLEY
NORTHWESTERN is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

827RICHMOND -828 WISCONSIN
RICHMOND is 82-58 ATS (18.2 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better since 1997.

829NEW MEXICO -830 AUBURN
NEW MEXICO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog since 1997.

831BUTLER -832 MISSOURI
BUTLER is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

833STANFORD -834 OKLAHOMA
STANFORD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

1775ALBANY -1776 PRESBYTERIAN
ALBANY is 15-1 ATS (13.9 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game since 1997.

1777FARLEIGH DICKINSON -1778 LAFAYETTE
LAFAYETTE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a home win by 10 points or more since 1997.

1781LONG ISLAND -1782 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts in the last 3 seasons.

1783N FLORIDA -1784 CREIGHTON
CREIGHTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) off a home win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

1789MISS VALLEY ST -1790 S DAKOTA ST
MISS VALLEY ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

1791SACRED HEART -1792 QUINNIPIAC
QUINNIPIAC is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games since 1997.

1793CS-NORTHRIDGE -1794 COLGATE
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

1793CS-NORTHRIDGE -1794 COLGATE
Mark Gottfried is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game (Coach of CS-NORTHRIDGE)

1795LAMAR -1796 KENTUCKY
LAMAR is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) on the road when the total is 135-139.5 since 1997.

1797NEW ORLEANS -1798 HAWAII
HAWAII is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

1801LIPSCOMB -1802 TENNESSEE TECH
LIPSCOMB is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games off a road win over the last 2 seasons.

1803ALABAMA ST -1804 VA COMMONWEALTH
VA COMMONWEALTH is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

1805TROY -1806 ALABAMA A&M
TROY is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

1807ABILENE CHRISTIAN -1808 TEXAS ST
TEXAS ST is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

1809S CAROLINA ST -1810 AUSTIN PEAY
Matt Figger is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game (Coach of AUSTIN PEAY)

1809S CAROLINA ST -1810 AUSTIN PEAY
AUSTIN PEAY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% over the last 2 seasons.

1811SE LOUISIANA -1812 VANDERBILT
VANDERBILT is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

1813JACKSONVILLE -1814 CAMPBELL
JACKSONVILLE is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days since 1997.

1815TEXAS SOUTHERN -1816 MONTANA
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) since 1997.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Monday, November 25

Arkansas won its first five games under new coach Musselman, against schedule #290; best team Hogs have beaten is #129 South Dakota (77-56). Georgia Tech. Razorbacks are forcing turnovers 29.1% of time; their 35.7% defensive eFG% is #1 in country. Arkansas is experience team #85 that starts two sophs, two seniors. Georgia Tech lost by 4 ay Georgia in last game, going 12-23 on foul line. Tech is experience team #191 whose subs play minutes #315, starting two juniors, two sophs. Opponents are shooting 36.7% inside arc vs Tech (#4).

Indiana won its first five games vs schedule #352; none of their five victims are ranked above #230. Hoosiers are forcing turnovers 21% of time (#120); they’re making 60.8% of 2-pointers, ahem #15 eFG% in country. Indiana is experience team #300 whose subs play minutes #23; they start three juniors, two frosh. Louisiana Tech won three of its first four games (schedule #336), with only loss by 10 to Creighton. Bulldogs are experience team #41 that starts three seniors, two juniors- they’ve made only 28.4% of their 3’s so far (#281).

Murray State won two of its first three games, with lone loss 82-63 at #19 Tennesee; Racers are experience team #194 that starts two sophs, two seniors. Murray has scored 28.4% of its points on foul line (#4)- they went 30-39 on line in their last game, a 79-66 win over Southern Illinois. LaSalle hasn’t played in nine days since losing first two of first three games; Explorers are #288 experience team, starting two frosh, two juniors, whose bench plays minutes #24- they’ve turned ball over 22.8% of time, gotten 38.7% of their points behind arc (#43).

Old Dominion won its last two games with George Mason by 5-6 points; these former CAA rivals are playing for first time in five years. Mason won five of its first six games vs schedule #280; they lost by 23 at Maryland in their only game vs a top 200 opponent. Patriots are #289 that starts three juniors, two sophs; they’ve rebounded 35.4% of their missed shots (#35). ODU won three of first five games, with two losses by total of 7 points; Monarchs force turnovers 23.2%of time (#49)- they’re experience team #158 that starts four juniors, one senior.

Nebraska split its first four games (schedule #344); they’ve been one of worst rebounding teams in country so far. Huskers are #234 in exprience, #352 in continuity; they made 12-21 on arc in last game, an OT win over #340 Southern, but are shooting only 55.6% on foul line (#344). Washington State split its first four games (schedule #276), losing to Santa Cara/Omaha- they are turning ball over 10.1% of time, best in country. Coogs are shooting only 28.7% on arc; they are experience team #119 that starts two sophs, two seniors.

Yale lost three of last four games, with the win in triple OT over Siena; all three of their losses are by 7 or less points- they lost by a hoop a Penn State Saturday, when they blew a 16-point lead with 9:12 left. Bulldogs are experience team #48 whose bench plays minutes #247- they start three juniors, two seniors. Western Michigan is 3-2, losing its two top 200 games, at Ole Miss by 27, at Oklahoma State by 7. Broncos are experience team #307 that starts two frosh, one sops-their best win was in triple OT, 115-110 over Milwaukee November 9.

Maui Classic
Dayton scored 89.7 ppg in winning its first three games (schedule #320); Flyers are making 72% of their shots inside the arc, giving them the best eFG% in country. Dayton is experience team #299 that starts two juniors, two seniors- they’ve forced turnovers 21.1% of time so far (#116). Georgia won its first four games, beating three stiffs, and Georgia by 4; Jackets are forcing turnovers 21.6% of time (#103)- they start two sophs, two juniors. Tech has a quality win in OT at NC State; they’ve turned ball over 21.1% of time, are shooting 62.5% on foul line.

Michigan State lost by 7 on a neutral court to Kentucky, won by 3 at Seton Hall, and also beat two stiffs, as star player Winston plays after tragic death of his brother. Spartans are experience team #269 whose bench plays minutes #44; they’ve got #13 eFG% defense in county. Virginia Tech won its first five games vs the easiest schedule in country so far, even with their win at Clemson, their only top 225 win. Hokies are experience team #349 with a new coach; they start three frosh, two juniors, were 21-37 on arc, taking only 25 2-pointers in their last game.

UCLA won its first four games, then lost 88-78 at home to Hofstra, a bad loss; Bruins are #284 experience team that starts a frosh, two sophs- this is their first game away form home. UCLA is getting 25.1% of its points on foul line (#19) as they learn new coach Cronin’s system. BYU is 3-2 so far, vs schedule #108; they lost their last game in OT at Boise State, getting outscored 19-5 on foul line. Cougars are experience team #17 that starts three seniors- they’re still without best big guy Childs, whose suspension ends after this tournament.

@ Fort Myers, FL
Kansas State won its first four games vs schedule #330, with best win by 4 in OT at UNLV; Wildcats are experience team #183 that starts two seniors, three juniors- they’ve made only 25.6% of their 3’s so far (#329). Wildcats are forcing turnovers 28% of time (#6) but this will be the best team they’ve played so far. Pitt is 4-2 so far vs schedule #250; Panthers are experience team #315 that is forcing turnovers 23.9% of time (#37)- they start three sophs, two juniors. Panthers are only 11 for last 51 on arc; they’ve played pace #344 so far this month.

@ Brooklyn
Auburn won its first five games vs schedule #165; their best win so far was a 76-66 win over #69 Davidson on a neutral floor. Tigers are experience team #86 (#253 in continuity) that is shooting 61.5% inside arc- their eFG% is #10 in country. Auburn scored 96.7 ppg in its three home games, only 73 ppg in two games away from home. New Mexico won five of its first six games, splitting last two games that were decided by total of 3 point. Lobos are experience team #7 that has played pace #17 so far- they’re getting 24.9% of their points on foul line (#22).

@ Kansas City
Butler won its first five games (all at home) vs schedule #306; their best win was by 8 over #73 Minnesota. Bulldogs are experience team #75 that starts two seniors, two juniors- they’re forcing turnovers 22% of time while playing pace #319- their eFG% defense is #27 in country. Missouri won four of its first five games (schedule #272), with only loss by 5 n OT at Xavier; Tigers are forcing turnovers 22.6% of time (#64)- they’re experience team #279 that starts three juniors, but doesn’t have any seniors in their rotation.

Oklahoma won its first five games vs schedule #240; Sooners are experience team #251 with a neutral floor win over Minnesota and a win over Oregon State in Portland. Oklahoma starts two seniors, one junior- they’re turning ball over only 13.3% of time (#5) while playing pace #69. Stanford won its first six games, vs schedule #346, with only top 200 wins by 21 over Montana, ; 18 over Santa Clara- they’re stepping up in class here. Cardinal are experience team #334 that is starting two frosh and a soph- they’ve made 43% of their 3’s so far (#6).