Service Plays Saturday 11/30/19

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Ben Burns

big 10 gom

Wisconsin -2

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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Sunday, Dec 1 2019 12:30AM
433 Army 3.0(-110) Westgate vs 434 Hawaii triple-dime bet

Analysis: Yes, we know we just pushed last week fading Hawaii (some of you lost if you bet on Gameday). However, It’s all about the situation for this handicap. We have a Hawaii team off a division-clinching win over San Diego State last week that went down to the wire (San Diego St missed a FG on the final play that would’ve sent it to OT) and the Warriors have the Mountain West Championship game on deck. Will Hawaii be max motivated here? It’s a legit question and the last team you’d want to face with motivation issues is a service academy. Remember, Air Force crushed them by 30 on the Islands earlier this year. On the other side, Army is off a bye, needs a win to get to 6 wins, and has a bye on deck.

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris - CFB
3 Unit Play. Take #352 Tennessee -21 over Vanderbilt (4:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, SEC Network)
4 Unit Play. Take #354 Syracuse +4.5 over Wake Forest (12:30 PM, Saturday, November 30, ACC Extra)
4 Unit Play. Take #356 Coastal Carolina -7 over Texas St (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, ESPN +)
4 Unit Play. Take #359 North Carolina -9 over NC State (7:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, ACC Network)
4 Unit Play. Take #378 Utah -28 over Colorado (7:30 PM, Saturday, November 30, ABC)
4 Unit Play. Take #382 Western Kentucky -8.5 over Middle Tennessee St (2:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, ESPN +)
4 Unit Play. Take #386 San Jose St +2.5 over Fresno St (10:30 PM, Saturday, November 30, ESPN 2)
3 Unit Play. Take #395 Louisville +3 over Kentucky (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, SEC Network)
3 Unit Play. Take #408 Oklahoma St +13 over Oklahoma (8:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, FOX)
6 Unit Play. Take #421 UAB -3 over North Texas (4:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, Stadium)
3 Unit Play. Take #425 Miami (FL) -9 over Duke (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 30 ESPN 2)
3 Unit Play. Take #431 Oregon St +19.5 over Oregon (4:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, Pac-12 Network)
7 Unit Play. Take #433 Army +3 over Hawaii (11:59 PM, Saturday, November 30, CBS Sports Network)
2 Unit Totals:
2 Unit Play. Take #343/344 Georgia vs Georgia Tech Under 46.5 (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, ABC)
2 Unit Play. Take #357/358 Iowa St vs Kansas St Over 46.5 (7:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, FS1)
2 Unit Play. Take #367/368 Ohio St vs Michigan Over 49.5 (12:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, FOX)
2 Unit Play. Take #397/398 Alabama vs Auburn Under 50 (3:30 PM, Saturday, November 30, CBS)
2 Unit Play. Take #401/402 Georgia St vs Georgia Southern Over 57.5 (6:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, ESPN +)
2 Unit Play. Take #423/424 Utah St vs New Mexico Under 63.5 (4:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, Facebook)
2 Unit Play. Take #431/432 Oregon St vs Oregon Over 65.5 (4:00 PM, Saturday, November 30, Pac-12 Network)

[FATMANWINS]

ATS
8 Liberty
8 army
7 ohio st
7 florida
7 wake

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The Sharp Plays:

Robinhood: michigan ncaaf

The top NCAAF bettor in action is not someone I pick. I simply run a scan of the book’s system and the bettor with the highest ROI for that particular sport who has an active bet that day is who I select for the content here. With that said, the top NCAAF bettor in action is going with Michigan +8.5 over Ohio St as well as the moneyline. I would advise 0.75 units on Michigan +8.5 over Ohio St. That’s it for the early card.

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Jack Jones

25* College Football GAME OF THE YEAR on Michigan +9.5

The Michigan Wolverines turned their season around in the second half against Penn State, coming back from a 21-0 deficit and coming a dropped pass away from sending that game to overtime. They really deserved to win that game as they outgunned the Nittany Lions by 124 yards. In fact, the Wolverines have outgained 10 of their 11 opponents this season. I think they’re every bit as good as Ohio State right now, and it will show on the field Saturday.
The Wolverines came back the next week after the Penn State loss and crushed a very good Notre Dame team 45-14 at home. They outgained the Fighting Irish by 257 yards in the win, so there was nothing fluky about it. They went on to beat Maryland 38-7 and Michigan State 44-10. And last week, I actually faded Michigan and took Indiana thinking it was a sandwich spot. It wasn’t, and the Wolverines remained focused and handled their business in a 39-14 win as 10-point favorites.
Ohio State has been grossly overvalued here down the stretch after a great start to the season against a soft schedule. The Buckeyes failed to cover as 52-point favorites in a 56-21 win at Rutgers. And last week they found themselves fighting Penn State tooth and nail at home, pulling out the eventual 28-17l win as 20-point favorites.
Ohio State QB Justin Fields suffered an ankle injury in that Penn State game that hampered him and will continue to slow him this week. That’s a huge advantage for this Michigan defense as he won’t be the dual-threat he usually would be. And stopping the run is the key to stopping Ohio State as Fields is suspect as a passer.
The Wolverines have the clear answer for Ohio State’s rushing attack. Michigan allows just 106 rushing yards per game and 2.8 per carry. They are holding opponents to 68 rushing yards per game and 1.7 per carry less than their season averages. They have one of the best run defenses in the country. And while Michigan is almost fully healthy with only two players on the injury report, Ohio State has a plethora of injuries with 13 players on the injury report and a ton with a questionable tag.
Michigan QB Shea Patterson has taken his game to the next level this season and is capable out out dueling Fields in this one. He is completing 59.5% of his passes for 2,523 yards with a 21-to-5 TD/INT ratio this season while averaging 8.4 yards per attempt. And Patterson has been really good during the current four-game winning streak with all four wins by 25 points or more and the offense averaging 41.5 points per game He has a 12-to-1 ratio in his last four games.
Michigan wants this game like blood. The Wolverines have lost seven straight in this series to Ohio State. Jim Harbaugh was brought in here to beat Ohio State, and it’s time in Year 4. I think this is the perfect spot to do so, and he finally has the team to get it done. The game doesn’t mean as much for the Buckeyes, who clinched the Big Ten East division last year. They could lose this game and still win the Big Ten title next week against Wisconsin or Minnesota and make the four-team playoff. A loss won’t keep them out. This is Michigan’s Super Bowl.
Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (Michigan) - in a game involving two dominant teams who are outgaining their opponents by 1.2 or more yards per play, after gaining 450 or more total yards in two straight games are 38-13 (74.5%) ATS over the last five seasons.
Michigan is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. good offensive teams that score 31 or more points per game over the last three seasons. Jim Harbaugh is 10-1 ATS vs. excellent rushing defensive that allow 2.75 or fewer yards per carry in all games as a head coach. Harbaugh is 9-2 ATS vs. excellent rushing teams that average 5.25 or more yards per carry as the coach of Michigan. The Wolverines are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. Bet Michigan Saturday.

Pick Released on Nov 29 at 10:15 pm
Premium Pick
Nov 30 '19, 12:00 PM
NCAA-F |Florida International vs Marshall

Play on: Marshall -7½ -110

Game Analysis
15* CFB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Marshall -7.5
The Marshall Thundering Herd are still playing to try and win C-USA’s East Division. They need a win and a Florida Atlantic loss to Southern Miss this week to get in. They have the tiebreaker over both FAU and Western Kentucky. And it’s Senior Day, so they’ll be max motivated.
The same cannot be said for Florida International. They just clinched their 6th win and bowl eligibility last week. They did so by beating big brother Miami outright as a 21-point underdog. I think they will be partying all week and won’t care at all about this game. It’s a massive letdown spot for the Golden Panthers.
FIU is 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in true road games this season and losing by 23 points per game. They lost by 28 at Tulane, by 12 at LA Tech, by 33 at Middle Tennessee and by 30 at Florida Atlantic. Marshall is 5-1 at home this season with their only loss coming to 10-2 Cincinnati.
The Golden Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last four conference games. The Thundering Herd are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Roll with Marshall Saturday.

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Best Sports Capper

NCAAF: Liberty -14.5

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Midwest Capper

NCAAF: San Jose State +2.5

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Stephen Nover

MW GOY

Nevada

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preferred picks

10* game of yr. FSU

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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

5* Alabama-3.5 NCAAFB

3* GA Southern-7 NCAAFB

3* Army+3 NCAAFB

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Bondi

5* Georgia
3* Wake Forest, Wyoming

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ELITE SPORTS PICKS

Oklahoma State+13.5 NCAAFB

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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

4* Oregon State+20 NCAAFB

3* Ohio state-8 NCAAFB

3* Fresno/San Jose UNDER 61 NCAAFB

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Pinnacle Sports Picks

CFB: Indiana -7