Thursday 12-5-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 7	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
Claiming $4,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 38 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 5:30P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON $5,000 IN 2019 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 20 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 5 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. MI NIETA DANIRA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PRINCESS YADELISE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MUNECA BRAVA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MISS WHATSAPP: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth sta rt after a layoff. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MI NIETA DANIRA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distanc e (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
7	PRINCESS YADELISE	2/1	5/1
3	MUNECA BRAVA	5/1	5/1
4	MISS WHATSAPP	3/1	7/1
1	MI NIETA DANIRA	10/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	MI NIETA DANIRA	1	10/1	Front-runner	34	20	25.2	16.2	5.2
4	MISS WHATSAPP	4	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	37	22	25.8	26.8	19.8
3	MUNECA BRAVA	3	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	35	23	23.2	29.0	25.5
7	PRINCESS YADELISE	7	2/1	Trailer	18	39	16.3	27.9	21.9
6	LA FLOR PONCENA	6	10/1	Trailer	35	26	13.1	24.5	15.5
5	MISS BIANCAMAR	5	10/1	Trailer	35	17	1.2	16.8	5.8
2	LA PITIRRE	2	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	53	36	0.0	22.0	12.5
8	DONA DELIA	8	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	3.8	0.0

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 87

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 KERRI'S CHOICE 2/1
# 1 SENDITLIKECHILLY 6/5
# 7 GALLANT HEAT 8/1

I think KERRI'S CHOICE is a solid choice. He has been travelling quite well lately while recording solid Equibase Speed Figures. Reyes ought to be able to get this gelding to break out sharply for this race. The Equibase Speed Figure of 88 from his most recent affair looks formidable in here. SENDITLIKECHILLY - The speed figure of 79 from his last race looks very strong in here. Is hard not to consider based on Speed Figures which have been very good - 82 avg - of late. GALLANT HEAT - He looks competitive in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #8 - Post: 10:17pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,500 Class Rating: 80

Rating:

#4 WIZARD OF ODDS (ML=6/1)


WIZARD OF ODDS - A campaigner coming back this promptly after a nice outing is a good signal. You have to always check out this type of speed demon with an inside post in a sprint on a tight track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 JOOPSTER (ML=6/5), #7 LAST PLUNGE (ML=5/1), #9 NO MISTAKE N ME (ML=8/1),

JOOPSTER - Can't play this less than sharp equine in today's sprint of 4 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint affair lately. LAST PLUNGE - Would have to advance off that ninth place finish last time out to make an impact here. Hard to put any money on this gelding on the top end. Likes to end up on the board though. NO MISTAKE N ME - Disappointing speed rating in the last race at Charles Town at 4 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this runner will improve too much in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 WIZARD OF ODDS is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	4 with 6
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct

12/05/19, AQU, Race 7, 3.15 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000.
(UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	7	The Great Johanna	7/2	Alvarado J	Ferraro James W.	FEW
098.6304	6	Gracetown	5-1	Lezcano J	Rice Linda	J
098.0324	4	Girl of Tosconova	6-1	Rosario J	Baker Charlton
097.3573	5	Champagne Bliss	4-1	Rodriguez Castro L A	Summers Chad	S
096.3349	8	Kingdom's Queen	5/2	Franco M	Donk David G.
096.2577	2	Summer Fantasy	6-1	Luzzi M J	Englehart Jeremiah C.	TL
094.6373	3	Floss Dancer	12-1	Diaz. Jr. H R	Tannuzzo Michael
092.4769	1	Derby Day Zip	20-1	Davis D	Reynolds Patrick L.	C

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to AQU.

7	75.80	21.60	1.32	41.03	48	117	Second Race After 45 Days Off
6	39.80	40.00	1.07	34.57	93	269	Last Race Purse Higher Than Today
4	39.80	40.00	1.07	34.57	93	269	Last Race Purse Higher Than Today
5	75.80	21.60	1.32	41.03	48	117	Second Race After 45 Days Off
8	39.80	40.00	1.07	34.57	93	269	Last Race Purse Higher Than Today
2	48.50	40.00	1.21	30.97	35	113	5f Workout Since Last Race
3	75.80	21.60	1.32	41.03	48	117	Second Race After 45 Days Off
1	48.40	21.00	1.47	40.38	21	52	Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Better Win Percent

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.77, Win% 28.05

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Fair Grounds - Race #3 - Post: 1:28pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#7 MS MEER (ML=8/1)


MS MEER - After the event aboard this horse on Oct 25th, the rider is going to be in touch with the filly much better. I always like to see a thoroughbred getting Lasix for the 1st time. Hartman adds it on this one today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 OH BETTE (ML=7/5), #6 DRAGON DRAGON (ML=4/1), #8 STREET CONSCIOUS (ML=9/2),

OH BETTE - The sixth place finish in the last event was not the greatest. Difficult to put your cash on the win end of any racer that finishes second and third as regularly as this thoroughbred does. DRAGON DRAGON - Substandard speed fig last time out at Delta Downs at 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this mount will improve too much in today's event. STREET CONSCIOUS - Awfully difficult to wager on this pony when she hasn't been showing any gumption lately. Not probable that the speed fig she registered on Sep 3rd will be good enough in this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#7 MS MEER to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $18100 Class Rating: 97

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 5 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 5 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 WRONG BEN 5/2
# 1 PAPADOPALOUS 6/1
# 2 THURMAN MERMAN 8/1

WRONG BEN appears to be the wager in here. Ought to be considered in here if only for the very strong Equibase Speed Figure earned in the last contest. Is worth a close look and may be a wager - strong Equibase Speed Figs (86 average) at today's distance and surface recently. He has a solid distance/surface win record - 7 out of 19. PAPADOPALOUS - Could beat this group given the 95 Equibase Speed Fig garnered in his last outing. THURMAN MERMAN - Well above average win clip at this distance/surface.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

12/05/19, GP, Race 1, 12.35 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $19,000.
Claiming Price $12,500. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quiniela / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	6	Magnitude Ten	9/2	Rendon J	Becker Scott	TS
096.7181	7	Two Cents Worth	5-1	Torres C A	Nicks Ralph E.	FE
095.7709	8	Dixieland Dream	10-1	Lopez P	Orseno Joseph F.	J
095.5947	2	Mystic Comin Home	8-1	Panici L	Pita Daniel
094.5154	9	Cosi Momosi	12-1	Sanchez J	Combest Phil	W
094.4714	13	Gipsey Sorceress	8-1	Martinez E	Westlye Kenneth
094.3833	12	Secret Miss	10-1	Gonzales J J	Crichton Rohan	L
093.7004	11	Queen Marcella(b-)	8-1	Gonzalez S	Amaya Gustavo
093.6784	3	Harts N Flowers	4-1	Maragh T	Miller Herbert
093.3921	1	Kingston Time(b+)	12-1	Juarez N	Lerman Michael
092.0705	4	Awesome Foxy Lady	15-1	Jaramillo E	Gonzalez Oscar M.
090.0220	10	Tricky Print(b-)	20-1	Maragh R	Antonucci Jena M.
089.7137	5	Ms. Porkseidon	20-1	Henry W	Creel Rick

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.

6	24.40	20.60	1.14	36.47	31	85	Race Sex Females
7	24.40	20.60	1.14	36.47	31	85	Race Sex Females
8	24.40	20.60	1.14	36.47	31	85	Race Sex Females
2	24.40	20.60	1.14	36.47	31	85	Race Sex Females
9	25.20	20.60	1.12	34.31	35	102	Last Race Weight Is Equal To Today
13	36.60	20.60	1.16	39.64	44	111	Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
12	28.20	17.20	1.34	42.86	18	42	Best LeadPack
11	24.40	20.60	1.14	36.47	31	85	Race Sex Females
3	24.40	20.60	1.14	36.47	31	85	Race Sex Females
1	24.40	20.60	1.14	36.47	31	85	Race Sex Females
4	24.40	20.60	1.14	36.47	31	85	Race Sex Females
10	24.40	20.60	1.14	36.47	31	85	Race Sex Females
5	24.40	20.60	1.14	36.47	31	85	Race Sex Females

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 1.14, Win% 38.57

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Dec 05 '19, 7:05 PM in 7h
NHL | Wild vs Lightning
Play on: Lightning -200 at YouWager

Free Pick on Lightning

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Bobby Conn

Dec 05 '19, 7:05 PM in 7h
NHL | Golden Knights vs Islanders
Play on: Golden Knights +105 at YouWager

1* Free Play on Golden Knights +105
While the Golden Knights (15-11-4, 34 points) struggle to keep up in the Pacific, the Islanders (18-6-2, 38 points) trail only Washington in the Metropolitan. Tonight, these two clubs will face off in New York.
Vegas used an overtime game followed by a shootout game to kick off their current four-game winning streak. One of those four wins came against tonight’s opponent, who they beat by a score of 4-1 in New York. Vegas has scored four goals in three of those four wins.
On average, the Golden Knights are scoring 2.93 goals per game (T-17th) while allowing 2.83 goals per game (12th).
Marc-Andre Fleury has racked up 11 wins for Vegas while allowing 2.54 goals per game with a .919 save percentage. However, Malcolm Subban has played in each of Vegas’ last five games, winning four of them.
Prior to Tuesday’s 4-2 loss to Montreal, the Islanders won a pair of games over Columbus and Detroit. However, New York has now won just two of their last six games. In five of those six games, the Islanders have failed to score more than two goals.
On average, the Islanders are scoring 2.88 goals per game (19th) while allowing 2.42 goals per game (3rd).
Mathew Barzal leads New York in every major offensive category with 11 goals and 13 assists for 24 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Dec 05 '19, 7:05 PM in 7h
NBA | 76ers vs Wizards
Play on: 76ers -6½ -109 at GTBets

1* Free Sharp Play on 76ers -6½ -109
My money is on the 76ers to cash in an easy win and cover on the road against the Wizards. Philadelphia has won 4 straight and 8 of 9 overall with the only loss coming at Toronto. They should have no problem here turning this into a blowout. Wizards are the worst defensive team in the league and are going to be without big man Thomas Bryant and if Mortiz Wagner can't go they will be down their top 3 centers. Bryant isn't just a loss defensively, he's Washington's second leading scorer and the only guy on their team averaging more than 6 rebounds a game. 76ers are going to score at will here and I don't see Washington keeping pace. BET PHILADELPHIA -6.5!

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Cole Faxon

Dec 05 '19, 7:05 PM in 7h
NHL | Blackhawks vs Bruins
Play on: Blackhawks +210 at Bovada

FREE PLAY on Blackhawks +210

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Rob Vinciletti

Dec 05 '19, 7:05 PM in 7h
NBA | 76ers vs Wizards
Play on: OVER 234 -106

The NBA Comp play is on the over in the Philadelphia at Washington game at 7:30 eastern. this game fits a nice totals system that pertains to rested road favorites like Philly off a home favored win and cover with a 210 or higher total vs a team like Washington off a spread loss in a game where the line was -3 to +3. Philly has gone over in 6 of 8 as a road favorite in this ranger and 27of 38 on the road vs losing home teams as well as 4 of 5 on Thursdays. Washington has flown over in 14 of 17 as a dog, 23 of 34 off a loss and 8 of the last 11 overall. Look for this game to go over tonight. For the NBA Free play go with the over in the Washington vs Philadelphia game. RV- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Dec 05 '19, 7:05 PM in 7h
NHL | Wild vs Lightning
Play on: Wild +200 at Bovada

1* on Wild +200

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Dec 05 '19, 7:05 PM in 7h
NHL | Golden Knights vs Islanders
Play on: Islanders -120 at Bovada

1* Free Pick on Islanders -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Dec 05 '19, 7:35 PM in 8h
NBA | Nuggets vs Knicks
Play on: Knicks +9½ -110 at Bovada

1* NBA - Free Pick on New York Knicks +9½
I like the value here with the Knicks as a near double-digit dog at home against the Nuggets. This line has clearly been inflated in favor of Denver, as the perception on New York couldn't be much worse right now. Knicks have lost 7 straight and are fresh off a 132-88 blowout loss at Milwaukee.
Any time a team gets embarrassed the way NY just did, they tend to bounce back with a big effort and that's what I'm counting on here from the Knicks. I also think they are catching the Nuggets at the right time. Denver is off back-to-back losses and their best player, Nikola Jokic is in a funk, as he's averaging just 9.0 ppg in his last 4 contests.
Nuggets are also just 3-8 ATS last 11 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games, while the Knicks are a profitable 6-2 ATS last 8 times they are coming off a loss of more than 10-points. Take New York!