Tweet
| R and R Totals | NBA | LOS ANGELES LAKERS/PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS o224 |
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
NHL
Long Sheet
Friday, December 6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHICAGO (11-12-0-5, 27 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (9-14-0-4, 22 pts.) - 12/6/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 375-382 ATS (-153.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 91-74 ATS (+1.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 9-18 ATS (+30.6 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 9-18 ATS (+27.9 Units) first half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 1-6 ATS (-6.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW JERSEY is 1-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 3-1 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 3-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARIZONA (17-9-0-4, 38 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (15-9-0-4, 34 pts.) - 12/6/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 20-16 ATS (+43.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 20-16 ATS (+43.4 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-1 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
ARIZONA is 6-1 ATS (+7.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
ARIZONA is 28-26 ATS (+64.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 12-5 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 35-38 ATS (-32.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-0-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MONTREAL (12-11-0-6, 30 pts.) at NY RANGERS (14-10-0-3, 31 pts.) - 12/6/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 14-35 ATS (+57.0 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 103-125 ATS (-40.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 165-162 ATS (-78.3 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LOS ANGELES (11-16-0-2, 24 pts.) at EDMONTON (17-10-0-3, 37 pts.) - 12/6/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 213-270 ATS (-88.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 29-61 ATS (+103.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 34-28 ATS (+3.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 63-79 ATS (-37.5 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.
EDMONTON is 6-11 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 14-26 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 11-20 ATS (-14.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 10-15 ATS (-8.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 86-102 ATS (-79.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-5-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON (21-4-0-5, 47 pts.) at ANAHEIM (12-12-0-4, 28 pts.) - 12/6/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 299-230 ATS (+42.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 460-472 ATS (-76.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 21-9 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 32-21 ATS (+10.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-9 ATS (+8.5 Units) first half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 133-85 ATS (+28.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 0-6 ATS (+6.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 3-2 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 3-2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)Comment
-
NHL
Dunkel
Friday, December 6
Chicago @ New Jersey
Game 63-64
December 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
11.099
New Jersey
9.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Jersey
-140
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+120); Over
Arizona @ Pittsburgh
Game 65-66
December 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
11.446
Pittsburgh
12.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-175
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-175); Under
Montreal @ NY Rangers
Game 67-68
December 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
11.582
NY Rangers
10.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
-115
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(-115); Under
Los Angeles @ Edmonton
Game 69-70
December 6, 2019 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
10.607
Edmonton
9.231
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-165
6
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+145); Over
Washington @ Anaheim
Game 71-72
December 6, 2019 @ 10:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
12.279
Anaheim
11.328
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-140
6
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-140); UnderComment
-
by: Josh Inglis
DECEMBER OF THE PENGUINS
The Metropolitan Division is possibly the most competitive in the league. The Pittsburgh Penguins are 15-9-2 but still sit in fourth place. The Pens are staying in the thick of the race thanks in part to the Eastern Conferences second-best goal differential at home (+20) and only trail the Boston Bruins for most points on home ice.
The Crosby-less Penguins (3-2 SU, 3-2 O/U last five) come into Friday’s game against the Arizona Coyotes (3-2 SU, 3-2 O/U last five) winners of their last four and most recently blanked the Cup champs 3-0 on Wednesday. Pittsburgh has taken 17 of a possible 19 points at home since October 29 and have also won five of the last six games versus Arizona including the last five contests in Pittsburgh.
Take the Pens’ 3-way ML for this Friday night matchup.
MATINEE MONEY MAKING
The Vancouver Canucks are 7-4-1 O/U at home this year and have hit the Over in eight of their last 11 games. Since November 15, the Canucks (2-3 SU, 3-2 O/U last five) sit seventh in expected goals for and 28th in expected goals against. Add that up and you get a team that has the second-most goals per game behind the porous Montreal Canadiens.
The Buffalo Sabres (2-3 SU, 3-2 O/U last five) will continue their West Coast road trip on Saturday in Vancouver as they play the second game of a three-game road trip in four nights. The Sabres are 4-2 O/U in their last six as Buffalo’s penalty kill has been near the bottom of the league for the entirety of the season.
With the Canucks scoring on 33 percent of their power plays since November 15, we are expecting some lamplighters on Saturday’s 4:00 p.m. afternoon game (1:00 p.m. in Vancouver). We will take the Over at 6.5 and hammer it if it opens at 6.
BIG DOGS BITE
Moving to Saturday night, the Los Angeles Kings (2-3 SU, 1-4 O/U last five) will take their nine-game road losing streak (as of Friday) to Calgary (4-1 SU, 2-3 O/U last five) in what will be the backend of a traveling back-to-back. L.A. has not scored more than two goals in any of its nine consecutive away losses.
Special teams are also killing the last-place Kings as they have the fourth-worst power play since Halloween and are burying their scoring chances at a 12 percent rate which is also fourth-worst.
The Flames are 0-9-1 O/U in their last 10 as only the Detroit Red Wings have scored fewer goals since November 1. With two of the lowest-scoring teams, we are taking the plunge on the Under 5.5 while also taking the Under 2.5 on the Kings’ team total. We wouldn’t call you crazy either for sprinkling a little on the Kings’ ML as the price will tempting.
SLEEPY SUNDAY SHOWDOWN
It has been tough sledding for the Winnipeg Jets’ opponents of late as the Jets are conceding just 2.2 goals against in their last 10 and 1.4 goals in their last five. On top of that, the Jets have taken 15 of a possible 20 points in their last ten and are just six points out of the top spot in the West.
The Anaheim Ducks (2-3 SU, 3-2 O/U) will play Friday night at home and then make the trip north for their Sunday matinee against the Jets (3-2 O/U, 1-4 O/U last five). The Ducks’ offense hasn’t been generating many scoring chances as they have the sixth-fewest since November 15. Honestly, don’t expect many quality chances in this game with both teams sitting in last and second-last place in shots for and both in the Top-10 in shots against over the last three weeks.
We like the Jets to keep their opponents in check Sunday and are taking the Ducks’ team total Under 2.5 as well as the game total Under 5.5.
GOALIE PROFILE: CARTER HART, PHILADELPHIA FLYERS
It has been anything but a consistent season for the Flyers’ young goalie this year. Carter won his first two starts of the year, then dropped his next four, then won four straight, then lost four in a row and how he is riding a three-game winning streak. We might be able to jump on the netminder for one more victory before his system switches to losing mode.
The Flyers dropped their first game in regulation in eight games with Brian Elliott in net, meaning the Flyers management will most likely switch over to Hart for the team’s Saturday 1:00 p.m. home tilt against one of the East’s worst road teams, the Ottawa Senators.
With Hart staying hot and carrying a 1.44 goals against in afternoon games over his short career, we have no problem taking the plus-money puck line (-1.5) even in the uncommon world of early games. The Senators are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road losses while the Flyers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home wins.
INJURY UPDATE: F MITCH MARNER, TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS
The $10.9 million man has returned to the Leafs’ lineup and saw plenty of ice time with Auston Matthews on Wednesday versus the Avalanche. The young winger looked rusty in his return which didn’t do much to spark a struggling Leaf’s offense even though the team had 26 scoring chances on 39 shots but went 1-for-12 in high danger shooting.
Things will turn around for the Leafs as they are dealing with some tough puck luck. Toronto has the second-most scoring chances for over the last 30 days but are scoring on just 11 percent of those chances (regular shots have an average of about a 8-12-percent chance of scoring).
Maybe with Marner back and a game under his belt, it will help the Leafs capitalize as they are getting great chances — third in high-danger chances for — but just not finishing. The Leafs head out on a four-game, out-of-conference road trip with a stop in St. Louis on Saturday night. The money line is hard to swallow with the Leafs’ poor special teams play of late but perhaps they get their scoring touch back against an unlikely opponent.
HAT TRICK TRENDS
• The Detroit Red Wings continue to lose, stretching their streak to double digits. Detroit is 0-6 ATS in its last six and 5-12 ATS since November. The Wings will face a hot Penguins team at home on Saturday and a puck line bet or alternative puck line may be in order.
• If you have been paying attention to totals and first-period totals, then maybe you have noticed that we are at the stretch of the year where the Unders are the majority. Looking at all 31 teams and their last 10 games, only four teams are hitting first-period Overs at 70 percent or better and 20 teams are hitting the Over 1.5 at 50 percent or worse. Looking at full-game totals, the Unders hit at 51 percent last week and 54 percent over the last month.
• The Winnipeg Jets are the most profitable team this year. Winnipeg is 17-11 SU and would have returned bettors $922 at $100 per game. The Jets’ only game this weekend is Sunday versus the Anaheim Ducks.Comment
-
NBA
Dunkel
Friday, December 6
Washington @ Miami
Game 517-518
December 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
110.672
Miami
124.466
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 14
244
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 10
234
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-10); Over
Golden State @ Chicago
Game 519-520
December 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
105.426
Chicago
114.466
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 9
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 4 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-4 1/2); Over
Minnesota @ Oklahoma City
Game 515-516
December 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
116.238
Oklahoma City
115.661
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 3 1/2
221
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+3 1/2); Under
LA Clippers @ Milwaukee
Game 523-524
December 6, 2019 @ 8:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
129.534
Milwaukee
129.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 1
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 3 1/2
232 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+3 1/2); Under
Sacramento @ San Antonio
Game 525-526
December 6, 2019 @ 8:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
115.129
San Antonio
112.972
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 4
215
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+4); Over
LA Lakers @ Portland
Game 527-528
December 6, 2019 @ 10:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
121.916
Portland
122.087
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
Even
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 4 1/2
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+4 1/2); OverComment
-
Hoop Trends - Friday
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
-- The Kings are 15-0 ATS (9.20 ppg) on the road with rest off a loss as a road dog.
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
-- The Celtics are 0-11 ATS (-8.91 ppg) as a favorite with rest off a game as a favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers.
OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
-- The Trail Blazers are 10-0 OU (13.50 ppg) as a dog off a 10+ point home win in which they shot over 50% from the field.
OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
-- The Bulls are 0-11 OU (-13.45 ppg) at home off a win as a favorite in which they never trailed.Comment
-
By: Monique Vág
CAVS CAN'T SCORE
The Magic rank third in the Association in scoring defense allowing 103.4 points per game. Today, they travel to Cleveland to take on a Cavaliers team that has been playing better at home, but still ranks 28th in scoring with 104.2 ppg.
In the three most recent games in the head-to-head the Magic have won all three contests by an average score of 110-93 and have held the Cavaliers to 41 percent shooting. Expect another solid showing out of Orlando defensively and take them to cover as 4-point favorites.
BOARD MAN GETS PAID
Brooklyn's Jarrett Allen has been extremely active on the glass this season averaging 10.6 rebounds per game, with that number even higher over his most recent ten games. Today he's in a very favorable matchup as the Nets take on a Hornets team giving up an average of 24 points and a league high 18.2 rebounds per game to opposing centers. Expect another big night out of Allen and bet Over his points, rebounds, assists total of 25.5.
SLOW AND STEADY
The Celtics put their perfect 8-0 home record on the line as they host the Nuggets who have gone 6-2 on the road. Both teams have gotten out to slow starts this season ranking 24th and 27th in first-half points per game.
On the defensive end, these team rank first and second in opponent first-half scoring, allowing just over 51 points in the first 24 minutes. Expect defense to be emphasized and both squads to continue shooting poorly early. Bet Under the first half game total of 105.5.
TWO TOP OFFENSES
The Bucks are 3.5-point home favorites as they host the Clippers. The Bucks have won nine of their first 10 home games this season and come in today on a 13 game winning streak. Offensively, Milwaukee averages 123.7 ppg at home.
With both squads shooting the ball really well and ranking in the Top-6 in scoring, expect a high scoring game. Looking back at the three most recent games in the head-to-head, the average score has been 127-123 in favor of the Bucks. Look for a similar score today, and bet Over the game total of 232.
LET'S GET THIS LAKE SHOW ON THE ROAD
The Lakers put their 10 game road winning streak on the line as they travel to Portland to take on the Blazers who have won four of their last five games.
Portland has given up 115.1 ppg at home, but has been efficient offensively putting up 117.9 ppg. The Lakers average 114.4 ppg in away contests while shooting league-best 49 percent from the floor. With both teams shooting the ball well, bet Over 223.5 for the game total.Comment
-
Frank Sawyer
Dec 06 '19, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Nuggets vs Celtics
Play on: Celtics -3½ -109 at GTBets
Take the Boston Celtics minus the points versus the Denver Nuggets. Boston (15-5) has won four of their last five games with their 112-93 win over Miami on Wednesday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Celtics are then 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread win. Boston has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Denver (14-5) snapped a two-game losing streak last night with their 129-92 blowout win in New York against the Knicks. The Nuggets stay on the road where they are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Denver has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Take Boston minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.Comment
-
Jack Jones
Dec 06 '19, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Wolves vs Thunder
Play on: Thunder -3½ -110 at Mirage
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5
I like the value we are getting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as short home favorites against the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight. The Thunder have won three of their last five coming in and have been very competitive in losses to the Lakers and Clippers here recently.
The Timberwolves have lost two straight. They were upset at home by Memphis as 12-point favorites and lost on the road against a Mavericks team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and failed to cover as 5.5-point dogs. Now the Timberwolves are dealing with some injuries right now.
Andrew Wiggins is very questionable to play tonight with a thumb injury. Karl-Anthony Towns is expected to play through a knee injury. And Jake Layman is out Friday with a shoulder injury. Things won’t get better for the Timberwolves until they get healthy.
The Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in tis last five home games. The Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a favorite of 0.5 to 4.5 points. Minnesota is 5-15 ATS in road games after a combined score of 235 or more points over the last three seasons. Bet the Thunder Friday.Comment
Comment