Service Plays Saturday 12/7/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold sheet

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From vegas insider
ul lafayette

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Marc lawrence

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From vegas insider
uab
georgia

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Mike Tierney

VIRGINIA +28.5
VIRGINIA VS CLEMSON | 12/07 | 7:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 12:36 PM
Swallow hard and take the points. Look for crafty Virginia coach Bronco Mendenhall, with a background on defense, to devise a plan that keeps Clemson from ringing up score after score, particularly with a sack-minded pass rush. Cavaliers QB Bryce Perkins is a dual-threat who can keep the Tigers’ offense on the sideline more than it is accustomed to. Though Clemson has romped in the past two ACC title tilts, its margin of victory in the previous pair were two and eight points.

21-16-1 IN LAST 38 CFB ATS PICKS | +330
2-1 IN LAST 3 UVA ATS PICKS | +91

UNDER 54
MIAMI (OHIO) VS C. MICHIGAN | 12/07 | 12:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 12:33 PM
Central Michigan’s offense prefers to travel by air, but it won’t be smooth flying. Miami yields 6.6 yards per pass, by far the fewest in the MAC. The Chippewas, though potent, are turnover-prone, and the RedHawks bring a ferocious pass rush. Miami’s offense occasionally sputters, producing 350-plus yards in just four games all year. It would rather motor on the ground, and any semblance of a rushing attack will milk the clock and maintain a modest score.

UNDER 55.5
GEORGIA VS LSU | 12/07 | 4:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 12:25 PM
Let’s count on Georgia’s defense, to gift-wrap an Under. The Bulldogs have played six games in a row below the total against SEC foes, with none surpassing 41 points during the stretch. Their offense is impaired with the absence of injured WR Lawrence Cager and suspended No. 2 target George Pickens for a half. A mostly pro-Georgia indoor crowd in Atlanta could interfere with LSU’s snap count.

BOISE ST. -14
HAWAII @ BOISE ST. | 12/07 | 4:00 PM EST
THU 12/5
Hawaii would have picked a different setting and opponent. Temperatures are expected to hover near 40, with rain and high winds foreseen -- hardly ideal conditions for the islanders. More importantly, the Rainbow Warriors have been Boise’s whipping boys, with defeats in all seven meetings by an average margin of 33. The difference was closer, but still not close, this season as the Broncos won 59-37. Hawaii has covered in only five of its past 17 roadies, in contrast to Boise’s 4-1 recent ATS home record. Take the Broncos.

21-16-1 IN LAST 38 CFB ATS PICKS | +330
5-2 IN LAST 7 HAWAII ATS PICKS | +279

3-2 IN LAST 5 BOISE ATS PICKS | +80

APP. ST. -6
LOUISIANA @ APP. ST. | 12/07 | 12:00 PM EST
THU 12/5
There is little statistically to separate the Sun Belt finalists. What tips the scales to App State is the comfort of defending the title at home, where the Mountaineers won last year, and the fact that Louisiana has yet to beat App State straight-up in seven attempts, most recently falling 17-7 in midseason. The Ragin’ Cajuns have not lost since, but the Mounties enter on a roll, too, with winning margins of 29, 22 and 35 in their last three outings. They are riding a 21-8 ATS streak. Take App State.

21-16-1 IN LAST 38 CFB ATS PICKS | +330
2-1 IN LAST 3 APLST ATS PICKS | +86

3-2 IN LAST 5 LALAF ATS PICKS | +75

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

OVER 49.5
UAB @ FAU | 12/07 | 1:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:37 PM
UAB averaged a 25-18 score this season while going 9-3 straight up (7-5 against the spread) and Florida Atlantic averaged a 34-23 score while going 9-3 (8-4 ATS). Both defenses have been strong most of the season, which has kept the majority of their games under the total. But FAU’s offense has been playing at a high level in their last five games (4-1 ATS) and I look for them to pace this one over the total.

13-10 IN LAST 23 CFB PICKS | +212
CINCINNATI +9.5
CINCINNATI @ MEMPHIS | 12/07 | 3:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:34 PM
We just saw this game last week, a 34-24 Memphis victory. But the yards gained for each team show it was closer than the score suggests. I think Cincinnati’s defense is the beneficiary of having games in consecutive weeks against the same opponent. Memphis has won 10 straight, but I'm taking the points with Cincinnati.

13-10 IN LAST 23 CFB PICKS | +212
3-1 IN LAST 4 CINCY ATS PICKS | +190

OVER 55.5
GEORGIA VS LSU | 12/07 | 4:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:29 PM
I’m a big fan of Joe Burrow and LSU, but not enough to lay over a touchdown against a quality defensive squad like Georgia. And that’s despite Burrow and LSU beating the Bulldogs 36-16 in Baton Rouge earlier this season. The Georgia defense allows only 10 points per game, but LSU will be a huge challenge. The angle I find most attractive here is Georgia’s offense against LSU’s defense -- a unit that allows 22 points per game. Over has happened in seven of their last eight meetings, and that's where I am.

13-10 IN LAST 23 CFB PICKS | +212
3-1 IN LAST 4 UGA O/U PICKS | +190

OHIO ST. -16.5
OHIO ST. VS WISCONSIN | 12/07 | 8:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:26 PM
Ohio State has gone 10-1 against the spread in its last 11 games against winning teams, one of those being a 38-10 win against Wisconsin in Columbus on Oct. 26. The Buckeyes have already beaten Wisconsin mentally twice before this game is even played -- the first being when the Badgers looked ahead to Ohio State and lost at Illinois, and the second was the Oct. 26 game itself. If this was played in Wisconsin, I might not lay the points. But anywhere else, I’m all on Ohio State.

13-10 IN LAST 23 CFB PICKS | +212

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

BOISE ST. -14
HAWAII @ BOISE ST. | 12/07 | 4:00 PM EST
6:54 AM
The Broncos have gone 4-1 ATS their last five home games. In the first meeting between these teams on October 12th, Boise State won 59-37. Boise State will start Jaylon Henderson at QB, who is a dual threat that will pose big problems for the Warriors defense that ranks No. 118 over the last six weeks. Hawaii has allowed 5.7 yards per play on the ground and 10 yards per pass over that time. The travel, the cold, the Blue Turf and not forgotten is Boise’s loss in the conference championship game last year. All of those factors help our case laying 14 points.

30-16 IN LAST 46 CFB ATS PICKS | +1241
CINCINNATI +9.5
CINCINNATI @ MEMPHIS | 12/07 | 3:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:35 PM
The Bearcats were in the game last week with second-string true freshman quarterback Ben Bryant. Now, Desmond Ridder returns to run the offense -- a change that is worth five points. You can add two points for revenge, as Memphis has won the last four in the series. The Liberty Bowl seats 58,325, and with Cincinnati just seven hours away, Bearcat Nation will be well represented. Cincinnati lost the turnover battle last week 3-1 and lost the game 34-24, but did cover the spread. Expect the same here.

30-16 IN LAST 46 CFB ATS PICKS | +1241
WISCONSIN +16.5
OHIO ST. VS WISCONSIN | 12/07 | 8:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:26 PM
Teams learn more about themselves after a loss. The Badgers responded after losing in Columbus with four straight victories -- scoring 37 or more in three of those games. Ohio State has been a spread-covering machine all season long, but the Buckeyes are just 1-2 against the spread their last three games. Quarterback Justin Fields is not 100 percent, limiting his running ability. Wisconsin will try to control the clock and game with its offensive line and RB Jonathan Taylor. Quarterback Jack Coan has had a very successful campaign as a first-year starter, throwing only four interceptions. The Badgers were getting 13.5 points at the Horseshoe, and now get 16.5 on a neutral field.

30-16 IN LAST 46 CFB ATS PICKS | +1241
BAYLOR +9
BAYLOR VS OKLAHOMA | 12/07 | 12:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:17 PM
Baylor comes in seeking revenge after blowing a 28-3 lead and losing to Oklahoma 34-31. I like how Baylor responded in its final two games, beating Texas 24-10 and Kansas 61-6. The Baylor defense ranks 14th in yards per play allowed over the last six weeks, while Oklahoma’s defense ranks No. 45 allowing 5.4 yards per play. Baylor has covered its last four games, while Oklahoma is just 1-4 against the spread in it last five games. The Bears are still peaking, while the line has caught up to the Sooners.

30-16 IN LAST 46 CFB ATS PICKS | +1241
OVER 55.5
GEORGIA VS LSU | 12/07 | 4:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:05 PM
The LSU offense is averaging close to 50 points per game and the defense allows 22.1. Over the past six weeks, the Tiger defense ranks 48th in yards per play allowed. Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm will be appearing in his third straight SEC Championship Game. The over is 10-4-1 in LSU's last 15 games, and this series has gone over in seven of the last eight meetings.

3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB PICKS | +189

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli

OKLAHOMA -9
BAYLOR VS OKLAHOMA | 12/07 | 12:00 PM EST
THU 12/5
Baylor jumped out to a huge lead in the first half of the first meeting, but it was thanks in large part to a couple of Oklahoma turnovers that set up the Bears in the red zone. Once Oklahoma stopped turning the ball over, it controlled this game. It saw what Baylor was doing defensively, adjusted at halftime, and dominated the second half. The rematch will look a lot more like the second half of the first meeting than the first. Not that Baylor will get blown out, but it will have difficulty keeping pace.

47-37-4 IN LAST 88 CFB PICKS | +952
7-2 IN LAST 9 OKLA ATS PICKS | +479

2-1 IN LAST 3 BAYLOR ATS PICKS | +90

FAU -7.5
UAB @ FAU | 12/07 | 1:30 PM EST
THU 12/5
UAB has reached the Conference USA title game thanks in large part to playing nobody during the regular season. Its biggest win came against a Louisiana Tech team without its starting QB and leading WR. The Blazers' other seven FBS wins came against teams with a combined record of 15-69. The Owls will provide a much more difficult challenge, and as long as Lane Kiffin didn't spend the entire week interviewing for jobs elsewhere, FAU should win with ease.

47-37-4 IN LAST 88 CFB PICKS | +952
4-0 IN LAST 4 FAU ATS PICKS | +400

UNDER 56
OHIO ST. VS WISCONSIN | 12/07 | 8:00 PM EST
THU 12/5
I have concerns with Ohio State here because Justin Fields is not 100 percent, and that limits his mobility. A limited Fields leaves Ohio State with an offense that isn't at full power, but is still good. Then there's the Wisconsin offense, and I don't know where the points are coming from. Ohio State has locked down Jonathan Taylor in his previous two meetings (2.7 YPC), and will likely do so again here. So while I like the Buckeyes ATS, the Under is the smarter play.

47-37-4 IN LAST 88 CFB PICKS | +952
3-1 IN LAST 4 OHIOST O/U PICKS | +190

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Bill Marzano

CLEMSON -28.5
VIRGINIA VS CLEMSON | 12/07 | 7:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:22 PM
This is a ton of points in a championship game, but it is for good reason. Clemson has won seven straight games by 30-plus points to go along with the top-ranked scoring defense in the nation -- allowing just 10 points per game. Clemson has given up more than 14 points just once this entire season, and hasn't allowed a touchdown in nine quarters. Clemson has given up just six passing TDs in 12 games this year, while Trevor Lawrence has tossed 15 TDs in his last five games.

29-19 IN LAST 48 CFB PICKS | +778
OHIO ST. -16.5
OHIO ST. VS WISCONSIN | 12/07 | 8:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:20 PM
The Buckeyes really are this good, and oddsmakers are basically giving the Badgers very little chance in this game. Ohio State has been dominating the entire season, and in the first meeting the Buckeyes jumped on the Badgers early and often. Ohio State is one of the best teams in the nation at stopping the run, and it will do the job here by forcing Wisconsin into third-and-longs and a plenty of punts. OSU QB Justin Fields will play, and he has plenty of talent around him to run up the score.

29-19 IN LAST 48 CFB PICKS | +778
CINCINNATI +9.5
CINCINNATI @ MEMPHIS | 12/07 | 3:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:13 PM
These two teams played a tough game last week, with Memphis coming away with a 34-24 victory. The rematch will be much more difficult. It's tough to beat a team twice, let alone in back-to-back weeks. Cincinnati gets their starting QB back, as Desmond Ridder gives the Bearcats a chance against the porous Tigers defense. Cincinnati is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine games, while the Tigers are 0-6 against the spread their last six December games.

29-19 IN LAST 48 CFB PICKS | +778
2-1 IN LAST 3 MEMP ATS PICKS | +89

2-1 IN LAST 3 CINCY ATS PICKS | +89

BAYLOR +9
BAYLOR VS OKLAHOMA | 12/07 | 12:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:58 PM
The Baylor Bears get another crack at the Oklahoma Sooners after one of the biggest comebacks in college football history. Or, from Baylor's perspective, one of the biggest collapses -- and that makes the Bears that much more dangerous. The Sooners will have CeeDee Lamb back on the field, who is a matchup nightmare. But I think the Bears have a shot to stun the Sooners here and thus have an outside chance to make the College Football Playoff bracket. The Sooners defense has been their weakness, and I think the Bears can exploit it.

29-19 IN LAST 48 CFB PICKS | +778
3-1 IN LAST 4 OKLA ATS PICKS | +189

2-1 IN LAST 3 BAYLOR ATS PICKS | +88

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini

LOUISIANA +6.5
LOUISIANA @ APP. ST. | 12/07 | 12:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:54 PM
The respect for the top tier of the Sun Belt has grown in recent years. Sun Belt success in bowl games has stood out amongst the non-Power 5 conferences. Appalachian State and Louisiana-Lafayette on Saturday is a familiar Sun Belt conference championship matchup. In the two teams' meeting earlier this season, Louisiana-Lafayette struggled to move the football and lost at home 17-7. Expect another low-scoring matchup, but for the Ragin' Cajuns to have a bit more success than their October matchup. Grab the points here.

WISCONSIN +16.5
OHIO ST. VS WISCONSIN | 12/07 | 8:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:42 PM
The final matchup Saturday night between Wisconsin and Ohio State is the main one that could shake up the CFP picture. Ohio State pulled off another win/cover rout last week against Michigan. Ohio State now faces a Wisconsin team with a style of play that could give the Buckeyes a bit of a problem. Look for the Buckeyes playing not to lose, boding well on the Badgers' side against the spread.

CLEMSON -28.5
VIRGINIA VS CLEMSON | 12/07 | 7:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:38 PM
Clemson’s ease in the ACC has led to a dominant 8-0 conference record. Outside of a one-point win against North Carolina, the Tigers' closest margin of victory in the ACC has been 31 points. Although Virginia has looked the part at times, expect Clemson’s defense to capitalize on Bryce Perkins' turnover issues.

3-1 IN LAST 4 UVA ATS PICKS | +176

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

BUTLER -4.5
FLORIDA @ BUTLER | 12/07 | 12:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 10:57 PM
My model projects Butler to win this game by double-digits and cover more than two-thirds of the time, so you're getting excellent value with the Bulldogs at this point spread. Butler has the No. 8 scoring defense in the country, allowing just 55.5 points a game, and already is 4-0 against teams from power conferences. Meanwhile Florida has lost its only true road game of the season, at UConn, and the 24th-ranked and undefeated Bulldogs are better than the Huskies. Take Butler.

3-1 IN LAST 4 CBB ATS PICKS | +189
INDIANA -6
INDIANA @ NEW YORK | 12/07 | 7:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 8:32 PM
The Knicks are in turmoil after Friday's firing of coach David Fizdale. They rank last in the NBA in points per game (103.7), field-goal percentage (42.2), point differential (10.8 points a game) and offensive efficiency, scoring just 101.9 points per 100 possessions, and they've lost back-to-back games by 44 and 37 points. My model says Indiana covers more than two-thirds of the time, so you're getting excellent value with the Pacers at this number.

5-2 IN LAST 7 NBA PICKS | +280
7-4 IN LAST 11 IND ATS PICKS | +259

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POINTWISE PHONES

4-Ohio St, Utah (lost)
3-Clemson,Memphis, UAB
2-LSU, Boise St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today’s Selections –The top NCAAF bettor in action is going with Oklahoma -9 over Baylor. I would advise a 0.75 unit selection. The LJP score on the game is a 4. That’s it for early action!

Robinhood/lil john

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Blackmagicbets

Mavericks -9
Andy Ruiz ML
La salle ml / -2.5

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DubaiCapper
Florida/Butler under 120 *5 Extra Large
Andy Ruiz +180 Large

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Root football

Mill- Oklahoma

Perfect- Wisconsin

Inner- Georgia

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Root Hoops

Mill- creighton

No limit- Colorado

Perfect play - NC ST