If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Premium Pick
Dec 07 '19, 12:00 PM
NCAA-F |Miami-OH vs Central Michigan
Play on: Central Michigan -6½ -110
Top Play
Game Analysis
25* Conference Championship GAME OF THE YEAR on Central Michigan -6.5
Central Michigan could be found as high as 300-1 to win the MAC after losing to Wisconsin 61-0 in their 2nd game of the season. They’ve been money makers ever since and grossly undervalued all season. And now they are the favorites to win the MAC title for good reason.
The Chippewas are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They have been dominant statistically in MAC play, outgaining opponents by 168 yards per game. Miami Ohio is actually getting outgained by 6 yards per game in MAC play this season.
The Redhawks didn’t play well down the stretch once they clinched the MAC title game. They barely beat Akron 20-17 as 29-point favorites. And last week they lost 27-41 to Ball State in a game that was an even bigger blowout than the score showed. They were outgained by 303 yards by Ball State.
QB Brett Gabbert left that game with an injury and is questionable to return this week. Backup QB Jackson Williamson went 4-for-11 for 52 yards with two interceptions in his place. I don’t think it matters who starts for the Redhawks because they’ll get blown out either way.
Central Michigan has scored at least 38 points in six of its last seven games overall. The Chippewas are averaging 38 points & 515 yards per game in MAC play this season. They are loaded at receiver and running back with great overall speed. Their top two running backs in Ward and Lewis have combined for over 2,000 rushing yards and 26 touchdowns. That will help them on the fast track at Ford Field in Detroit. Plus, they will have the home-field advantage with a short drive from Mount Pleasant to Detroit.
The Chippewas have the best defensive line in the MAC. They give up just 120 rushing yards per game and 3.5 per carry this season. Miami Ohio allows 180 rushing yards per game and 4.2 per carry. While these teams are pretty even defensively overall, there’s no question the Chippewas have a massive advantage on offense. The Redhawks only average 24.6 points and 308.7 yards per game on the season, including 17.4 points and 281 yards per game on the road.
The Chippewas are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Central Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last five games as a favorite. The Chippewas will cap off a tremendous turnaround from 1-11 to 9-4 with a blowout win over Miami Ohio and a MAC title. Bet Central Michigan Saturday.
Pick Released on Dec 04 at 02:24 pm
Premium Pick
Dec 07 '19, 12:00 PM
NCAA-F |UL-Lafayette vs Appalachian State
Play on: UNDER 56 -109
Game Analysis
15* CFB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Lafayette/Appalachian State UNDER 56
Appalachian State and Louisiana-Lafayette will be facing each other for the 4th time in two seasons. They met in the regular season and Sun Belt Championship Game last year, and they met in the regular season and will face each other again in the Sun Belt title game against this year.
It’s safe to say these teams are familiar with one another, and familiarity favors the defenses. That has proven to be the case in the three previous meetings. The UNDER is 3-0 and has gone under the total by an average of 25 points per game in the previous three meetings. They have combined for 44, 49 and 24 points in the three meetings, so you can see there’s value with the UNDER 56 tonight.
In their first meeting this season, Appalachian State won 17-7 at LA-Lafayette. The Mountaineers managed only 343 total yards with most of those coming on their final drive that sealed the win for them. The Rajin’ Cajuns managed only 254 yards in the loss. It will be more of the same here as both defenses win out in this one.
Appalachian State is giving up just 18.7 points and 321.2 yards per game on the season, including 16.4 points and 277.6 yards per game in Sun Belt play. Louisiana-Lafayette is giving p just 17.8 points per game on the season and 16.4 points per game in Sun Belt play. Their numbers are nearly identical with Appalachian State, and both defenses are the reason these teams are in the title game.
Louisiana-Lafayette is 9-1 UNDER vs. good offensive teams that score 31 or more points per game over the last two seasons. The UNDER is 6-1 in Rajin’ Cajuns last seven games overall. The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings. The UNDER is 6-2 in Mountaineers last eight games overall. Roll with the UNDER in this game Saturday.
Pick Released on Dec 05 at 07:28 pm
UNDER 127
INDIANA @ WISCONSIN | 12/07 | 4:30 PM EST
11:00 AM
Wisconsin has won 13 in a row straight-up in its building over Indiana. The Badgers might not have the talent to extend the streak but play at such a slow pace (357th in the nation) that points will be hard to come by. Worse for Wisconsin, its three-point shooting marksmanship ranks 349th. Indiana’s forte is getting to the foul line — it has attempted more free throws than anyone — but the Badgers manage to avoid fouling. That means fewer free points for the Hoosiers. Under is the play.
3-1 IN LAST 4 WISC O/U PICKS | +195
F. DICKINSON +24.5
F. DICKINSON @ KENTUCKY | 12/07 | 4:00 PM EST
10:58 AM
The parade of sacrificial lambs into Rupp Arena continues. Kentucky does not regularly blow out the lesser lights on its pre-SEC schedule, owing in part to the team’s chronic youth. This season, the Wildcats are 2-4 ATS in these situations, and one cover was by a half-point. Injuries have reduced Kentucky’s list of suited-up players to eight on scholarship. Take the Knights.
Nfac
SATURDAY 12-7-19 =
UFC : Song Yadong -185...($750) via Pinnacle
118) Under 55.5 Georgia-Lsu...($750) via Westgate & Cantor
107) UL-Lafayette +7 (-120) - Buy 1/2 PT....($750) via Heritage
110) Oklahoma -8...($600) via Westgate
107) Over 57 UL-Lafayette-App St...($750) - BetOnline at 56/BetDSI at 56.5
119) Wisconsin +16...($1,000) - BIG MOVE via Cantor (Bovada at 16.5)
119) Under 57.5 Wisc-Osu...($750) via Bookmaker (Bovada at 58)
117) Georgia +7.5 (-110)...($750) via BetBuckeye
Buy 1/2 PT at Discounted Price w/ LSU at -7 (-120)
Comment