Saturday 12-14-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Comp play in college hoops today goes on St. Louis plus the very generous points as they play against Auburn in Birmingham this afternoon.

Since getting pasted by Seton Hall on their home floor on November 15th, Travis Ford's Billikens have gone on a 5 game winning streak to improve to 8-1 as the take the court today against the 8-0 Auburn Tigers.

At #10 in the land, Auburn has a bulls-eye on their jerseys as opponents know full well that Bruce Pearl led his team to the Final Four last season, but all 5 starters from last season's team are departed, and this Tigers team dipped deep into the well their last time out as they came from 14 points down to keep their mark unblemished in a 3-point OT win over Furman.

This is too many points today to give to St. Louis, as this is a Billikens team that boasts an 11-2 spread mark their last 13 games when facing teams with a winning record.

Guard Jordan Goodwin and forward Hasahn French are averaging double-doubles for St. Louis, while freshman guard Gibson Jimerson has been quite productive in his first season with an 11.3 points per game average.

Coach Pearl has done a great job early this season after all of the losses his history making team suffered and there is still enough talent on this year's team to keep their record unblemished, but after digging deep in their last game it sure appears this is too many points to ask them to cover against a very dangerous underdog today.

Mark me down for a play on St. Louis plus the points.

3* ST. LOUIS

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Chris Jordan

Rolling with Arizona State tonight as my free play, as I think we're looking at an awfully cheap number with the Sun Devils, who host the Georgia Bulldogs.

ASU has won four straight, and rolls into this one with a 28-5 mark in regular season non-conference games in the past three seasons, including an 18-1 mark at home.

The defensive pressure the Devils bring will be too much for Georgia, as they've held five opponents under 40 percent shooting and is limiting teams to a mere .289 (52-of-180) from 3-point range.

ASU has registered 84 steals this season, and can disrupt the flow of the opposition with a relentless press. ASU, which is giving up just 64.0 points per game, is stirling foes to .398 shooting from the field.

I would think this will be a big game for Romello White, who is from Atlanta. The junior is off to a great start and has caught fire the past three games, averaging 15.7 points and 13.7 rebounds. In that span he is 15 of 18 (.833) from the floor.

He'll get contributions from Elias Valtonen, Taeshon Cherry, Jalen Graham and Jaelen House.

Lay the points here, as Georgia will wilt under pressure while the Devils prevail.

5* ARIZONA STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

My free play for tonight is on the Saint Mary's Gaels, laying what I see to be a cheap number to the Cal Golden Bears. I know this one is on the road, but Saint Mary’s has won this game the past two seasons and four of the past five.

Cal is struggling to find its rhythm right now, having won just twice in six games, and has already lost at San Francisco and Santa Clara this season. I know the Bears are 6-0 at Haas Pavilion this season, but this undoubtedly is the toughest opponent to visit Berkeley.

The Gaels have had the week off since a 78-68 loss to Dayton at Phoenix last Sunday. The setback snapped an eight-game winning streak, and I expect Saint Mary's to come in focused and ready to execute with its high-potent offense.

Ranked 14th in KenPom's offensive efficiency ratings at 110.9 points per 100 possessions, Saint Mary's has far more offensive firepower than Cal, which is ranked 200th with 98.9 points per 100 possessions.

Once the Gaels catch fire from long-range it's lights out, as they're shooting a nation-best 44 percent from 3-point range. Look for Jordan Ford and Malik Fitts to lead the offensive charge tonight, as Saint Mary's steals one on the road.

2* SAINT MARY'S

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Comp release for Saturday is the points and the Nets to stay close against the slumping Raptors.

Toronto started the season at 9-0 straight up on their home floor, but they come into this Saturday meeting with Brooklyn having won only one time over their last 5 games - that includes 3 straight losses on their home floor!

The Raptors most recent loss saw them net just 92 points as they welcomed Kawhi Leonard and the L.A. Clippers back to the TO.

I say Toronto bounces-back with the win tonight, but this sure looks like too many points to be laying as Brooklyn heads north of the border with some definite wind in their sails.

The Nets did lose at home to Charlotte their last time on court, but Brooklyn is still on a 7-3 straight up run their last 10 games, and better still, they have covered in 8 of those 10 games.

Brooklyn is rolling a perfect 7-0 spread mark their last 7 times in the game following a straight up loss, and I will look for the streak to extend to 8-0 with the cover tonight versus a Toronto team that will be happy just to grab the win and get off the schnied they are on.

3* BROOKLYN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Suns -1.5
2. Gameday Network NBA – Clippers under 217
3. VegasSI.com CBB – No. Colorado -6
4. Vegas Line Crushers CBB – California over 124
5. Sports Action 365 CBB – BYU +1
6. Point Spread Report NBA – Cavaliers +12.5
7. Lou Panelli CBB – Gonzaga +2.5
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino NBA – Nets over 219.5
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NBA – Mavericks -8
10. William E. Stockton NBA – Thunder +6.5
11. Vincent Pioli NBA – Clippers +7.5
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – UL Lafayette +15
13. SCORE NBA – Grizzlies +1
14. East Coast Line Movers CBB – Santa Clara -7
15. Tony Campone NBA – Mavericks -8
16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Pistons +7
17. Hollywood Sportsline NBA – Suns -1.5
18. VIP Action NBA – Clippers -4.5
19. South Beach Sports CBB – Georgia Tech over 136.5
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission NBA – Nets +7.5
21. NY Players Club NBA – Grizzlies +1
22. Fred Callahan NBA – Mavericks over 216
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club CBB – Richmond -8.5
24. Michigan Sports CBB – Oklahoma +4.5
25. National Consensus Report CBB – Notre Dame -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer

Dec 14 '19, 5:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Spurs vs Suns
Play on: Suns -2 -110 at Mirage

Take the Phoenix Suns minus the points versus the San Antonio Spurs. Phoenix (11-13) has lost two of their last three games with their 115-108 upset loss to Memphis as a 6.5-point favorite on Wednesday. The Suns have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up loss. Phoenix has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. San Antonio (9-15) comes off a 117-109 upset loss at home to Cleveland despite being a 12-point favorite. But the Spurs have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. And San Antonio has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games as an underdog. Lay the points with Phoenix. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Dec 14 '19, 5:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Spurs vs Suns
Play on: Suns -1½ -110 at Mirage

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Phoenix Suns -1.5
The Phoenix Suns have had the last two days off and will be playing with a chip on their shoulder off a bad loss to Memphis. They are cheap at home tonight as 1.5-point favorites against the San Antonio Spurs. This is a Spurs team that has been getting too much respect from the books all season. They are 9-15 SU & 5-18-1 ATS in their 24 games this year. They just lost outright as 12-point home favorites to the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Spurs are 1-9 ATS off a combined score of 225 points or more this season. San Antonio is 1-12 ATS after playing a home game this season. Give me the Suns.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Dec 14 '19, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Drake vs Dayton
Play on: OVER 136½ -110

FREE PLAY on Drake/Dayton over 136½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Dec 14 '19, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Evansville vs Green Bay
Play on: UNDER 164½ -127

1 Dimer on Evansville vs Green Bay under 164½ -127

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

Dec 14 '19, 8:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Wizards vs Grizzlies
Play on: OVER 235½ -103

ASA PLAY ON: OVER 235.5 Washington Wizards @ Memphis Grizzlies, 8PM ET
We just successfully played Over the total in the Bucks vs. Grizzlies game last night and will come right back with the same bet here. As we talked about yesterday the pace of this game is a critical aspect of our wager. Like the Bucks, the Wizards are one of the fastest paced team in the league at 104.3 possessions per game. They are also one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA (4th) with an average of 1.129 points per possession which is like the Bucks too. The big difference though is that Washington doesn’t play any defense with the 30th (last) ranked defensive efficiency numbers allowing 1.171 points per possession. Memphis will play the up-and-down game today with the 5th fastest paced offense in the NBA at 103.7 possessions per game. The Grizz don’t have great efficiency numbers on either side of the ball with a defense that allows 1.118 points per possession which ranks them 20th. The last time these two teams met was March of last season, but they combined for 263 total points. Both teams get into the 120’s here and this one goes OVER the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Dec 14 '19, 8:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Wizards vs Grizzlies
Play on: Wizards +1½ -107 at pinnacle

Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Washington Wizards +1.5
The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies just blew a 4th quarter lead to the Bucks last night and lost 114-127 and failed to cover as 12.5-point dogs. It was a disheartening loss for them against the best team in the East. Now they have to try and get back up off the mat and get ready to face the Washington Wizards, who come in on 3 days rest. It’s an awful situation for the Grizzlies. The Wizards are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Grizzlies are 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 games off a double-digit home loss. Memphis is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games on 0 days rest. Take Washington.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

Dec 14 '19, 8:35 PM in 5h
NBA | Cavs vs Bucks
Play on: Bucks -12½ -110 at Mirage

560 Cleveland at Milwaukee
The Cavaliers have already lost to the Bucks by 17 and 9 points this season. So with Milwaukee playing its second of a back to back, and third game in four days, you would expect Milwaukee to take it easy tonight against the far less talented team. But that's not what the Bucks do. This team comes to play each and every game. Which is why this team is 14-12 ATS on the season despite everyone and their brother wanting to bet on them. Milwaukee just gave a similar number at home to Orlando, a far superior team to Cleveland. This number is cheap even if the Greek Freak doesn't come to play.
PLAY MILWAUKEE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Dec 14 '19, 8:35 PM in 5h
NBA | Heat vs Mavs
Play on: Mavs -7½ -112 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Dallas Mavericks -7.5
The Miami Heat are in a really bad spot tonight. They’ll be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a tough 110-113 home loss to the Lakers last night. It’s the kind of loss that can beat a team twice, and I just don’t think the Heat will have enough mentally or physically to be able to overcome this spot.
Not to mention, the Heat are still without two of their top players in Justise Winslow and Goran Dragic. They are already short-handed, making this situation even more difficult for them. The Dallas Mavericks are fully healthy and playing some of the best basketball in the NBA right now.
Indeed, the Mavericks are 11-2 SU & 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall with all 11 victories coming by 7 points or more during this stretch. They are rested and ready to go as this will be just the 2nd game in the last 6 days for the Mavericks.
Dallas is 7-0 ATS vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make at least 36% of their attempts this season. The Heat are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games when playing on zero rest. Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games. The Mavericks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Bet the Mavericks Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo

Dec 14 '19, 10:05 PM in 7h
NHL | Canucks vs Sharks
Play on: Sharks -121 at betonline

San Jose, which continues a seven-game homestand, has lost four straight games in regulation and is on a 0-5-1 slide. The Sharks have a new coach in Bob Boughner but it did not help in his first game behind the bench as they lost to the Rangers 6-3 on Thursday. Despite the recent struggles, the Sharks are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a favorite while going 41-13 in their last 54 home games off a home loss by three goals or more. The Canucks have won three of four games, the latest a 1-0 overtime victory over the Hurricanes on Thursday, in which goaltender Jacob Markstrom made 43 saves for his first shutout of the season. They are coming off a five-game homestand and this is their first road game in December. The Canucks are 2-6 in their last 8 games following a win. Here, we play on home teams against the money line that are being outscored by their opponents by 0.65 or more gpg, after allowing five goals or more. This situation is 82-59 (58.2 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (56) San Jose Sharks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Penn St -10½ Over Alabama