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OVER 45.5
JACKSONVILLE @ OAKLAND | 12/15 | 4:05 PM EST
12:29 AM
Wish I'd jumped on this earlier, but I'll still go Over given the Raiders' lack of defensive talent and the Jaguars' lack of defensive effort. These are two of the four worst defenses in the NFL, per DVOA.
55-36-3 IN LAST 94 NFL PICKS | +1525
2-1 IN LAST 3 OAK O/U PICKS | +90
L.A. RAMS -1.5
L.A. RAMS @ DALLAS | 12/15 | 4:25 PM EST
12:15 AM
The Cowboys are 4-0 against the NFC East, 2-7 against everyone else. Those wins came against the Josh Rosen-led Dolphins and the Jeff Driskel-led Lions. The Rams are back on track and should keep rolling here.
48-28-3 IN LAST 79 NFL ATS PICKS | +1706
19-7 IN LAST 26 LAR ATS PICKS | +1106
A CBS Sports writer since 2010, the entertaining Fornelli is a consistent winner when it comes to ATS and over-under picks. He's a wallet-fattening 216-179 in his popular "Six Pack" college football column the past four years. And he's spreading his wings on SportsLine, demonstrating his expertise in every single sport. In the 2018-19 NBA season, Fornelli went 86-67, returning $1,229 to $100 players. You'll get maximum access to Fornelli's picks only on SportsLine.
UNDER 45.5
DENVER @ KANSAS CITY | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 12:23 PM
Drew Lock has been a very pleasant surprise for Broncos fans in his first two starts, but this is the toughest test he'll have faced so far. The Chiefs are at home and are now within reach of a first-round bye after beating the Patriots last week. I expect it to be a long afternoon for the Broncos offense, but I don't like the spread. Instead, I'll go with a trend many might not be aware of. Since Andy Reid took over in KC, the Under has gone 35-16-1 when the Chiefs are home favorites.
30-22-1 IN LAST 53 NFL PICKS | +577
HOUSTON +3
HOUSTON @ TENNESSEE | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 12:20 PM
The Titans are good, but are they as good as they've been in recent weeks? If they are they're the greatest team in NFL history, so I'm going to err on the side of "no, they aren't." At home in a big AFC South battle I'm expecting there to be some regression. That's not to say the Titans won't win this game, but it's going to be a close game no matter who ends up on the right side, so I'll take the points and Deshaun Watson.
30-22-1 IN LAST 53 NFL PICKS | +577
4-1 IN LAST 5 HOU ATS PICKS | +286
2-1 IN LAST 3 TEN ATS PICKS | +93
DETROIT +3.5
TAMPA BAY @ DETROIT | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 12:18 PM
Jameis Winston painted his masterpiece last week in a win against the Colts, and I don't mean it as a compliment, even if I enjoyed the hell out of it. As turnover prone as Winston is, it's difficult to trust him as a road favorite, even if its against a Detroit team led by David Blough. Blough has mostly struggled against the Bears and Vikings, but those two defenses are much more difficult on quarterbacks than Tampa's has been.
30-22-1 IN LAST 53 NFL PICKS | +577
2-1 IN LAST 3 TB ATS PICKS | +95
UNDER 45
DENVER @ KANSAS CITY | 12/15 | 1:00 PM EST
12:13 PM
The Chiefs have an underrated defense, while Denver's stop unit continues to impress under Vic Fangio. Back the Under to improve to 6-0 in K.C.'s last six divisional games.
55-36-3 IN LAST 94 NFL PICKS | +1525
OVER 45.5
JACKSONVILLE @ OAKLAND | 12/15 | 4:05 PM EST
12:29 AM
Wish I'd jumped on this earlier, but I'll still go Over given the Raiders' lack of defensive talent and the Jaguars' lack of defensive effort. These are two of the four worst defenses in the NFL, per DVOA.
55-36-3 IN LAST 94 NFL PICKS | +1525
2-1 IN LAST 3 OAK O/U PICKS | +90
L.A. RAMS -1.5
L.A. RAMS @ DALLAS | 12/15 | 4:25 PM EST
12:15 AM
The Cowboys are 4-0 against the NFC East, 2-7 against everyone else. Those wins came against the Josh Rosen-led Dolphins and the Jeff Driskel-led Lions. The Rams are back on track and should keep rolling here.
48-28-3 IN LAST 79 NFL ATS PICKS | +1706
19-7 IN LAST 26 LAR ATS PICKS | +1106
Scott Spreitzer 7-Unit Play: Take 313 Texans +3 over Titans (1 p.m., Sunday, December 15)
I'm taking the points with the Houston Texans on Sunday afternoon. While Baltimore may be the best team in the NFL right now, the Tennessee Titans have become one of the flavors of the month with Ryan Tannehill at QB. They've won 4 in a row since a 10-point loss to Carolina. Three of the wins came against banged-up and somewhat fading football teams and the other, a win over KC, happened despite getting out-gained 530-371 (fluke win)! The difference in the win over KC was a defensive TD after the Chiefs had crossed midfield looking to open up a double digit lead. Houston had won 4 of 5, including a big win over New England before last weekend's loss. The Texans were in a horrible NFL situation off the win over Pats, having taken on Baltimore, and playing two divisional games in the mix with this week's divisional game on tap. In fact, we went against Houston and played Denver on these pages. Let's remember that Houston also owns a win over the Chiefs -- in KC! And the win was legit considering Houston finished with a 472-309 yardage advantage at a time when many considered KC to be the best team in the league. The Texans are on a 10-2 SU run off a SU loss with Deshaun Watson at QB (averaging 28 ppg). They're 11-4 ATS as a dog or PK with Watson. And finally, Houston is on a 6-0 ATS run on the road off a home game, out-scoring their 6 opponents by an average of 27-18. I'm taking the points with the Texans on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 319 Dolphins +3.5 over Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, December 15)
I'm backing the Dolphins plus the points on Sunday. NYG played hard on Monday night with the return of Eli Manning but after taking a 17-3 lead into halftime, reality set-in and the Giants' offense completely stalled, getting out-scored 20-0 the rest of the way. Drumming up the same motivation on a short week with a lameduck coach is not going to be easy this week. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are in the same locale for the second straight week, off a tough, close loss to the Jets. One thing we have seen no matter who he's played for, Ryan Fitzpatrick gets the most out of his offense. Miami is on a 7-2 ATS run with the bearded one at QB and they're a decent 3-3 SU in their last six, just a 1-point loss from a 4-2 mark. Fitzpatrick should find the Giants' defense to his liking and we'll back him here. I'm taking the points with the Dolphins on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 323 Jaguars +6.5 over Raiders (4:05 p.m., Sunday, December 15)
I'm taking the points with the Jaguars on Sunday. Jacksonville has been a mess the last five weeks, there's no denying it. But Oakland has been a disaster in their last three, out-scored by 83 points, or by nearly 28 ppg. They're not only a team that has dropped out of the mix in recent weeks (technically still alive for a postseason berth), but is also banged-up. The offensive line isn't healthy and the star of the offense, RB Josh Jacobs (questionable) might play but he's far from healthy. Derek Carr is back to last year's form, which means mistakes are plenty from the struggling signal caller. Carr has just 4 TDs but with 4 INTs in his last 4 games. And with Carr at QB the Raiders are 38% ATS when laying points. Oakland has a minus-108 point differential and are on the short-end of a 28.2-19.9 average final score. The value lies with the Jaguars. I'm taking the points with Jacksonville on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 327 Falcons +11 over 49ers (4:25 p.m., Sunday, December 15)
I'm taking the points with the Falcons on Sunday. We have to judge the ATL Falcons by their last five games rather than the first portion of the season. They're playing extremely hard for HC Dan Quinn, a players coach, to be sure. And since his seat got warm, the Falcons are 3-2 SU, including a 26-9 win in New Orleans. Four of Atlanta's losses during their 4-9 season came by a total of 19 points with all 4 decided by one possession. At 3-2, the Falcons own the same SU record as the Niners over the last five games and the Niners are off five intense games in their last six, including back-to-back road games at Baltimore and New Orleans. They also have a divisional game next against the Rams, so to say this is a potential flat-spot is a huge understatement. We'll grab the double digits with the Falcons on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
4-Unit Play: Take 330 Cowboys +1.5 over Rams (4:25 p.m., Sunday, December 15)
I'm backing the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday. We've seen more than a 4-point line move in this one and Dallas was in a decent spot even before they became the underdog. The bets came in on the Rams and the line was adjusted after L.A. whipped Seattle 28-12 on SNF. We had the Rams on these pages, so we weren't surprised with the results. But that had as much to do with the situation as anything else and so does this one. The Rams are off two divisional games and a contest against the Ravens. And they have a date with the 49ers up next. They've also been in virtual must-win mode the last two weeks. As rough as things have been for Dallas, they can still win their division and if the playoffs started today, they'd be in, owning the tiebreaker over the Eagles. Dallas owns a +67 point differential, which is actually better than the Rams' (+49). The Dallas offense has gained over 400 yards in their last two games against Buffalo and Chicago. They've been a momentum team under Jason Garrett, on a 15-6 ATS run after topping 400 yards in two straight games. Finally, NFL non-favorites (dog or PK), are on a 36-14 ATS run in the second half of the season, provided they're playing .450 to .550 football and are off a SU loss as road chalk. Dallas fits the parameters. I'm backing the Cowboys on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. littlecat
PRO INFO SPORTS
PI NFL: 6-STAR (308) Washington Redskins +5.0 v. Philadelphia 1est
PI NFL: 5.5-STAR (332) Los Angeles Chargers +1.5 v. Minnesota 4:05est
PI NFL: 5.5-STAR OVER 48 [325] Cleveland v. [326] Arizona 4:05est
On Sunday we release our 7* 2019 NFL Game of the Year A TIER 1 Play, the AFC Total of the Month, Sunday night Double perfect Play and 2 more bet bets along with a Big 5* NBA and College Hoops. NFL Comp Play below
The NFL Comp Play is on Seattle at 1:00 eastern. Seattle should bounce back off the blowout loss to the Ram as they take on a Carolina team that is playing out the string here. Teams like Carolina that are playing a non divisional opponent are 5-22-1 ATS this season at home off a road game off a loss after a game in which they had more rushing yards than penalty yards. The Panthers are 0-7 ATS at home off a loss when their QB was sacked three or more times in each of their last two games.The Seahawks are 7-0 ATS on grass when their opponent allowed more than 400 total yards in their last game. Also of note for Seattle is teams vs a non divisional opponent are 11-0-1 ATS off a road game when their opponent committed at least three turnovers in their last game. Look for Seattle to get the cover here. On Sunday we have our 7* 2019 NFL Game of the Year as long with a TIER 1 Executive level release the AFC Total of the Month Sunday night Football and a Powerful Hoops card with NBA and NCAAB. See us on facebook to jump on. For the NFL Free pick. Play on Seattle. RV- GC Sports
Totals 4 You NFL Football Selections for Early Sunday, Dec 15th
2019 NFL Football Super Totals 3-Teamer of the Year!!!!!
Chicago/Green Bay under 40 1/2
New England/Cincinnati under 41 1/2
Miami/NY Giants over 45 1/2
Early NFL Football Bonus Winners
Tampa Bay/Detroit over 45 1/2
Houston/Tennessee over 51 1/2
Denver/Kansas City under 44 1/2
the Kansas City Chiefs -9½ over
the Denver Broncos
the Seattle Seahawks -6 over
the Carolina Panthers
the Denver/Kansas City Game OVER
the Total Of 44½ Points
the Tennessee/Houston Game UNDER
the Total Of 51½ Points
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